Goldwind reported 1Q25 earnings of Rmb568.2m (+70.8% yoy), largely driven by an acceleration in WTG shipments. 1Q25 WTG shipment volume surged to 2,588MW (+80.2% yoy), particularly for overseas and domestic onshore orders. Management has maintained the 2025 WTG shipment guidance at 30GW (+87% yoy). The WTG order backlog expanded further to 51.1GW (+7.8% from end-24), with the overseas order backlog standing at 6.9GW. Maintain BUY. Target price: HK$7.50.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Online Travel Agencies We saw continuous vitality in cultural and tourism consumption based on 1Q25 travel data and Labour Day travel data projections. Key travellers’ preference trends during Labour Day 2025 will be long-haul travel, inbound tourism and county-level travel. With favourable policy support such as the implementation of "instant tax refunds" for outbound travel, we expect to see promising revenue and earnings growth from OTA companies in 1H25. Maintain OVER...
GREATER CHINA Sector Online Travel Agencies: Travel data preview: Expecting a vibrant 2025 Labour Day Results BYD Electronic (285 HK/BUY/HK$31.80/Target: HK$41.20): 1Q25: Margins below expectations; automotive business to lead the charge in 2025. Maintain BUY. China Resources Building Materials Technology (1313 HK/BUY/HK$1.69/Target: HK$2.30): 1Q25: In line; severe drought in Guangxi restricts cement products outflow. China State Construction Engineering Corporation (601668 CH/BUY/Rmb5.49 /Targe...
Goldwind reported 2024 earnings of Rmb1,860.47m (+39.2% yoy), representing 70% of our full-year estimate and falling below expectations. 2024 WTG gross margin recovered to 5.1%. 2024 WTG shipment volume reached 16.1GW (+16.1% yoy), while 2025 shipment is guided at 30GW. WTG order backlog hit a record high of 47.4GW (+55.9% yoy), with the overseas order backlog expanding further to 7.0GW, reflecting solid progress in global expansion. Maintain BUY. Target price: HK$8.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Economics PMI Manufacturing PMI strengthened further to 50.5 (+0.3pt mom) while non-manufacturing PMI improved to 50.8 (+0.4pt mom) as construction activity improved to 53.4 (+0.7pt mom), alongside a moderate recovery in services at 50.3 (+0.3pt mom). Small-sized enterprises saw a notable improvement to 49.6 (+3.3pt mom) despite being in the contractionary zone, pointing to a broadening of the recovery. Sector Aviation The three airlines’ 2024 results were in line but at the h...
GREATER CHINA Sector Aviation: Airlines: Expecting a turnaround in 2025 on better supply-demand balance. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Results China Feihe (6186 HK/BUY/HK$5.87/Target: HK$6.80): 2024: Results miss; targets accelerated revenue growth but slight gross margin improvement in 2025. China Longyuan Power (916 HK/HOLD/HK$6.23/Target: HK$6.70): 2024: In line; poor wind resources weigh on power generation despite robust new installation. China Overseas Land & Investment (688 HK/BUY/HK$13.90/Target...
Goldwind reported 9M24 earnings of Rmb1,792m (+42.1% yoy), representing 67% of our full-year estimate, and in line with expectations. Consolidated gross margin rose to 16.4% (+2.2ppt yoy). 9M24 WTG shipment volume was 9,709.8MW (+9.0% yoy). Management maintained its annual shipment target of 18-20GW, but offshore WTG shipment was halved to 1GW. Order backlog hit record high at 44,279MW (+45.6% from end-23). Maintain BUY. Target price: HK$7.90.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Automobile We expect China’s smart cockpit and ADAS markets to grow at a three-year CAGR of 17%/20% respectively from 2023-26. The buoyant growth will be driven by the vehicle intelligentisation trend, and the most prominent themes are: a) NOA, b) EEA centralisation, and c) vehicle-road-cloud integration. Leading companies with innovative products will enjoy buoyant top-line growth and resilient margins. Top picks: Huizhou Desay SV, Ningbo Tuopu and Joyson Electronics. ...
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Intelligentisation is the new growth engine for the EV industry. Top BUYs: Desay SV, Tuopu, Joyson, Fuyao and ECARX. Results China Resources Building Materials Tech (1313 HK/BUY/HK$2.02/Target: HK$2.30): 3Q24: Below expectations; 2024 cement sales guidance trimmed to 63m tonnes. Foshan Haitian Flavouring & Food (603288 CH/HOLD/Rmb45.37/Target: Rmb49.50): 3Q24: Core profit up 9% yoy; well-positioned for continued steady growth. Goldwind (2208 HK/BUY/HK$6.91/Target...
Goldwind reported 1H24 earnings of Rmb1,387m (+10.8% yoy), representing 52.8% of our full-year estimate and in line with expectations. Gross margin for WTG recovered to 3.75% (+6.3ppt yoy) given a change in the sales contribution structure. Goldwind is prioritising offshore WTG and overseas markets, and shipment volume for WTG of over 6MW was 3,021MW (+97.1% yoy). Order backlog hit a record high at 38,358MW (+26.2% from end-23). Maintain BUY. Target price: HK$5.30.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy Cross Currents In our base case, we expect the MSCI China index to range trade for the rest of 2024 due to uncertainties over the duration of economic adjustment. Upside risk comes from the start of the Fed’s easing cycle as it opens the way for further monetary easing in China. However, this should be complemented by demand-side policies for greater impact. In the meantime, we utilise a barbell strategy, preferring TMT, tech hardware and defensives like financials, c...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Cross Currents We expect the MSCI China index to range trade for the rest of 2024; we prefer TMT, tech hardware and defensives like banks, communication services and utilities. Results Goldwind Science & Technology (2208 HK/BUY/HK$4.46/Target: HK$5.30) 1H24: In line; shifting focus to offshore WTG and overseas markets. Jiumaojiu International Holdings (9922 HK/BUY/HK$2.49/Target: HK$3.50) 1H24: Result...
Goldwind reported 1Q24 earnings of Rmb332.6m (-73.1% yoy). The slump in earnings was mainly due to an 89.2% decline in investment income and a 146% yoy decline in gains from fair value changes. WTG gross margin has stabilised, with greater overseas orders and economies of scale to help hit the 2024 gross margin target of 10%. Lower WTG tender volume in 1Q24 should not be a concern, and we remain optimistic on fullyear tender volume. Maintain HOLD. Target price: HK$3.20.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results China Merchants Bank (3968 HK/BUY/HK$34.95/Target: HK$44.00) CMB’s 1Q24 earnings were slightly below our expectations due to disappointing fee income and higher cost ratio, partly offset by strong trading gains and lower credit impairment. 1Q24 NIM performance beat our expectation with a 2bp qoq decline and we expect it to hit its bottom by 2024 if there is another round of deposit rate cuts. Besides that, asset quality remains largely stable. Maintain BUY. Target price:...
Goldwind reported 2023 earnings of Rmb1,331.0m (-44.2% yoy), representing 59.7%/58.0% of our/consensus earnings estimates respectively, below expectations. Revenue grew 8.7% yoy, boosted by the fast expansion of wind farm products sales, which saw 1,048.7% yoy growth to Rmb4,483.9m. WTG gross margin has yet to see recovery, but overall gross margin was dragged down by wind farm products to 17.1% (-0.5ppt). Maintain HOLD. Target price: HK$3.20.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Economics PMI First expansion in six months. Sector Aviation Airlines: Expecting a turnaround in profitability in 2024 with moderate international travel recovery. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Macau Gaming Mar 24 GGR up 6% mom; May 24 Golden Week a potential catalyst. Results China Feihe (6186 HK/BUY/HK$3.68/Target: HK$4.43) 2023: Results in line; healthy channel inventory and improved operating efficiency to drive growth. Upgrade to BUY. China Longyuan Power (916 HK/BUY/HK$5.4...
Goldwind reported 9M23 earnings of Rmb1,260.8m (-46.7% yoy), accounting for 43% of our full-year earnings estimate. Consolidated gross margin recovered to 18.2% in 3Q23, supported by the cost reduction initiatives and increasing ratio of export volume. Although 3Q23 WTG shipment growth slowed to +6.0% yoy, the company is maintaining 2023 shipment target of 16GW. Order backlog expanded further to 31,509MW as of end- Sep 23. Maintain HOLD. Target price: HK$4.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Aviation Airlines: 3Q23 results broadly in line; bottom line turned around in the seasonal peak quarter. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Results China Longyuan Power (916 HK/BUY/HK$6.79/Target: HK$7.90) 3Q23: In line; 3Q23 wind power utilisation hours down 34 hours yoy. ENN Energy Holdings Limited (2688 HK/BUY/HK$61.70/Target: HK$72.10) 3Q23 operational data: 3Q23 dollar margin falls to Rmb0.50/cbm. Goldwind Science & Technology (2208 HK/HOLD/HK$3.81/Target: HK$4.00) 3Q23: Below...
The independent financial analyst theScreener just lowered the general evaluation of XINJIANG GOLDWIND (HK), active in the Renewable Energy Equipment industry. As regards its fundamental valuation, the title now shows 1 out of 4 stars while market behaviour can be considered moderately risky. theScreener believes that the title remains under pressure due to the loss of a star(s) and downgrades its general evaluation to Neutral. As of the analysis date January 18, 2022, the closing price was HKD ...
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