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Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud
FP TOTAL SE
OMV OMV AG ... (+11)

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 30/05/2025

Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price of £0.70 per share: Gearing-up for acquisitions? – 1Q25 production was 4,085 boe/d with no horizontal wells drilled in the period. RCE is more mature than CN and while no drilling has taken place at RCE, the decline rate between 4Q24 and 1Q25 was only ~5%. 1Q25 Production was constrained by increased water production preventing the company increasing the speed of the pumps at some of its producing wells. The increased amount of produced water increase...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Arrow Exploration Corp. (AIM: AXL): Gearing-up for acquisitions?

• 1Q25 production was 4,085 boe/d with no horizontal wells drilled in the period. RCE is more mature than CN and while no drilling has taken place at RCE, the decline rate between 4Q24 and 1Q25 was only ~5%. • 1Q25 Production was constrained by increased water production preventing the company increasing the speed of the pumps at some of its producing wells. The increased amount of produced water increased opex. • In order to address the increased water production, remove the oil production bot...

Daniel Slater
  • Daniel Slater

Arrow Exploration (AXL LN) - Q1 2025 results - BUY

Arrow has released its Q1 2025 results, showing a period of ongoing production and cash flows ahead of a planned ramp up in drilling going into H2 2025.

Daniel Slater
  • Daniel Slater

Arrow Exploration (AXL LN) - Forecast and valuation update - BUY

Arrow recently released its full year 2024 results, and we have now updated our forecasts and valuation, including publishing numbers for 2026.

Daniel Slater
  • Daniel Slater

Arrow Exploration (AXL LN) - Full year 2024 results - BUY

Arrow has released its full year 2024 results, demonstrating the cash generation achievable from its onshore Colombia production, and the ability to generate overall free cash flow while still implementing an extensive drilling programme to support and grow production. We expect more of the same over the rest of 2025, with a total 23 well drilling programme currently underway.

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Arrow Exploration Corp. (AIM: AXL): Second drilling rig to be mobilize...

• 4Q24 net production was 4,738 boe/d. The YE24 cash position had been reported previously and there are no surprises in the remainder of the YE24 balance sheet. • The existing rig is being mobilized to Alberta Llanos to drill two new horizontal development wells in 2Q25. • In May, a second rig will be mobilized to undertake development drilling at Rio Cravo Este and Carrizales Norte. • The company has maintained its US$51 million capital expenditure plan for 2025, which includes drilling 23 wel...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 11/04/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/ CN)C; Target price of £0.70 per share: Stable production, 10% cash increase – Net production is currently exceeding 4.5 mboe/d, consistent with January levels. The CN HZ10 well, located in the northern area of the CN field, commenced production on 31 March, delivering 1,183 bbl/d of oil (591 bbl/d net to Arrow) with a 21% water cut from the Ubaque reservoir. The well is in the process of cleaning up, with the water cut gradually decreasing. The CN ...

Daniel Slater
  • Daniel Slater

Arrow Exploration (AXL LN) - Operational update - BUY

Arrow has released an operational update, reporting on recent horizontal drilling and current production and cash levels, alongside emphasising the flexible nature of its material 2025 drilling programme.

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Arrow Exploration Corp. (AIM: AXL): Stable production, 10% cash increa...

• Net production is currently exceeding 4.5 mboe/d, consistent with January levels. • The CN HZ10 well, located in the northern area of the CN field, commenced production on 31 March, delivering 1,183 bbl/d of oil (591 bbl/d net to Arrow) with a 21% water cut from the Ubaque reservoir. The well is in the process of cleaning up, with the water cut gradually decreasing. • The CN HZ09 well, situated in the southern area of the field, is producing 244 bbl/d of oil (122 bbl/d net) from the Ubaque res...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 14/03/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price of £0.80 per share: Reserves increase showcases FY24 drilling success – YE24 2P and 3P reserves are estimated at 13.6 mmboe and 22.3 mmboe, respectively. This represents an increase of 15% and 25%, respectively vs. YE23. Adding back FY24 production of 1.3 mmboe, the 2024 activity program has added approximately 2.8 mmboe of 2P reserves and 5.3 mmboe of 3P reserves at Tapir (overall increase ...

Daniel Slater
  • Daniel Slater

Arrow Exploration (AXL LN) - Reserves update - BUY

Arrow has released its end 2024 reserves update, showing increases across various categories, including high reserves replacement ratios, based on the successful development and exploration drilling programmes during the year. Activity continues, with new horizontal development drilling ongoing.

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Arrow Exploration Corp. (AIM: AXL): Appraisal drilling results at Albe...

• YE24 2P and 3P reserves are estimated at 13.6 mmboe and 22.3 mmboe, respectively. This represents an increase of 15% and 25%, respectively vs. YE23. • Adding back FY24 production of 1.3 mmboe, the 2024 activity program has added approximately 2.8 mmboe of 2P reserves and 5.3 mmboe of 3P reserves at Tapir (overall increase including all the company’s assets: +3.0 mmboe of 2P reserves and +5.7 mmboe of 3P reserves). • The 2P reserves addition during 2024 is in line with our forecasts (+3.4 mmboe...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 02/07/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price of £0.80 per share: Appraisal drilling results at Alberta Llanos unlock full field development with horizontal wells - Following the discovery well, Arrow has drilled two new vertical wells at Alberta Llanos, effectively delineating the field. The AB-2 well at the far northern limit of the field encountered multiple hydrocarbon-bearing intervals with good reservoir characteristics but came i...

Daniel Slater
  • Daniel Slater

Arrow Exploration (AXL LN) - AB-3 drilling to underpin horizontals - B...

Arrow has released an update on drilling at its Alberta Llanos discovery which has now confirmed the potential to deploy horizontal drilling on the field going forward. The 2025 drilling programme continues, with a second rig expected to be deployed from Q2.

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Arrow Exploration Corp. (AIM: AXL): Appraisal drilling results at Albe...

• Following the discovery well, Arrow has drilled two new vertical wells at Alberta Llanos, effectively delineating the field. • The AB-2 well at the far northern limit of the field encountered multiple hydrocarbon-bearing intervals with good reservoir characteristics but came in structurally lower than anticipated, resulting in sub-economic oil rates from the Carbonera sandstones. Additional zones can be completed at a later stage. • The AB-3 well at the extreme south of the field encountered f...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 10/01/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/ CN)C; Target price of £0.80 per share: Flow rate in line with expectations at AB-1. Two more appraisal wells in January - The AB-1 (Alberta Llanos) exploration well is now on production at an oil rate of 658 bbl/d gross (329 bbl/d net) with 49% water cut from 62 feet of net pay in the Ubaque. The IP rate is in line with the expectations set out in the company’s September corporate presentation (321 bbl/d net)...

Daniel Slater
  • Daniel Slater

Arrow Exploration (AXL LN) - AB-1 well onstream, drilling continues - ...

Arrow has reported that its AB-1 well on its new Alberta Llanos discovery is now onstream, the AB-2 well has reached target depth, and drilling of AB-3 is upcoming. This helps establish a third producing field for the company, adding to existing production and to the forward drilling hopper.

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Arrow Exploration Corp. (AIM: AXL): Flow rate in line with expectation...

• The AB-1 (Alberta Llanos) exploration well is now on production at an oil rate of 658 bbl/d gross (329 bbl/d net) with 49% water cut from 62 feet of net pay in the Ubaque. • The IP rate is in line with the expectations set out in the company’s September corporate presentation (321 bbl/d net). • The AB-2 well has reached TD and the logs are being evaluated. • The AB-3 well will be drilled immediately upon completion of the AB-2 well. • The Guadalupe formation encountered at AB-1 is expected to ...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 20/12/2024

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price of £0.80 per share: Material discovery at Alberta Llanos - The AB-1 (Alberta Llanos) exploration well has encountered four main hydrocarbon bearing reservoirs with a total true vertical depth of 121 feet, including the C7, Gacheta, Guadalupe, and Ubaque formations. The main pre-drill targets were the C7 and the Ubaque formations. The Gacheta and Guadalupe formations carried a higher risk, an...

Daniel Slater
  • Daniel Slater

Arrow Exploration (AXL LN) - Alberta Llanos successful initial explora...

Arrow has reported the successful initial result of its Alberta Llanos exploration well, potentially adding a further discovered field to the company’s forward development drilling hopper.

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