reports
- Pierre FerraguÊ
Semicon West: 2026 outlook? Does AI drive growth? DRAM architectures? ...
Last week we attended the 2025 edition of the Semicon West conference, the key event for investors focused on the semiconductor equipment market. Over two days we hosted more than a dozen meetings with companies across the semiconductor value chain. Here are our key takeaways.
TSFA TAIWAN SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFACTURING CO. LTD. SPONSORED ADR
NVDA NVIDIA CORPORATION
MU MICRON TECHNOLOGY INC.
LRCX LAM RESEARCH CORPORATION
AMAT APPLIED MATERIALS INC.
BSI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
2330 TSMC
SOI SOITEC SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
8035 TOKYO ELECTRON LTD.
KLAC KLA CORPORATION
AMD ASML HOLDING N.V.
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
AVGO ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC.
SOH1 ASML
BESI BROADCOM INC.
SOITEC
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
ODDO : Mémoire : Et si nous étions à l’aube d’un ‘supercycle’ ?
Les prix de la mémoire ont progressé de 15% sur un mois et de ~30% YTD. Cela reflète une forte tension sur l’offre alors que la demande IA est plus élevée qu’attendu. Les stocks de mémoires sont, par ailleurs, au plus bas, ouvrant la voie en 2026 à un supercycle, tiré par l’IA mais aussi par l’intégration de l’Edge AI dans les smartphones/PC. Un marché des semis à ~+15/20% en 2026 est crédible dans ce contexte. Dans notre couverture, cela devrait d’abord bénéficier à ASML, VAT, Siltronic, ASMi e...
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
SOI SOITEC SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
AIXA AIXTRON SE
PFV PFEIFFER VACUUM TECHNOLOGY AG
ATS AT & S AUSTRIA TECHNOLOGIE & SYSTEMTECHNIK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
WAF SILTRONIC AG
MELE MELEXIS NV
SMHN SUESS MICROTEC AG
VACN VAT GROUP AG
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
JEN JENOPTIK AG
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
AMS AMS-OSRAM AG
- Bruno Cavalier
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
HO THALES SA
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
TEP TELEPERFORMANCE SE
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
BAS BASF SE
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
SOI SOITEC SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
AIXA AIXTRON SE
PFV PFEIFFER VACUUM TECHNOLOGY AG
ATS AT & S AUSTRIA TECHNOLOGIE & SYSTEMTECHNIK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
MONC MONCLER SPA
WAF SILTRONIC AG
MELE MELEXIS NV
SMHN SUESS MICROTEC AG
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
RACE FERRARI NV
VACN VAT GROUP AG
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
BIM BIOMERIEUX SA
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
SIK SIKA AG
JEN JENOPTIK AG
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
ZGN ERMENEGILDO ZEGNA NV
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
AMS AMS-OSRAM AG
- Bruno Cavalier
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
SOI SOITEC SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
AIXA AIXTRON SE
TIETO TIETOEVRY OYJ
NDA AURUBIS AG
PFV PFEIFFER VACUUM TECHNOLOGY AG
PAL PALFINGER AG
ATS AT & S AUSTRIA TECHNOLOGIE & SYSTEMTECHNIK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
TECN TECAN GROUP AG
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
MONC MONCLER SPA
WAF SILTRONIC AG
MELE MELEXIS NV
SMHN SUESS MICROTEC AG
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
VACN VAT GROUP AG
FTG111 FLATEXDEGIRO AG
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
JEN JENOPTIK AG
VUL VULCAN ENERGY RESOURCES
ZGN ERMENEGILDO ZEGNA NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
ARVEN ARVERNE GROUP SA
AMS AMS-OSRAM AG
- Bruno Cavalier
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
SOI SOITEC SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
AIXA AIXTRON SE
TIETO TIETOEVRY OYJ
NDA AURUBIS AG
PFV PFEIFFER VACUUM TECHNOLOGY AG
PAL PALFINGER AG
ATS AT & S AUSTRIA TECHNOLOGIE & SYSTEMTECHNIK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
TECN TECAN GROUP AG
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
MONC MONCLER SPA
WAF SILTRONIC AG
MELE MELEXIS NV
SMHN SUESS MICROTEC AG
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
VACN VAT GROUP AG
FTG111 FLATEXDEGIRO AG
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
JEN JENOPTIK AG
VUL VULCAN ENERGY RESOURCES
ZGN ERMENEGILDO ZEGNA NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
ARVEN ARVERNE GROUP SA
AMS AMS-OSRAM AG
- Bruno Cavalier
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
HO THALES SA
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
TEP TELEPERFORMANCE SE
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
BAS BASF SE
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
SOI SOITEC SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
AIXA AIXTRON SE
PFV PFEIFFER VACUUM TECHNOLOGY AG
ATS AT & S AUSTRIA TECHNOLOGIE & SYSTEMTECHNIK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
MONC MONCLER SPA
WAF SILTRONIC AG
MELE MELEXIS NV
SMHN SUESS MICROTEC AG
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
RACE FERRARI NV
VACN VAT GROUP AG
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
BIM BIOMERIEUX SA
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
SIK SIKA AG
JEN JENOPTIK AG
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
ZGN ERMENEGILDO ZEGNA NV
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
AMS AMS-OSRAM AG
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
ODDO : Memory: What if we were on the eve of a super cycle?
Memory prices have risen by 15% m-o-m and by ~30% since the start of 2025. This reflects a tight supply situation, with demand for AI stronger than expected. Memory inventories are also at an all-time low, paving the way for a super cycle in 2026, driven by AI but also by the integration of Edge AI in smartphones/PCs. A semis market at ~+15-20% in 2026 is a credible scenario in this context. In our coverage, this should first benefit ASML, VAT, Siltronic, ASMi and SUSS (Outperform vs Neutral), f...
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
SOI SOITEC SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
AIXA AIXTRON SE
PFV PFEIFFER VACUUM TECHNOLOGY AG
ATS AT & S AUSTRIA TECHNOLOGIE & SYSTEMTECHNIK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
WAF SILTRONIC AG
MELE MELEXIS NV
SMHN SUESS MICROTEC AG
VACN VAT GROUP AG
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
JEN JENOPTIK AG
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
AMS AMS-OSRAM AG
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
FP TOTAL SE
BVI BUREAU VERITAS SA
ADS ADIDAS AG
PUM PUMA SE
RI PERNOD RICARD SA
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
KER KERING SA
HEI HEIDELBERGCEMENT AG
SY1 SYMRISE AG
CCL CARNIVAL PLC
ABI ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV SA/NV
KBX KNORR-BREMSE AG
ERF EUROFINS SCIENTIFIC SOCIETE EUROPEENNE
CTPNV CTP NV
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
FP TOTAL SE
BVI BUREAU VERITAS SA
ADS ADIDAS AG
PUM PUMA SE
RI PERNOD RICARD SA
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
KER KERING SA
HEI HEIDELBERGCEMENT AG
SY1 SYMRISE AG
CCL CARNIVAL PLC
ABI ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV SA/NV
KBX KNORR-BREMSE AG
ERF EUROFINS SCIENTIFIC SOCIETE EUROPEENNE
CTPNV CTP NV
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
- Baptiste Salaville
- Bruno Cavalier
- Konrad Zomer
SU SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC SE
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
ABB ABB LTD.
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
WKL WOLTERS KLUWER NV
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
BAS BASF SE
UCB UCB S.A.
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
MONC MONCLER SPA
YPSN YPSOMED HOLDING AG
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
PUIG PUIG BRANDS
- Baptiste Salaville
- Bruno Cavalier
- Konrad Zomer
SU SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC SE
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
ABB ABB LTD.
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
WKL WOLTERS KLUWER NV
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
BAS BASF SE
UCB UCB S.A.
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
MONC MONCLER SPA
YPSN YPSOMED HOLDING AG
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
PUIG PUIG BRANDS
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
- Pierre FerraguÊ
Chinese power semis: Quantifying the risk to Western vendors
Chinese power semiconductor vendors have gained 10pts of global share over the past five years. In this note, we break down where the gains came from, who lost out, and how we expect the competitive landscape to evolve. We also outline the implications for Infineon, onsemi, and STMicro. Please see the link below.
- Pierre FerraguÊ
- Pierre FerraguÊ
The Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible 2Q25
We publish today our comprehensive quarterly bible: 229 pages of detailed analyses on what happened in the last 3 months, and how we interpret it, in light of our current convictions. The first section acts as a PM summary, outlining our key findings, and latest thoughts on the semi cycle, in 6 slides. Please follow the link below for more details.
TSLA TESLA INC
PANW PALO ALTO NETWORKS INC.
NVDA NVIDIA CORPORATION
LRCX LAM RESEARCH CORPORATION
NOKIA NOKIA OYJ
2330 TSMC
SOI SOITEC SA
CSCO CISCO SYSTEMS INC.
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
MBLY MOBILEYE NV
AMD ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC.
AAPL APPLE INC.
MSFT MICROSOFT CORPORATION
AVGO BROADCOM INC.
IFX INFINEON TECHNOLOGIES AG
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
ERIC-B ERICSSON LM-B SHS
0084207D UBER TECHNOLOGIES INC
ME 23ANDME HLDG CO
GRAB GRAB HLDGS LTD
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
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