reports
- Jan Frederik Slijkerman
TMT hybrid yields still attractive/Buying opportunity on market softne...
In this report we evaluate spreads in the TMT hybrids space. Over the year, TMT hybrid notes have outperformed. Nevertheless, we still like this hybrid space as it offers a good yield. From a spread perspective, we continue to think the tightening potential over senior is more limited, although the small recent widening makes hybrids a bit more attractive.
- Farid Bitari
- Ghada Ben Sedrine
- Nicolas David
- Stephane Houri
ODDO : Generative AI: a genuine revolution, pending the next revolutio...
Our conviction on the long-term growth potential and opportunities of generative AI is renewed. The enabler sectors (semiconductors, software and IT services) and those that provide the infrastructure (utilities, metals, capital goods and real estate) will be the primary beneficiaries, leading us to make certain target price changes. Among AI ‘user’ sectors (media, healthcare, automotive, banking and insurance, oil services, defence, aerospace and airlines), the effects will doub...
LR LEGRAND SA
BMW BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AG
REL RELX PLC
PUB PUBLICIS GROUPE SA
VIE VEOLIA ENVIRONNEMENT SA
ENGI ENGIE SA.
EDP EDP-ENERGIAS DE PORTUGAL SA
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
SU SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC SE
SOP SOPRA STERIA GROUP SA
BNP BNP PARIBAS SA CLASS A
RNO RENAULT SA
ACN ACCENTURE PLC CLASS A
NOVN NOVARTIS AG
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
DAI DAIMLER AG
ERIC B TELEFONAKTIEBOLAGET LM ERICSSON CLASS B
INF INFOTEL SA
GLE SOCIETE GENERALE S.A. CLASS A
NOKIA NOKIA OYJ
TEP TELEPERFORMANCE SE
WKL WOLTERS KLUWER NV
AUB AUBAY SA
MRK MERCK KGAA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
ATE ALTEN SA
RWE RWE AG
SAN SANOFI
NEX NEXANS SA
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
CAP CAPGEMINI SE
ENEL ENEL SPA
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
WPP WPP PLC
ICAD ICADE SA
SOI SOITEC SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
TIETO TIETOEVRY OYJ
NDA AURUBIS AG
NEM NEMETSCHEK SE
AMS AMADEUS IT GROUP SA CLASS A
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
PRY PRYSMIAN S.P.A.
IBE IBERDROLA SA
OREGE OREGE SA
SMHN SUESS MICROTEC AG
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
VACN VAT GROUP AG
SLR SOLARIA ENERGIA Y MEDIO AMBIENTE S.A.
IDR INDRA SISTEMAS S.A. CLASS A
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
SAP SAP SE
AZN ASTRAZENECA PLC
SIE SIEMENS AG
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
REY REPLY S.P.A.
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
SHL SIEMENS HEALTHINEERS AG
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
WAVE WAVESTONE SA
GRE GRENERGY RENOVABLES
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
DSY DASSAULT SYSTEMES SA
OVH OVH GROUPE
ATCO A ATLAS COPCO AB
IOS IONOS GROUP SE
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
UN0 UNIPER SE
- Farid Bitari
- Ghada Ben Sedrine
- Nicolas David
- Stephane Houri
ODDO : L’IA générative, une véritable révolution, en attendant la proc...
Notre conviction sur le potentiel de croissance LT et d’opportunités de l’IA générative est renforcée. Les secteurs 'enablers' (semiconducteurs, software et IT services) et fournisseurs d’infrastructures (utilities, métaux, biens d'équipements et immobilier) en seront les premiers bénéficiaires, conduisant à certains changements d’OC. Parmi les secteurs ‘utilisateurs’ de l’IA (média, santé, automobile, banque et assurance, services pétroliers, défense, aéronautique et compagnies ...
LR LEGRAND SA
BMW BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AG
REL RELX PLC
PUB PUBLICIS GROUPE SA
VIE VEOLIA ENVIRONNEMENT SA
ENGI ENGIE SA.
EDP EDP-ENERGIAS DE PORTUGAL SA
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
SU SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC SE
SOP SOPRA STERIA GROUP SA
BNP BNP PARIBAS SA CLASS A
RNO RENAULT SA
ACN ACCENTURE PLC CLASS A
NOVN NOVARTIS AG
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
DAI DAIMLER AG
ERIC B TELEFONAKTIEBOLAGET LM ERICSSON CLASS B
INF INFOTEL SA
GLE SOCIETE GENERALE S.A. CLASS A
NOKIA NOKIA OYJ
TEP TELEPERFORMANCE SE
WKL WOLTERS KLUWER NV
AUB AUBAY SA
MRK MERCK KGAA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
ATE ALTEN SA
RWE RWE AG
SAN SANOFI
NEX NEXANS SA
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
CAP CAPGEMINI SE
ENEL ENEL SPA
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
WPP WPP PLC
ICAD ICADE SA
SOI SOITEC SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
TIETO TIETOEVRY OYJ
NDA AURUBIS AG
NEM NEMETSCHEK SE
AMS AMADEUS IT GROUP SA CLASS A
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
PRY PRYSMIAN S.P.A.
IBE IBERDROLA SA
OREGE OREGE SA
SMHN SUESS MICROTEC AG
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
VACN VAT GROUP AG
SLR SOLARIA ENERGIA Y MEDIO AMBIENTE S.A.
IDR INDRA SISTEMAS S.A. CLASS A
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
SAP SAP SE
AZN ASTRAZENECA PLC
SIE SIEMENS AG
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
REY REPLY S.P.A.
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
SHL SIEMENS HEALTHINEERS AG
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
WAVE WAVESTONE SA
GRE GRENERGY RENOVABLES
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
DSY DASSAULT SYSTEMES SA
OVH OVH GROUPE
ATCO A ATLAS COPCO AB
IOS IONOS GROUP SE
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
UN0 UNIPER SE
- Pierre FerraguÊ
The Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible 1Q24
We publish today our comprehensive quarterly bible: 224 pages of detailed analyses on what happened in the last 3 months, and how we interpret it, in light of our current convictions. The first section acts as a PM summary, outlining our key findings, and latest thoughts on the semi cycle, in 6 slides:
ANET ARISTA NETWORKS INC.
ERIC B TELEFONAKTIEBOLAGET LM ERICSSON CLASS B
TSLA TESLA INC
PANW PALO ALTO NETWORKS INC.
NVDA NVIDIA CORPORATION
MU MICRON TECHNOLOGY INC.
LRCX LAM RESEARCH CORPORATION
INTC INTEL CORPORATION
AMAT APPLIED MATERIALS INC.
NOKIA NOKIA OYJ
BSI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
2330 TSMC
SOI SOITEC SA
9984 SOFTBANK GROUP CORP.
8035 TOKYO ELECTRON LTD.
KLAC KLA CORPORATION
CSCO ASML HOLDING N.V.
ASML CISCO SYSTEMS INC.
MBLY ASML HOLDING NV
AMD MOBILEYE NV
AAPL ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC.
MSFT APPLE INC.
AVGO MICROSOFT CORPORATION
SOH1 BROADCOM INC.
BESI SOITEC
UBER UBER TECHNOLOGIES INC.
ERIC.B ERICSSON
ERIC-B ERICSSON LM-B SHS
ERICB EU GRABTAXI HOLDINGS PTE LTD
0967655D UBER TECHNOLOGIES INC
0084207D BE SEMICONDUCTOR (SWISS)
BSIB WOLFSPEED INC
WOLF GRAB HLDGS LTD
GRAB ARM HOLDINGS PLC
ARM ARMEYSKI HLDG AD
- Pierre FerraguÊ
Bible 1Q24 – Autos: Semi cycle hits. Time to buy the stocks.
Today, we are publishing the Automotive section of our 23rd Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 130 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. In the coming weeks we will publish the last section on Enterprise IT. Auto semiconductor companies experienced their first YoY revenue decline since 2020, reflecting the ongoing inventory correction. We...
- Pierre FerraguÊ
Bible 1Q24 – Industrials: Past the bottom, but the pace of recovery ma...
Industrial semiconductor revenues were down 20% YoY in 1Q24, declining sequentially for the sixth quarter in a row. 1Q24 is expected to be the trough with nearly all companies expecting sequential growth in the second half of the year, however elevated customer inventories and a correction in clean energy semiconductors could slow the pace of the recovery. We nevertheless remain bullish on the secular opportunity in industrial semis, particularly for power semis which will benefit from the persi...
- Pierre FerraguÊ
- Pierre FerraguÊ
Infineon: Microcontroller share gains help offset the cyclical slowdow...
Infineon’s auto MCU revenues have nearly tripled in the last four years, with market share increasing from 16% to 29%. The company has good visibility on further growth, and we expect this, along with growth in xEVs, to offset the cyclical slowdown this year and contribute to double-digit growth beyond. Infineon is one of our top picks this year. The largest round of downward revisions is behind us, and the stock is attractively valued, ahead of another leg of strong secular growth beyond this y...
- Pierre FerraguÊ
- Jerôme Bodin
INFINEON INFINEON TECHNOLOGIES AG
BMW BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AG
G1A GEA GROUP AG
PUM PUMA SE
AFX CARL ZEISS MEDITEC AG
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
ALO ALSTOM SA
ELE ENDESA S.A.
GEBN GEBERIT AG
RWE RWE AG
FRE FRESENIUS SE & CO. KGAA
HEI HEIDELBERGCEMENT AG
VER VERBUND AG CLASS A
RY4C RYANAIR HOLDINGS PLC
RTLL RTL GROUP S.A.
SIX2 SIXT SE
BC8 BECHTLE AG
AMS AMADEUS IT GROUP SA CLASS A
EVK EVONIK INDUSTRIES AG
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
RACE FERRARI NV
ABI ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV SA/NV
LDO LEONARDO SPA
AD KONINKLIJKE AHOLD DELHAIZE N.V.
AZN ASTRAZENECA PLC
BP. BP P.L.C.
KBX KNORR-BREMSE AG
CPR DAVIDE CAMPARI-MILANO N.V.
ENR SIEMENS ENERGY AG
UN0 UNIPER SE
- Jerôme Bodin
INFINEON INFINEON TECHNOLOGIES AG
BMW BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AG
G1A GEA GROUP AG
PUM PUMA SE
AFX CARL ZEISS MEDITEC AG
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
ALO ALSTOM SA
ELE ENDESA S.A.
GEBN GEBERIT AG
RWE RWE AG
FRE FRESENIUS SE & CO. KGAA
HEI HEIDELBERGCEMENT AG
VER VERBUND AG CLASS A
RY4C RYANAIR HOLDINGS PLC
RTLL RTL GROUP S.A.
SIX2 SIXT SE
BC8 BECHTLE AG
AMS AMADEUS IT GROUP SA CLASS A
UCG UNICREDIT S.P.A.
EVK EVONIK INDUSTRIES AG
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
RACE FERRARI NV
ABI ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV SA/NV
LDO LEONARDO SPA
AD KONINKLIJKE AHOLD DELHAIZE N.V.
AZN ASTRAZENECA PLC
BP. BP P.L.C.
KBX KNORR-BREMSE AG
CPR DAVIDE CAMPARI-MILANO N.V.
ENR SIEMENS ENERGY AG
UN0 UNIPER SE
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
Infineon Technologies AG : The low point reached = rebound, target pri...
>Outperform reiterated, target price raised to € 45 vs € 40 despite the warning - Following the publication of Q2 2024 results that came in a shade above of expectations yesterday and despite the downward revision to the guidance for 2024 (the weakness of demand in automobile and the deepening of the correction in industry) the stock rebounded strongly (+13%). Despite this revision, the market above all retained that 1/ Infineon has indicated that it has de-risked its...
- Pierre FerraguÊ
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
Infineon Technologies AG : Le point bas atteint = rebond, OC relevé à ...
>Opinion Surperformance réitérée, OC relevé à 45 € vs 40 € malgré le warning - Suite à la publication des résultats T2 24 légèrement supérieurs aux attentes hier et malgré la révision en baisse de la guidance 2024 (faiblesse de la demande dans l’automobile et approfondissement de la correction dans l’industrie), le titre a fortement rebondi (+13%). Malgré cette révision, le marché a en effet surtout retenu que 1/ IFX a indiqué avoir dérisqué sa guidance et qu’il s’agi...
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
FME FRESENIUS MEDICAL CARE AG
RCO REMY COINTREAU SA
LONN LONZA GROUP AG
EN BOUYGUES SA
ADEN ADECCO GROUP AG
SCR SCOR SE
ZAL ZALANDO SE
GEBN GEBERIT AG
HEI HEIDELBERGCEMENT AG
SOLB SOLVAY SA
COLO B COLOPLAST A/S CLASS B
BP. BP P.L.C.
SHL SIEMENS HEALTHINEERS AG
UN0 UNIPER SE
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
INFINEON INFINEON TECHNOLOGIES AG
FME FRESENIUS MEDICAL CARE AG
RCO REMY COINTREAU SA
LONN LONZA GROUP AG
EN BOUYGUES SA
ADEN ADECCO GROUP AG
SCR SCOR SE
ZAL ZALANDO SE
GEBN GEBERIT AG
HEI HEIDELBERGCEMENT AG
SOLB SOLVAY SA
COLO B COLOPLAST A/S CLASS B
BP. BP P.L.C.
SHL SIEMENS HEALTHINEERS AG
UN0 UNIPER SE
- Jan Frederik Slijkerman
- Jeroen van den Broek
- Jesse Norcross
- Nadège Tillier
- Timothy Rahill
- Pierre FerraguÊ
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
Infineon Technologies AG : A warning as expected, but not a disaster
>Q2 2024 results above expectations - Infineon reported Q2 2024 results which were above expectations. Revenues came in at € 3,632m, above with Vara Research consensus at € 3, 604m. The adjusted gross margin stood at 41.1% in line with the consensus at 41.2%. Segment results were at € 707m, i.e. a margin of 19.5% above the consensus at € 651m and 18.1%. Adjusted EPS was € 0.41, 10.5% above the consensus at € 0.38.Q3 2024 guidance below expectations, FY 2...
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
Infineon Technologies AG : A warning as expected, but not a disaster
>Q2 2024 results above expectations - Infineon reported Q2 2024 results which were above expectations. Revenues came in at € 3,632m, above with Vara Research consensus at € 3, 604m. The adjusted gross margin stood at 41.1% in line with the consensus at 41.2%. Segment results were at € 707m, i.e. a margin of 19.5% above the consensus at € 651m and 18.1%. Adjusted EPS was € 0.41, 10.5% above the consensus at € 0.38.Q3 2024 guidance below expectations, FY 2...
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