EME Equity Market – May 2025 EME indices mostly in the green in May, apart from Türkiye. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 3.6% mom in EUR and USD terms. The Greek ASE index (+7.8% mom) was the best performer, followed by the Czech PX (+6.6% mom) and Romanian BET indices (+5.0% mom), the Hungarian BUX (+4.0% mom) and the Polish WIG20 (+2.0% mom; all in EUR terms). The Turkish ISE30 Index was, again, the worst performer, with a more modest decline (-1.4% mom in EUR terms) this time.
HEADLINES: • OPAP: 1Q25 – strong, as expected NEUTRAL • CD Projekt: 1Q25 EBIT broadly as expected, guidance on three unannounced projects POSITIVE • VIGO Photonics: adjusted EBITDA up 2x yoy (on a low base), in line with our estimate NEUTRAL • DataWalk: actual 1Q25 numbers fully in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • Kazatomprom: 1Q25 results – much weaker than expected NEGATIVE • Lamda Development: 1Q25 results – opex outside the Ellinikon better than expected, but quarterly capex still slow ...
HEADLINES: • Bank Handlowy: sells retail operations, sets 2027E ROE target of 19% • Asseco Poland: 1Q25 review – net profit up 9% yoy, in line with the consensus; 2025 backlog up 10% yoy POSITIVE • PGE: full 1Q25 results in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: 1Q25 adjusted EBITDA in line with our expectations NEUTRAL • Diagnostyka: 1Q25 results in line with expectations NEUTRAL • Benefit Systems: 1Q25 earnings call takeaways – very optimistic on MAC Group POSITIVE • Grupa Pracuj:...
HEADLINES: • Romania: first round of presidential election signals tough times ahead • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (28 April-4 May) • Al Arabia: signs Riyadh train and buses contract POSITIVE • Al Arabia: Faden Media signs a contract with the Jeddah Municipality POSITIVE • Huuuge Games: April bookings estimate down 10% mom, to USD 9m NEGATIVE • Ten Square Games: April bookings estimate down 3% mom, deeper declines in core titles NEGATIVE • Gentoo Media: delisting from the Oslo Børs to b...
EME Equity Market – April 2025 EME indices mostly in the red in April, Hungarian BUX and Greek ASE the exceptions. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 2.0% mom in EUR terms, but was up 2.9% mom in USD terms in April. The Hungarian BUX was the best performer, followed by the Greek ASE index (+3.5% and 0.8% mom in EUR terms, respectively). There was a slight decline in the Polish WIG20, and more pronounced deteriorations in the Romanian BET and Czech PX indices (-0.6%, -2.0% and -4.2% mom in EUR ...
HEADLINES: • Theon International: 1Q25 trading update – strong execution, rich options POSITIVE • Kruk: 1Q25 results, beat driven by Wonga, debt purchased segment in line, but slowing growth dynamics NEUTRAL • Siauliu Bankas: rather weak 1Q25, but maintained outlook should provide some support NEGATIVE • Medicover: 1Q25 beat on admin costs and other financial income POSITIVE • Otokar: 1Q25 results – continuing losses on the operating and bottom lines • Tofas: weak set of results in 1Q25, as anti...
HEADLINES: • Huuuge Games: post-4Q24 earnings call takeaways – supportive 2025E outlook, exploring new markets NEUTRAL • Pepco Group: Alteri PE ready to buy Poundland, according to Sky News POSITIVE • Tofas: Competition Authority approves acquisition of Stellantis Otomotiv Pazarlama POSITIVE • Elm: announces completion of procedures to acquire Thiqah POSITIVE • Erste Bank: 1Q25E preview (due on 30 April) • Bank Handlowy: 1Q25E preview (due on 8 May) • ING BSK: 1Q25E preview (due on 8 May) • CCC:...
HEADLINES: • Theon International: Noctis in Dies* (BUY - initiation of coverage) • Huuuge Games: 4Q24 adjusted EBITDA 5% above our forecast, share buybacks not a priority NEUTRAL • PGE: key takeaways from the 4Q24 results call NEUTRAL • Tauron: key takeaways from the 4Q24 results call NEUTRAL • Auto Partner: earnings call takeaways – challenging 1Q25E, but rather optimistic on FY25E outlook NEUTRAL • InPost: acquisition of Yodel for GBP 106m debt swap NEUTRAL • Diagnostyka: 4Q24E preview – 35% y...
HEADLINES: • OTP Bank: agrees to limit retail fees NEUTRAL • Benefit Systems: EGM approves capital increase, via issuance of up to 280k new shares NEUTRAL • Santander Bank Polska: may face change of strategic investor NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: March sales growth accelerates to 13% yoy NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: preliminary 1Q25 bookings at USD 62m, almost flat qoq NEUTRAL
HEADLINES: • Mavi: a mispriced story with solid fundamentals (BUY - reinitiation of coverage) • Turkish banks: weather vs. climate (reinitiating on Akbank, Garanti, Isbank and Yapi Kredi with HOLDs) • Warsaw Stock Exchange: just move on up (stays BUY) • Benefit Systems: March sports cards addition surprises positively, mostly in Poland POSITIVE • MOL: announces dividend proposal of HUF 275/share NEUTRAL • EU macro: cohesion funds can be deployed for defence, housing and energy investments • Dino...
EME Equity Market – February 2025 Poland outperforms, again; Türkiye declines. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced by 3.1% in EUR terms and 2.9% mom in USD terms in February. The Polish WIG20 was, once again, the best performer, adding 7.3% mom in February; followed by the Czech PX Index (+6.1% mom); while Greece (+3.8% mom), Hungary (+3.5% mom) and Romania (+3.0% mom) all reported rather similar performances. The Turkish ISE30 was the worst performer, declining 4.5% mom.
HEADLINES: • Komercni Banka: surprises on the upside with 2024 delivery; guiding for 100% dividend payout ratio also for 2025E POSITIVE • ING BSK: solid 4Q24, but beat driven by low LLPs, while core revenues miss expectations; guiding for a solid DPS NEUTRAL • mBank: 2024 results; guiding for 2025E to be the last year with a material impact from the FX mortgage saga NEUTRAL • BRD-GSG: strong 4Q24 delivery beats expectations POSITIVE • Poland macro: NBP on hold • Bank Handlowy: makes another impa...
EME Equity Market – January 2025 The markets entered 2025 on the right foot. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced by 7.7% in EUR terms and 8.4% in USD terms in January. The Polish WIG20 was the best performer (+12.7% mom), followed by the Hungarian BUX and Czech PX indices (+8.9% mom and +6.2% mom, in EUR terms, respectively). There was also a very solid performance from the Greek ASE Index (+5.4% mom in EUR terms), but more muted performances from the Romanian BET and Turkish ISE 30 indices (+1.6%...
HEADLINES: • Arcelik: 4Q24 results – a mixed bag NEUTRAL • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (27 January-2 February) • Yapi Kredi: 4Q24 results and 2025E guidance highlights NEUTRAL • Polish TMT: Cyfrowy Polsat sells 10% stake in Asseco Poland for PLN 85/share POSITIVE • PZU: acting CEO Klesyk holds first capital markets conference • Richter: AbbVie’s 2025 Vraylar guidance USD 3.5bn, 8% below the consensus NEGATIVE • OMV: may acquire Nova Chemicals, with ADNOC (Borouge) POSITIVE • Piraeus Fin...
HEADLINES: • Kruk: 2025-29E strategy – ambitious, and sees further growth of earnings, assisted by high ROEs POSITIVE • Metlen Energy & Metals: EUR 0.3bn capex plan to boost alumina capacity by 50% and produce gallium as well POSITIVE • Poland macro: NBP keeps rates unchanged, as expected • Bank Pekao: to add PLN 370m of FX mortgage provision charges, shielded by PLN 103m of deferred tax asset recognition; positive change in NPL stock NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: USD 3.5m impairment of investment in ...
HEADLINES: • Orlen: strategy update 2035 – evolution, rather than revolution NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: collective redundancies to reduce end-2024 headcount by c.28% POSITIVE • Auto Partner: December sales growth at a limited 6% yoy, well below our expectations NEGATIVE
HEADLINES: • Patria Bank: making progress, but still some way to go (stays HOLD) • Turkish Airlines: 8% ASK growth in 2024 NEUTRAL • Bank Millennium: to book PLN 483m of FX mortgage saga provisions in 4Q24E NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: 4Q24 bookings up 7% qoq NEUTRAL
HEADLINES: • CEZ: government may try to include support for coal plants in draft gas bill NEUTRAL • Wizz Air: extends compensation agreement with PW until YE26 NEUTRAL • mBank: sees PLN 907m of FX mortgage saga costs in 4Q24E NEUTRAL • Mo-BRUK: update on increased fees in Wałbrzych for 2018 NEUTRAL • Wirtualna Polska: agrees to acquire Invia Group for c.EUR 240m POSITIVE • Huuuge Games: December bookings estimate jumps by 18% mom, to USD 13m POSITIVE • Ten Square Games: December bookings estimat...
EME Equity Market – November 2024 Rebound in Türkiye, Romania hammered. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced 3.8% in EUR terms and 1.0% in USD terms in November. The Turkish ISE30 recouped the losses of the previous month, adding 10.4% mom in EUR terms. The Hungarian BUX added 4.3% mom in EUR terms, followed by the PX (+2.9% mom), the ASE (+0.8% mom) and the WIG (+0.8% mom) (all in EUR terms). Following the first round of presidential elections, and the polemic and uncertainty that ensued, the BET ...
HEADLINES: • Elbit Systems: HOLD, on valuation grounds (downgraded to HOLD) • Polish mobile game development: missing the growth, counting cash (Huuuge Games stays BUY, Ten Square Games stays HOLD) • PCF Group: 3Q24 EBIT in positive territory, above our and the market's expectations POSITIVE • VIGO Photonics: 3Q24 – miss on the adjusted EBITDA and bottom line NEGATIVE • CD Projekt: 3Q24 EBITDA 8% below our forecast, 5% above the consensus NEUTRAL • PGE: 3Q24 results fully in line with the prelim...
Unfortunately, this report is not available for the investor type or country you selected.
Report is subscription only.
Thank you, your report is ready.
Thank you, your report is ready.