AEX from 25 to 30, place your bets Our candidates for the AEX expansio...

The AEX is set to expand from 25 to 30 constituents starting on 23rd September, announcement on 9th September after close. This marks a significant change since its last expansion in 1994. The new rule book was published on 22/08/25 and leaves some room for interpretation for companies that have another primary listing (WDP). We believe that WDP meets the requirement for “reference market”. The expansion will be based on Free Float Market Capitalization, with a buffer zone to manage transitions....

Benelux Morning Notes

Avantium: Breathing space. Events Calendar.

Just Eat Takeaway.com/Takeover on track/HOLD

We believe the Prosus bid on Just Eat Takeaway.com will succeed. The offer appears fair when balancing out the attractive long-term opportunity with short-term headwinds and investment needs. We reiterate our HOLD. Our target price is unchanged and equal to the offer price of €20.30.

Morning Notes : TWEKA NA, TKWY NA

: TWEKA NA, TKWY NA

Deliveroo: strengthening growth/margin profile ahead of DoorDash deal

Post-another strong print and FY guidance upgrade, fuelled by a recovery in order growth and market share gains, we see more credibility in Deliveroo's MT targets and have increased our EBITDA and FCF estimates by 8% and 11%. PT unchanged at 180p to stick to the DoorDash offer, which we view as fai

Just Eat Takeaway Soft 1H25, outlook now expected at the lower end of ...

1H25 results were softer than expected with group GTV remaining flat at € 9.4bn (css: € 9.5bn) driven by a 7% decline in orders to € 308m (css: € 314m). Excluding the RoW, GTV growth at CCY of 2% was broadly in line. Revenues decreased 1% at ccy to € 1747m (kbcse: € 1771m), with lower order volumes partially offset by improved monetization and higher advertising revenues. Adj. EBITDA growth of 4% to € 147m came in below expectations (css: € 167m), driven by logistics investments and marketing in...

Benelux Morning Notes

Aedifica: Strong results, guidance reiterated; dsm-firmenich: Symrise 1H25 results; IMCD: Stagnating gross profit leads to disappointing 2Q25 EBITA; JDE Peet's: Full of beans; Just Eat Takeaway: 1H25 results, weak update no impact on takeover; Lotus Bakeries: Peer Mondelez 1Q25 results; Melexis: 2Q25 results, gross margin under pressure; Solvay: 2Q25 in line, subdued outlook no surprise after pre-release; TKH Group: Preview: Under a magnifying glass; Universal Music Group: Spotify 2Q25 ...

Morning Notes : BFITa NA, ELI BB, ALFEN NA, TKWYa NA

: BFITa NA, ELI BB, ALFEN NA, TKWYa NA

Benelux Morning Notes

Ageas: Reinsurance partnership with TRIGLAV, taking QS on Italian motor direct insurance Belgian Telecoms: Digi introduces a new mobile subscription at €3. Kinepolis: Box office in US/Canada up 76% YoY while France visitors were down 25%. NN Group & ASR: Dutch coalition collapse not affecting Dutch Pension Reform. SBM Offshore: Farewell Aseng after 13.5 years of service. Events Calendar

Benelux Tech update/Our favourites: ASM, Barco, BESI, RELX

We refresh our Benelux Tech coverage following the 1Q25 reporting season. In this note we downgrade Just Eat Takeaway from Buy to HOLD as we believe the takeover offer is fair. Most companies reported largely in line results and, across the board we make relatively modest changes to our estimates. Our highest conviction longs in the Benelux Tech universe are ASM International, Barco, BE Semiconductor Industries and RELX. Our biggest increase in target price is for Prosus which saw strong perfor...

Suspension of Coverage

From 2nd of June we are suspending coverage of companies below due to a reallocation of resources. Our prior estimates should no longer be used as an indicator for the company moving forward.ADIDASBEIERSDORFCARREFOURDELIVERY HEROESSILORLUXOTTICAHELLOFRESHHermès InternationalHUGO BOSSINTERPARFUMSJUS

On the shelves now: Consumer Weekly #71

In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at how tariffs have dominated recent earnings calls over other topics such a

Just Eat Takeaway: tender to the offer

Following the publication of the offer memorandum yesterday by Prosus and the launch of the tender offer today until 29th July, we have withdrawn our Neutral rating and advise shareholders to tender their shares to the offer.1/ We consider the offer as generous with implied c.11.5x EV/EBITDA 2025e

Just Eat Takeaway Prosus launches offer

Following the agreement on February 24th between Prosus and JET to acquire 100% of JET shares at € 20.30ps, Prosus officially launched the all cash offer today, with the offer period starting on May 20th 2025. The offer will be declared unconditional if the acceptance reaches 95%. The 95% threshold will be reduced to 80% if the Post-offer restructuring resolutions are adopted by the AGM on July 8th 2025. These restructuring resolutions imply and asset sale and liquidation event which would resul...

On the shelves now: Consumer Weekly #70

In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at the initial impact of tariffs on the US consumer and economy. Happy readi

Benelux Morning Notes

EVS: Weak start to the year, sales guidance maintained excluding FX, EBIT guidance low Just Eat Takeaway.com: Prosus offer launched KBC: CFO meeting – navigating above targets, strong loan growth & NII path NEPI Rockcastle: Robust Q1 results, strong top line Xior Student Housing: Dutch rent freeze not applicable to Xior

Morning Notes : EVS BB, NEXTA BB, MELE BB, TKWY NA

: EVS BB, NEXTA BB, MELE BB, TKWY NA

Deliveroo: PT aligned with DoorDash offer

Following the confirmation of a 180p/share cash bid by DoorDash (first analysed here), we have downgraded our rating from Buy to Neutral and aligned our PT with the offer at 180p.We will recommend that shareholders vote in favour of the upcoming court-sanctioned scheme of arrangement under the UK C

On the shelves now: Consumer Weekly #67

In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at the largest beauty groups in the world. Happy reading!

ODDO BHF SECURITIES Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS – 04/28/2025