As we spend our days and many of our nights helping you understand what is going on in the world of AI infrastructure, we refine continuously our understanding of the cost of AI, combining our understanding of the economics of every step of the supply chain. We crystalized that in a digestible format today. Everything you need to know about a 1GW datacenter on a single slide.
Moody's Ratings (Moody's) assigned Baa2 rating to Oracle Corporation's ("Oracle") proposed senior unsecured notes offering. Oracle's existing Baa2 senior unsecured and Prime-2 Commercial Paper ratings and negative outlook are unchanged. We expect the net proceeds to be used for general corporate pur...
Oracle entered a 4.5GW, $300bn, 5-year contract with OpenAI, starting 2027. In our note yesterday, we showed what we know of the deal suggests balanced and straightforward economics, over the life of the contract. Today we extend the analysis: GPUs aren’t scrapped after 5 years, and Oracle may in reality, after these contracts, boost profitability, monetizing fully depreciated assets, much like TSMC at the lagging edge.
Over the weekend we worked through the numbers to estimate the economics of Oracle’s $300bn contract with OpenAI. We have strong visibility on costs, supported by our long-standing work on AI datacenter economics, refined with players in every part of the supply chain, and on the ramp trajectory, informed by RPO maturity and OpenAI’s business plan. This allows us to estimate gross margins, FCF and IRR with a high degree of confidence.
Moody's Ratings (Moody's) commented that Oracle Corporation's (Oracle) disclosed $300 billion of recently signed AI contracts do not affect the company's Baa2 rating or negative outlook. The contract size is staggering — highlighting the tremendous potential for Oracle's AI Infrastructure business. ...
Oracle shocked the market this week with RPOs expanding 4x sequentially to nearly half a trillion dollars, calling for more to come and guiding Cloud revenues to 2029, growing 68% p.a. Click the link below for our full and final view.
Dear all, After we spent the day trying to figure out where AI compute would sit over the next 10 years, Oracle blessed us with a powerful datapoint: Half a trillion dollar RPOs. We pulled out a note overnight digging into what we learnt last night and confronting it to our deep understanding of the current AI infrastructure landscape. Very interesting findings emerged, follow the link below for details.
Moody's Ratings (Moody's) affirmed Oracle Corporation's (Oracle) Baa2 senior unsecured rating and P-2 commercial paper rating and revised the outlook to negative from stable. The change in outlook reflects the expectation of continuing elevated leverage and increasingly negative free cash flow as O...
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