Adjusted for a one-off, organic gross profit growth disappointed and the outlook for Q4 and the start of 2025 remains weak. We still see a strong underlying market and reiterate our BUY due to an attractive valuation. We have lowered our target price to SEK33 (37).
We consider this a positive report for Norwegian Air Shuttle, including a yield above our expectation for Norwegian Air, higher revenues for Widerøe and positive outlook comments. We expect 5% positive revisions to consensus 2024e EBIT and believe a positive share price reaction is warranted.
Norwegian Air Shuttle is set to report October traffic statistics at 08:00 CET on 6 November. We are positive ahead of the report, forecasting a modest increase in yields and 9% ASK growth. We reiterate our BUY and NOK14 target price as we continue to believe the future is brighter than is discounted in the share price, with the stock trading at a 2024–2025e P/E of c7x.
Norwegian Air Shuttle’s Q3 report disappointed on weak results and a narrowed guidance below our expectations and consensus. Nevertheless, with the stock trading at a 2024e P/E of 6.5x on our revised estimates, and bookings up 20% YOY, we believe the future is brighter than is discounted in the stock price. We reiterate our BUY, but have cut our target price to NOK14 (15) on lower forecasts.
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