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Ejann Hiew ... (+3)
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

China Consumer: Strong Macau visitations and robust home appliance sal...

During the Labour Day holiday (1-5 May), Macau's visitor arrivals significantly beat the government's expectation. Retail and catering sales showed a modest improvement in terms of yoy growth compared with the Chinese New Year holiday, while home appliance sales continued to benefit from the trade-in programme, with premium products demonstrating robust growth. Maintain OVERWEIGHT on the China consumer sector. Our top picks include CR Beer, Mengniu, and Moutai.

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+15)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Benyamin Mikael
  • Damon Shen
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jack Lai Yuan Khai
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
  • Vincent Khoo Boo Aik

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, May 07, 2025

GREATER CHINA Strategy China And Hong Kong Property Market watch around May holiday: New-home sales recovery weakens in Apr 25; the trend of Hong Kong resident travelling north remains strong. Sector Consumer Strong Macau visitations and robust home appliance sales during Labour Day Holiday. INDONESIA Initiate Coverage Aneka Tambang (ANTM IJ/BUY/Rp2,540/Target:...

02313 SHENZHOU INTERNATIONAL GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
AS7 ANTA SPORTS PRODUCTS LTD.
00688 CHINA OVERSEAS LAND & INVESTMENT LIMITED
00683 KERRY PROPERTIES LIMITED
00016 SUN HUNG KAI PROPERTIES LIMITED
00291 CHINA RESOURCES BEER (HOLDINGS) CO. LTD.
5168 HARTALEGA HOLDINGS BHD.
PTT PTT PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
ANTM PT ANEKA TAMBANG TBK
600132 CHONGQING BREWERY CO.LTD CLASS A
000858 WULIANGYE YIBIN CO. LTD. CLASS A
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
600809 SHANXI XINGHUACUN FEN WINE FACTORY CO. LTD. CLASS A
EZQ CHINA MENGNIU DAIRY CO. LTD.
02331 LI NING COMPANY LIMITED
B8O YANGZIJIANG SHIPBUILDING (HOLDINGS) LTD.
SCNR SUNAC CHINA HOLDINGS LTD.
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
600519 KWEICHOW MOUTAI CO. LTD. CLASS A
600887 INNER MONGOLIA YILI INDUSTRIAL GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
00027 GALAXY ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED
601888 CHINA TOURISM GROUP DUTY FREE CORPORATION LIMITED CLASS A
599A SANDS CHINA LTD.
CPN CENTRAL PATTANA PUBLIC CO. LTD.
000333 MIDEA GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
0168 TSINGTAO BREWERY CO. LTD. CLASS H
06862 HAIDILAO INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD.
GAM GAMUDA BHD
KPJ KPJ HEALTHCARE BERHAD
MYEG MY EG SERVICES BHD
HEIM HEINEKEN MALAYSIA BHD
BANPU TB BANPU
ECW ECO WORLD DEVELOPMENT GROUP
HLBANK HONG LEONG BANK BHD
1368 XTEP INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS
01876 BUDWEISER BREWING CO. APAC LTD.
TDC TIME DOTCOM BHD
6186 CHINA FEIHE LTD
MPM MARCO POLO MARINE LTD
00017 NEW WORLD DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
MNSO MINISO GROUP HOLDING ADS (N SHARES)
06690 HAIER SMART HOME CO. LTD. CLASS H
09922 JIUMAOJIU INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LTD.
STM SEATRIUM LTD
PEKAT PEKAT GROUP BHD
Ejann Hiew ... (+3)
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Jiumaojiu International Holdings (9922 HK): 2024: In line with profit ...

Jiumaojiu's 2024 results were in line with the profit warning. In 1Q25, all three of the company’s restaurant brands recorded slight improvements in average daily turnover compared with that in 4Q24. However, same-store sales still remained under pressure. There are no specific targets for new restaurant openings in 2025, and the company aims to continue closing underperforming restaurants to enhance the healthiness of its business operations. Maintain HOLD; target price unchanged at HK$3.00.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+13)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Damon Shen
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Guan An Tan
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Ken Lee
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Tham Mun Hon
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Greater China Daily: Tuesday, April 1, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Economics PMI Manufacturing PMI strengthened further to 50.5 (+0.3pt mom) while non-manufacturing PMI improved to 50.8 (+0.4pt mom) as construction activity improved to 53.4 (+0.7pt mom), alongside a moderate recovery in services at 50.3 (+0.3pt mom). Small-sized enterprises saw a notable improvement to 49.6 (+3.3pt mom) despite being in the contractionary zone, pointing to a broadening of the recovery. Sector Aviation The three airlines’ 2024 results were in line but at the h...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+13)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Damon Shen
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Guan An Tan
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Ken Lee
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Regional Morning Notes - Tuesday, April 1, 2025

GREATER CHINA Sector Aviation: Airlines: Expecting a turnaround in 2025 on better supply-demand balance. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Results China Feihe (6186 HK/BUY/HK$5.87/Target: HK$6.80): 2024: Results miss; targets accelerated revenue growth but slight gross margin improvement in 2025. China Longyuan Power (916 HK/HOLD/HK$6.23/Target: HK$6.70): 2024: In line; poor wind resources weigh on power generation despite robust new installation. China Overseas Land & Investment (688 HK/BUY/HK$13.90/Target...

Ejann Hiew ... (+3)
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Greater China Consumer: The State Council issued a plan on special ini...

On 16 March, the State Council issued a plan on special initiatives to boost consumption, aiming to increase spending power by increasing income and reducing financial burdens, generate effective demand through high-quality supply, and improve the consumption environment to strengthen consumers’ willingness to spend. In the China consumer sector, we prefer Anta, CR Beer, Galaxy, Haier, Mengniu, Midea, Miniso and Yili. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.

Ejann Hiew ... (+3)
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Jiumaojiu International Holdings (9922 HK): 2024 profit warning; downg...

Jiumaojiu issued a profit warning for 2024, which implies a net loss not exceeding Rmb22m in 2H24. Management attributed the decline in net profit to: a) a drop in same-store performance, b) one-off store closure losses and impairment losses of no more than Rmb135m, and c) a decrease in other income. We refresh our 2024 revenue and earnings forecasts based on the profit warning, and cut our 2025 earnings forecast by 22%. Trim target price by 25% to HK$3.00. Downgrade to HOLD.

Damon Shen ... (+8)
  • Damon Shen
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Gigi Cheuk
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Kate Luang
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Greater China Daily: Tuesday, March 11, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Initiate Coverage JBM Healthcare (2161 HK/BUY/HK$1.82/Target: HK$2.42) JBM is a leading branded healthcare provider in Hong Kong with a diversified portfolio. We expect enhanced brand recognition and accelerated e-commerce expansion to fuel future growth and forecast EPS growing at a three-year CAGR of 22.3% in FY25-27. We also like JBM for its solid cash flow generation and decent capital allocation. Initiate coverage with BUY and a target price of HK$2.42 based on 10.3x FY26F ...

Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad ... (+14)
  • Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
  • Benyamin Mikael
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Damon Shen
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Gigi Cheuk
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jieqi Liu
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Kate Luang
  • Lester Siew
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, March 11, 2025

GREATER CHINA Initiate Coverage JBM Healthcare (2161 HK/BUY/HK$1.82/Target: HK$2.42) Revitalising iconic pharma heritage brands. Results Wharf Real Estate Investment Co (1997 HK/BUY/HK$20.55/Target: HK$23.10) 2024: Underlying net profit met expectation; lower finance costs being key driver of profits amid top-line uncertainties. Update Jiumaojiu International Holdings (9922 HK/HOLD/HK$3.08/Target: HK$3.00) ...

Ejann Hiew ... (+3)
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

China Consumer: Satisfactory consumption momentum during CNY.

Consumption during the CNY demonstrated a satisfactory momentum. Daily average sales revenue of consumer-related industries grew 11% yoy, with the home appliances and furnishing category recording the highest growth rate. Domestic tourism per capita spending increased 1% yoy and recovered to 95% of 2019’s level, and Hainan DF per capita spending rose 4% yoy. Macau visitations recovered to 95% of 2019’s level. In the China consumer space, we prefer Anta, Haier, Mengniu, Midea, Miniso and Sands Ch...

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+15)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jack Lai Yuan Khai
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan
  • Ming San Soong
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen
  • Wei Xiang Ku

Regional Morning Notes - Monday, January 27, 2025

GREATER CHINA Sector Aviation Airlines: The three major airlines’ 2024 preliminary earnings estimates were below expectations – still loss-making. Healthcare TCM: GPO price pressure continues to cloud 2025’s growth outlook. Consumer CNY preview: Expect home appli...

02313 SHENZHOU INTERNATIONAL GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
AS7 ANTA SPORTS PRODUCTS LTD.
00291 CHINA RESOURCES BEER (HOLDINGS) CO. LTD.
CPF CHAROEN POKPHAND FOODS PUBLIC CO. LTD.
600132 CHONGQING BREWERY CO.LTD CLASS A
000858 WULIANGYE YIBIN CO. LTD. CLASS A
600809 SHANXI XINGHUACUN FEN WINE FACTORY CO. LTD. CLASS A
EZQ CHINA MENGNIU DAIRY CO. LTD.
02331 LI NING COMPANY LIMITED
01299 AIA GROUP LIMITED
N2IU MAPLETREE COMMERCIAL TRUST
AJBU KEPPEL DC REIT
600519 KWEICHOW MOUTAI CO. LTD. CLASS A
600887 INNER MONGOLIA YILI INDUSTRIAL GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
00027 GALAXY ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED
C52 COMFORTDELGRO CORPORATION LIMITED
600872 JONJEE HI-TECH INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HOLDING CO. LTD. CLASS A
601888 CHINA TOURISM GROUP DUTY FREE CORPORATION LIMITED CLASS A
5162 VSTECS
599A SANDS CHINA LTD.
000333 MIDEA GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
603288 FOSHAN HAITIAN FLAVOURING & FOOD CO. LTD. CLASS A
0168 TSINGTAO BREWERY CO. LTD. CLASS H
AD2 AIR CHINA LIMITED CLASS H
1055 CHINA SOUTHERN AIRLINES COMPANY LIMITED CLASS H
0670 CHINA EASTERN AIRLINES CORPORATION LIMITED CLASS H
06862 HAIDILAO INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD.
CAB CARLSBERG BREWERY MALAYSIA B
CPALL TB CP ALL
2877 CHINA SHINEWAY PHARMACEUTICA
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
1368 XTEP INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS
01876 BUDWEISER BREWING CO. APAC LTD.
6186 CHINA FEIHE LTD
MNSO MINISO GROUP HOLDING ADS (N SHARES)
2209 YESASIA HOLDINGS LTD
06690 HAIER SMART HOME CO. LTD. CLASS H
09922 JIUMAOJIU INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LTD.
09888 BAIDU INC
123F 123FAHRSCHULE SE
EPIC 1CM INC
Z29 029 GROUP SE
VST VSTECS BHD
Shirley Wang Xueyi ... (+2)
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Jiumaojiu International Holdings (9922 HK): Business operations deteri...

In 4Q24, Jiumaojiu's table turnover rates worsened further, though business operations ytd showed an improvement compared with Dec 24, due to the winter vacation season. On a positive note, ASP improved on reduced promotions. For 2025, management does not have a guidance on store expansion, while insisting on being cautious on new store openings and continuing to close underperforming stores, which may lead to further impairment losses in 2H24. Maintain BUY; cut target price by 23% to HK$4.00.

Damon Shen ... (+5)
  • Damon Shen
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Greater China Daily: Tuesday, January 21, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Property: Hong Kong Landlords In 2024, Hong Kong saw a recovery in the number of visitors, but per capita spending weakened further. For 2025 we expect a stronger-than-expected Hong Kong dollar to continue to diminish the competitiveness of Hong Kong tourism and shopping, and weigh on the valuation of landlords. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Trim earnings for Wharf REIC and Hysan. Lower the target prices for our covered stocks. LINK REIT is our top pick for the resilience of comm...

Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad ... (+12)
  • Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
  • Benyamin Mikael
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Damon Shen
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jieqi Liu
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Lester Siew
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn

Regional Morning Notes - Tuesday, January 21, 2025

GREATER CHINA Sector Property: Per capita tourism spending weakens further despite a yoy increase in visitor numbers; 2025 will continue to be a challenging year. Update Jiumaojiu International Holdings (9922 HK/BUY/HK$2.74/Target: HK$4.00): Business operations deteriorate in 4Q24; being cautious on new store openings; continuous closures of underperforming stores may happen in 2025. INDONESIA Sector Property: Undemanding valuation amid increased uncertainty. MALAYSIA Update Hap Seng Plantati...

Shirley Wang Xueyi ... (+2)
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Jiumaojiu International Holdings (9922 HK): Business operations improv...

In 3Q24, Jiumaojiu saw a sequential improvement in table turnover rate and SSS, with further recovery during the Golden Week. Despite Song Hot Pot’s ASP showing a declining trend in 3Q24, mainly due to rising demand in gatherings and undergraduates’ promotions, Tai Er and Song Hot Pot saw ASP improving mom in the quarter. Management expects operating margin to improve in 2H24, supported by lower labour costs and amortisation expenses. Maintain BUY with a target price of HK$5.20.

Colin Lee ... (+7)
  • Colin Lee
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Greater China Daily: Tuesday, October 22, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Ping An Insurance Group (2318 HK/BUY/HK$49.05/Target: HK$69.00) Ping An delivered robust 3Q24 results with OPAT rising 22% yoy, driven by a strong performance in the life and P&C segments. The asset management business turned red due to impairment but reversal is possible if China’s economy improves further. NBV grew 1.1x in 3Q24, mainly supported by strong life premium growth and margin expansion. Although share price rose 30% mom, the strong earnings turnaround could...

Colin Lee ... (+12)
  • Colin Lee
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Paula Ruth
  • Philip Wong
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, October 22, 2024

GREATER CHINA Results Ping An Insurance Group (2318 HK/BUY/HK$49.05/Target: HK$69.00) 3Q24: Bountiful harvest after prolonged dry spell. ZTE Corporation (763 HK/HOLD/HK$21.05/Target: HK$19.00) 3Q24: Results miss, expect stringent cost controls before next capex cycle. Downgrade to HOLD. Zijin Mining (2899 HK/BUY/HK$17.40/Target: HK$21.90) 3Q24: In line; mining entities’ gross margin down 1.2ppt qoq on lower copper ASP. Update Jiumaojiu In...

Shirley Wang Xueyi ... (+2)
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Greater China Consumer: Golden Week -- Tourism and home appliances the...

China consumer stocks under our coverage have rebounded by 33% on average since end-Sep 24, but current valuations are still undemanding. With direct policy support and a potential wealth effect, we believe China consumers are restoring their confidence. China consumer companies should see better earnings visibility in 2024, which should support further re-rating. We suggest investors refocus on the China theme in the near term. We prefer Anta, Galaxy, Haidilao, Haier, Mengniu and Midea. Maintai...

Jonathan Koh ... (+9)
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Ming San Soong
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Stevanus Juanda
  • Wei Xiang Ku

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, October 09, 2024

GREATER CHINA Sector Consumer Golden Week: Tourism and home appliances the bright spots; refocus on China theme. Internet Government policy rollout to boost consumption and drive valuation repair. Update Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (388 HK/HOLD/HK$340.80/Target: HK$355.00) Further valuation re-rating requires more sustainable AD...

02313 SHENZHOU INTERNATIONAL GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
AS7 ANTA SPORTS PRODUCTS LTD.
00291 CHINA RESOURCES BEER (HOLDINGS) CO. LTD.
CPF CHAROEN POKPHAND FOODS PUBLIC CO. LTD.
600132 CHONGQING BREWERY CO.LTD CLASS A
000858 WULIANGYE YIBIN CO. LTD. CLASS A
00388 HONG KONG EXCHANGES & CLEARING LTD.
600809 SHANXI XINGHUACUN FEN WINE FACTORY CO. LTD. CLASS A
EZQ CHINA MENGNIU DAIRY CO. LTD.
02331 LI NING COMPANY LIMITED
3K1 KINGSOFT CORP. LTD.
002230 IFLYTEK CO. LTD. CLASS A
600519 KWEICHOW MOUTAI CO. LTD. CLASS A
600887 INNER MONGOLIA YILI INDUSTRIAL GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
00027 GALAXY ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED
600872 JONJEE HI-TECH INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HOLDING CO. LTD. CLASS A
601888 CHINA TOURISM GROUP DUTY FREE CORPORATION LIMITED CLASS A
599A SANDS CHINA LTD.
000333 MIDEA GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
603288 FOSHAN HAITIAN FLAVOURING & FOOD CO. LTD. CLASS A
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
0168 TSINGTAO BREWERY CO. LTD. CLASS H
PDD PINDUODUO INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
03690 MEITUAN CLASS B
06862 HAIDILAO INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD.
MUST MANULIFE US REAL ESTATE INV
00780 TONGCHENG-ELONG HOLDINGS LIMITED
TGIF 1933 INDUSTRIES
2013 WEIMOB INC
1368 XTEP INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS
01876 BUDWEISER BREWING CO. APAC LTD.
6186 CHINA FEIHE LTD
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
09999 NETEASE INC
OXMU PRIME US REIT
09618 JD.COM INC. CLASS A
KORE KEPPEL PACIFIC OAK US REIT
MNSO MINISO GROUP HOLDING ADS (N SHARES)
BUKA BUKALAPAK.COM PT TBK
01024 KUAISHOU TECHNOLOGY CLASS B
06690 HAIER SMART HOME CO. LTD. CLASS H
09922 JIUMAOJIU INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LTD.
09888 BAIDU INC
TSVT 2SEVENTY BIO INC
02423 KE HOLDINGS INC.
Z29 029 GROUP SE
09961 CTRIP.COM INTERNATIONAL
ITMAX ITMAX SYSTEMS BHD
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