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ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ahold Delhaize: Peer Kroger 4Q25 results. bpost: 4Q25/FY25 result in line, no dividend, FY26 outlook in line, assumptions optimistic. Eurocommercial Properties: Cautious guidance despite Swedish acquisition. Sligro: Feedback from group CMD. Universal Music Group: In line clean EBITDA, FCF below, US listing shelved

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aedifica: Conference call highlights. Basic-Fit: Belgian VAT increase for culture, sports and takeaway meals postponed. BE Semiconductor Industries: 4Q25 Preview, incremental strength. Kendrion: Preview - Clean into 2026. Magnum Ice Cream Company: Acquisition of Kwality Wall's launched. Retail Estates: Re-letting progress highlights portfolio quality. Semi Equipment: AMAT readthrough strength. Universal Music Group: EU Commission approves UMG's Downtown acquisition, requires full Curve Ro...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ABN Amro: Miss but strong capital, good set of results / Ahold Delhaize: Strong 4Q25 but no major surprise on FY26 adj. EPS guidance / Alfen: No recovery yet and another transitional year / BAM Group: Preview: 2026 outlook the key item / Econocom: Better REBITA, net debt, but EBIT below, much lower net profit, dividend halved, 2026-28 guidance postponed to “medium term” / Exor: Ferrari 4Q25 and 2026 guidance beat / Gecina: Results and guidance in line, DPS set to grow over 2026-30 / Heineken: No...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Adyen: Preview 2H25. Aperam: In-line 4Q25, upbeat medium-term outlook balances short-term consensus risk. Ayvens: Fast Car (UCS normalisation). Barco: 4Q25 preview, mixed performance. Lotus Bakeries: Another beat on every line. Orange Belgium: 2H25 EBITDAal beat on lower sales, much better 2026 guidance. Philips: CMD & 4Q25 preview, execution is key. RELX: FY25 preview. Universal Music Group: Peer Warner Music 4% revenue and 11% OIBDA beat

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ArcelorMittal: Modest 4Q25 EBITDA beat and upbeat 2026F outlook / KBC Group: BNP Paribas good results in Belgium, increasing outlook, notably reducing C/I ratio / Recticel: Peer Rockwool's 4Q25 results SBM Offshore: Early purchase of ONE Guyana FPSO by Exxon Mobil / Shell: Keeping SBB at $3.5bn / Sligro: FY25 net profit in line with expectations, SBB announced / Universal Music Group: YouTube ads revenue +9% YoY in 4Q25 and Sony Music up by 13% YoY / Wereldhave: Wereldhave Belgium FY25 results a...

David Vagman ... (+3)
  • David Vagman
  • CFA
  • Maxime Stranart

Universal Music Group/The discount song/BUY (previously Hold)

We upgrade Universal Music Group from Hold to BUY as we believe a structural long-term shift is ongoing at DSPs with regards to pricing, in terms of wholesale and retail pricing, which is not captured by the shares anymore, on exaggerated AI and overhang fears, offering a nice entry point into a high digital growth, FCF, ROCE story. We believe we are at the eve of a multi-year price increase cycle, which would materially accelerate UMG's organic revenue growth. UMG's share price has de-rated by ...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Arcadis: Consensus estimates for 4Q25 and FY25-27. Flow Traders: Market value traded grew YoY in December on low volatility. Universal Music Group: Spotify to increase prices by 8% in the United States. Events Calendar

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

D'Ieteren: Belgium December car registrations up 23.2%, VW up 8.7%. Universal Music Group: UMG acquires 30% Stake in India's Excel Entertainment for $267m. Vastned: CFO departure. Events Calendar.

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