>Underperform recommendation reiterated - Mediaset yesterday reported its definitive 2021 results. The group had already published its main financial indicators on 1 March, which were slightly below our expectations. The group held a conference call following the publication. Management indicated advertising growth of 2% in Q1, in line with our forecast. Note that the group is due to publish its Q1 results on 24 May. Our 2022 and 2023 forecasts are unchanged. We reit...
>Opinion Sous-performance réitérée - MFE a publié hier ses résultats définitifs 2021. Il avait déjà publié ses principaux indicateurs financiers le 1er mars qui étaient ressortis légèrement inférieurs à notre attente. Le groupe a tenu sa conférence téléphonique dans la foulée. Le groupe a indiqué une croissance publicitaire de 2% au T1, ce qui est conforme à notre attente. Rappelons qu’il publiera ses résultats T1 le 24/05. Nos attentes 2022 et 2023 sont inchangées. ...
>Une tendance pour le moment toujours positive - Nous faisons un point sur nos prévisions T1 2022 pour les diffuseurs TV de trois pays européens qui publieront ces prochaines semaines : France (TF1 et M6), Espagne (Mediaset Espana et Atresmedia) et Allemagne (Pro7Sat1). MFE (Italie) publiera ses résultats T1 plus tard. Nous tablons sur un trimestre correct en moyenne en Europe avec toutefois une forte divergence entre les pays. Le marché allemand devrait ressortir en ...
>Trends still positive for now - This note provides an update on our Q1 2022 forecasts for the TV broadcasters due to report in the next few weeks in three European countries: France (TF1 and M6), Spain (Mediaset Espana and Atresmedia) and Germany (Pro7Sat1). MFE (Italy) will report its Q1 results later. We expect a decent quarter on average in Europe, albeit with highly contrasting trends from country to country. The German market is set to show strong growth but Spa...
>No surprises in Q4, lacklustre and impacted by automobile and food - As we do every quarter, we propose an update on the advertising market for the current quarter, and therefore Q4. Our scenario is broadly unchanged, i.e. a relatively lacklustre quarter although with a slightly greater difference between countries than we had expected. Whilst the trend is decent in France (+1.5%) in our view, stable in Germany (+0.5%) and Italy, it looks slightly more difficult tha...
>Un T4 sans surprise, mou et impacté par l’automobile et l’alimentaire - Comme nous le faisons tous les trimestres, nous proposons un point sur le marché publicitaire pour le trimestre en cours et donc le T4. Notre scénario est globalement inchangé, à savoir un trimestre plutôt mou avec toutefois un peu plus d’écart que nous ne l’attendions entre les pays. Si la tendance nous semble correcte en France (+1.5%), stable en Allemagne (+0.5%) et Italie (+1%), elle nous sem...
Encouraged by the success with SQLI, we are updating our M&A list for 2022. Like last year, we quizzed our analysts for their ideas on potential targets. A sign of the times, energy (oil, oil services, power generation) emerged as the winner, with 32% of mentions. It is followed by technology (14%) in the broad sense and real estate (11%). Overall, we counted 27 targets, of which 6, combining a high degree of confidence and an Outperform recommendation, stood out: Fugro, Lundin Energy...
Encouraged by the success with SQLI, we are updating our M&A list for 2022. Like last year, we quizzed our analysts for their ideas on potential targets. A sign of the times, energy (oil, oil services, power generation) emerged as the winner, with 32% of mentions. It is followed by technology (14%) in the broad sense and real estate (11%). Overall, we counted 27 targets, of which 6, combining a high degree of confidence and an Outperform recommendation, stood out: Fugro, Lundin Energy...
Encouragé par le succès rencontré avec SQLI, nous mettons à jour notre liste M&A pour 2022. Comme l’an passé nous avons interrogé nos analystes sur leurs idées de cibles potentielles. Signe des temps, l’énergie (pétrole, services pétroliers, production d’électricité) rafle la mise avec 32% des mentions. Il est suivi par la technologie (14%) au sens large et l’immobilier (11%). Globalement nous recensons 27 cibles dont 6, combinant degré de confiance élevé et recommandation Surperforma...
>The November data shows a decline in viewing time: platform effect? - TV viewing time has once again fallen sharply over the last few months in Europe. For November 2021, the decline was 14% in Spain and 17% in France vs 2020, but it is above all the clear decline vs 2019 that is striking. In both Spain and France, this indicator has been down vs 2019 since June. This situation is naturally concerning for investors following the TV segment as the downturn is a synony...
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