reports
- Julian Dobrovolschi
- Jason Kalamboussis
- Reg Watson
- CFA
Flow Traders/Capital review and 3Q25 preview/HOLD
Following Flow Traders' 3Q25 pre-close update, we reduce our earnings forecast for 2025F but increase our 12-month target price as we roll forward the book value assumption. Based on a 1.5x book value multiple (of €19.18 per share), we increase our 12-month target price to €28.77 (previously €27.00) while maintaining our HOLD recommendation.
- Quirijn Mulder
- Stijn Demeester
Azelis/3Q25 preview and model update/BUY
We update our model ahead of Azelis' 3Q25 results on 23 October. We trim our 2025F-27F Adj. EBITDA estimates by c.5% to reflect ongoing weakness in several of Azelis' end-markets, predominantly driven by trade uncertainty. We maintain our BUY but lower our target price from €21 to €19 per share.
- Guy Sips
- Kristof Samoy
- Livio Luyten
- Michiel Declercq
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Thomas Couvreur
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
Dynamic Top Pick List Update October: Removing VGP – Adding Shurgard a...
In this October update of our Dynamic Top Pick List we are removing VGP while adding Shurgard and Wolters Kluwer. Since its recent inclusion in our Dynamic Top Pick List in July-25, VGPs share rose by 10.6%. While we still believe there is significant upside to the share price, we don't see short term catalysts. In fact, the macro picture remains cloudy with the jury still out on the impact of tariffs and the erratic US policy shifts. Also, we are a bit concerned that competition in Western Eur...
WKL WOLTERS KLUWER NV
EVS EVS BROADCAST EQUIPMENT SA
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
DIE D'IETEREN SA
SOF SOFINA SA
ROYAL VOPAK NV
VGP VGP NV
KIN KINEPOLIS GROUP NV
ABI ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV SA/NV
EXO EXOR N.V.
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
AZE AZELIS GROUP NV
DEME DEME GROUP NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- ING Helpdesk
- Julian Dobrovolschi
- Anis Zgaya
- Bruno Cavalier
- Louis Boujard
- CFA
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
VIRP VIRBAC SA
RBT ROBERTET SA
KER KERING SA
ELIS ELIS SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
MONC MONCLER SPA
ONTEX ONTEX GROUP N.V.
BCHN BURCKHARDT COMPRESSION HOLDING AG
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
GRP GREENCOAT RENEWABLES
SFQ SAF-HOLLAND SE
FLOW FLOW TRADERS LTD
- Anis Zgaya
- Bruno Cavalier
- Louis Boujard
- CFA
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
VIRP VIRBAC SA
RBT ROBERTET SA
KER KERING SA
ELIS ELIS SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
MONC MONCLER SPA
ONTEX ONTEX GROUP N.V.
BCHN BURCKHARDT COMPRESSION HOLDING AG
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
GRP GREENCOAT RENEWABLES
SFQ SAF-HOLLAND SE
FLOW FLOW TRADERS LTD
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Azelis: Highlights ING Benelux Conference London. Barco: Highlights ING Benelux Conference London. Kinepolis: Highlights ING Benelux Conference London. Melexis: Highlights ING Benelux Conference London. ABN AMRO: Dutch State reducing stake to 20%. ASML: x Mistral, a bet on A.I.. Kinepolis: Cineplex August 2025 box office revenue at 87% of 2019 level, down 27% YoY
- Guy Sips
- Livio Luyten
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Guy Sips
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Kristof Samoy
- Livio Luyten
- Michiel Declercq
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
Dynamic Top Pick List Update September: Adding AB InBev and Exor
In this September update we added 2 stocks to the KBC Securities Dynamic Top Pick List : We added AB InBev after the share price weakened post-2Q results. ABI's 2Q volumes fell 1.9% organically, below expectations, mainly due to a 9% drop in Brazil where a price hike led to temporary market share loss. However, strong revenue per hl growth (+4.9%) drove a 6.5% organic EBITDA increase, with 1H growth at +7.2%, near the top of FY guidance (+4–8%). AB InBev, the world's largest brewer, generates ...
- Kristof Samoy
Ekopak First look: 1H25 disappoints, cautious outlook, no update on Wa...
1H25 revenues landed at €21.7m considerably below our €36m estimate. Adj. EBITDA stands at €-3.8m compared to our €+3.5m forecast. Segment reporting has changed and company no longer reports WaaS and non-WaaS but now differentiates the numbers between project and recurring business. FY25 guidance was issued and cautiously calls for growth in turnover vs. 2024. The 2025 outlook does not include any projections for Waterkracht on which the company will issue a separate update when relevant. Compan...
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Jacob Mekhael
- Kristof Samoy
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Michiel Declercq
- Thomas Couvreur
- Wim Hoste
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
AEGON: Addition of €200m to existing SBB, considering US domicile, results mixed. Alfen: 19% EBITDA cut, mid-point new 2026 guidance. Flow Traders: Positive volumes, negative volatility. Kinepolis: Strong profit beat on better operating leverage, higher ticket and ITS per visitor. Recticel: Peer Rockwool 2Q25 results. Tessenderlo: Solid 1H25 beat, guidance maintained. VGP: Strong results, more news on JVs to come
- Quirijn Mulder
- Stijn Demeester
Azelis/Rough patch but fundamentals intact/BUY
We update our model and lower our target price to €21 per share from €22 previously, to reflect recent results. We reiterate our BUY as the medium-term growth fundamentals of the specialty chemicals distribution model are seen intact, even though the industry is currently moving through a rough patch.
- Carole Braudeau
CON CONTINENTAL AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
SCHP SECHE ENVIRONNEMENT
CEC CECONOMY AG
LHA DEUTSCHE LUFTHANSA AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
AC ACCOR SA
SESGL SES SA FDR (CLASS A)
DG VINCI SA
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
MF WENDEL SE
SCR SCOR SE
GLE SOCIETE GENERALE S.A. CLASS A
DEC JCDECAUX SA
FNAC FNAC DARTY SA
ISP INTESA SANPAOLO S.P.A.
NEX NEXANS SA
ERA ERAMET SA
ELIS ELIS SA
PRY PRYSMIAN S.P.A.
SPIE SPIE SA
TKO TIKEHAU CAPITAL SCA
DUFN DUFRY AG
BBVA BANCO BILBAO VIZCAYA ARGENTARIA S.A.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
NEXI NEXI S.P.A.
FDJ LA FRANCAISE DES JEUX SA
AZE AZELIS GROUP NV
AF AIR FRANCE - KLM
AMS AMS-OSRAM AG
- Jerôme Bodin
CLN CLARIANT AG
BEKB BEKAERT SA
APAML APERAM SA
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
MF WENDEL SE
INF INFOTEL SA
DEC JCDECAUX SA
FAGR FAGRON SA
NTG NETGEM SA
MRN MERSEN SA
MTU MANITOU BF SA
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
BB SOCIETE BIC SA
NEX NEXANS SA
ERA ERAMET SA
ELIS ELIS SA
AIXA AIXTRON SE
VIS VISCOFAN S.A.
ATS AT & S AUSTRIA TECHNOLOGIE & SYSTEMTECHNIK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
SESL SES-IMAGOTAG SA
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
FDR FLUIDRA S.A.
MELE MELEXIS NV
CSM CORBION NV
SPIE SPIE SA
MEL MELIA HOTELS INTERNATIONAL S.A.
TKO TIKEHAU CAPITAL SCA
DUFN DUFRY AG
ALD ALD SA
MEDCL MEDINCELL SA
HAG HENSOLDT AG
COP COMPUGROUP MEDICAL SE & CO. KGAA
ZEL PHARMA MAR SA
TCH TECHNICOLOR SA
TE TECHNIP ENERGIES NV
ALHRS HYDROGEN REFUELING SOLUTIONS
HGEA HGEARS AG
AZE AZELIS GROUP NV
IVG IVECO GROUP
FLOW FLOW TRADERS LTD
AF AIR FRANCE - KLM
ORP ORPEA
PLNW PLANISWARE
EXENS EXOSENS
LOCAL SOLOCAL GROUP
HBX HBX GROUP INTERNATIONAL PLC
- Carole Braudeau
CON CONTINENTAL AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
SCHP SECHE ENVIRONNEMENT
CEC CECONOMY AG
LHA DEUTSCHE LUFTHANSA AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
AC ACCOR SA
SESGL SES SA FDR (CLASS A)
DG VINCI SA
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
MF WENDEL SE
SCR SCOR SE
GLE SOCIETE GENERALE S.A. CLASS A
DEC JCDECAUX SA
FNAC FNAC DARTY SA
ISP INTESA SANPAOLO S.P.A.
NEX NEXANS SA
ERA ERAMET SA
ELIS ELIS SA
PRY PRYSMIAN S.P.A.
SPIE SPIE SA
TKO TIKEHAU CAPITAL SCA
DUFN DUFRY AG
BBVA BANCO BILBAO VIZCAYA ARGENTARIA S.A.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
NEXI NEXI S.P.A.
FDJ LA FRANCAISE DES JEUX SA
AZE AZELIS GROUP NV
AF AIR FRANCE - KLM
AMS AMS-OSRAM AG
- Jerôme Bodin
CLN CLARIANT AG
BEKB BEKAERT SA
APAML APERAM SA
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
MF WENDEL SE
INF INFOTEL SA
DEC JCDECAUX SA
FAGR FAGRON SA
NTG NETGEM SA
MRN MERSEN SA
MTU MANITOU BF SA
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
BB SOCIETE BIC SA
NEX NEXANS SA
ERA ERAMET SA
ELIS ELIS SA
AIXA AIXTRON SE
VIS VISCOFAN S.A.
ATS AT & S AUSTRIA TECHNOLOGIE & SYSTEMTECHNIK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
SESL SES-IMAGOTAG SA
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
FDR FLUIDRA S.A.
MELE MELEXIS NV
CSM CORBION NV
SPIE SPIE SA
MEL MELIA HOTELS INTERNATIONAL S.A.
TKO TIKEHAU CAPITAL SCA
DUFN DUFRY AG
ALD ALD SA
MEDCL MEDINCELL SA
HAG HENSOLDT AG
COP COMPUGROUP MEDICAL SE & CO. KGAA
ZEL PHARMA MAR SA
TCH TECHNICOLOR SA
TE TECHNIP ENERGIES NV
ALHRS HYDROGEN REFUELING SOLUTIONS
HGEA HGEARS AG
AZE AZELIS GROUP NV
IVG IVECO GROUP
FLOW FLOW TRADERS LTD
AF AIR FRANCE - KLM
ORP ORPEA
PLNW PLANISWARE
EXENS EXOSENS
LOCAL SOLOCAL GROUP
HBX HBX GROUP INTERNATIONAL PLC
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