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ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Company comments AB InBev: Little to disappoint Adyen: 2H25 results – mixed results, soft guidance CVC Capital Partners: Executing well dsm-firmenich: Messy results Fagron: Beat on all lines, confident FY26 outlook to drive c.5% consensus EBITDA upgrade Flow Traders: EMEA saves the day KBC: Good results, opening up “jaws” further to 2028 Kinepolis: Canadian peer Cineplex 4Q25 results below consensus, January 2026 box office revenue up MICC: FX headwind leads to a 50bp margin miss in FY25 Montea:...

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+8)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Morning Notes : ABI BB, ADYEN NA, DSFIR NA, FAGR BB, FLOW NA, NEXTA BB...

: ABI BB, ADYEN NA, DSFIR NA, FAGR BB, FLOW NA, NEXTA BB, MONT BB, NN NA, ONTEX BB, SIP BB, WDP BB, NXFIL NA

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+5)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Mathijs Geerts Danau
  • Wim Lewi
Kristof Samoy
  • Kristof Samoy

Ekopak Delivery Waterkracht permit and Dutch wastewater plant acquisit...

Yesterday evening an article was published in the local Antwerp newspaper GVA. It stated Flemish Minister of the Environment Jo Brouns (CD&V) has granted a permit for the Waterkracht project. As a result, all chemical companies in the Port of Antwerp will use purified wastewater to cool their production processes starting at the end of 2027. Earlier on the target was to start commercial operations early 2027 and this is still reflected in our earnings model. We will overhaul our model once it is...

Guy Sips ... (+10)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Dynamic Top Pick List Update February 2026: Removing ASMi; Adding UCB

After today's changes (ASMi out, UCB in), we maintain a balanced approach in our Dynamic Top Pick List, with a particular emphasis on value stocks that have been overlooked. Our defensive holdings are overweight, including real estate, which stands to benefit from lower interest rates. We remove ASMi from our Dynamic Top Pick List as the recent share price performance has driven the valuation meaningfully ahead of fundamentals. Since early December, FY27 diluted EPS expectations have risen by a...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Flow Traders: Preview 4Q25 / Kinepolis: January reassures with US box office revenue up 14% YoY, France visitors up 15% YoY / Lotus Bakeries: Peer Mondelez 4Q25 results / MICC: Peer Mondelez 4Q25 results / RELX / Wolters Kluwer: Anthropic moves into Legal / Signify: Analyst lunch highlights / TomTom: 4Q25 results, bridging a gap / UCB: Evenity sales exceeded US$2.1bn in FY25 as per Amgen

Kristof Samoy
  • Kristof Samoy

Ekopak Partnership with unnamed infrastructure partner for WaaS develo...

Ekopak just announced a long term strategic partnership with an unnamed European infrastructure partner for the development of (large) WaaS projects. Many details are still unknown and management was not (yet) available for comments. The partnership introduces a minimum of €150m in off balance sheet funding over the next three years that will be deployed through dedicated asset companies financed with senior non recourse debt and majority equity from the infrastructure partner. As part of the pa...

Quirijn Mulder ... (+2)
  • Quirijn Mulder
  • Stijn Demeester

Azelis/Trimming estimates on ‘softer-for-longer' view/BUY

We trim our estimates as we expect the challenging macro environment, as experienced in 3Q25, to extend into 4Q25 and 1H26. Our lower target price of €14 per share (from €19), reflects our lower estimates and de-rated peer multiples. We maintain our BUY recommendation.

Stefano Toffano
  • Stefano Toffano
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Arcadis: Consensus estimates for 4Q25 and FY25-27. Flow Traders: Market value traded grew YoY in December on low volatility. Universal Music Group: Spotify to increase prices by 8% in the United States. Events Calendar

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Flow Traders: Stronger November market value and volatility; KPN: Collective labour agreement over 18 months with a total salary increase of 5%; Theon International: 99% subscribed, rump covered; VÅR ENERGI: Good old Ekofisk.

Guy Sips ... (+11)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Mathijs Geerts Danau
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Dynamic Top Pick List How to start 2026?

How to start 2026? We have selected for the KBC Securities Dynamic Top Pick List 12 large-cap companies — AB InBev, Aedifica, Argenx, ASMi, Azelis, DEME, D'Ieteren, Shurgard, Sofina, Vopak, WDP, and Wolters Kluwer — along with 3 small and mid-cap names (under €1.5bn in market capitalization): Corbion, EVS, and IBA. So, going into 2026, we maintain a balanced approach in our Dynamic Top Pick List, featuring 8 cyclical and 6 defensive stocks, with a particular emphasis on value stocks that have b...

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