reports
- Guy Sips
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Thomas Couvreur
- Wim Lewi
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Company comments AB InBev: Little to disappoint Adyen: 2H25 results – mixed results, soft guidance CVC Capital Partners: Executing well dsm-firmenich: Messy results Fagron: Beat on all lines, confident FY26 outlook to drive c.5% consensus EBITDA upgrade Flow Traders: EMEA saves the day KBC: Good results, opening up “jaws” further to 2028 Kinepolis: Canadian peer Cineplex 4Q25 results below consensus, January 2026 box office revenue up MICC: FX headwind leads to a 50bp margin miss in FY25 Montea:...
ULVR UNILEVER PLC
KBC KBC GROUP N.V.
FAGR FAGRON SA
MONT MONTEA SCA
ONTEX ONTEX GROUP N.V.
KIN KINEPOLIS GROUP NV
NN NN GROUP N.V.
ABI ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV SA/NV
ADYEN ADYEN NV
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
FLOW FLOW TRADERS LTD
DSFIR KONINKLIJKE DSM N.V.
CVC CVC CAPITAL PARTNERS PLC
MICC MAGNUM ICE CREAM COMPANY N.V. (THE)
- Aurelien Sivignon
- Thomas Zlowodzki
BEKB BEKAERT SA
ALLIX WALLIX GROUP SA
APAML APERAM SA
PHA PHARMAGEST INTERACTIVE SA
IAG INTERNATIONAL CONSOLIDATED AIRLINES GROUP SA
NRG NRJ GROUP SA
LNA LNA SANTE SA
GBT GUERBET SA
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
EZJ EASYJET PLC
RY4C RYANAIR HOLDINGS PLC
SAVE SAVENCIA SA
LIGHT SIGNIFY NV
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
DUFN DUFRY AG
ALD ALD SA
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
NVM NOVEM GROUP SA
AF AIR FRANCE - KLM
- Aurelien Sivignon
- Thomas Zlowodzki
BEKB BEKAERT SA
ALLIX WALLIX GROUP SA
APAML APERAM SA
PHA PHARMAGEST INTERACTIVE SA
IAG INTERNATIONAL CONSOLIDATED AIRLINES GROUP SA
NRG NRJ GROUP SA
LNA LNA SANTE SA
GBT GUERBET SA
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
EZJ EASYJET PLC
RY4C RYANAIR HOLDINGS PLC
SAVE SAVENCIA SA
LIGHT SIGNIFY NV
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
DUFN DUFRY AG
ALD ALD SA
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
NVM NOVEM GROUP SA
AF AIR FRANCE - KLM
- Emmanuel Matot
- Guy Sips
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Wim Lewi
- Emmanuel Matot
- Guy Sips
X Fab Silicon Foundries EV FIRST LOOK : Cautious on near term given on...
We updated our model as 1Q26 revenue is expected to come in within the range of $190-200m (KBCS from the low of the markets ($200.6m while CSS was $ 213.4m) to $ 195m now with an EBITDA margin in the range of 18% and 21% (KBCSe new 21.2%). We regret X-FAB is not providing FY26 guidance at this time due to limited visibility and the current macroeconomic environment. We think CSS will have to lower FY26E forecast substantially (CSS was $ 916.6m sales and 26.3% EBITDA-margin) and as a result we lo...
- Guy Sips
- Jacob Mekhael
- Kristof Samoy
- Livio Luyten
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Michiel Declercq
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Thomas Couvreur
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
Dynamic Top Pick List Update February 2026: Removing ASMi; Adding UCB
After today's changes (ASMi out, UCB in), we maintain a balanced approach in our Dynamic Top Pick List, with a particular emphasis on value stocks that have been overlooked. Our defensive holdings are overweight, including real estate, which stands to benefit from lower interest rates. We remove ASMi from our Dynamic Top Pick List as the recent share price performance has driven the valuation meaningfully ahead of fundamentals. Since early December, FY27 diluted EPS expectations have risen by a...
EVS EVS BROADCAST EQUIPMENT SA
UCB UCB S.A.
DIE D'IETEREN SA
SOF SOFINA SA
IBAB ION BEAM APPLICATIONS SA
ROYAL VOPAK NV
AED AEDIFICA SA
CSM CORBION NV
ABI ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV SA/NV
ARGX ARGEN-X SE
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
AZE AZELIS GROUP NV
DEME DEME GROUP NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Flow Traders: Preview 4Q25 / Kinepolis: January reassures with US box office revenue up 14% YoY, France visitors up 15% YoY / Lotus Bakeries: Peer Mondelez 4Q25 results / MICC: Peer Mondelez 4Q25 results / RELX / Wolters Kluwer: Anthropic moves into Legal / Signify: Analyst lunch highlights / TomTom: 4Q25 results, bridging a gap / UCB: Evenity sales exceeded US$2.1bn in FY25 as per Amgen
- Guy Sips
- Jacob Mekhael
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
- David Vagman
- CFA
Kinepolis/Moment of truth in 2026, M&A case gets real/BUY
The stock underperforms 56% since end-2024, 15% YTD, as the long-awaited attendance recovery failed to materialise and a convincing mid-size M&A deal could not turn the tide yet. The stock has derated to 7x EV/EBITDAL 26F, close to our €20 bear case, investors becoming sceptical on the long-term story, while studios consolidation (Netflix/Warner Bros) fuels fears of dangerous structural changes at play. We acknowledge them but also see the upsides, among others, self-help and converting Netflix ...
- Quirijn Mulder
- Stijn Demeester
Azelis/Trimming estimates on ‘softer-for-longer' view/BUY
We trim our estimates as we expect the challenging macro environment, as experienced in 3Q25, to extend into 4Q25 and 1H26. Our lower target price of €14 per share (from €19), reflects our lower estimates and de-rated peer multiples. We maintain our BUY recommendation.
- Ahmed Ben Salem
- Emira Sagaama
- Oddo Sustainability Team
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
VAC PIERRE & VACANCES SA
BIO BB BIOTECH AG
STF STEF
ITP INTERPARFUMS
SWP SWORD GROUP SE
GLO GL EVENTS SA
ACX ACERINOX SA
EBRO EBRO FOODS SA
ENI ENI S.P.A.
REP REPSOL SA
AALB AALBERTS N.V.
ARG ARGAN SA
FLU FLUGHAFEN WIEN AG
SIFG SIF HOLDING NV
SFSN SFS GROUP AG
BP. BP P.L.C.
FAST FASTNED
AZE AZELIS GROUP NV
SHEL SHELL PLC
7V0 DARWIN AG
ARYN ARYZTA AG
- Ahmed Ben Salem
- Emira Sagaama
- Oddo Sustainability Team
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
VAC PIERRE & VACANCES SA
BIO BB BIOTECH AG
STF STEF
ITP INTERPARFUMS
SWP SWORD GROUP SE
GLO GL EVENTS SA
ACX ACERINOX SA
EBRO EBRO FOODS SA
ENI ENI S.P.A.
REP REPSOL SA
AALB AALBERTS N.V.
ARG ARGAN SA
FLU FLUGHAFEN WIEN AG
SIFG SIF HOLDING NV
SFSN SFS GROUP AG
BP. BP P.L.C.
FAST FASTNED
AZE AZELIS GROUP NV
SHEL SHELL PLC
7V0 DARWIN AG
ARYN ARYZTA AG
- Stefano Toffano
- Jerôme Bodin
IPS IPSOS
LOGI LOGITECH INTERNATIONAL S.A.
FP TOTAL SE
UBI UBISOFT ENTERTAINMENT SA
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
ORA ORANGE SA
EN BOUYGUES SA
DEC JCDECAUX SA
ITP INTERPARFUMS
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
ENI ENI S.P.A.
COTN COMET HOLDING AG
CICN CICOREL HOLDING S.A.
REP REPSOL SA
SOI SOITEC SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
AIXA AIXTRON SE
PFV PFEIFFER VACUUM TECHNOLOGY AG
ATS AT & S AUSTRIA TECHNOLOGIE & SYSTEMTECHNIK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
WAF SILTRONIC AG
MELE MELEXIS NV
NOD NORDIC SEMICONDUCTOR ASA
SMHN SUESS MICROTEC AG
LFDE LA FRANCAISE DE L'ENERGIE SA
VACN VAT GROUP AG
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
BP. BP P.L.C.
GALE GALENICA AG
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
JEN JENOPTIK AG
VUL VULCAN ENERGY RESOURCES
SHEL SHELL PLC
ADTN ADTRAN HOLDINGS INC
IOS IONOS GROUP SE
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
AMS AMS-OSRAM AG
ARYN ARYZTA AG
IFCN INFICON HOLDING AG
- Jerôme Bodin
IPS IPSOS
LOGI LOGITECH INTERNATIONAL S.A.
FP TOTAL SE
UBI UBISOFT ENTERTAINMENT SA
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
ORA ORANGE SA
EN BOUYGUES SA
DEC JCDECAUX SA
ITP INTERPARFUMS
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
ENI ENI S.P.A.
COTN COMET HOLDING AG
CICN CICOREL HOLDING S.A.
REP REPSOL SA
SOI SOITEC SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
AIXA AIXTRON SE
PFV PFEIFFER VACUUM TECHNOLOGY AG
ATS AT & S AUSTRIA TECHNOLOGIE & SYSTEMTECHNIK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
WAF SILTRONIC AG
MELE MELEXIS NV
NOD NORDIC SEMICONDUCTOR ASA
SMHN SUESS MICROTEC AG
LFDE LA FRANCAISE DE L'ENERGIE SA
VACN VAT GROUP AG
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
BP. BP P.L.C.
GALE GALENICA AG
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
JEN JENOPTIK AG
VUL VULCAN ENERGY RESOURCES
SHEL SHELL PLC
ADTN ADTRAN HOLDINGS INC
IOS IONOS GROUP SE
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
AMS AMS-OSRAM AG
ARYN ARYZTA AG
IFCN INFICON HOLDING AG
INFINEON INFINEON TECHNOLOGIES AG
LOGI LOGITECH INTERNATIONAL S.A.
FP TOTAL SE
GET GETLINK SE
IPN IPSEN SA
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
DB1 DEUTSCHE BOERSE AG
BN DANONE SA
ORA ORANGE SA
EN BOUYGUES SA
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
ENI ENI S.P.A.
COTN COMET HOLDING AG
CICN CICOREL HOLDING S.A.
ORSTED ORSTED
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
REP REPSOL SA
SOI SOITEC SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
AIXA AIXTRON SE
PFV PFEIFFER VACUUM TECHNOLOGY AG
ATS AT & S AUSTRIA TECHNOLOGIE & SYSTEMTECHNIK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
WAF SILTRONIC AG
MELE MELEXIS NV
NOD NORDIC SEMICONDUCTOR ASA
SMHN SUESS MICROTEC AG
VACN VAT GROUP AG
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
BP. BP P.L.C.
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
CCEP COCA-COLA EUROPEAN PARTNERS PLC
SIK SIKA AG
JEN JENOPTIK AG
EQT EQT AB
SHEL SHELL PLC
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
AMS AMS-OSRAM AG
IFCN INFICON HOLDING AG
INFINEON INFINEON TECHNOLOGIES AG
LOGI LOGITECH INTERNATIONAL S.A.
FP TOTAL SE
GET GETLINK SE
IPN IPSEN SA
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
DB1 DEUTSCHE BOERSE AG
BN DANONE SA
ORA ORANGE SA
EN BOUYGUES SA
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
ENI ENI S.P.A.
COTN COMET HOLDING AG
CICN CICOREL HOLDING S.A.
ORSTED ORSTED
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
REP REPSOL SA
SOI SOITEC SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
AIXA AIXTRON SE
PFV PFEIFFER VACUUM TECHNOLOGY AG
ATS AT & S AUSTRIA TECHNOLOGIE & SYSTEMTECHNIK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
WAF SILTRONIC AG
MELE MELEXIS NV
NOD NORDIC SEMICONDUCTOR ASA
SMHN SUESS MICROTEC AG
VACN VAT GROUP AG
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
BP. BP P.L.C.
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
CCEP COCA-COLA EUROPEAN PARTNERS PLC
SIK SIKA AG
JEN JENOPTIK AG
EQT EQT AB
SHEL SHELL PLC
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
AMS AMS-OSRAM AG
IFCN INFICON HOLDING AG
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