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Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Flash – Coverage UNDER REVIEW

We are putting our coverage of the following stocks UNDER REVIEW, with immediate effect. We caution against using the forecasts, ratings and price target guidance issued previously on these stocks: Addiko Bank Alro Arion banki Bogdanka Cognor Holding DataWalk Gradus Grenevia Islandsbanki Kety TeraPlast

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: all indices gain in February, bar ...

EME Equity Market – February 2023 Market performance – Greece and Czechia continue with good momentum; Turkey resumes rally. The MSCI EM Europe Index gained 4.9% mom in EUR terms and 2.4% mom in USD in February. The Greek ASE and the Czech PX were, again, the best performers, adding 10.4% mom and 7.6% mom in EUR terms, respectively; while the rally resumed in Turkey, with the ISE 30 index gaining 7.3% mom in EUR terms. There was a somewhat muted performance in Hungary and Romania, with the BUX a...

BRE MBANK SA
EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
GARAN TURKIYE GARANTI BANKASI ANONIM SIRKETI
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
KRU KRUK S.A.
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
YKBNK YAPI VE KREDI BANKASI A.S.
OMV OMV AG
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
DOAS DOGUS OTOMOTIV SERVIS VE TICARET A.S.
VER VERBUND AG CLASS A
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
BRISA BRISA-BRIDGESTONE SABANCI LASTIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
LOGO LOGO YAZILIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
VESBE VESTEL BEYAZ ESYA SANAYI VE TICARET
TTKOM TURK TELEKOMUNIKASYON A.S.
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
AYGAZ AYGAZ A.S.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
OTKAR OTOKAR OTOMOTIV VE SAVUNMA SANAYI A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
GSPARK GRAPHISOFT PARK SE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
DAT DATAWALK SA
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
BANK OF CYPRUS PCL
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
BELA JUMBO S.A.
SAB1L SIAULIU BANKAS
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
TRP TERAPLAST
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
SNP PETROM S.A.
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
SNN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA NUCLEARELECTRICA SA
TEL C.N.T.E.E. TRANSELECTRICA
ELSA SOCIETATEA ENERGETICA ELECTRICA
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
RICHT RICHTER
19XX NEPI ROCKCASTLE PLC
ALPHA ALPHA BANK
M MED LIFE
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
NLBR NLB GROUP
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
KSPI KASPI KZ
INPST INPOST S.A.
PCF PCF GROUP SA
HUGE HUUUGE
WINE ALRO SLATINA
4IG PURCARI WINERIES PCL
IGN1L 4IG NYRT
ISB IGNITIS GRUPE
KCEL ISLANDSBANKI HF
CTPNV KCELL JSC
ONE ARION BANKI HF
GPP CTP NV
7202 ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA
ELPE GRUPA PRACUJ DA
ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
HELLENIQ ENERGY
Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: ALPHA GA; ETE GA; EUROB GA; TPEIR GA; TL Strategy; SNG RO;...

HEADLINES: • Greek banks: heading for a bumper year (Alpha Bank, Eurobank, NBG and Piraeus Bank stay BUY) • Turkey strategy: Kahramanmaras earthquake - the aftermath • Romgaz: 4Q22 trading statement • Tupras: to pay dividend of TRY 45.41/share • Islandsbanki: 4Q22 highlights and further colour on potential merger with Kvika • Bucharest Stock Exchange: 4Q22 prelims - shaky end to the year, with inflation in the driving seat NEGATIVE • Poland macro: President Duda sends justice bill back to C...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: CTPNV NA; ALR PW; ISB IR; CCC PW; EU Energy; INPST NA; ALE...

HEADLINES: • CTP: attractive growth story, but high LTV a risk (HOLD - initiation of coverage) • Alior Bank: publishes key targets for 2023-24E strategy • Islandsbanki: thoughts on Kvika's letter on potential merger talks NEUTRAL • CCC: 4Q22 prelims - soft, as expected NEGATIVE • European Oil and Gas Monthly: January 2023 • InPost/Allegro: DHL and AliExpress joining forces in Poland NEGATIVE • Romgaz: new gas-fired power plant to be finalised in 2H24E • MOL: Hungarian National Bank approves ...

Can Demir
  • Can Demir

WOOD Flash – Islandsbanki: thoughts on Kvika’s letter on potential mer...

Islandsbanki (ISB) has announced that it has received an offer from Kvika banki, to enter into merger talks. Kvika is an overall small player, with a stronger position in insurance and asset management than in banking. According to the release, Kvika’s motivation is to create a bank with a more optimal revenue mix. ISB’s board will review the letter to decide on the next steps this week. We believe it is premature to have a strong opinion on the merger, as key elements, such as valuation, taxati...

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: 2022 ends with Turkey still on top

EME Equity Market – December 2022 Market performance – Turkey closed the year by outperforming the other markets, yet again. The MSCI EM Europe Index gained 2.0% mom in EUR terms and 5.9% mom in USD in December. Turkey was, again, the best performer, with the ISE30 index adding 6.3% mom in EUR terms and 10.8% mom in local currency terms. Positive performances were recorded by the WIG20 (+3.1% EUR / 3.2% lcl mom) and the ASE indices (+1.9% EUR mom) as well. On the other side, the Hungarian BUX de...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: ARION IR; ISB IR; OTP HB; LPP PW; US Macro; NLBR SV; ADKO ...

HEADLINES: • Icelandic Banks: the outliers (initiating on Arion banki with a BUY and Islandsbanki with a HOLD) • OTP Bank: should fare well, absent more negative events (upgraded to BUY) • LPP: 3Q22 below expectations on costs pressure; strong Black Friday sales; FY22E guidance maintained NEGATIVE • US macro: Fed sticking to its hawkish message • NLB Group: constitutional court annuls FX law • Addiko Bank: Slovenian Constitutional Court rejects retroactive Swiss Franc Law POSITIVE • Mytilin...

Aidar Ulan ... (+3)
  • Aidar Ulan
  • Can Demir
  • Miguel Dias

Icelandic Banks: the outliers (initiating on Arion banki with a BUY an...

Iceland resumed its journey as a frontier market last year. On our calculations, Arion banki and Islandsbanki have 1.4% and 1.0% respective weights in the MSCI Frontier markets index. We believe the Icelandic banks are a good way to diversify away from the EM/FM banks’ risks, which are tied to currency, interest rates, geopolitics and commodity prices. These banks have decent earnings power, despite their small scale and tightly regulated capital. The leverage on the banks’ balance sheets is as ...

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