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ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Karl Bokvist
ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Anders Idborg
  • Karl Bokvist
ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Karl Bokvist
ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Karl Bokvist
ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Karl Bokvist
ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Karl Bokvist
ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Karl Bokvist
ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Karl Bokvist
ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Karl Bokvist
ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Karl Bokvist
Douglas Lindahl
  • Douglas Lindahl

Beijer Ref (Hold, TP: SEK175.00) - Valuation stretched

Overall we view Q2 as somewhat stronger than forecast and expect H2 comparables to result in stronger organic growth YOY (relative to H1). We have slightly increased our 2024-2026e and raised our target price to SEK175 (166), mainly due to expanded peer multiples. However, we still find the valuation stretched, despite the growth potential, and reiterate our HOLD.

ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Karl Bokvist

The organic recovery continues

Solid 13% EBITA growth as organic sales grew 2%, '24e-'26e adj. EBITA up 2%; 11% CAGR '23-'26e, keep HOLD, TP SEK 190 (180)

ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Karl Bokvist
ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Karl Bokvist
ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Karl Bokvist

Return to organic growth on the cards

Q2 due Friday, 19 July, 08:30 CET, small adj. EBITA changes; 10% CAGR '23-'26e, keep HOLD, TP SEK 180 (170).

Douglas Lindahl
  • Douglas Lindahl

Beijer Ref (Hold, TP: SEK166.00) - Price tailwinds from the US

We estimate Q2 sales of SEK9,560m, organic growth of c1% YOY, and an adj. EBIT margin of 11.3%, leaving us 2% above Visible Alpha adj. EBIT consensus. We have raised our 2024–2026e adj. EBIT by c1% on average. In this note, we also address the US A2L regulation and its potential price impact on the US HVAC-R industry. We reiterate our HOLD, but have raised our target price to SEK166 (156) on updated peer multiples and estimates.

ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Karl Bokvist
ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Karl Bokvist
ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Karl Bokvist
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