Overall we view Q2 as somewhat stronger than forecast and expect H2 comparables to result in stronger organic growth YOY (relative to H1). We have slightly increased our 2024-2026e and raised our target price to SEK175 (166), mainly due to expanded peer multiples. However, we still find the valuation stretched, despite the growth potential, and reiterate our HOLD.
We estimate Q2 sales of SEK9,560m, organic growth of c1% YOY, and an adj. EBIT margin of 11.3%, leaving us 2% above Visible Alpha adj. EBIT consensus. We have raised our 2024–2026e adj. EBIT by c1% on average. In this note, we also address the US A2L regulation and its potential price impact on the US HVAC-R industry. We reiterate our HOLD, but have raised our target price to SEK166 (156) on updated peer multiples and estimates.
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