Ørsted today announced it is cancelling development of the 2.4GW Hornsea 4 project off the UK due to increased supply chain costs, higher interest rates, and greater construction and operational risk (FID was expected later in 2025). The cancellation adds to uncertainty for the offshore wind services industry and overall project profitability within offshore wind. No installation contracts for Hornsea 4 had been disclosed yet, but with Cadeler responsible for foundations and half the turbines on...
Geveran Trading, Wilhelmsen New Energy and EPS Ventures today announced they will make an unconditional mandatory cash offer to acquire all outstanding shares in Edda Wind that they do not already own. The offer price of NOK23/share equals a 33% premium to yesterday’s close, and implies a 2026–2027e EV/EBITDA of 7.2–6.1x on our estimates before the announcement and P/NAV of 0.7x. The three shareholders currently own 82% of shares outstanding in Edda Wind, and through BidCo Electric AS have alrea...
At the WindEurope event in Copenhagen, we met with companies representing approximately 75% of the global offshore wind installation fleet, gaining insights that support a constructive outlook for the sector. Addressing recent investor concerns related to market growth, the industry has already reflected and anticipated recent downward adjustments in third-party forecasts. With respect to a slowdown ahead in the US market, a second investor concern lately, near-term vessel demand could surprise ...
While EBITDA was broadly in line with expectations, the Q3 report gave early signs of improved operational reliability, which we believe will be key to narrowing the discount to underlying values (the stock is trading at 0.6x P/NAV). Recent contract awards (including a new 12+12-month contract announced with the results) have made the fleet fully booked until the 2025 summer season, and three of the four 2025 newbuild deliveries are now booked directly following yard delivery. We reiterate our B...
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