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ABGSC Financials Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Financials Research
  • Jan Erik Gjerland
ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research
  • Fredrik Stensved
  • Markus Henriksson
  • Viktor Stenlöf

Weak quarter, sound outlook

Messy quarter, negative est. changes. Asset rotation set to continue. Several reasons to buy the share; BUY, TP SEK 155

Simen Mortensen
  • Simen Mortensen

Swedish policy rate cut, an upgrade and a downgrade

Sweden’s Riksbank cut the policy rate this week to 3.75% (4.0%); our estimates are based on another four cuts by end-2025. During the week we upgraded Veidekke to BUY, downgraded Castellum to HOLD, and reiterated our HOLD on Kojamo and SELL on Hufvudstaden and Sagax. The average implied EBITDA yields on the stocks we cover are 4.40% for 2024e and 4.79% for 2025e.

Castellum AB: 2 directors

A director at Castellum AB bought 3,633 shares at 126.950SEK and the significance rating of the trade was 42/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly ...

Niklas Wetterling
  • Niklas Wetterling

Castellum (Hold, TP: SEK135.00) - Unconvincing Q1 results

We have downgraded to HOLD (BUY) and trimmed our target price to SEK135 (136) following rather soft Q1 results that showed a risk in vacancy adding concern about the rental market outlook. We consider the stock fully valued, given only an 10% NAV discount (adjusted for Entra at market value) and its soft FFOPS growth outlook.

Simen Mortensen
  • Simen Mortensen

Q1 reporting continues

This week, Castellum and Balder reported Q1 results, Wihlborgs announced a new lease, and SBB corrected 2023 profits and dissolved Unobo. Norges Bank has signalled interest rates might stay higher for longer. K2A has halted preference dividend payments. The weighted-average implied EBITDA yields on the stocks we cover are 4.69% for 2024e and 4.97% for 2025e.

ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research
  • Fredrik Stensved
  • Markus Henriksson
  • Viktor Stenlöf
ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research
  • Fredrik Stensved
  • Markus Henriksson
  • Viktor Stenlöf

Lowering its sights

Taking down its ambitions with new targets although we appreciate the lowered pay-out ratio. Higher probability of a DPS already for 2024.

Tomi Railo
  • Tomi Railo

Cargotec (Buy, TP: EUR88.00) - Attractively valued quality

Following a solid Q1, we have raised our 2024–2026e clean EPS by c11% on average and target price to EUR88 (77). Our positive case elements (Handling it successfully, 21 March) have strengthened and we reiterate our BUY as value creation potential remains.

Martin Arnell
  • Martin Arnell

Betsson (Buy, TP: SEK170.00) - Super-scaling into the future

We reiterate our BUY, and have raised our target price to SEK170 (155) after increasing our 2024–2025e EBIT by 11–7%. Q2 to date has exceeded our expectations, and we forecast further healthy earnings in the coming quarters (cost control alongside high player activity driving solid revenues from key upcoming football tournaments). Betsson’s 2024e net cash of EUR142m should enable further M&A and solid cash distribution.

 PRESS RELEASE

Cargotec's interim report January–March 2024: Comparable operating pro...

Cargotec's interim report January–March 2024: Comparable operating profit margin improved in all business areas CARGOTEC CORPORATION, INTERIM REPORT JANUARY–MARCH 2024, 30 APRIL 2024 AT 9:00 AM (EEST) Cargotec's interim report January–March 2024: Comparable operating profit margin improved in all business areas Sequentially stable demand in Hiab and Kalmar, Hiab's orders amounted to EUR 386 million and Kalmar's EUR 402 millionMacGregor’s merchant and services businesses' good performance continued, challenges remain in offshore projectsHiab's comparable operating profit margin was 16.6 (1...

 PRESS RELEASE

Cargotecin osavuosikatsaus tammi–maaliskuulta 2024: Vertailukelpoinen ...

Cargotecin osavuosikatsaus tammi–maaliskuulta 2024: Vertailukelpoinen liikevoittoprosentti parani kaikilla liiketoiminta-alueilla CARGOTEC OYJ, TAMMI–MAALISKUUN 2024 OSAVUOSIKATSAUS, 30.4.2024 KLO 9.00 Cargotecin osavuosikatsaus tammi–maaliskuulta 2024: Vertailukelpoinen liikevoittoprosentti parani kaikilla liiketoiminta-alueilla Kysyntä edellisen vuosineljänneksen tasolla Hiabissa ja Kalmarissa, Hiabin saadut tilaukset olivat 386 miljoonaa euroa ja Kalmarin 402 miljoonaa euroaMacGregorin kauppalaiva- ja huoltoliiketoimintojen hyvä suoritus jatkui, haasteet offshore-projekteissa jatkuvatH...

Storebrand ASA: 1 director

A director at Storebrand ASA maiden bought 10,000 shares at 106.500NOK and the significance rating of the trade was 59/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two year...

Simen Mortensen
  • Simen Mortensen

Q1 reporting season kicks off

Q1 reporting season kicked off this week, with results from Nyfosa, Entra, Wallenstam, Fabege, KMC Properties, Pandox, and Catena. In other news, Public Property Invest is to be listed on the Oslo stock exchange on 29 April. The weighted-average implied EBITDA yields on the stocks we cover are 4.75% for 2024e and 5.04% for 2025e.

Tomi Railo
  • Tomi Railo

Konecranes (Buy, TP: EUR55.00) - No drama

We have made limited changes to our 2024–2026 forecasts following an overall neutral Q1 (minor order miss but small profit beat versus our expectations), and an unchanged market outlook and 2024 guidance. We reiterate our BUY and EUR55 target price.

Hanna Lindbo
  • Hanna Lindbo

Electrolux Professional (Hold, TP: SEK72.00) - Food delivery

While our 2024–2026e sales are roughly unchanged, we have raised our clean EBITA by 4–2% on higher margin assumptions for Food & Beverage. Tosei was accretive for group margins in Q1, but the quarter is seasonally strong for the acquired business, and we do not expect Q2 to be as solid. We reiterate our HOLD, but have increased our target price to SEK72 (71).

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