reports
Games Workshop Group: 1 director
A director at Games Workshop Group sold 7,500 shares at 9,489p and the significance rating of the trade was 89/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearl...
- Kate Heseltine
Games Workshop Group - Steady as she goes
Games Workshop Group has reported that trading for the three months to the end of February 2024 is in line with expectations. The fourth dividend of the year has been declared at 105p/share, which takes the year-to-date total to 420p/share, marginally ahead of the 415p/share declared in FY23 at a similar stage. The declared dividend compares with our prior estimate of 425p/share, and we have therefore nudged our estimate down to be consistent with the amounts declared.
- Kate Heseltine
Games Workshop Group - Core growth in H124
Games Workshop Group’s (GAW’s) H124 results demonstrated the strong underlying revenue growth and higher profitability in its core activities that should be expected with the launch of a new edition of its main intellectual property (IP), Warhammer 40K. The share price has drifted down over the last six months, bringing the prospective P/E multiples for FY24 and FY25 of 23.3x and 22.4x back to more recent average multiples.
- Kate Heseltine
Games Workshop Group - Licensed content agreement with Amazon
Games Workshop Group (GAW) has signed an agreement with Amazon Content Services, a subsidiary of Amazon.com, to prospectively develop GAW’s intellectual property (IP) into film and television content and to grant associated merchandising rights, initially focused on the Warhammer 40k universe. The partnership follows the announcement in December 2022 when management said an agreement had been reached in principle. Although the content will mainly be focused on GAW’s Warhammer 40k, Amazon has the...
- Kate Heseltine
Games Workshop Group - H124 in line, solid core growth
Games Workshop Group’s (GAW’s) H124 trading update indicated a robust start to the year in line with management’s expectations. The launch of the new edition of Warhammer 40k in Q1 helped to boost core year-on-year revenue growth in the first half by an expected 11% to no less than £235m (H123: £212.3m). Licensing revenue is expected at £12m (H123: £14.3m), taking total group revenue to c £247m (H123: £227m). There was an implied slowdown in core revenue growth in Q2 versus Q1, although this is ...
- Kate Heseltine
Games Workshop Group - Leviathan
Games Workshop Group (GAW) enjoyed another record year of revenue and profit growth in FY23 despite the more challenging macroeconomic backdrop and economy-wide cost pressures. Underlying volume growth is testimony to the appeal of the IP to its hobbyists. GAW entered FY24 with strong revenue momentum, implying that the June 2023 release of Leviathan, the 10th edition of its most significant property, Warhammer 40K, has boosted growth in Q124. Easing cost pressures should be supportive of underl...
- Kate Heseltine
Games Workshop Group - FY23 profit ahead of previous FY24 estimates
Games Workshop Group’s (GAW’s) FY23 trading update indicates an improvement in underlying trading in the latter months of the period and the expected easing of cost pressures. The strength of the improvement is evident in the fact that FY23 PBT is greater than both our previous FY23 and FY24 estimates. We upgrade our FY24 PBT estimates by c 4%, which incorporates an underlying upgrade offset by a new foreign exchange headwind.
- Kate Heseltine
Games Workshop Group - Merci, France
Games Workshop Group’s (GAW’s) update highlights that Q323 trading to the end of February 2023 is in line with expectations. In addition, a further dividend of £1.20 per share has been declared, taking the year-to-date total to £4.15 per share, a very healthy current yield of 4.6%, well ahead of FY22’s £2.35 per share. Separately, this week the company announced that the tenth edition of Warhammer 40,000 will be released in the summer of 2023.
- Kate Heseltine
Games Workshop Group - Core revenue growth offsets licensing decline
Games Workshop Group’s (GAW’s) record H123 results included strong revenue recovery in Retail as COVID-19 restrictions eased, foreign exchange gains, offset by some negative effects, specifically from Russia and China, and flat sales in the key North American market. The lower reported profit reflects the well-known external cost pressures and investment to support future revenue growth, partially offset by good cost control. Our profit estimates are unchanged but we increase our dividend estima...
- Kate Heseltine
Games Workshop Group - Encouraging trading in H123
Games Workshop’s (GAW’s) H123 trading update indicates an encouraging start to the year, with reported revenue and operating profit representing more than half of our full year estimate. With around three-quarters of revenue earned overseas, GAW is a beneficiary of sterling’s weakness, notably versus the US dollar, which alone, we estimate, contributed c 6% to GAW’s core revenue growth in H123. Although sterling has recently strengthened, at current exchange rates it continues to provide good su...
- Kate Heseltine
Games Workshop Group - Battling on
Games Workshop (GAW) is a global leader in tabletop miniature gaming. Management’s focus on product quality and innovation with greater customer engagement and geographic distribution has delivered impressive growth in profitability and cash returns, with an enviable return on capital (118% in FY22). Our forecasts of continued revenue and profit growth in FY23–24, albeit more muted than recent years due to phasing of new edition launches, lower P/E multiples versus recent highs is attractive in ...
- Kate Heseltine
Games Workshop Group - Strong revenue growth and royalties income
Games Workshop Group’s (GAW’s) trading update for the year ending May 2022 indicates ongoing good demand following the standout performance of the prior year. The lower profitability (profit before tax margin) for FY22 versus FY21 reflects the already-flagged economy-wide inflationary cost pressures and internal investment, offset by a notable improvement in royalties income (£28m versus £16.3m FY21). The royalties income was the highest ever generated by the company, indicating the success it i...
- Kate Heseltine
Games Workshop Group - Upgrading forecast for FY22 cash returns
Games Workshop Group’s (GAW’s) Q322 trading update (to the end of February), which indicates that trading is in line with expectations, is reassuring given the incremental cost pressures (including freight) highlighted in the H122 results. We believe the company’s cash position is better than we expected given the declaration of a further dividend (70p/share), taking the cumulative (financial) year to date total to 235p/share. We make no changes to our forecasts beyond increasing our FY22 divide...
GAMES WORKSHOP sees a downgrade to Negative on account of less fundame...
The independent financial analyst theScreener just lowered the general evaluation of GAMES WORKSHOP (GB), active in the Toys industry. As regards its fundamental valuation, the title now shows 0 out of 4 stars while market behaviour can be considered risky. theScreener believes that the title remains under pressure due to the loss of a star(s) and downgrades its general evaluation to Negative. As of the analysis date February 1, 2022, the closing price was GBp 8,330.00 and its target price was e...
- Kate Heseltine
Games Workshop Group - Forecasts maintained for FY22 and FY23
Games Workshop Group’s (GAW’s) H122 results reflect lower year-on-year revenue growth after a very strong FY21, as expected, with positive comments on new launches, specifically the third edition of Age of Sigmar. Ongoing internal investment to support future growth and new external cost pressures led to a reduction in operating profit pre-royalties, which was more than offset by the notable increase in royalty income. As previously flagged, the shape of our FY22 forecasts has changed to reflect...
- Kate Heseltine
Games Workshop Group - Forecasts maintained for FY22 and FY23
Games Workshop Group’s (GAW’s) H122 results reflect lower year-on-year revenue growth after a very strong FY21, as expected, with positive comments on new launches, specifically the third edition of Age of Sigmar. Ongoing internal investment to support future growth and new external cost pressures led to a reduction in operating profit pre-royalties, which was more than offset by the notable increase in royalty income. As previously flagged, the shape of our FY22 forecasts has changed to reflect...
- Kate Heseltine
Games Workshop Group - H122 helped by licensing income
With profit in line with expectations, Games Workshop Group’s (GAW) H122 trading update is reassuring. The previously flagged forex and freight cost pressures have negatively affected pre-licensing profit. This was partially offset by an exceptional level of licensing income versus GAW’s trading history. Our FY22 forecasts are unchanged ahead of the publication of H122 results. The FY22e P/E of 25.0x is in line with GAW’s recent average multiple. Our DCF-based valuation remains £129 per share.
- Kate Heseltine
Games Workshop Group - H122 helped by licensing income
With profit in line with expectations, Games Workshop Group’s (GAW) H122 trading update is reassuring. The previously flagged forex and freight cost pressures have negatively affected pre-licensing profit. This was partially offset by an exceptional level of licensing income versus GAW’s trading history. Our FY22 forecasts are unchanged ahead of the publication of H122 results. The FY22e P/E of 25.0x is in line with GAW’s recent average multiple. Our DCF-based valuation remains £129 per share.
- Kate Heseltine
Games Workshop Group - Revenue growth against a tough comparative
Games Workshop’s (GAW’s) trading update indicates sales growth for Q122 (three months to 29 August 2021) is in line with management expectations. Management has highlighted pressure on freight costs and currency exchange rates given GAW’s high international exposure. The declared dividend of 25p per share brings the year-to-date total to 65p. Our forecasts for FY22 and FY23 are unchanged. Our DCF-based valuation remains £129 per share.
- Kate Heseltine
Games Workshop Group - Revenue growth against a tough comparative
Games Workshop’s (GAW’s) trading update indicates sales growth for Q122 (three months to 29 August 2021) is in line with management expectations. Management has highlighted pressure on freight costs and currency exchange rates given GAW’s high international exposure. The declared dividend of 25p per share brings the year-to-date total to 65p. Our forecasts for FY22 and FY23 are unchanged. Our DCF-based valuation remains £129 per share.
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