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Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+2)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Sunny Chen

HUTCHMED (China) (13 HK): 1H25: Divestment of non-core asset boosts ea...

1H25 revenue missed forecasts, but its robust earnings of US$455.6m beat market estimates. It targets lower oncology revenue of US$270m-350m on delays in milestone income and setbacks in Sovleplenib’s review progress, and expects domestic sales to recover from 2H25. Seeing smooth R&D progress and market approvals in major oncology products, HUTCHMED will likely see a new wave of market approvals to fuel growth in the years ahead. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of HK$32.50.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+17)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Damon Shen
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jieqi Liu
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Ken Lee
  • Lester Siew
  • Paula Ruth
  • Sunny Chen
  • Tham Mun Hon
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, August 8, 2025

GREATER CHINA Economics Trade: July’s data beats expectations, further near-term strength likely. Sector Automobile: Weekly: YOY PV sales growth remains negative for three straight weeks. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: CATL, Geely and Tuopu. Initiate Coverage Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co (002050 CH/BUY/Rmb27.37/Target: Rmb36.50): Innovative Thermal management leader driving sustainable growth. Initiate coverage with BUY. Target price: Rmb36.50 for A-share, HK$40.00 fo...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+9)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Damon Shen
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Ken Lee
  • Sunny Chen
  • Tham Mun Hon

Greater China Daily: Friday, August 8, 2025

Economics Trade July exports grew 7.2% yoy (+1.4ppts), with continued strength in exports to the ASEAN and EU markets. Import growth improved to 4.1% yoy (+3ppt), likely due to a lower base, and support from strong imports of integrated circuits and agricultural products. However, imports of some key commodities saw sharp declines. The Sino-US agreement on another 90-day trade truce may continue to support near-term trade activities. Sector Automobile China’s PV insurance registrations reboun...

Audrey Celia ... (+16)
  • Audrey Celia
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Ming San Soong
  • Sunny Chen
  • Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, July 31, 2025

GREATER CHINA Sector Healthcare Bi-Weekly: Expecting strong 1H25 results. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Results Contemporary Amperex Technology (300750 CH/BUY/Rmb277.09 /Target: Rmb390.00) 2Q25: Earnings in line, with margins hitting record-high levels. Maintain A-share at BUY. Downgrade H-share to HOLD. New Oriental Education & Technology Group (EDU US/BUY/US$44.37/Target: US$55.00) ...

Benjaphol Suthwanish ... (+15)
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Damon Shen
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Jieqi Liu
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen
  • Tham Mun Hon
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn
  • Wei Xiang Ku

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, July 16, 2025

GREATER CHINA Economics Economic Activity Resilient 1H25 growth of 5.3% yoy belies rising downside pressure. Sector Healthcare Weekly: Gaining strength on robust earnings outlook and pipeline growth. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Property Property sales and prices weakened further in J...

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+2)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Sunny Chen

China Healthcare: Entering a new phase of accelerated growth. Upgrade ...

China's biotechnology sector has entered an accelerated growth phase, with firms expanding their innovative commercial product portfolios, achieving significant outlicensing deals and enjoying unexpected profitability. With an unprecedented showing of 74 oral presentations at ASCO 2025, the sector highlighted its robust pipeline and expanding role in global innovation. Sustained policy support and globalisation efforts will further support this expansion. Upgrade to OVERWEIGHT with Innovent, Han...

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+12)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Gigi Cheuk
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jack Lai Yuan Khai
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kate Luang
  • Lester Siew
  • Ming San Soong
  • Sunny Chen
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, June 19, 2025

GREATER CHINA Sector Healthcare Entering a new phase of accelerated growth. Upgrade to OVERWEIGHT. Internet 618 Festival – Evolving consumer trends and continued focus on value for money. Small/Mid Cap Highlights JBM Healthcare (2161 HK/BUY/HK$2.85/Target: HK$3.31) Takeaways from luncheon. INDONESIA Update Kalbe Farma (KL...

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+2)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Sunny Chen

China Healthcare: Entering a new phase of accelerated growth. Upgraded...

China's biotechnology sector has entered an accelerated growth phase, with firms expanding their innovative commercial product portfolios, achieving significant outlicensing deals and enjoying unexpected profitability. Moreover, Chinese biotech firms had an unprecedented showing at ASCO 2025, with 74 oral presentations highlighting their robust pipelines and the sector's strong growth trajectory. Sustained policy support and globalisation efforts will further support this expansion. Upgrade to O...

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+2)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Sunny Chen

China Healthcare: Drug Innovators Continue To Drive Market Growth

Drug innovators beat consensus with strong 2024/1Q25 results. Biopharma is set to outperform in 2025 with robust innovative pipelines and effective globalisation strategies. Internet healthcare players will maintain solid revenue growth and improve profitability in 2025/FY26. Medical devices and leading hospital players should recover steadily in 2025, while ICL and TCM companies may face continued policy uncertainties. Geopolitical risks remain a threat to CRDMO majors. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT.

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+2)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Sunny Chen

China Healthcare: Prefer leading drug innovators and internet healthca...

Most domestic biopharmaceutical companies expect the US-China trade tensions to have limited impact in the short term, while the long-term impact remains uncertain. We prefer drug innovators focusing on domestic operations and internet healthcare players. The out-licensing business model is unlikely impacted by the trade tensions, while CRDMO players could face considerable geopolitical risks. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Our top picks are Innovent, Hansoh Pharma, Ali Health and PAGD.

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+2)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Sunny Chen

HUTCHMED (China) (13 HK): 2024: Became self-sustainable; Fruquintinib ...

HUTCHMED reported slightly lower-than-expected 2024 revenue of US$630.2m but it delivered positive earnings of US$37.7m, beating consensus estimates of a net loss for 2024. The company continues to see R&D and commercial potential in the oncology business. With new market approvals for Fruquintinib in both China and overseas, HUTCHMED targets oncology revenue to reach US$350m-450m and accelerated earnings growth in 2025. Maintain BUY and target price of HK$30.00.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+12)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Damon Shen
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Ming San Soong
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen

Greater China Daily: Thursday, March 20, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Anta Sports (2020 HK/BUY/HK$97.90/Target: HK$108.80) Anta’s 2024 revenue beat estimates, but core profit was in line. While slightly revising the Anta brand’s sales target to a high single digit, management lowered Fila’s sales target to a mid single digit and aims to maintain operating margin stable at 25%, given: a) the increasing contribution of online and outlets channels with deeper discounts, and b) the need for investments in product innovations to gain market sha...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+15)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Damon Shen
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Ming San Soong
  • Paula Ruth
  • Philip Wong
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn

Regional Morning Notes - Thursday, March 20, 2025

GREATER CHINA Results Anta Sports (2020 HK/BUY/HK$97.90/Target: HK$108.80): 2024: Revenue beats estimates but profit in line; lower sales target and conservative margin outlook for Fila. Fuyao Glass Industry Group (3606 HK/BUY/HK$56.35/Target: HK$68.00): 4Q24: Earnings up 34% yoy, in line with estimates. Maintain BUY. HUTCHMED (China) (13 HK/BUY/HK$23.90/Target: HK$30.00): 2024: Became self-sustainable; Fruquintinib continues to drive growth in 2025. Kerry Properties (683 HK/BUY/HK$18.74/Target:...

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+2)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Sunny Chen

China Healthcare: Outperformers empowered by AI revolution.

AI revolution is a key trend of the healthcare industry for the long term. It will drive innovation, improve efficiency and enhance patient outcomes. AI technologies hold transformative potential in various areas. By leveraging genomic, clinical and molecular data, it is changing medical diagnosis, drug R&D and delivery of precision medical care, ultimately leading to better medical outcomes. The internet healthcare and ICL segments are the most direct beneficiaries in the short term.

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+2)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Sunny Chen

China Healthcare: CRDMO leaders take a temporary reprieve, aiming fast...

With slower-than-expected improvement in biotech funding, 2025 remains a challenging year for most biotech and CRO/CDMO companies. However, the delay of the Biosecure Act in 2024 offers a temporary reprieve for leading CRDMO companies. WuXi Bio and WuXi AppTec are likely to deliver faster revenue growth in 2025 vs 2024, supported by their competitive strength in obtaining new projects and customers, despite the considerable geopolitical risks. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT.

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+2)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Sunny Chen

China Healthcare: The challenging but rewarding journey of globalisati...

The global pharmaceutical market reached a value of US$1.09t in 2023, 10x China’s size. Despite considerable geopolitical risks, leading domestic biopharmaceutical firms are going global in pursuit of promising growth potential and higher margins. Adopting effective globalisation strategies, BeiGene and HUTCHMED are frontrunners with two and one novel therapeutics respectively. Their robust product pipelines also bode well for their long-term prospects in the global market. Our top pick is HUTCH...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+18)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Colin Lee
  • Damon Shen
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Ming San Soong
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Stevanus Juanda
  • Sunny Chen
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, January 17, 2025

GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: PV sales down 10% yoy but up 8.5% wow; EVs gain on subsidy rollout. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, CATL, Fuyao and Desay. Healthcare The challenging but rewarding journey of globalisation amid rising geopolitical risks. Internet ...

300014 EVE ENERGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
00992 LENOVO GROUP LIMITED
ASM PACIFIC TECHNOLOGY LIMITED
D05 DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD
01093 CSPC PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP LIMITED
UNTR PT UNITED TRACTORS TBK
U11 UNITED OVERSEAS BANK LTD. (SINGAPORE)
TOP THAI OIL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
01177 SINO BIOPHARMACEUTICAL LIMITED
EGH EUREKA GROUP HOLDINGS
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
M3I MINTH GROUP LIMITED
601888 CHINA TOURISM GROUP DUTY FREE CORPORATION LIMITED CLASS A
002340 GEM CO. LTD. CLASS A
5Z0 ZHONGSHENG GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
01316 NEXTEER AUTOMOTIVE GROUP LIMITED
002709 GUANGZHOU TINCI MATERIALS TECHNOLOGY CO LTD CLASS A
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
601689 NINGBO TUOPU GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
02669 CHINA OVERSEAS PROPERTY HOLDINGS LIMITED
01585 YADEA GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
2333 GREAT WALL MOTOR CO. LTD. CLASS H
1211 BYD COMPANY LIMITED CLASS H
2338 WEICHAI POWER CO. LTD. CLASS H
AXIATA AXIATA GROUP BERHAD
02238 GUANGZHOU AUTOMOBILE GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
3933 THE UNITED LABORATORIES INTE
WPRTS WESTPORTS HOLDINGS BHD
HCM HUTCHISON CHINA MEDITECH LIMITED
06098 COUNTRY GARDEN SERVICES HOLDINGS CO. LTD.
01801 INNOVENT BIOLOGICS INC.
TGIF 1933 INDUSTRIES
1772 GANFENG LITHIUM CO. LTD. CLASS H
601138 FOXCONN INDUSTRIAL INTERNET CO. LTD. CLASS A
300750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
6049 POLY PROPERTY SERVICES CO LTD
3606 FUYAO GLASS INDUSTRY GROUP CO LTD-H
603305 NINGBO XUSHENG AUTO TECHNOLOGY (A)
09999 NETEASE INC
01209 CHINA RESOURCES MIXC LIFESTYLE SERVICES (RED CHIP)
3692 HANSOH PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP
06160 BEIGENE LTD.
002920 HUIZHOU DESAY SV AUTOMOTIVE CO LTD
300765 CSPC INNOVATION PHARMACEUTICAL CO L
Z29 029 GROUP SE
02015 LI AUTO INC
600699 JOYSON ELECTRONICS CORP
Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+2)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Sunny Chen

China Healthcare: The challenging but rewarding journey of globalisati...

The global pharmaceutical market reached a value of US$1.09t in 2023, 10x China’s size. Despite considerable geopolitical risks, leading domestic biopharmaceutical firms are going global in pursuit of promising growth potential and higher margins. Adopting effective globalisation strategies, BeiGene and HUTCHMED are frontrunners with two and one novel therapeutics respectively. Their robust product pipelines also bode well for their long-term prospects in the global market. Our top pick is HUTCH...

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