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MBank S.A.: 1 director

A director at MBank S.A. sold 926 shares at 635.830PLN and the significance rating of the trade was 60/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly showin...

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: another positive month for most EM...

EME Equity Market – June 2024 Another positive month for most of the EME indices, with the Hungarian BUX Index outperforming. The MSCI EM Europe Index rose by 1.0% in EUR terms, but declined -0.2% in USD terms in June. The Hungarian BUX index reported the strongest performance, adding 4.8% in EUR terms, followed by the Romanian BET and the Polish WIG20 (+3.7% and 2.1%, in EUR terms, respectively), and the Turkish ISE30 (+0.9% in EUR terms). Greece and the Czech Republic were in negative territor...

Egor Fedorov
  • Egor Fedorov

EM Credit Spark/EM credit weekly

EM debt markets approach the mid-year threshold in good shape. New issue activity remains remarkably high. Average spreads on sovereign bonds have contracted by 48bp YTD, delivering a 3.7% YTD total return as the UST curve has shifted up by 35-40bp. Average spreads in the corporate segment tightened by 36bp to 200bp, resulting in a 3.0% total return since the beginning of the year. Next week new issuance is likely to stay strong, and we don't anticipate significant further tightening of spreads ...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: MBK PW; CTPNV NA; EU Macro; TL Macro; CZ Macro; GPW PW; CP...

HEADLINES: • mBank: 2Q24E CHF mortgage saga cost at PLN 1bn NEGATIVE • CTP: issues EUR 500m unsecured loan at 4.7% fixed, buys back EUR 500m of outstanding bonds POSITIVE • Europe macro: June surveys confirm stagnant industry, but rising inflation expectations • Türkiye macro: CBT extends the hawkish hold • Czech Republic macro: CNB preparing the ground for slower rate cuts • Warsaw Stock Exchange: OGM approves dividend of PLN 3/share NEUTRAL • Cyfrowy Polsat: to invest in 500 MW wind farm proje...

Baptiste Salaville ... (+4)
  • Baptiste Salaville
  • Gerardo Ibanez
  • Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
  • Steven Boumans

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 25/06/2024

Peu de secteurs polarisent autant que le luxe automobile sportif. A la pointe de l’innovation technologique et artistique pour les uns, il est le reflet d’inégalités excessives pour les autres. Nous estimons que le secteur a un rôle prépondérant à jouer sur l’atténuation du changement climatique, mais aussi l’économie circulaire ou la transition juste. Considérant les impacts, risques et opportunités matériels, nous plaçons Ferrari en Best-in-Class ESG, Porsche en Neutre ESG, et Aston...

Baptiste Salaville ... (+4)
  • Baptiste Salaville
  • Gerardo Ibanez
  • Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
  • Steven Boumans

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 06/25/2024

Few sectors are as polarising as luxury sports cars. At the cutting edge of technological and artistic innovation for some, they reflect excessive inequality for others. We believe the sector has a key role to play in climate change mitigation, as well as in the circular economy and just transition. Taking into account material impacts, risks and opportunities, we see Ferrari as ESG Best-in-Class, Porsche as ESG Neutral and Aston-Martin Lagonda as ESG Not Recommended. - ...

Christophe Chaput ... (+3)
  • Christophe Chaput
  • Florent Laroche-Joubert
  • Steven Boumans

ODDO : What stock market momentum in France depending on the results o...

>Retail REITs broadly the best positioned - The announcement of the dissolution of parliament created a stock market shock or French real estate stocks leading to a negative performance of 10.6% since 7 June vs -4.2% for our other real estate stocks, notably in line with the increase in the 10-year OAT yield (c.+5bp) and its difference with the German 10-year yield (+c.23bp).The outcome of the legislative elections is still uncertain. Based on the sc...

Christophe Chaput ... (+3)
  • Christophe Chaput
  • Florent Laroche-Joubert
  • Steven Boumans

ODDO : Quel momentum boursier sur l’immobilier côté français en foncti...

>Les foncières de commerce globalement les mieux positionnées - L’annonce de la dissolution de l’Assemblée Nationale a créé un choc boursier sur les valeurs immobilières françaises engendrant une performance négative de 10.6% depuis le 7 juin vs -4.2% sur nos autres valeurs immobilières, en ligne notamment avec la hausse du rendement de l’OAT 10 ans (+c.+5 pb) et son écartement avec le 10 ans allemand (+c. 23 pb).L’issue des élections législatives est encore inc...

Gerardo Ibanez ... (+2)
  • Gerardo Ibanez
  • Steven Boumans

ODDO : Tulips are not the only thing blooming in the Netherlands: Prov...

Dutch real estate companies showed signs of cautious optimism at the recent Provada conference, with logistics and retail favoured. Healthcare shows some positive signs, with limited devaluations. The Dutch government's potential reduction of the Real Estate Transfer Tax and new REIT regime could benefit listed real estate companies active in the country. - >Cautious optimism as market shows signs of improvement - Last week the annual Dutch real estate conference, Prov...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: SNP RO, RICHT HB, MIL PW, KRU PW, PCF PW, 11B PW

HEADLINES: • OMV Petrom: strategy update • Richter: acquires Belgian BCI Pharma to identify WHC preclinical drug candidates • Bank Millennium: ends repair programme • Kruk: announces a portfolio purchase in Spain • PCF Group: Project Gemini plan agreed and content rider concluded • 11 bit studios: Creatures of Ava to be released on 7 August • Short News (ALR, PKO BP, MTELEKOM)

Jonathan Lamb
  • Jonathan Lamb

WOOD Flash - OMV Petrom: strategy update

OMV Petrom held a capital markets day (CMD) on 19 June, to update its 2030E strategy and provide new targets to the market. The previous strategy update was held at the end of 2021, when the macro environment was less favourable. In this plan, therefore, the assumptions on crude oil and gas prices, and refining margins, have all been revised upwards. The 2030E target for Clean CCS EBIT has decreased slightly to EUR 1.4bn, from EUR 1.5bn, but expectations for the interim period are much higher. C...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: Hungary macro; SNP RO; MTELEKOM HB

HEADLINES: • Hungary macro: MPC transitions to a vigilant phase • OMV Petrom: updates its dividend policy and proposes paying a special dividend • Magyar Telekom: announces a HUF 24.0bn buyback

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: FROTO TI; CZ Macro; HU Macro; RICHT HB; BELA GA; SNP RO

HEADLINES: • Ford Otosan: getting ready to fire on all cylinders (upgraded to BUY) • Czech Republic macro: May inflation moderates, to hit the low point soon • Hungary macro: May inflation up, but in line with expectations • Richter: acquires Mithra assets for an EV of EUR 175m NEUTRAL • Jumbo: turnover +10%/+8% in May/5M24 POSITIVE • OMV Petrom: to invest EUR 750m in renewable fuels at Petrobrasi refinery NEUTRAL • Short News (ALR, PKO)

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: EU Macro; GR Macro; CAR PW; OMV AV; SNP RO

HEADLINES: • Europe macro: European parliamentary elections – broadly as expected • Greece macro: 1Q GDP flash estimate shows improvement • Inter Cars: May sales up by a mere 2% yoy NEGATIVE • OMV: New Zealand to lift ban on oil exploration, which may benefit the company POSITIVE • OMV Petrom: to acquire PV projects with 130 MW capacity, with partner Renovatio NEUTRAL • Short News (BHW, HUG)

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: NLBR SV; GR Banks; PL Macro; TPEIR GA; APR PW; Global Airl...

HEADLINES: • NLB Group: a tale of growth and expansion (BUY - transfer of coverage) • Greek banks: SSM greenlights banks' dividend distributions POSITIVE • Poland macro: NBP extends the pause • Piraeus Financial Holdings: revises 2024E guidance up POSITIVE • Auto Partner: May sales up by a limited 7% yoy NEGATIVE • Global airlines: French ATC strikes prompt Ryanair to call on EU to take action to protect freedom of movement NEGATIVE • mBank: announces path for succession in Management Board NEUT...

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Turkish equities in the lead

EME Equity Market – May 2024 Turkish equities lead, in the mostly green month of May. The MSCI EM Europe Index rose by 0.7% mom in EUR terms and 1.8% mom in LCU terms in May. The Turkish ISE30 index reported the strongest performance, adding 3.6% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Romanian BET and the Czech PX (+2.7% and 2.1% mom in EUR terms, respectively). The Hungarian BUX index and the Polish WIG20 remained broadly flat (+0.4% and +0.2% mom in EUR terms, respectively); although, in LCU terms,...

BRE MBANK SA
EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
KRKG KRKA D.D.
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
BRISA BRISA-BRIDGESTONE SABANCI LASTIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
LOGO LOGO YAZILIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
GTC GLOBE TRADE CENTRE S.A.
TENERGY TERNA ENERGY S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
OTKAR OTOKAR OTOMOTIV VE SAVUNMA SANAYI A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
ECH ECHO INVESTMENT
GSPARK GRAPHISOFT PARK SE
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
BANK OF CYPRUS PCL
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
ETEL TELECOM EGYPT
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
SNP PETROM S.A.
PBK PATRIA BANK SA
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
RICHT RICHTER
M MED LIFE
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ILRA-R-A ILIRIJA D.D.
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
DUNAHOUSE DUNA HOUSE
PCF PCF GROUP SA
HUGE HUUUGE
4IG 4IG NYRT
IGN1L IGNITIS GRUPE
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
CTPNV KAZMUNAYGAS NC JSC
GPP CTP NV
ADNOCDRILL GRUPA PRACUJ DA
AROBS ADNOC DRILLING CO
2381 AROBS TRANSILVANIA SOFTWARE SA
7202 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
9526 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
ELPE JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
4071 HELLENIQ ENERGY
7203 ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
AQ ELM CO
GEV AQUILA PART PROD COM
GEVORKYAN A.S.
Jesse Norcross
  • Jesse Norcross

Real Estate bond supply/We increase our full year supply forecast as p...

Real estate bond primary markets have continued their path towards normalisation so far this year. Year to date, issuance has reached €9bn as of the end of May. The prospect of rate cuts and more dovish (European) Central Bank commentary, combined with lower credit spreads, have been conducive towards higher levels of issuance than in 2022 and 2023. Having said that, the higher levels of issuance have not had a material negative impact on real estate spreads for issuers coming to the market, wit...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: BOCH CY; MGROS TI; PCO PW; 11B PW; CZG CP; TL Macro; CPS P...

HEADLINES: • Bank of Cyprus: keep calm and return capital (stays BUY) • Migros: weak operating results in 1Q24 NEGATIVE • Pepco Group: 1H24 beat on gross margin; slow start to 3Q and cautious FY EBITDA guidance POSITIVE • 11 bit studios: 1Q24 adjusted EBITDA slightly above our forecast, but a touch below the consensus NEUTRAL • Colt CZ Group SE: weak 1Q24 results, but FY24E guidance reiterated NEGATIVE • Türkiye macro: CBT on hold, with a hawkish demeanour • Cyfrowy Polsat: key takeaways from th...

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