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5% adj. EBITA miss on lower Swedish margins, '24e-'26e adj. EBITA down 5-0%; 5% CAGR '23-'26e, keep HOLD, TP SEK 52 (47)
M&A upside, organic rebound H2'24 and margin resilience. '24e-'26e EBITA/EPS roughly unchanged, '24 likely a slower year. Reinvestment & ROIC motivate 23x EBITA, ADDT/LAGR up to BUY.
Q2 report due Thursday, 22 August, '24e-'26e adj. EBITA down 1-0%; 5% CAGR '23-'26e, keep HOLD, TP SEK 47 (40).
We hosted a CEO panel with Assemblin, Bravida and Instalco. Focus on margins and above-market growth likely to remain. At the centre of need for energy efficiency, positive for 2025+.
Q1 recap: lower volumes, but strong margins, 1-3% adj. EBITA miss, '24e-'26e EBITA down 1-0% post-Q1, sector up 13% YTD (EPS up 5%), now trading at ~22x F12m EV/EBITA, 25% above 10Y avg.
Tech Consulting the main highlight in a slower Q1, '24e-'26e adj. EBITA up 1-0%; 5% CAGR '23-'26e, keep HOLD, TP of SEK 40 unchanged.
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