HEADLINES: • Polish banks: still opportunities, if the growth continues (PKO BP, Bank Pekao, Santander BP, mBank, ING BSK, Bank Millennium, Alior Bank, Bank Handlowy) • cyber_Folks: 4Q25E results preview – 18% yoy organic adjusted EBITDA growth (due on 18 March) • Shoper: 4Q25E results preview – 11% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth (due on 18 March) • Vercom: 4Q25E results preview – 23% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth (due on 18 March) • Ten Square Games: 4Q25E preview – adjusted EBITDA -7% qoq on higher U...
We keep our positive bias on the Polish banks, although the upside is melting away, with the continuous positive share price performance. The upside left for our median 12M PTs lands at 17%+, just enough to keep our marginally positive stance on the sector. The WIG Banks index has returned c.45%+ in the LTM, mostly a function of a multiples expansion, as the 2025E median EPS change was almost zero in the LTM and the 2026E EPS saw a median cut of 10% in the LTM, driven mostly by the change in the...
EME Equity Market – January 2026 All regions in the green in January, with the Turkish ISE the best performer. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 11.1% mom in EUR terms and 13.2% mom in USD terms in January. The Turkish ISE was the top performer (+20.8% mom), followed by the Hungarian BUX (+17.5% mom); the Romanian BET (+11.1% mom); the Greek ASE (+9.2% mom); the Polish WIG 20 (+5.9% mom); and the Czech PX (+2.4% mom; all in EUR terms).
HEADLINES: • Titan: three deals cemented, more to come (stays BUY) • Eurocash: wins court battle with antimonopoly watchdog POSITIVE • PKO BP: 4Q25E preview (due on 12 March) • Mo-BRUK: 4Q25E – 21% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 23 April) • Hungary macro: MNB on hold • Hidroelectrica: shareholders’ approval for key strategic projects • DIGI Communications: hires Linklaters and Uría Menéndez for legal work in its Spanish IPO NEUTRAL • EME Strategy: MSCI – consultations under way to reclassify...
HEADLINES: • Baltic Classifieds Group: the perfect storm cannot last forever (stays BUY) • Kruk: plans to change organisational structure NEUTRAL • Benefit Systems: Poland's antitrust watchdog brings charges against the company NEGATIVE • OMV Petrom: State-owned Bulgarian Energy Holding to become a partner in Han Asparuh offshore project POSITIVE
HEADLINES: • Cyfrowy Polsat: structural headwinds ahead (downgraded to SELL) • EME Strategy: OFEs' 2025 annual assets structure • Grupa Pracuj: new job ads on Pracuj.pl reached 368k in 2H25, down 2% yoy NEUTRAL • Bank Millennium: 4Q25E preview (due on 9 February) • ING BSK: 4Q25E preview (due on 10 February) • mBank: 4Q25E preview (due on 10 February) • MOL: to buy NIS in Serbia POSITIVE • Motor Oil Hellas: concludes construction of 72MW of BESS projects NEUTRAL • GEK Terna: solid traffic growth...
HEADLINES: • VIGO Photonics: 4Q25 sales up 13.9% yoy, to PLN 27.4m POSITIVE • DataWalk: obtains another patent in the US POSITIVE • PKO BP: PLN 990m of FX mortgage saga provisions in 4Q25 NEUTRAL • CCC: EGM approves 2m shares buyback at a price of up to PLN 200/share NEUTRAL • CEZ: in talks to sell stake in Slovak nuclear design company NEUTRAL • Pegasus Airlines: 17% yoy ASK growth in 2025 NEUTRAL • Kazakhstan macro: monthly GDP increases further in December • Arabian Drilling: announces three ...
HEADLINES: • Kruk: 4Q25 trading update – miss on annual investments, but recoveries strong NEUTRAL • Santander Bank Polska/Erste Bank: shift of shareholdings finalised as of 9 January NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: December sales increased by 13.6% yoy NEUTRAL • Duna House: strong 4Q KPIs; Czexit; Italy stake raised to 95% POSITIVE • Coca-Cola Icecek: 4Q25 trading update and 2026E volume guidance NEUTRAL • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (1-8 January)
EME Equity Market – December 2025 Czech PX the best performer in December; no market in the red. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 3.4% mom in EUR terms and 4.6% mom in USD terms in December. The Czech PX was the top performer, adding 7.6% mom; followed by the Romanian BET (+7.1% mom); the Polish WIG 20 (+6.4% mom); the Greek ASE (+1.8% mom), the Turkish ISE 30 (+0.4% mom) and the Hungarian BUX (+0.2% mom; all in EUR terms).
A director at Kruk S.A. sold 7,000 shares at 490.000PLN and the significance rating of the trade was 100/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly show...
HEADLINES: • Lamda Development: 3Q25 - malls and marinas steady, bond and land sale to boost liquidity • Kety: 4Q25 results and 2026E guidance conference call NEUTRAL • Orlen: to acquire butadiene plant at Plock, Poland, from Synthos NEGATIVE • PGE: to acquire a 350MW offshore project from RWE POSITIVE • Polish utilities: offshore auction results - minimum price at PLN 477/MWh POSITIVE • Czech Republic macro: CNB extends the pause
HEADLINES: • Polish utilities: 2026E distribution bills to increase 7.6% yoy on average, implying a smaller-than-expected reduction in WACC POSITIVE • Kety: 4Q25 preliminary results in line with expectations; FY25 guidance met NEUTRAL • Kety: conservative management guidance for 2026E NEUTRAL • Rainbow Tours: summer 2026E season pre-sales +6.1% yoy NEUTRAL • Santander BP: PFSA agrees the sale of a 49% stake to Erste • Polish utilities: retail electricity price for 2026E set at PLN 495/MWh; utili...
HEADLINES: • Bank of Cyprus: paid to wait (stays BUY) • Polish utilities: 2030 capacity market price set at PLN 465/kW/year NEUTRAL • Orlen: receives response from Grupa Azoty about offer for Grupa Azoty Polyolefins NEUTRAL • CEZ: new government aiming to reduce power bills by c.10% or more NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: preparing to drill offshore Bulgaria by the year-end NEUTRAL
HEADLINES: • TBC Bank: rough patch in Uzbekistan, but stock is cheap (upgraded to BUY) • LPP: 3Q25 ahead of expectations; FY25E profitability guidance upped; FY26-27E EBITDA guidance 10-11% above the consensus POSITIVE • cyber_Folks: acquires PrestaShop for EUR 55m POSITIVE • Polish utilities: capacity market auction results for 2030 POSITIVE • Tauron: to build a 600 MW OCGT unit in Jaworzno POSITIVE • Mo-BRUK: administrative court ruling on increased landfill fees for 2019 NEUTRAL • Titan: sign...
HEADLINES: • Romania macro: Bucharest vote supports government • Inter Cars: November sales growth decelerates to 2.6% yoy NEGATIVE • PGE: CEO and COO dismissed; former Tauron CEO appointed as acting CEO NEUTRAL • Polish utilities: ready for lower distribution WACC NEGATIVE • Jumbo: sales up 6% in November and 8% in 11M25, as expected NEUTRAL • Optima Bank SA: 4m shares block trades at 1.9% discount NEUTRAL • Pegasus Airlines: signs an agreement to acquire Czech Airlines for EUR 154m POSITIVE • ...
HEADLINES: • Pegasus Airlines: signs an agreement to acquire Czech Airlines for EUR 154m • Auto Partner: November sales growth decelerates to 2.6% yoy NEGATIVE • Budimex: PLN 1.1bn offer selected by PKP PLK POSITIVE • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (28 November-4 December) • Postcards from Prague • Dino • Enea • Warsaw Stock Exchange • CEZ • Banca Transilvania • BRD-GSG • Cimsa • Akcansa • Artea Bankas • Ignitis • NLB Group • Mavi: 3Q25E earnings preview (due out 10 December)
HEADLINES: • Poland macro: NBP cuts again, with inflation back at target • Wirtualna Polska: sells Invia Flights Germany at EUR 42.3m EV, 9.0x 2024 EV/EBITDA POSITIVE • WOOD's Winter Wonderland EME Conference 2025: Postcards from Prague • Allegro • Asseco Poland • Benefit Systems • Budimex • CCC • Kety • PGE • Tauron • Primoco UAV • Aquila Part Prod Com S.A. • MedLife • Mavi • Georgia Capital • GEVORKYAN • Krka • Medicover
EME Equity Market – November 2025 Czech PX leads in November, Türkiye the only loser. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 1.5% mom in EUR terms and 2.1% mom in USD terms in November. The Czech PX was the top performer, adding 4.7% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Greek ASE and the Hungarian BUX (+4.4% and +3.7% mom, respectively, in EUR terms). The Romanian BET and Polish WIG 20 were also in the green (+1.3% and +1.0% mom in EUR terms). The only loser was the Turkish ISE 30 (-2.0% mom in EUR terms).
HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: dividends in EMEA – yield hunting after markets have repriced • Text: 2Q25-26 (calendar 3Q25) results – EBITDA down 29% yoy, 8% below the consensus NEGATIVE • Rainbow Tours: strong 3Q25 beat on EBITDA and net profit, following the strong gross margin and cost discipline POSITIVE • CD Projekt: 3Q25 results review – 3Q25 EBITDA up 92% yoy, 11-15% above our and the consensus estimates POSITIVE • PGE: stable to declining recurring EBITDA outlook for 2026E NEUTRAL • H...
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