GREATER CHINA Strategy China And Hong Kong Property: Channel check of Shanghai’s primary residential market; closer look at Hong Kong properties’ rental yields. MALAYSIA Results Westports Holdings (WPRTS MK/HOLD/RM4.53/Target: RM4.40): 1Q25: Results in line. WPRTS believes global acclimation towards tariff impact will rebalance trades; maintaining its 0-5% volume growth expectation. SINGAPORE Sector Banking: 1Q25 round-up: First-order direct impact assessed to be manageable. Upgrade to OVERWE...
StarHub reported a higher 1Q25 service revenue (+1.1% yoy) but sharply lower PATMI (-20.7% yoy), dragged by higher operating and transformative costs. Despite strong customer additions, the group’s mobile segment continued to face stiff domestic pricing competition. The enterprise businesses will continue to drive growth in 2025. Despite an attractive 2025 dividend yield of 5.8%, we opine that the group is fairly valued at current price levels. Maintain HOLD with the same target price of S$1.26...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Banking 1Q25 round-up: First-order direct impact assessed to be manageable. Upgrade to OVERWEIGHT. Results Civmec (CVL SP/HOLD/S$0.815/Target:S$0.80) 3QFY25: Results in line; outlook remains challenging as project delays extend. Marco Polo Marine (MPM SP/BUY/S$0.044/Target:S$0.066) 1HFY25: Earnings in line; poised for growth in...
GREATER CHINA Strategy China And Hong Kong Property & Hong Kong Landlord Tariffs curtail US rate cuts, thereby hindering the recovery of Hong Kong property and tourism; Maintain OVERWEIGHT on China property. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperform In Mar 25 Remove BBNI, BBRI, ASII, JSMR and KLBF; add BBCA, ICBP, ERAA and BUKA. MALAYSIA Update Pekat Group (PEKAT MK/BUY/RM1.08/Target: RM1.45) Good earnings visibility over 2025...
The selloff driven by the US’ unprecedented and perplexing tariff plans has liberated many investors of profits this year. Given the fluidity of market conditions, we highlight a number of domestic-focused stocks such as CENT, CD, DFI, HLA, PANU, PROP, RFMD, SSG and SIE as well as Singapore-focused REITS such as CDLHT, FEHT, FCT, KREIT, LREIT and PREIT. In addition, the MAS’ equity market review should inject much needed liquidity in 2H25. We lower our STI target to 3,720 (previously 4,115).
GREATER CHINA Results China Mengniu Dairy (2319 HK/BUY/HK$19.50/Target: HK$23.60) 2024: Results in line with profit warning; operating margin beat; targeting low single digit revenue growth for 2025. China Merchants Bank (3968 HK/HOLD/HK$45.90/Target: HK$49.00) 2024: Improving fundamentals but valuation is no longer attractive; downgrade to HOLD. China Overseas Property Holdings (2669 HK/BUY/HK$5.47/Target: HK$6.80) ...
For 4Q24, the sector’s 18% yoy earnings growth was within expectations, driven by Singtel’s regional associates, strong performance from the enterprise businesses and better overall cost discipline. We expect decent earnings growth for 1Q25, backed by strong earnings visibility, cost-saving initiatives and robust Enterprise business outlook. We like Singtel for its regional exposure and value-unlocking initiatives, Starhub’s attractive yield and NetLink’s defensive earnings. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Raffles Medical Group (RFMD SP/BUY/S$0.88/Target: S$1.06): 2024: Results in line; share buyback announced. Upgrade to BUY. Riverstone Holdings (RSTON SP/BUY/S$0.99/Target: S$1.16): 2024: Earnings in line; steady outlook ahead. StarHub (STH SP/HOLD/S$1.23/Target: S$1.26): 2024: Soft results, DARE+ to end in 1H25. Downgrade to HOLD. TRADERS’ CORNER Sembcorp Industries (SCI SP): Trading BUY Singapore Airlines (SIA SP): Trading BUY
GREATER CHINA Sector Property Channel checks and observations of Shenzhen and Shanghai primary markets. INDONESIA Strategy Danantara – Who Could Benefit Beneficiaries: PGEO, ANTM, TINS, BMRI, BBNI, BBRI and TLKM. We have an end-25 target of 7,500 for the JCI. MALAYSIA Results 99 Speed Mart Retail (99SMART MK/BUY/RM2.14/Target: RM2.60) 4Q24: Delivers on earnings...
StarHub reported a higher 2024 service revenue (+3.9% yoy) and PATMI (+7.7% yoy), driven by the broadband and enterprise segments. Despite strong customer additions, the group’s mobile segment continues to face ongoing headwinds amid stiff pricing competition. The enterprise segment is poised to drive growth in 2025. Despite a decent 2025 dividend yield of 5.5%, we opine that the group is fairly valued at current price levels. Downgrade to HOLD with a lower target price of S$1.26.
GREATER CHINA Results Tencent Holdings (700 HK/BUY/HK$403.80/Target: HK$570.00): 3Q24: Solid earnings beat; mini shop and potential blockbuster as key catalysts. INDONESIA Results Aspirasi Hidup Indonesia (ACES IJ/BUY/Rp835/Target: Rp1,200): 3Q24: NPAT up 13.7% yoy; slightly above consensus expectations. MALAYSIA Results Malaysia Marine and Heavy Engineering Holdings (MMHE MK/BUY/RM0.44/Target: RM0.70): 1H24: Positively surprises on project cost claims. Marine segment still weakened by competi...
For 3Q24, StarHub reported higher PATMI (+11.0% yoy), driven by realised cost efficiencies and some DARE+ benefits. The group’s mobile and entertainment segments continue to face headwinds while the broadband segment benefitted from more subscriptions. Armed with a lush 2024 dividend yield of 6.6%, we maintain BUY with the same target price of S$1.41.
After Powell’s Jackson Hole speech on 23 August, we see a turning point starting with a US Fed rate cut in Sep 24 and lower rates heading into 2025. In the Singapore market, REITs and the property sector should benefit, as should highly-geared companies and those looking to recycle capital. Our current forecasts have incorporated lower NIMs for banks which we believe are protected by their high dividend yields.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Property Developers: 1H24: A slight miss for CLI; worse-than-expected for CDL. Results AEM Holdings (AEM SP/SELL/S$1.46/Target:S$1.04): 1H24: Earnings and guidance way below estimates; reduce target price by 38%. First Resources (FR SP/BUY /S$1.39/Target: S$1.65): 1H24: Within expectations. Two positive points are: a) positive production growth vs contraction by most of peers, b) downstream turns profitable. Genting Singapore (GENS SP/BUY/S$0.82/Target: S$1.18): 2Q24: W...
GREATER CHINA Results Nexteer (1316 HK/SELL/HK$2.89/Target: HK$1.50) 1H24: Earnings miss estimates on revenue. Maintain SELL. Cut target price from HK$2.20 to HK$1.50. Tencent Holdings (700 HK/BUY/HK$373.80/Target: HK$490.00) 2Q24: Solid margin expansion; reaccelerated online games revenue growth. Update Foxconn Industrial Internet (601138 CH/BUY/Rmb21.38/Target: Rmb30.00) AI business continues to accelerate, GB200 scheduled to ship i...
For 2Q24, StarHub reported higher PATMI (+9.1% yoy), driven by the enterprise business segment but offset by the group’s consumer businesses. Given seasonally lower DARE+ investments expensed in 1H24, we expect the group’s margins to compress in 2H24 with higher DARE+ investment costs. In view of StarHub’s lush 2024 dividend yield of 6.1%, we maintain BUY with the same target price of S$1.41.
For 1Q24, the sector’s 16% yoy earnings growth was within expectations, driven by strong contributions from Singtel’s regional associates, ongoing realisation of Starhub’s DARE+ benefits and better overall cost discipline. In 2Q24, we expect a lower but decent sector earnings growth of 8% yoy, backed by Singtel’s regional associates and Optus. We like Singtel’s regional exposure, Starhub’s attractive valuation and NetLink’s defensive earnings. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
Following the announcement of a proposed merger between XL and Smartfren in Indonesia, news media has reported that talks between StarHub and M1 in Singapore have resurfaced in the past couple of days too. Our brief take below, with implications for SingTel.
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