HEADLINES: • 11 bit studios: 3Q24 surprises slightly positively, but ytd Frostpunk 2 sales disappoint NEGATIVE • Sphera Group: small beat in 3Q24 – new Cioccolatitaliani franchise signed for Italy POSITIVE • Aegean Airlines: 3Q24 – flat RASK, CASKX up 14%; 27% lower EBIT, on 4% lower ASK (in line) NEUTRAL • HELLENiQ Energy: 3Q24 results and interim dividend NEUTRAL • OTE: 3Q24 results review – soft quarter, with flat yoy adjusted EBITDA, in line with expectations NEUTRAL • Romgaz: 3Q24 results N...
HEADLINES: • AmRest: 3Q24 in line, on a EUR 9m positive one-off NEGATIVE • Eurocash: 3Q24 weak, as expected; FY25E guidance cancelled NEGATIVE • cyber_Folks: 3Q24 results review – 26% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth, 2% above our estimate POSITIVE • Mo-BRUK: 3Q24 EBITDA up 26% yoy, 22-28% above our and the market's expectations POSITIVE • Allegro: 3Q24 EBITDA beat, but yoy decline guided for 4Q24E, due to international operations NEUTRAL • Vercom: 3Q24 results - 28% yoy EBITDA growth, in line with ou...
HEADLINES: • Aselsan: 3Q24 results – top-down small beat POSITIVE • Kety: wants to increase its share in the French market NEUTRAL • Kazatomprom: EGM announced to ratify a Chinese contract NEUTRAL • Shoper: 24% yoy growth expected in 3Q24E adjusted EBITDA (due on 24 October) • Bank Millennium: 3Q24E preview (due on 29 October) • Bank Handlowy: 3Q24E preview (due on 13 November) • Vercom: 3Q24E results preview – 29% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth (due on 13 November) • CD Projekt: 3Q24E EBITDA up 35%...
EME Equity Market - September 2024 EME indices mostly in the red in September; rebound in Greece. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined 2.0% in EUR terms and 1.1% in USD terms in September. The Greek ASE Index was the best performer in our region, advancing 1.4% mom in EUR terms. Muted performances were seen in Czechia and Hungary (+0.3% and +0.2% mom, respectively in EUR terms), with declines in Poland, Romania and Turkey (-3.6%, -2.9% and -1.5% mom, respectively in EUR terms).
HEADLINES: - EME Macro/Strategy: Romania in a global context - cyber_Folks: key takeaways from the 2Q24 results meeting with investors POSITIVE - Vercom: key takeaways from the 2Q24 results meeting with investors POSITIVE - Orlen: partner announces start up of Tyrving field in Norway NEUTRAL - ING Bank: appointment of the next CEO - InPost: 2Q24E preview – adjusted EBITDA growth of 20% yoy expected (due on 6 September) - Turkish automotive: ADA releases August light vehicle sales data NEUTRAL - ...
HEADLINES: • cyber_Folks: 2Q24 results review – 21% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth, 4% above our estimate POSITIVE • Sarantis: 1H24 EBITDA up 45% yoy, 8% ahead of our expectations; FY24E guidance maintained POSITIVE • Vercom: 2Q24 results review – 29% yoy EBITDA growth, 6% above our estimate POSITIVE • EME Macro/Strategy: reflections on the consequences of a weak Germany • Kazakhstan macro: Tokayev’s 2024 state-of-the-nation address • Türkiye macro: GDP underperforms in 2Q • 4iG: key takeaways from ...
HEADLINES: • Lamda Development: closes sale of Ellinikon resi land plots for EUR 106m POSITIVE • Metlen Energy & Metals: 1H24 results – a glimpse into a much-improved future POSITIVE • Grupa Pracuj: 2Q24E preview – flat yoy adjusted EBITDA expected (due on 29 August) • cyber_Folks: 2Q24E preview – 16% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth (due on 3 September) • Vercom: 2Q24E preview – 31% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth (due on 3 September)
EME Equity Market – June 2024 Another positive month for most of the EME indices, with the Hungarian BUX Index outperforming. The MSCI EM Europe Index rose by 1.0% in EUR terms, but declined -0.2% in USD terms in June. The Hungarian BUX index reported the strongest performance, adding 4.8% in EUR terms, followed by the Romanian BET and the Polish WIG20 (+3.7% and 2.1%, in EUR terms, respectively), and the Turkish ISE30 (+0.9% in EUR terms). Greece and the Czech Republic were in negative territor...
HEADLINES: • cyber_Folks (CBF PW): top exposure to e-commerce and AI in Poland (BUY - initiation of coverage, PT PLN 177.2) • Vercom (VRC PW): global expansion through M&A ahead (HOLD - initiation of coverage, PT PLN 139.8) • Public Power Corporation: announces merger of Romanian businesses NEUTRAL • OPAP: extends Cyprus concession for another 15 years POSITIVE
We initiate coverage of Vercom with a HOLD rating and a price target (PT) of PLN 139.8/share. Vercom is a Polish software company that offers a Communications Platform as a Service (CPaaS) solution, that can be used, inter alia, to send personalised messages on a large scale, automate communications, and integrate different communications channels. Vercom is focused on growth through both organic expansion and M&A, and delivered an impressive 48% 2020-23 adj. EBITDA CAGR. For 2023-26E, we foreca...
Grupa Vercom is a leading Polish and Czech provider of cloud-based multi-channel communications powered by CPaaS (Communications Platform as a Service), including SMS, e-mail, as well as push notifications and selected OTT services. To investors, Vercom offers positive exposure to the fast-growing e-Commerce sector via key customers, including names like Allegro, Poland’s top online marketplace, InPost, owner of e-Commerce delivery parcel lockers, and DHL. Vercom is also building capabilities in...
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