Company Update | PTT (PTT TB/BUY/Bt35.00/Target: Bt39.00) We expect PTT’s 4Q25 net profit to rise qoq and yoy, driven by significant extra gains, while core profit weakens due to softer gas EBITDA and lower subsidiary and associate contributions. Core earnings are projected to recover in 2026, supported by the single pool gas formula to a new approach called the Utility Model and stronger P&R and utilities profits. We forecast a 2H25 dividend of Bt1.30/share. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt39.00.
Top Stories Company Update | Asset World Corporation (AWC TB/BUY/Bt2.26/Target: Bt3.00) AWC is expected to deliver strong 4Q25 core earnings, with core profit of Bt690m (+2.1% yoy, +160.9% qoq) driven by solid hotel growth and a sharp rebound in retail revenue. Jurassic World continues to outperform, lifting retail revenue, margins, and Asiatique occupancy while enhancing rental pricing power. Although RevPar remains pressured by weak Chinese arrivals, early-26 data show improving momentum ahea...
Greater China Sector Update | Automobile CPCA estimates January China passenger NEV wholesale sales at 900,000 units (+1% yoy/-42% mom), with front-loaded purchases ahead of the reduced purchase tax and delayed local subsidies weighing on volumes. Automakers with ICE-car exposure, such as Geely Auto and Great Wall Motor, saw relatively resilient January sales. We expect China’s auto sales to recover after Chinese New Year, with the local subsidies in place. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: ...
Greater China Company Results | Yum China Holdings, Inc (9987 HK/NOT RATED/HK$392.40) In 4Q25, YUMC’s total revenue reached US$2,823m, up 9% yoy. Total system sales grew 7% yoy, with a 3% increase in same-store sales. Operating profit rose 25% yoy to US$187m, with operating margin at 6.6% (+80bp). For 1Q26, management targets positive SSS. It aims to maintain flat yoy restaurant margin and operating profit margin on a high base. For 2026, it expects to open more than 1,900 net new stores, wi...
Company Update | PTT (PTT TB/BUY/Bt30.50/Target: Bt38.00) Management believes that the outlook for 2026 remains challenging, given the expected slowdown in both global and Thailand GDP growth. On the positive side, the E&P, gas, and oil retail businesses will maintain solid momentum. We remain positive on PTT even though the utility model is still not clearly outlined, as it should enhance profitability of the gas business. In addition, the process of securing a strategic partner is progressin...
Top Stories Company Update | Origin Property (ORI TB/HOLD/Bt2.02/Target: Bt2.17) The tone during ORI’s analyst meeting was neutral. While there is an expected near-term uplift in 4Q25 earnings, ORI is expected to adopt a conservative operational approach throughout 2026. Management remains cautious about the residential market. We expect ORI to face ongoing challenges, and lacks new positive catalysts. Maintain HOLD. Target price: Bt2.17. Company Update | PTT (PTT TB/BUY/Bt30.50/Target: Bt38...
Greater China Company Results | Kingsoft Corp (3888 HK/BUY/HK$30.72/Target: HK$44.00) Kingsoft’s 3Q25 results missed expectations. Revenue dropped 17% yoy to Rmb2.4b, 6% below consensus estimate. Gross margin shrank 4ppt yoy to 80.4%, in line with consensus expectation. Operating profit plunged 76% yoy to Rmb277m, while operating margin fell 28ppt yoy to 11%, dampened by subdued revenue growth. Net profit declined 49% yoy to Rmb213m, with net margin shrinking 5ppt yoy to 8.8%. Maintain BUY w...
Company Results | PTT (PTT TB/BUY/Bt30.25/Target: Bt38.00) PTT reported a net profit of Bt19.8b in 3Q25, down 8% qoq, in line with both our and consensus expectations. Core profit rose qoq, driven by lower pool gas costs, which led to a 5% qoq increase in the gas business’ EBITDA. However, we expect net profit to rebound in 4Q25, supported by stronger performances from PTTEP, OR, and the refinery business, along with an extra gain from Lotus Pharmaceutical. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt38.00.
Top Stories Company Results | CP All (CPALL TB/BUY/Bt48.50/Target: Bt65.00) We believe the market has been overly pessimistic. CPALL delivered the strongest performance among retail peers in 3Q25. We also see a 3% upside to our 2025 forecast. It reported an 18% yoy rise in 3Q25 net profit, driven by margin expansion and continued strength in the convenience store segment and other businesses. Maintain BUY with a target price of Bt65.00. Company Results | PTT (PTT TB/BUY/Bt30.25/Target: Bt38.0...
Greater China Company Results | Tencent Music Entertainment Group (1698 HK/BUY/HK$84.65/Target: HK$105.00) TME delivered strong 3Q25 results with both the top-line and bottom line beating our expectations. Revenue grew 20.6% yoy to Rmb8.5b, 3% above the street’s estimates. Non-GAAP operating profit jumped 25.2% yoy to Rmb3b, with operating margins edging up 1ppt yoy to 36%. Non-GAAP net profit rose 27.7% yoy to Rmb2.5b, beating consensus expectation by 7%, with net margins expanding 2ppt yoy to ...
Company Update | PTT (PTT TB/BUY/Bt30.50/Target: Bt38.00) We expect PTT’s 3Q25 net profit at Bt19.5b, down 9% qoq, mainly due to lower EBITDA from the gas business following seasonal sales declines and the maintenance shutdown of GSP Unit 5. In addition, profit contributions from subsidiaries and affiliates also fell qoq. However, we expect net profit to rebound in 4Q25, supported by stronger performances from PTTEP, OR, and the refinery business, along with an extra gain from Lotus Pharmaceut...
Top Stories Company Update | Asset World Corporation (AWC TB/BUY/Bt2.10/Target: Bt3.30) AWC is expected to post a 3Q25 core profit of Bt272m (-0.7% yoy, +49.1% qoq) and revenue of Bt3.96b (+5.2% yoy), driven by strong retail performance from the Jurassic World launch, which boosted Asiatique’s occupancy to 85% and lifted commercial revenue by 22% yoy. Hotel revenue was flat yoy but improved qoq. 4Q25 outlook is promising with strong bookings upcountry and signs of Chinese tourist recovery. Mai...
Greater China Company Results | ECARX Holdings Inc (ECX US /BUY/ US$2.22/Target: US$3.40) ECARX’s 3Q25 earnings make a turnaround, with net profit of US$0.9m in 3Q25, marking its first-ever quarterly profitability. Going forward, we believe ECARX's earnings will be driven by sales volume growth and product mix optimisation. We maintain our forecast of a net loss of US$49m for 2025 and a turnaround to a net profit of US$36m and US$100m for 2026 and 2027, based on a 27% revenue CAGR. Maintain ...
We expect the cabinet reshuffle to have a positive impact on PTT, particularly in relation to: a) the restructuring of GSP costs, and b) gaining direct expertise in the oil and retail business. These factors further enhance the investment appeal of PTT, as its share price remains a laggard, while also offering an attractive dividend yield. We expect an interim dividend of Bt0.75/share. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt37.00.
Company Updates | PTT (PTT TB/BUY/Bt31.5/Target: Bt37.00) We expect the cabinet reshuffle to have a positive impact on PTT, particularly in relation to: a) the restructuring of GSP costs, and b) gaining direct expertise in the oil and retail business. These factors further enhance the investment appeal of PTT, as its share price remains a laggard, while also offering an attractive dividend yield. We expect an interim dividend of Bt0.75/share. Ma...
Greater China Initiation Coverage | Metasurface Technologies Holdings (8637 HK/BUY/HK1.48/Target: HK2.90) Metasurface is set to benefit from robust investment in the semi supply chain. As chip fabrication grows in complexity, more time is required to fabricate wafers and more wafer fabrication equipment is needed. Aerospace engineering is set to drive long-term growth as airline capacity continues to face shortages, forcing airlines to rely on their existing fleets and bo...
We maintain a positive view on PTT, citing its strong financial position, sufficient to support the flagship PTT Group’s position during a period when the P&R business remains highly exposed to weak demand and oversupply. We expect an interim dividend of Bt0.75/share. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt37.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Update CH Karnchang (CK TB/BUY/Bt14.40/Target: Bt20.20) Optimistic on core operations; upside expected in 2H25 earnings. Origin Property (ORI TB/HOLD/Bt2.28/Target: Bt1.90) Backlog and asset disposals to underpin 2H25 earnings. PTT (PTT TB/BUY/Bt32.00/Target: Bt37.00) Remains financially robust with a healthy dividend.
GREATER CHINA Results Baidu Inc (9888 HK/HOLD/HK$87.25/Target: HK$88.00): 2Q25: Earnings missed expectations; release of next-gen Ernie bot in 2H25. Crystal International (2232 HK/BUY/HK$6.08/Target: HK$7.07): 1H25: Continuous margin expansion; strong order visibility into 3Q26. Fuyao Glass Industry Group (3606 HK/BUY/HK$67.50/Target: HK$85.00): 2Q25: Core earnings beat estimates by 8%. Maintain BUY. Raise target price from HK$68.00 to HK$85.00. Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (388 HK/BUY/HK$44...
PTT reported a qoq and yoy decrease in net profit for 2Q25, in line with our and consensus expectations, due to lower profits from the gas business and weaker profits from subsidiaries and affiliates. 1H25 core earnings accounted for 50% of our 2025 net profit forecast. Looking forward, 3Q25 core earnings is expected to be flat qoq, but with significant extra gains. We expect an interim dividend of Bt0.75/share. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt37.00.
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