As the government tries to implement a populist policy, PTT remains a target as the National Service Company. Thanks to PTT’s solid financial position, it is able to support any unfavourable measures. PTT will try to negotiate with the government to protect itself against any future government policies. In the O&G space, we prefer PTTEP, BSRC and BCP. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt37.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Update COM7 (COM7 TB/HOLD/Bt22.00/Target: Bt21.70) The huge replacement cycle is still uncertain. Krungthai Card (KTC TB/BUY/Bt39.50/Target: Bt48.00) Prioritises good asset quality; maintaining minimum payment of 8% will be positive. PTT (PTT TB/BUY/Bt33.25/Target: Bt37.00) Solid financial position to support any unfavourable measures. Srisawad Corporation (SAWAD TB/HOLD/Bt32.00/Target: Bt32.00) NPL ratio will continue to increase back to the pre-COVID-19 level.
GREATER CHINA Sector Banking: 2Q24 results preview: Shifting away from volume to price. Results Li Ning (2331 HK/BUY/HK$13.10/Target: HK$19.90): 1H24: Better-than-expected results; trim revenue guidance but maintain margin expectation for 2024. Upgrade to BUY. ZTE Corporation (763 HK/BUY/HK$16.76/Target: HK$19.00): 2Q24: Product mix deterioration offset by cost controls. INDONESIA Update Bukalapak.com (BUKA IJ/BUY/Rp120/Target: Rp270): Sustainable positive adjusted EBITDA. MALAYSIA Small/Mid C...
PTT’s 2Q24 net profit increased both qoq and yoy, surpassing our and consensus estimates by 7% and 14% respectively. The strong performance in 2Q24 was also supported by greater-than-anticipated profits from subsidiaries and affiliates, as well as higher special gains. We expect 2Q24 to be the strongest quarter of the year. We foresee a decline in net profit for 3Q24 both qoq and yoy, driven by the low season for gas demand. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt37.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results BEC World PCL (BEC TB/BUY/Bt3.56/Target: Bt4.20) 2Q24: Clearer earnings visibility ahead; upgrade to BUY Betagro (BTG TB/BUY/Bt22.60/Target: Bt26.50) 2Q24: Bottom line turns to profit. Indorama Ventures (IVL TB/BUY/Bt17.80/Target: Bt22.50) 2Q24: A huge loss as expected, but earnings should have bottomed out. PTT (PTT TB/BUY/Bt33.25/Target: Bt37.00) ...
GREATER CHINA Results KE Holdings Inc (2423 HK/BUY/HK$35.85/Target: HK$53.00) 2Q24: Solid earnings beat; new home recovery and pressured margins in 3Q24. Q Technology Group (1478 HK/BUY/HK$4.05/Target: HK$6.00) 1H24: Earnings at midpoint of profit alert; handset business recovering gradually. INDONESIA Results Dayamitra Telekomunikasi (MTEL IJ/BUY/Rp675/Target: Rp790) 2Q24: Core profit up 29% yoy; accelerating the expansion of fibre optic n...
We expect PTT’s 2Q24 core profit to rise qoq and yoy, driven by strong gas and E&P businesses, which should offset the impact of the single pool gas scheme. However, we have revised our 2024-25 net profit forecasts down by 5.1% and 4.1% respectively to account for the impact of government measures, the downward revision of PTTGC’s and OR’s net profit estimates, and the upward revision of PTT's gas business profit estimates. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt37.00
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Update Banpu (BANPU TB/HOLD/Bt4.90/Target: Bt5.00) Expect 2Q24 net profit to drop qoq. BTS Group Holdings (BTS TB/HOLD/Bt4.06/Target: Bt4.47) Slightly negative on BTS’ transaction deal. Indorama Ventures (IVL TB/BUY/Bt19.30/Target: Bt22.50) 2Q24 results preview: Expect a huge loss, but earnings should bottom out in 2Q24. Upgrade to BUY. Krung Thai Bank (KTB TB/BUY/Bt17.80/Target: Bt21.50) Maintaining good asset quality a...
GREATER CHINA Update LINK REIT (823 HK/BUY/HK$33.55/Target: HK$42.76): Takeaways from visits to Hong Kong and Shenzhen malls near the border. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Underperformance in Jul 24: Our picks are BBNI, BMRI, BBRI, EXCL, CTRA, BBTN, CMRY, SIDO and JSMR. Results Mayora Indah (MYOR IJ/HOLD/Rp2,470/Target: Rp2,500): 2Q24: Rising raw material costs impact gross margin. Telkom Indonesia (TLKM IJ/BUY/Rp2,850/Target: Rp4,200): 2Q24: 6% yoy growth in core profit; to improve cost effi...
GREATER CHINA Economics Trade May exports grew 7.6%; imports moderated. Sector Property Property prices further drop after 17 May 24 policy combo; effective implementation of policies crucial for market stabilisation. INDONESIA Sector Telecommunications Pos...
We expect 2Q24 core profit to decline qoq as a result of weak downstream businesses following the lower GRM. PTT has not yet received a letter of clarification from the ERC for the second shortfall. Management expects the single pool gas policy will be finalised within 2Q24, and we anticipate an opportunity for a new ethane sales contract adjustment with PTTGC in 2H24. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt39.00
GREATER CHINA Results KE Holdings Inc (2423 HK/BUY/HK$49.45/Target: HK$55.00) 1Q24: Earnings beat; poised to capture solid recovery in 2Q24. Lenovo Group (992 HK/BUY/HK$11.32/Target: HK$13.50) 4QFY24: Solid results; AI PCs are just around the corner. NetEase (9999 HK/BUY/HK$141.50/Target: HK$180.00) 1Q24: Results in line; 2Q24 game growth could be better than feared. Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK/BUY/HK$18.94/Target: HK$23.80) ...
PTT reported 1Q24 net profit of Bt28.9b, down 12% qoq, in line with our and consensus expectations, with core profit increasing qoq due to the recovery in performance of the gas, E&P and P&R businesses. We expect 2Q24 core profit to decrease qoq due to lower GRM and a planned decrease in GSP production capacity. We remain cautious about potential risks stemming from PTT having to adhere to the government’s national service policy. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt39.00
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Amata Corporation (AMATA TB/BUY/Bt22.70/Target: Bt30.00) 1Q24: Results miss on lower gross margin. Bangkok Expressway and Metro (BEM TB/BUY/Bt8.20/Target: Bt11.60) 1Q24: Earnings in line; rail business maintains its positive gross margin. Berli Jucker (BJC TB/HOLD/Bt25.00/Target: Bt27.00) 1Q24: Results slightly missed expectations; lack of share price catalysts. Electricity Generating (EGCO TB/BUY/Bt112.00/Target: Bt150.00) ...
INDONESIA Update Indofood Sukses Makmur (INDF IJ/BUY/Rp6,175/Target: Rp9,600): Steady growth at attractive valuation. Maintain BUY. MALAYSIA Sector Gloves: Tariff hike announced by US authorities on China’s medical-grade gloves beginning 2026 is poised to revitalise investors’ sentiment. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Results Heineken Malaysia (HEIM MK/BUY/RM23.68/Target: RM29.20): 1Q24: Within expectations. Earnings saw a seasonal boom following the CNY celebrations. Maintain BUY with a higher target pr...
We expect PTT to report a 1Q24 net profit of Bt27.9b, down 15% qoq and flat yoy. However, core profit is expected to grow both qoq and yoy, driven by profits from the gas business and enhanced profits from subsidiaries and affiliates. Despite negative factors stemming from the ERC's announcement of a new LNG tariff and supply margin rate adjustment, along with the restoration of the second shortfall, we have maintained our core profit forecast for 2024. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt39.00
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results AP Thailand (AP TB/BUY/Bt10.70/Target: Bt13.50) 1Q24: Earnings down by 32% yoy and 24% qoq, in line with expectations. Ngern Tid Lor (TIDLOR TB/BUY/Bt21.70/Target: Bt30.00) 1Q24: Results beat forecasts; an improvement in credit costs. Muangthai Capital (MTC TB/BUY/Bt45.25/Target: Bt54.00) 1Q24: Earnings in line with market expectations; peaking of credit cost and Update Airports of Thailand (AOT TB/BUY/Bt65.75/Target: Bt75.00) On a path to recovery after the high s...
GREATER CHINA Sector Healthcare: From surviving to thriving. Hong Kong Property: Expect normalised primary transactions and continued weakness of retail sales in May; watch for possible policy support. Update Shenzhou International Group Holdings (2313 HK/BUY/HK$83.35/Target: HK$99.60): Optimistic on order growth in 2024; margin expansion a key driver. INDONESIA Results Kalbe Farma (KLBF IJ/HOLD/Rp1,445/Target: Rp1,500): 1Q24: Excellent SG&A management results in double-digit NPAT growth. Mitra...
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: A snow debunks the myth of EVs. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT on China’s auto sector. Top SELLs: BYD, XPeng and Li Auto. Top BUY: CATL. INDONESIA Results XL Axiata (EXCL IJ/BUY/Rp2,310/Target: Rp2,700): 4Q23: Net profit rose 103% yoy; maintain BUY. MALAYSIA Sector Gaming: The Malaysian gaming sector has performed well ytd, but undervalued financial matrixes and solid fundamentals still offer good capital upside. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Results Malaysia Smelting C...
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