Asset monetisation remains the focus for 2025, seeking to enhance business potential and strengthen liquidity amid a still-weak overall business environment. In addition, the search for strategic partners is underway, with a shortlist expected to be finalised by end-25 and the official announcement of partners anticipated in early-26. We continue to view PTT as a dividend stock with a high dividend yield. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt37.00.
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: China’s 60-day payment rule reshapes autos. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: Desay SV and Tuopu. Home Appliance: Expect suspension of government subsidies to be temporary but may lead to postponement of consumer purchases. Results JBM Healthcare (2161 HK/BUY/HK$2.59/Target: HK$3.11): FY25: Record-high dividends; positive FY26 outlook. INDONESIA Update Mitra Adiperkasa (MAPI IJ/HOLD/Rp1,265/Target: Rp1,300): Expect a moderate SSSG of 3% yoy...
We view PTT’s restructuring efforts favourably, as they aim to enhance liquidity in response to market volatility, particularly in 2025 when crude oil prices are projected to decline yoy. This approach is especially important to the PTT group as it is facing heightened operational risks, particularly its P&R businesses. PTT is also seeking strategic partners with specialised expertise to help these businesses improve profitability. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt37.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Update Origin Property (ORI TB/HOLD/Bt1.74/Target: Bt1.90) Expect 2Q25 to improve qoq; remain cautious about business outlook. PTT (PTT TB/BUY/Bt30.75/Target: Bt37.00) Adapting business strategies to navigate volatility. Quality Houses (QH TB/HOLD/Bt1.45/Target: Bt1.51) Expect 2Q25 earnings to improve qoq, but outlook remains challenging.
GREATER CHINA Results Baidu Inc (9888 HK/HOLD/HK$86.10/Target: HK$91.00) 1Q25: Solid earnings beat, fuelled by AI cloud growth and monetisation visibility. XPeng Inc (9868 HK/BUY/HK$77.55/Target: HK$150.00) 1Q25: Results beat expectations. Maintain BUY with a target price of HK$150.00. INDONESIA Strategy Indonesia’s State Budget Position As Of Apr 25 Surplus returns, mom improvement in revenue collections, spen...
PTT reported a net profit of Bt23.3b in 1Q25, up qoq, supported by stronger contributions from subsidiaries and affiliates, which offset its weaker EBITDA from the gas business due to lower gas sales in the utilities sector. The outlook for 2Q25 remains challenging. While gas sales are expected to improve, refinery earnings may come under pressure from higher stock losses. Nonetheless, PTT remains a dividend stock with high dividend yield. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt37.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Bangchak Corporation (BCP TB/BUY/Bt38.00/Target: Bt45.00) 1Q25: Soft results, but better than expected; likely to see a strong rebound in 2Q25. COM7 (COM7 TB/BUY/Bt21.20/Target: Bt29.50) 1Q25: Better-than-expected earnings. CP ALL (CPALL TB/BUY/Bt51.50/Target: Bt79.00) 1Q25: Stronger-than-expected earnings. GFPT Plc. (GFPT TB/BUY/Bt9.80/Target: Bt13.40) ...
GREATER CHINA Results JD.com (9618 HK/BUY/HK$137.00/Target: HK$185.00): 1Q25: Strong earnings beat; intact 2025 outlook; vague visibility on food delivery. JD Logistics, Inc (2618 HK/BUY/HK$12.24/Target: HK$22.00): 2024: Results broadly in line; revenue growth to accelerate in 2025. Maintain BUY. Tencent Music Entertainment Group (1698 HK/BUY/HK$54.50/Target: HK$68.00): 1Q25: Solid earnings beat; encouraging margin outlook in 2025. INDONESIA Update Trimegah Bangun Persada (NCKL IJ/BUY/Rp670/Tar...
We estimate PTT’s 1Q25 net profit at Bt25b, up qoq, supported by stronger contributions from subsidiaries and affiliates, which offset weaker EBITDA from the gas business due to lower gas sales to the utilities sector. The outlook for 2Q25 remains challenging. While gas sales are expected to improve, refinery earnings may come under pressure from higher stock losses. Nonetheless, PTT remains a dividend stock with high dividend yield. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt37.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Central Pattana (CPN TB/BUY/Bt50.50/Target: Bt79.60) 1Q25: Earnings in line, maintain earnings forecasts. Update Banpu (BANPU TB/HOLD/Bt4.38/Target: Bt4.80) Expect 1Q25 loss to narrow qoq. PTT (PTT TB/BUY/Bt32.25/Target: Bt37.00) Subsidiary and affiliate recovery drives 1Q25 net profit higher qoq.
GREATER CHINA Strategy China And Hong Kong Property Market watch around May holiday: New-home sales recovery weakens in Apr 25; the trend of Hong Kong resident travelling north remains strong. Sector Consumer Strong Macau visitations and robust home appliance sales during Labour Day Holiday. INDONESIA Initiate Coverage Aneka Tambang (ANTM IJ/BUY/Rp2,540/Target:...
PTT targets to increase EBITDA by an additional Bt30.0b in 2027 (which is 8% higher than our current estimate) on the back of higher profitability and cost reductions. In addition, it is trying to secure a strategic partner for the P&R business to navigate the industry downcycle. A decision is expected in 2025. PTT is in a strong financial position, and hence should be able to maintain dividend payments with an average yield of 6- 6.5%. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt36.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results BTS Group Holdings (BTS TB/HOLD/Bt6.20/Target: Bt4.79) 3QFY25: Core earnings to remain in the red. Thanachart Capital (TCAP TB/HOLD/Bt50.75/Target: Bt52.00) 4Q24: Earnings below expectations, despite THANI reporting a huge qoq reduction in credit cost. The One Enterprise (ONEE TB/HOLD/Bt3.16/Target: Bt3.10) 4Q24: Earnings below expe...
GREATER CHINA Update Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics (300760 CH/BUY/Rmb257.82/Target: Rmb330.00) Embraces business opportunities provided by digital and intelligent solutions. INDONESIA Update Dayamitra Telekomunikasi (MTEL IJ/BUY/Rp640/Target: Rp820) Expanding fibre optic network length by 20% following the acquisition. Maintain BUY. MALAYSIA Results MISC (MISC MK/BUY/RM7.15/Target: RM8.60) 2024: Results outperform, but marke...
We expect PTT's 4Q24 net profit to decline both qoq and yoy due to reduced sales volumes in the gas and GSP businesses, along with foreign exchange losses. However, 1Q25 core profit is expected to improve qoq, driven by a recovery in the GSP business and stronger performances from subsidiaries and affiliates. 2H24 dividend is projected at Bt1.00/share, while 2025 dividend is expected to remain at Bt1.80/share, consistent with 2024. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt36.00.
GREATER CHINA Economics Inflation Seasonal demand lifted downstream inflation. Update Innovent Biologics (1801 HK/BUY/HK$36.25/Target: HK$52.00) Expects significant expansion in 2025; targeting revenue of Rmb20b in 2027. INDONESIA Results Bank Syariah Indonesia (BRIS IJ/BUY/Rp3,020/Target: Rp3,450) 2024: Net profit up 22%, above expectations; upgrade earnings forecasts. MALAYSIA...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: December Conviction Calls Add Desay, Meituan, Mengniu, Tencent, and Trip.com to our BUY list. Take profit from CATL. Update CR Mixc Lifestyle (1209 HK/BUY/HK$29.20/Target: HK$32.15) Takeaways from reverse roadshow in Shenzhen. China Resources Land (1109 HK/BUY/HK$23.25/Target:HK$32.40) Takeaways from reverse roadshow in Shenzhen. Small/Mid Cap Highlights Regina Miracle (2199 HK/Not Rated/HK$2....
The key takeaways from the recent analyst meeting are: a) the five-year plan is expected to be finalised by end-Dec 24, with a potential divestment of the EV car business, b) the new single pool gas initiative is anticipated to be concluded by early-25, and c) PTT remains committed to supporting TOP in the CFP project. Additionally, we expect 4Q24 net profit to improve qoq, driven by profits from subsidiaries with affiliates turning to net profit. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt37.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Update BTS Group Holdings (BTS TB/HOLD/Bt4.84/Target: Bt4.79) Pink Line and Yellow Lines to remain key drags yoy. Minor International (MINT TB/BUY/Bt25.75/Target: Bt38.00) Exciting prospects ahead. PTT (PTT TB/BUY/Bt32.50/Target: Bt37.00) Five-year plan expected to be completed by the end of Dec 24.
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