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On aggregate, the R&C stocks underperformed (equal weight) the MSCI Nordic by ~4% throughout the reporting season (15 October to today).
On aggregate, the R&C stocks underperformed (equal weight) the MSCI Nordic by ~1% throughout the reporting season (10 July to today).
This week, we look at the effect of AI/data centres on power demand.
On aggregate, the R&C stocks outperperformed the MSCI Nordic by ~1% throughout the reporting season (16 Apr to 6 Jun).
Organic growth of 21% vs. ABGSCe 26% New official 15% adj. EBITDA margin target We lower our fair value range to SEK 8-14 (10-17)
21% org growth (ABGSCe 26%), ~SEK 20m write-downs Q3 numbers imply 12-7% adj. EBITDA downgrades 9x ’23e EV/EBITDA on pre-Q3 estimates
15% EBITDA margin target and positive OCF Board disagreements now made clear Shouldn’t have a major impact on operations
’23e district heating prices raised by up to 20%... …boosting Evertherm ROI and shortening payback Q3 report due on Thursday, 10 November
Lower margins on installations, product margins stable Near-term cost base re-assessed Fair value SEK 10-17 (11-18), 13x ’23e EV/EBITDA (adj.)
Net sales SEK 57m, adj. EBITDA SEK -4.3m Q2 numbers imply 15-20% adj. EBITDA downgrades 9x ’23e EV/EBITDA (adj.) on pre-Q2 numbers
Q2 report due on Thursday 18 August Higher ’22e opex, building for long-term growth Evertherm fairly resilient, but not immune to rate hikes
Solid growth, especially in Circular Energy Some necessary growing pains lead to higher opex 10x ‘23e EV/EBITDA (adj.), reiterate fair value SEK 12-20
79% sales growth, of which 27% organic Adj. EBITDA SEK 2.0m (ABGSCe 7.8m) 14-9x ’22e-’23e EV/EBITDA (adj.) on pre-Q1 numbers
Ecoclime saves energy and costs for property owners Initiating with fair value range of SEK 12-20 per share Average week for Nordic renewable shares
Saving both energy and costs for property owners ’22e-’24e adj. EBITDA CAGR of 44%, SEK 75m by ’24e ABGSC fair value range of SEK 12-20 per share
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