reports
- ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
- John Olaisen
- Steffen Evjen
Solid NCS production in March
The Norwegian Offshore Directorate’s (NOD) preliminary NCS figures for March showed liquids production of 1,972kboed (1.6% above its forecast) and gas production of 351mcm/d (0.4% above its forecast). Overall, production was 4.18mmboed (1.1% above its forecast), flat MOM, but down 4.9% YOY. Company-wise, the February production figures should be well known as most companies have already reported their production figures for Q1.
- Stephane Foucaud
Panoro Energy ASA (OSE: PEN): Reserves addition much larger than expec...
• YE24 2P reserves were independently estimated at 42.3 mmbbl (+7.6 mmbbl vs YE23, representing a Reserve Replacement Ration of 309%). This figure far exceeds our previous expectation of 34.5 mmbbl for YE24 2P reserves - an estimate that included a 4 mmbbl addition in 1H24 to counterbalance 2024 production. • The higher than expected reserves addition is driven by robust reservoir performance in Gabon coupled with the conversion of contingent resources into 2P reserves in EG. • In Gabon, YE24 WI...
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
AkzoNobel: 3% beat on 1Q25 Adj. EBITDA, FY25 guidance maintained at +€1.55bn. BE Semiconductor Industries: 1Q25 results - extending the downcycle. Corbion: Apogee. Just Eat Takeaway.com: 1Q25 Trading Update - no impact on the bid. Kinepolis: 1Q25 preview. KPN: 1Q25 preview. Randstad: Strong 9% high quality beat on 1Q25, 2Q25 outlook looks a touch below. Vår Energi: Fine start of the year, more to come. Vopak: Reasonable start, cashflow developing nicely.
- ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
- John Olaisen
- Steffen Evjen
OKEA (Buy, TP: NOK23.00) - Solid start to the year
A solid Q1 trading update included net production and realised prices just above our estimates. A technical goodwill impairment (due to lower forward prices) effectively reducing OKEA’s dividend basket for 2025; however, we do not consider this material as we do not expect it to pay any dividends until 2027. Still, with the stock trading at an EV/2P of USD3.8/boe, well below recent NCS transactions at ~USD10/boe, we reiterate our BUY and NOK23 target price.
- Steffen Evjen
- ABGSC Energy Research
- Daniel Vårdal Haugland
- John Olaisen
- Njål Kleiven
- Oliver Dunvold
- Stian Wibstad
BW Energy: Appraisal well confirms potential for future Bourdon develo...
BW Energy: Appraisal well confirms potential for future Bourdon development cluster BW Energy is pleased to announce that second sidetrack DBM-1 ST2 well has confirmed the substantial oil discovery with good reservoir and fluid quality of the Bourdon prospect in the Dussafu Licence offshore Gabon, announced on 7 March 2025. Management estimates indicate 56 million barrels oil in place of which approximately 25 million barrels are considered recoverable. “The appraisal well confirms the potential for establishing a new development cluster with a production facility following the MaBoMo b...
- Stephane Foucaud
AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 18/04/2025
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Panoro Energy (PEN NO)C; Target price of NOK47 per share: High production in Gabon – BW Energy reported gross production in Gabon of 39.3 mbbl/d. This equates to 6.9 mbbl/d net to Panoro’s 17.5% WI. IN OTHER NEWS ________________________________________ AMERICAS Galp Energia (GALP LI): 1Q25 update – 1Q25 production in Brazil was 104 mboe/d. Pantheon Resources (PNR LN): Disappointing well test results in Alaska – The Megrez-1 well fl...
- ABGSC Energy Research
- Daniel Vårdal Haugland
- John Olaisen
- Njål Kleiven
- Oliver Dunvold
- Stian Wibstad
BW Energy: Q1 2025 operational update
BW Energy: Q1 2025 operational update Q1 2025 operational update BW Energy will publish financial figures for Q1 2025 and host a presentation at Hotel Continental, Oslo, on Monday, 5 May 2025. Net production to BW Energy was 3.2 million barrels of oil (mmbbls) in Q1 2025, equal to 36,000 bbls per day, from the Dussafu licence in Gabon (73.5% working interest) and the Golfinho field (100% working interest) in Brazil. Volume (mmbbls)Q1 2025Q4 2024Net Production3.23.1Dussafu2.62.5Golfinho0.70.6 Net volume sold3.73.2Dussafu*3.22.7Golfinho0.50.5 Average realised price (USD/bbl) Dussafu7...
BW Energy: Makes Final Investment Decision for the Golfinho Boost proj...
BW Energy: Makes Final Investment Decision for the Golfinho Boost project in Brazil BW Energy makes Final Investment Decision for the Golfinho Boost project in Brazil BW Energy is pleased to announce final investment decision (FID) for the Golfinho Boost project, aiming to increase uptime, reduce operating expenses and add approximately 3,000 barrels per day of incremental oil production from 2027 at the Golfinho field offshore Brazil. The project includes multiple measures aimed at boosting production efficiency and increasing recoverable reserves by approximately 12 million barre...
- Steffen Evjen
Stress testing
We have stress-tested our coverage universe at a USD60/bbl oil price, concluding that most names remain dependent on rising oil prices to warrant upside potential from current share prices. Moreover, unless oil prices move higher, we see increasing risk of cuts in shareholder distributions for Vår Energi and Equinor, while the risk appears lower for Aker BP. Overall, we remain cautious as macro risks remain tilted to the downside. We continue to prefer Aker BP as it screens best on valuation and...
- Steffen Evjen
Weekly news, topics & discussion
This week, Equinor, Aker BP, and Vår Energi released their Q1 trading updates. Equinor’s realised liquids prices were broadly in line with consensus across all segments. Aker BP reported a modest production beat, 2% above consensus, with realised liquids and gas prices largely as expected. Vår Energi’s Q1 production was 2% below our estimate and consensus, while realised liquids prices met expectations and gas prices exceeded them by 4–11%.
- ING Helpdesk
- ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
- John Olaisen
- ABGSC Energy Research
- Daniel Vårdal Haugland
- John Olaisen
- Njål Kleiven
- Oliver Dunvold
- Stian Wibstad
- ABGSC Energy Research
- Daniel Vårdal Haugland
- John Olaisen
- Njål Kleiven
- Oliver Dunvold
- Stian Wibstad
- Felix Fischer
- Haidje Rustau
- Jayanth Kandalam
- Peter Low
- Si Yong Ng
- Tanvi Arora
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