reports
Carclo: 3 directors
Three Directors at Carclo bought/maiden bought 202,154 shares at between 11p and 13p. The significance rating of the trade was 67/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the la...
- Richard Williamson
- Richard Williamson
Carclo - Stabilising the business
Carclo’s H120 results show that the remaining businesses following the exit from Wipac in December provide a basis for a sustainable group going forward. The continuing businesses generated £56.1m revenues and £3.3m underlying EBIT. However, there remain significant challenges in reaching agreement on long-term funding with the lending bank and pension trustee. Our estimates will remain under review until these are resolved.
- Richard Williamson
Carclo - Sale of Wipac completed
Carclo has exited from its loss-making Wipac business which has been acquired by Wuhu Anrui Optoelectronics, a manufacturer of LED-based automotive lighting. This ensures continuity for both customers and employees. Carclo’s pension scheme will receive £3.5m of the net proceeds of the sale while another £5.0m will be used to reduce debt. Our estimates will remain under review until the interims in mid-January.
- Richard Williamson
Carclo - Wipac woes overshadow CTP improvement
Carclo’s FY19 results show the deleterious impact of the issues at Wipac, which overshadowed profit growth at both the Technical Plastics (CTP) and smaller Aerospace divisions. Group revenues decreased by 1% y o y while underlying EBIT of £1.3m adjusted for exceptionals, including a price concession on exit from the mid-volume automotive business (effectively a revenue impairment), fell by £2.4m to £8.4m (unaudited). Our estimates remain under review until there is more clarity on the exit ...
- Anne Margaret Crow
Carclo - Wipac move into mid-volumes under review
Carclo has announced that while the Technical Plastics and Aerospace divisions have started FY20 well, the costs associated with ramping up an unprecedented number of new low-volume lighting programmes at Wipac remain unacceptably high. Management is therefore reviewing its decision to move into the mid-volume vehicle market. We place our FY20 estimates and valuation under review until further information is provided when the FY19 results are announced in July.
- Anne Margaret Crow
Carclo - Wipac costs higher than expected in Q419
Carclo’s year-end trading update notes that Wipac’s costs remained at higher than expected levels during Q419 as the business endeavoured to address the challenges of commencing production on an unprecedented number of new programmes at the same time. As a result, we cut both our FY19 PBT and EPS estimate by 9%, while leaving our FY19 revenue estimate and FY20 estimates unchanged.
- Anne Margaret Crow
Carclo - Recovery postponed
Carclo has announced that the issues associated with initiating multiple low-volume lighting programmes in parallel that adversely affected H119 have continued throughout Q319. At the interim stage management believed that these issues would be resolved by the end of Q3, supporting a second half recovery, but now expects that second half profit levels will be similar to the first half. We revise our estimates, cutting EPS by 37% in both FY19 and FY20.
- Anne Margaret Crow
Carclo - FY19 likely to be a game of two halves
As flagged in the October trading update, Carclo’s H119 performance was adversely affected by delays in commencing three medical programmes. Moreover, all of the new vehicle production programmes planned for FY19, with their attendant start-up inefficiencies, started during the first six months. While these events held back first-half performance, they augur well for a second-half recovery. We therefore leave our estimates broadly unchanged. The reduction in our indicative valuation from144-15...
- Anne Margaret Crow
Carclo - FY19 expectations unchanged despite slow first half
Carclo has announced that three new medical programmes were delayed by customers during H119 and that while these programmes had all entered production successfully by the end of the period, the delays resulted in H119 underperformance for the Technical Plastics division (CTP). Although the LED division performed in line with management’s expectations and the smaller Aerospace division beat expectations, H119 trading for the group as a whole was below management’s expectations. Since managem...
- Anne Margaret Crow
Carclo - Positioned for recovery
Delays in the placement of certain customer project awards and weaknesses in operational performance, particularly in the Technical Plastics division, meant that Carclo did not meet management’s original FY18 profit targets, although the performance was in line with revised guidance. Most of the delayed contracts have now been placed and management has taken steps to improve margins. Demand from medical customers for precision plastic moulding and for LED lighting in luxury cars, supercars and...
- Anne Margaret Crow
Carclo - Contract delays to affect H218 performance
Carclo has recently announced that its FY18 performance is likely to be lower than previously expected. This is because of contract delays affecting both the Technical Plastics (CTP) and LED Technologies (LED) divisions as well as a delay to the anticipated ramp-up in a non-medical project for CTP, which management expected would benefit H218. We reduce our FY18 and FY19 estimates, introduce FY20 estimates and revise our indicative valuation range from 177-187p/share to 145-154p/share.
- Anne Margaret Crow
Carclo - Positioned for H2 recovery
As flagged at the AGM in September, performance at Carclo’s Technical Plastics division (CTP) was held back by key new programmes slipping from H118 to H218 as well as some operational issues, which have been largely resolved. This was balanced by outperformance in the LED Technologies division (LED), where the level of design, development and tooling activity was ahead of expectations. Management anticipates that full year trading will be in line with expectations, so we leave our estimates b...
- Anne Margaret Crow
- Technology-LED plastics
Carclo is focusing investment on its two larger established businesses – Technical Plastics (CTP) and LED Technologies (LED). Here a differentiated offer and long-term relationships with customers provide good earnings visibility and higher probability of a sustainable return. This strategy delivered strong revenue and profits growth during FY17. Despite a temporary setback at CTP during H118, which was balanced by outperformance at LED, growth appears set to continue, underpinned by contracts w...
- Anne Margaret Crow
Strong growth in profits as expected
Carclo has refocused investment in its established businesses (Technical Plastics and LED Technologies), where a differentiated offer and long-term relationships with customers provide good earnings visibility and higher probability of a sustainable return. This strategy delivered strong revenue and profits growth during FY17. This growth appears set to continue, underpinned by contracts with blue-chip customers. We increase our estimates of revenues attributable to Technical Plastics while slig...
- Anne Margaret Crow
All going to plan
Both of Carclo’s larger divisions, Technical Plastics (TP) and LED Technologies, grew in line with management expectations during FY17, while the smaller Aerospace division continues to experience stable trading conditions. FY18 has started well with the announcement of a second mid-volume project for Wipac. This new award underscores the relevance of the recent FLTC acquisition, which substantially enhances Wipac’s ability to progress multiple projects simultaneously. We leave our estimates unc...
- Anne Margaret Crow
Continued progress since interims
Carclo has announced that H217 trading remains strong and the outlook for the full year is in line with its expectations. Growth is being driven by the two larger divisions, Technical Plastics (TP) and LED Technologies, while the Aerospace division is experiencing stable trading conditions. We leave our estimates unchanged, but note potential currency upside should foreign exchange rates remain at current levels for the remainder of FY17.
Ford Equity International Rating and Forecast Report
Ford Equity International Research Reports cover 60 countries with over 30,000 stocks traded on international exchanges. A proprietary quantitative system compares each company to its peers on proven measures of business value, growth characteristics, and investor behavior. Ford's three recommendation ratings buy, hold and sell, represent each stock’s return potential relative to its own country market.. The rating reports which are generated each week, include the fundamental details behind...
- Anne Margaret Crow
Innovate, specialise, integrate, globalise
Carclo has refocused investment in its established businesses (Technical Plastics and LED Technologies), where a differentiated offer and long-term relationships with customers provide good earnings visibility and more certainty of a return. This strategy delivered strong revenue and profits growth during H117. This growth appears set to continue, underpinned by long-term relationships with blue-chip customers. We leave our estimates and indicative valuation broadly unchanged and introduce our e...
- Anne Margaret Crow
PTD acquisition the perfect match
On 14 October Carclo acquired US-based Precision Tool & Die (PTD) for an initial consideration of $5.5m (c £4.5m). The acquisition has been funded through a placing raising £7.7m (net) at 120p/share. H117 trading was in line with management expectations. We revise our estimates accordingly and derive an indicative valuation of 144-152p/share.
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