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Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: BCG LN; KLKIM TI; MGROS TI; PGE PW; PCO PW; TLV RO; EU Oil...

HEADLINES: • Baltic Classifieds Group: good opportunity to act (upgraded to BUY) • Kalekim: strong results in 4Q24 POSITIVE • Migros: a good set of operating results for 4Q24 POSITIVE • PGE: preliminary 4Q24 EBITDA 11% above our forecast and 27% above the consensus POSITIVE • Pepco Group: strategy update ahead of Capital Markets Day – focus on Pepco banner and CEE region; EUR 200m buyback in 2025-27E; Poundland dragging on FY25E EBITDA guidance POSITIVE • Banca Transilvania: 2025E guidance analy...

Miguel Dias
  • Miguel Dias

WOOD Flash – Banca Transilvania: 2025E guidance analysis

Banca Transilvania (TLV) held its 4Q24 results conference call yesterday afternoon (5 March), and provided its guidance for 2025E on a stand-alone basis. We have run the numbers, and tried to estimate the consolidated numbers and stack them against our 2025E forecasts. On our initial analysis, the guidance implies material upside for our 2025E forecasts, which is aligned with the Bloomberg consensus. Banca Transilvania is trading at 7.3x P/E and 1.4x P/BV on our 2025E figures, while the implied ...

Dmitry Vlasov ... (+3)
  • Dmitry Vlasov
  • Piotr Raciborski
  • CFA

Baltic Classifieds Group: good opportunity to act (upgraded to BUY)

We have upgraded Baltic Classifieds Group (BCG) to BUY (from Hold), with an updated 12M price target (PT) of GBp 386, offering 22% upside potential. We continue to like the company for its clear market-leading position, pricing power and network effects. Having the lowest marketing expenses among its global classifieds peers helps BCG to maintain the highest EBITDA margin globally. Given its share price correction of 12% from its highs on 18 February 2025, together with its recent better-than-ex...

Moody's Ratings announces completion of a periodic review of ratings o...

Moody's Ratings (Moody's) has completed a periodic review of the ratings of ING Bank Slaski S.A. (ING BSK) and other ratings that are associated with this issuer. The review was conducted through a rating committee held on 25 February 2025 in which we reassessed the appropriateness of the ratings i...

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Poland outperforms; Türkiye declin...

EME Equity Market – February 2025 Poland outperforms, again; Türkiye declines. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced by 3.1% in EUR terms and 2.9% mom in USD terms in February. The Polish WIG20 was, once again, the best performer, adding 7.3% mom in February; followed by the Czech PX Index (+6.1% mom); while Greece (+3.8% mom), Hungary (+3.5% mom) and Romania (+3.0% mom) all reported rather similar performances. The Turkish ISE30 was the worst performer, declining 4.5% mom.

BRE MBANK SA
EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
OMV OMV AG
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
AKCNS AKCANSA CIMENTO
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
BRISA BRISA-BRIDGESTONE SABANCI LASTIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
LOGO LOGO YAZILIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
2310 SAHARA INTERNATIONAL PETROCHEMICAL COMPANY
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
TKNSA TEKNOSA IC VE DIS TICARET AS
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
GSPARK GRAPHISOFT PARK SE
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
SAB1L SIAULIU BANKAS
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
SNP PETROM S.A.
PBK PATRIA BANK SA
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
RICHT RICHTER
19XX NEPI ROCKCASTLE PLC
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
R22 R22
MCOV B MEDICOVER AB
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
NLBR NLB GROUP
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
DUNAHOUSE DUNA HOUSE
KSPI KASPI KZ
HUGE HUUUGE
4IG 4IG NYRT
CTPNV CTP NV
GPP GRUPA PRACUJ DA
GIG GAMING INNOVATION GROUP
ADNOCDRILL ADNOC DRILLING CO
2381 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
ELPE HELLENIQ ENERGY
BOROUGE BOROUGE
7203 ELM CO
AQ AQUILA PART PROD COM
TRESTATES TRADE ESTATES REIC SA
AIRA AIR ASTANA JSC
NOVAL NOVAL PROPERTY
Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: KRU PW; EBS AV; RICHT HB; SFG RO; AQ RO; SNG RO; DIGI RO; ...

HEADLINES: • Kruk: detailed 4Q24 results, revealing headwinds in Spain NEGATIVE • Erste Bank: small miss on 4Q24 results, but promises strong ROTE outlook for 2025E and adds another round of share buyback potential NEUTRAL • Richter: soft 4Q24 operating results NEGATIVE • Sphera Group: 4Q24 soft, as expected NEGATIVE • Aquila Part Prod Com S.A.: earnings a small beat, bottom line boosted by negative goodwill and low tax rate POSITIVE • Romgaz: 4Q24 results NEUTRAL • DIGI Communications: 4Q24 pre...

Markus Remis ... (+2)
  • Markus Remis
  • Stephane Houri
BRE MBANK SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
TKA TELEKOM AUSTRIA AG
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
UNIQA INSURANCE GROUP AG
EVN EVN AG
MMK MAYR-MELNHOF KARTON AG
ZVTG ZAVAROVALNICA TRIGLAV D.D.
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
VER VERBUND AG CLASS A
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
POS PORR AG
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
LNZ LENZING AG
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
ROS ROSENBAUER INTERNATIONAL AG
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
PAL PALFINGER AG
WIE WIENERBERGER AG
ATS AT & S AUSTRIA TECHNOLOGIE & SYSTEMTECHNIK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
SEM SEMPERIT HOLDING AG
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
SBO SCHOELLER-BLECKMANN OILFIELD EQUIPMENT AG
UBS UBM DEVELOPMENT AG
CCC CCC SA
KTCG KAPSCH TRAFFICCOM
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
VIG VIENNA INSURANCE GROUP AG WIENER VERSICHERUNG GRUPPE
PYT POLYTEC HOLDING
ZAG ZUMTOBEL GROUP AG
POST OSTERREICHISCHE POST AG
ANDR ANDRITZ AG
STR STRABAG SE
POSR POZAVAROVALNICA SAVA
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
FLU FLUGHAFEN WIEN AG
FACC FACC AG
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
SNP PETROM S.A.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
MOL MOL HUNGARIAN OIL & GAS PLC CLASS A
BG BAWAG GROUP AG
IMP IMPACT DEVELOPER & CONTRACTOR S.A.
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
AGR AGRANA BETEILIGUNGS-AG
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
FQT FREQUENTIS AG WIENER
NLBR NOVA LJUBLJANSKA BANKA DD LJUBLJANA
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
INPST INPOST S.A.
ANR ANSWEAR.COM
ONE ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA
ACAG AUSTRIACARD HOLDINGS AG
AMS AMS-OSRAM AG
Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: FROTO TI; TUPRS TI; CCC PW; APR PW; FTSHP CP; PGSUS TI; PK...

HEADLINES: • Ford Otosan: weak set of results in 4Q24 NEGATIVE • Tupras: 4Q24 results below expectations, but dividend proposal generous NEUTRAL • CCC: key takeaways from the 4Q24 conference; PLN 1.4bn capital increase around the corner • Auto Partner: preliminary 4Q24 EBIT 27% above our forecast on better margins POSITIVE • Footshop: 4Q24 broadly in line; 2025E management guidance implies promising year ahead POSITIVE • Pegasus Airlines: a strong start to 2025, with January ASK up 19% POSITIVE ...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: MOL HB; TOASO TI; OPL PW; ADNOCDRI UH; TBCG LN; ISCTR TI; ...

HEADLINES: • MOL: there’s gain in the mundane (stays BUY) • Tofas: very weak set of results in 4Q24 NEGATIVE • Orange Polska: 4Q24 – EBITDAaL up 7% yoy, 6% above the consensus; 2025E guidance in line with expectations POSITIVE • ADNOC Drilling: 4Q24 results beat expectations POSITIVE • TBC Bank: 4Q24 results and conference call • Isbank: 4Q24 results and 2025E guidance highlights NEUTRAL • Medicover: takeaways from the 4Q24 earnings call • 11 bit studios: delays release of The Alters NEGATIVE • ...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: MCOVB SS; HU Macro; EME Strategy – MSCI; ADNOCDRI UH; HTO ...

HEADLINES: • Medicover: 4Q results a small beat; appoints new CEO POSITIVE • Hungary macro: January inflation surprises on the upside • EME Strategy: MSCI – February review results • ADNOC Drilling: 4Q24E results (due out tomorrow) NEUTRAL • OTE: 4Q24E results preview – 1% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth expected (due on 26 February) • Banca Transilvania: 4Q24E preview (due on 28 February)

Bruno Cavalier ... (+4)
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Christophe-Raphaël Ganet
  • Markus Remis
  • Stephane Houri
BRE MBANK SA
LHA DEUTSCHE LUFTHANSA AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
TKA TELEKOM AUSTRIA AG
RI PERNOD RICARD SA
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
UNIQA INSURANCE GROUP AG
EVN EVN AG
MMK MAYR-MELNHOF KARTON AG
ZVTG ZAVAROVALNICA TRIGLAV D.D.
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
IAG INTERNATIONAL CONSOLIDATED AIRLINES GROUP SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
BAS BASF SE
VER VERBUND AG CLASS A
EZJ EASYJET PLC
RY4C RYANAIR HOLDINGS PLC
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
POS PORR AG
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
LNZ LENZING AG
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
ROS ROSENBAUER INTERNATIONAL AG
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
PAL PALFINGER AG
WIE WIENERBERGER AG
ATS AT & S AUSTRIA TECHNOLOGIE & SYSTEMTECHNIK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
SEM SEMPERIT HOLDING AG
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
SBO SCHOELLER-BLECKMANN OILFIELD EQUIPMENT AG
UBS UBM DEVELOPMENT AG
CCC CCC SA
KTCG KAPSCH TRAFFICCOM
MONC MONCLER SPA
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
VIG VIENNA INSURANCE GROUP AG WIENER VERSICHERUNG GRUPPE
PYT POLYTEC HOLDING
ZAG ZUMTOBEL GROUP AG
POST OSTERREICHISCHE POST AG
ANDR ANDRITZ AG
STR STRABAG SE
POSR POZAVAROVALNICA SAVA
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
FLU FLUGHAFEN WIEN AG
FACC FACC AG
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
SNP PETROM S.A.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
MOL MOL HUNGARIAN OIL & GAS PLC CLASS A
BG BAWAG GROUP AG
IMP IMPACT DEVELOPER & CONTRACTOR S.A.
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
AGR AGRANA BETEILIGUNGS-AG
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
FQT FREQUENTIS AG WIENER
NLBR NOVA LJUBLJANSKA BANKA DD LJUBLJANA
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
INPST INPOST S.A.
ANR ANSWEAR.COM
ONE ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA
P911 DR. ING. H.C. F. PORSCHE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
ACAG AUSTRIACARD HOLDINGS AG
AF AIR FRANCE - KLM
AMS AMS-OSRAM AG
Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: EME Macro/Strategy Weekly; EUR PW; PGE PW; EUROB GA; MTELE...

HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (3-9 February) • Eurocash: preliminary 4Q24 EBITDA flat yoy, but 10% above the consensus POSITIVE • PGE: PLN 2.4bn write-down in conventional generation to be recognised in the FY24 results NEUTRAL • Eurobank Ergasias Services: Fairfax shareholding drops to 32.9% NEUTRAL • Magyar Telekom: 4Q24E preview – 16% yoy growth in EBITDA expected (due on 25 February) • Auto Partner: 4Q24E preview – EBITDA almost flat yoy (due on 15 April) • Inter Cars: 4Q...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: TPEIR GA; CZ Macro; CEZ CP; 11B PW; BCG LN; TITC GA; ACP P...

HEADLINES: • Piraeus Financial Holdings: first take on potential Ethniki acquisition NEUTRAL • Czech Republic macro: CNB heading for a temporary pause • CEZ: finalises disposal of Polish coal assets NEUTRAL • 11 bit studios: Polish FSA taking explanatory actions regarding disclosure obligations NEUTRAL • Baltic Classifieds Group: directors sell 2m share (0.4% stake) NEGATIVE • Titan Cement: US subsidiary’s IPO priced at USD 16/share, reportedly • Asseco Poland: 4Q24E preview – flat yoy net profi...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: KOMB CP; ING PW; MBK PW; BRD RO; PL Macro; BHW PW; EU Oil ...

HEADLINES: • Komercni Banka: surprises on the upside with 2024 delivery; guiding for 100% dividend payout ratio also for 2025E POSITIVE • ING BSK: solid 4Q24, but beat driven by low LLPs, while core revenues miss expectations; guiding for a solid DPS NEUTRAL • mBank: 2024 results; guiding for 2025E to be the last year with a material impact from the FX mortgage saga NEUTRAL • BRD-GSG: strong 4Q24 delivery beats expectations POSITIVE • Poland macro: NBP on hold • Bank Handlowy: makes another impa...

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: starting 2025 on the right foot

EME Equity Market – January 2025 The markets entered 2025 on the right foot. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced by 7.7% in EUR terms and 8.4% in USD terms in January. The Polish WIG20 was the best performer (+12.7% mom), followed by the Hungarian BUX and Czech PX indices (+8.9% mom and +6.2% mom, in EUR terms, respectively). There was also a very solid performance from the Greek ASE Index (+5.4% mom in EUR terms), but more muted performances from the Romanian BET and Turkish ISE 30 indices (+1.6%...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: TXT PW; ELM AB; WIZZ LN; GE Macro; GARAN TI; KLKIM TI; PKN...

HEADLINES: • Text: AI revolution – a threat or an opportunity? (downgraded to HOLD) • Elm: new horizons (upgraded to BUY) • Wizz Air: 3Q FY25 – miss on lower revenue and higher CASKX NEGATIVE • Georgia macro: NBG decision and MoU in Abu Dhabi • Garanti Bank: 4Q24 results and 2025E guidance highlights NEUTRAL • Kalekim: exercises option to acquire a plant in Mugla POSITIVE • Orlen: to issue USD 1.25bn of 10-year bonds NEUTRAL • PKO BP: 4Q24E preview (due on 13 March) • Short News (CBF, CEZ)

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: SAB1L LH; Global Oil and Gas; HU Macro; CCC PW; ALE PW; PC...

HEADLINES: • Šiaulių Bankas: wait and breathe (HOLD - transfer of coverage) • Global oil and gas: uh-oh, Canada – the oil markets and potential Canadian tariffs POSITIVE • Hungary macro: MNB intensifies hawkish tone • CCC: small acquisition in premium sneakers segment NEUTRAL • Allegro: changes of commission table for merchants POSITIVE • Pepco Group: another set of management changes NEUTRAL • Titan Cement: preliminary FY24 results NEUTRAL • Alpha Services and Holdings: acquires factoring finte...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: EME Macro/Strategy Weekly; KMGZ KZ; SHO PW; PCO PW; MTELEK...

HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (20-26 January) • KazMunayGas: KMG and partners achieve first oil at the Future Growth Project POSITIVE • Shoper: PLN 3.2m positive one-off related to updated liability values NEUTRAL • Pepco Group: local press reports on potential acquisition of a competitor NEGATIVE • Magyar Telekom: sells ViDaNet NEUTRAL • Short News (MIL)

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: Türkiye macro; Uzbekistan macro; PGE PW; BFT PW; PGE PW

HEADLINES: • Türkiye macro: CBT cuts again, signalling potentially deeper reductions • Uzbekistan macro: CBU keeps the policy rate unchanged at 13.5% • PGE: PLN 7.5bn write-down in conventional generation to be recognised in the FY24 results NEUTRAL • Benefit Systems: new bond issue programme of up to PLN 1bn; first tranche considered in 1H25 NEUTRAL • PGE: potentially buying 100% of PAK CCGT and a 50% stake in PGE PAK Energia Jądrowa from ZE PAK NEGATIVE • Short News (CDR)

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: KRU PW; MYTIL GA; PL Macro; PEO PW; HUG PW; GPP PW; GPP PW...

HEADLINES: • Kruk: 2025-29E strategy – ambitious, and sees further growth of earnings, assisted by high ROEs POSITIVE • Metlen Energy & Metals: EUR 0.3bn capex plan to boost alumina capacity by 50% and produce gallium as well POSITIVE • Poland macro: NBP keeps rates unchanged, as expected • Bank Pekao: to add PLN 370m of FX mortgage provision charges, shielded by PLN 103m of deferred tax asset recognition; positive change in NPL stock NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: USD 3.5m impairment of investment in ...

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