reports
- Bruno Cavalier
- Jerôme Bodin
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
RI PERNOD RICARD SA
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
AMUN AMUNDI SA
VIV VIVENDI SE
PHIA KONINKLIJKE PHILIPS N.V.
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
SAF SAFRAN S.A.
BOL BOLLORE SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
MONC MONCLER SPA
MAP MAPFRE SA
SKF B SKF AB CLASS B
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
LIVS AUTOLIV INC. SDR
DHER DELIVERY HERO SE
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
DWS DWS GROUP GMBH & CO. KGAA
UMI UMICORE
8TRA TRATON SE
P911 DR. ING. H.C. F. PORSCHE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
SGSN SGS SA
TEN TENARIS S.A.
- Bruno Cavalier
- Jerôme Bodin
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
RI PERNOD RICARD SA
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
AMUN AMUNDI SA
VIV VIVENDI SE
PHIA KONINKLIJKE PHILIPS N.V.
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
SAF SAFRAN S.A.
BOL BOLLORE SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
MONC MONCLER SPA
MAP MAPFRE SA
SKF B SKF AB CLASS B
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
LIVS AUTOLIV INC. SDR
DHER DELIVERY HERO SE
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
DWS DWS GROUP GMBH & CO. KGAA
UMI UMICORE
8TRA TRATON SE
P911 DR. ING. H.C. F. PORSCHE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
SGSN SGS SA
TEN TENARIS S.A.
- Jean Danjou
ODDO : Monday review – Luxury sector
>Topic of the week: the good, the not good and the worrying - From the batch of Q1 results, one outstanding performance stands out, the one of Miu Miu that again grew in excess of 80% this quarter. Astutely combining quiet luxury with fantasy, the sister brand of Prada together with Loewe - part of LVMH F&L - are probably the franchises encapsulating the most the current zeitgeist among young luxury shoppers. It stands for only 22% of the group sales and the reaction ...
- Jean Danjou
ODDO : Monday review – Luxury sector
>Topic of the week: the good, the not good and the worrying - From the batch of Q1 results, one outstanding performance stands out, the one of Miu Miu that again grew in excess of 80% this quarter. Astutely combining quiet luxury with fantasy, the sister brand of Prada together with Loewe - part of LVMH F&L - are probably the franchises encapsulating the most the current zeitgeist among young luxury shoppers. It stands for only 22% of the group sales and the reaction ...
- Charlotte Vaisse
- Emmanuel Matot
- Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
- Konrad Zomer
- Thomas Zlowodzki
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 04/25/2024
Having flirted with the 495-point mark on Friday, which could have triggered an extension of the correction, the market has rebounded well since then. Our technical analysis highlights a configuration in which we are only at the start of a powerful rally. Target of 622 points for Stoxx 600 index (+11%) by the end of the year confirmed. Prefer banks to insurance companies in the short term. - ...
LHN LAFARGEHOLCIM LTD.
REL RELX PLC
GET GETLINK SE
IPN IPSEN SA
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
WCH WACKER CHEMIE AG
CA CARREFOUR SA
BVI BUREAU VERITAS SA
SU SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC SE
KNEBV KONE OYJ CLASS B
ORA ORANGE SA
RI PERNOD RICARD SA
ULVR UNILEVER PLC
GLE SOCIETE GENERALE S.A. CLASS A
NESN NESTLE S.A.
ENI ENI S.P.A.
BAS BASF SE
SAN SANOFI
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
SY1 SYMRISE AG
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
REP REPSOL SA
MOCORP METSO OUTOTEC OYJ
KGX KION GROUP AG
MONC MONCLER SPA
ASSA B ASSA ABLOY AB CLASS B
IBE IBERDROLA SA
AZN ASTRAZENECA PLC
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
HFG HELLOFRESH SE
ADYEN ADYEN NV
ERF EUROFINS SCIENTIFIC SOCIETE EUROPEENNE
DSY DASSAULT SYSTEMES SA
AZE AZELIS GROUP NV
ATCO A ATLAS COPCO AB
ML COMPAGNIE GENERALE DES ETABLISSEMENTS MICHELIN
DSFIR KONINKLIJKE DSM N.V.
- Charlotte Vaisse
- Emmanuel Matot
- Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
- Konrad Zomer
- Thomas Zlowodzki
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 25/04/2024
Après avoir frôlé vendredi la barre des 495 points qui aurait pu déclencher la poursuite de la correction, le marché a ensuite bien rebondi. Notre analyse technique met en lumière une configuration où nous ne serions qu’au début d’un rallye puissant. Objectif 622 points (+11%) d’ici à la fin de l’année confirmé sur le Stoxx 600. Préférer les banques aux assurances à court terme. - ...
LHN LAFARGEHOLCIM LTD.
REL RELX PLC
GET GETLINK SE
IPN IPSEN SA
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
WCH WACKER CHEMIE AG
CA CARREFOUR SA
BVI BUREAU VERITAS SA
SU SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC SE
KNEBV KONE OYJ CLASS B
ORA ORANGE SA
RI PERNOD RICARD SA
ULVR UNILEVER PLC
GLE SOCIETE GENERALE S.A. CLASS A
NESN NESTLE S.A.
ENI ENI S.P.A.
BAS BASF SE
SAN SANOFI
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
SY1 SYMRISE AG
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
REP REPSOL SA
MOCORP METSO OUTOTEC OYJ
KGX KION GROUP AG
MONC MONCLER SPA
ASSA B ASSA ABLOY AB CLASS B
IBE IBERDROLA SA
AZN ASTRAZENECA PLC
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
HFG HELLOFRESH SE
ADYEN ADYEN NV
ERF EUROFINS SCIENTIFIC SOCIETE EUROPEENNE
DSY DASSAULT SYSTEMES SA
AZE AZELIS GROUP NV
ATCO A ATLAS COPCO AB
ML COMPAGNIE GENERALE DES ETABLISSEMENTS MICHELIN
DSFIR KONINKLIJKE DSM N.V.
- Jean Danjou
Prada SpA : The Miu Miu moment
>Organic growth still very robust in Q1 at +16.5%, upside undermined by a forex impact of 5 pt - The group’s Q1 2024 revenues reached € 1,187.2m, i.e. +11.5% y-o-y and +16.5% y-o-y at cc (Q4 2023: +18.1% cc), with retail sales at € 1,071.4m, i.e. 17.9% y-o-y at cc (Q4 2023: +17.4%). The Visible Alpha consensus had pointed to revenues in the region of € 1,164m, with organic growth at 13.6% (and retail sales of around € 1,047m, +13.7%), while our revenue forecast was ...
- Jean Danjou
Prada SpA : Le moment Miu Miu
>Croissance toujours très robuste au T1 à +16.5% en organique, l’upside est modéré par un effet changes de 5 pt - Le groupe publie un CA T1 2024 de 1 187.2 M€ soit +11.5% y/y et +16.5% y/y à cc (T4 2023: +18.1% à cc) avec un CA retail atteignant 1 071.4 M€, soit une croissance y/y tcc de 17.9% (T4 2023 : +17.4%). Le consensus Visible Alpha indiquait une prévision de CA proche de 1 164 M€ en croissance organique de 13.6% (CA retail attendu voisin de 1 047 M€, +13.7%...
- Benoit Valleaux
- Bruno Cavalier
- Steven Gould
- Thomas Zlowodzki
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 04/22/2024
EPS growth prospects are brighter in the US than in Europe, which is justified given the differential in the growth and inflation outlook between the two regions. However, the adjustment that has taken place on EPS in Europe is a positive factor: we are now "at the price" ahead of the cyclical recovery that is taking shape for the rest of 2024. Sector-wise, the ongoing upward revision of EPS in travel & leisure, banks and media is expected to continue apace and provide support for sec...
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
SLB.N SCHLUMBERGER NV
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
SW SODEXO SA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
ALO ALSTOM SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
MONC MONCLER SPA
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
HFG HELLOFRESH SE
KBX KNORR-BREMSE AG
- Benoit Valleaux
- Bruno Cavalier
- Steven Gould
- Thomas Zlowodzki
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 22/04/2024
Les perspectives de croissance des BPA sont supérieures aux Etats-Unis qu’en Europe, ce qui est justifié étant donné le différentiel de perspectives de croissance et d’inflation entre les deux zones. L’ajustement qui a eu lieu sur les BPA en Europe est toutefois un facteur positif : nous sommes désormais « au prix » avant la reprise cyclique qui se dessine pour la suite de 2024. Sectoriellement, la révision à la hausse en cours des BPA sur le Travel & Leisure, les banques et les Media...
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
SLB.N SCHLUMBERGER NV
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
SW SODEXO SA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
ALO ALSTOM SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
MONC MONCLER SPA
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
HFG HELLOFRESH SE
KBX KNORR-BREMSE AG
- Jean Danjou
ODDO : Monday review – Luxury sector
>Topic of the week: what we know, what we need - At least we now know with good precision what we need in order for the sector’s perception to improve again. Reporting Q1 sales that featured 2% growth at cc for its soft luxury division, LVMH indicated that over the quarter spending from the Chinese cluster grew 10% while the local demand from Europeans, Americans and Japanese taken together was down in low single digit. To get to the reacceleration, we and the consens...
- Jean Danjou
ODDO : Monday review – Luxury sector
>Topic of the week: what we know, what we need - At least we now know with good precision what we need in order for the sector’s perception to improve again. Reporting Q1 sales that featured 2% growth at cc for its soft luxury division, LVMH indicated that over the quarter spending from the Chinese cluster grew 10% while the local demand from Europeans, Americans and Japanese taken together was down in low single digit. To get to the reacceleration, we and the consens...
- Jean Danjou
ODDO : March down in double digit leads to a -6.3% decline in Q1 for S...
>Swiss watch exports: March down -16.1% leads to a Q1 at -6.3% y-o-y (luxury category also negative over the quarter at -2.8%) - - Over March 2024, exports amounted to CHF 2,002m down 16.1% y-o-y after -3.6% in February and +3.1% in January. This is a very weak figure but was obviously impacted to a good extent by a negative working days effect. On the whole, Q1 was down -6.3% (as a reminder: Q4 2023 witnessed +4.7% growth, FY 2023 growth ended at +7.6%). The l...
- Jean Danjou
ODDO : March down in double digit leads to a -6.3% decline in Q1 for S...
>Swiss watch exports: March down -16.1% leads to a Q1 at -6.3% y-o-y (luxury category also negative over the quarter at -2.8%) - - Over March 2024, exports amounted to CHF 2,002m down 16.1% y-o-y after -3.6% in February and +3.1% in January. This is a very weak figure but was obviously impacted to a good extent by a negative working days effect. On the whole, Q1 was down -6.3% (as a reminder: Q4 2023 witnessed +4.7% growth, FY 2023 growth ended at +7.6%). The l...
- Baptiste Salaville
- Bruno Cavalier
- Jean Danjou
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 15/04/2024
The logistics market is our preferred real estate segment, where the coming growth remains undervalued. We prefer the high growth stock within this segment, CTP. We also have Outperform recommendations on Argan, Montea and VGP. We believe WDP is fully valued, though. - ...
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
SW SODEXO SA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
BC8 BECHTLE AG
ELI ELIA GROUP SA/NV
MONC MONCLER SPA
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
SAP SAP SE
- Baptiste Salaville
- Bruno Cavalier
- Jean Danjou
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 04/15/2024
The logistics market is our preferred real estate segment, where the coming growth remains undervalued. We prefer the high growth stock within this segment, CTP. We also have Outperform recommendations on Argan, Montea and VGP. We believe WDP is fully valued, though. - ...
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
SW SODEXO SA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
BC8 BECHTLE AG
ELI ELIA GROUP SA/NV
MONC MONCLER SPA
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
SAP SAP SE
- Jean Danjou
ODDO : Monday review – Luxury sector
>Topic of the week: no party planned this earnings season - If the most recent trends for luxury stocks are to be taken seriously, expectations related to the coming Q1 earnings season must have been seriously downgraded over the last weeks. The sector as a whole now witnesses a YTD gain below 10% and modestly above the one visible on the Stoxx 600; Hermès aside, it is trading at a discount versus pre-Covid. If a few franchises with above average brand momentum and/or...
- Jean Danjou
ODDO : Monday review – Luxury sector
>Topic of the week: no party planned this earnings season - If the most recent trends for luxury stocks are to be taken seriously, expectations related to the coming Q1 earnings season must have been seriously downgraded over the last weeks. The sector as a whole now witnesses a YTD gain below 10% and modestly above the one visible on the Stoxx 600; Hermès aside, it is trading at a discount versus pre-Covid. If a few franchises with above average brand momentum and/or...
- Ahmed Ben Salem
- Bruno Cavalier
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
ALO ALSTOM SA
ENI ENI S.P.A.
RY4C RYANAIR HOLDINGS PLC
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
REP REPSOL SA
MONC MONCLER SPA
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
BP. BP P.L.C.
SHEL SHELL PLC
- Ahmed Ben Salem
- Bruno Cavalier
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
ALO ALSTOM SA
ENI ENI S.P.A.
RY4C RYANAIR HOLDINGS PLC
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
REP REPSOL SA
MONC MONCLER SPA
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
BP. BP P.L.C.
SHEL SHELL PLC
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