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Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 13.02.2026

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Criterium Energy (CEQ CN)C; Target price of C$0.35 per share: First Gas in 2Q26 with a Likely Upgrade to Discovered Gas Resources – The contract for the construction of a new 21 km gas pipeline (previously 14 km) for the SE‑MGH 5–7 mmcf/d development was signed in early January. Site preparation is already underway, with first gas expected in 2Q26. Project capex is now estimated at US$2 mm (vs. prior guidance of US$2–3 mm), of which US...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Valeura Energy (TSX: VLE): Impressive reserves replacement ratio

• YE25 2P reserves were estimated at 57.8 mmbbl, implying a reserves‑replacement ratio of 192%. Even excluding the previously disclosed Wassana additions at FID, the company still achieved 100% organic replacement of 2025 production, adding 8.5 mmbbl of reserves. At US$10/bbl, this equates to roughly C$1.20 per share of value creation. • This performance is particularly notable given that the reserves auditor reduced its Brent price assumptions by ~US$7–15/bbl from 2026 onward, which had a negat...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 30.01.2026

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price of £0.40 per share: High production on low decline at Mateguafa – The M-8 well has been brought onstream in the C9 formation (30 ft of oil pay) at 230 bbl/d gross (115 bbl/d net) on a 28/128 choke with 78% water cut. The three C7 intervals did not flow commercial hydrocarbons. The well also encountered 12 ft of net pay in the Gacheta. Although M‑8 is the smallest contributor to field output,...

Hybridan Team ... (+2)
  • Hybridan Team
  • Jon Levinson

Hybridan Small Cap Feast: 28 January 2026

28th January 2026 @HybridanLLP Our daily digest of news from UK Small Caps * A corporate client of Hybridan LLP. ** Potential means Intention to Float (ITF) or similar announcement has been made. ***Arranged by type of listing and date of announcement. ****Alphabetically arranged and priced on Share Price and Market Capitalisation during the time of writing on the day of Publication. Dish of the Day Admissions: Following a Reverse Tak...

Daniel Slater
  • Daniel Slater

Arrow Exploration (AXL LN) - M-8 well result - BUY

Arrow has announced the results of the M-8 well on its Mateguafa Attic discovery, adding further to company production as the drilling programme continues.

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Arrow Exploration Corp. (AIM: AXL): High production on low decline at ...

• The M-8 well has been brought onstream in the C9 formation (30 ft of oil pay) at 230 bbl/d gross (115 bbl/d net) on a 28/128 choke with 78% water cut. The three C7 intervals did not flow commercial hydrocarbons. The well also encountered 12 ft of net pay in the Gacheta. Although M‑8 is the smallest contributor to field output, it was drilled as a step out the north where it has extended the field with additional drilling opportunities.. • Mateguafa production remains robust, with lower‑than‑ex...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 16.01.2026

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Condor Energies (CDR CN)C; Target price of C$5.60 per share: Uzbekistan production boost: two new wells onstream in February – The first horizontal well is now onstream. Only the shallower interval has been tested to date, delivering 3.6 mmcf/d. The full ~1 km lateral — including the zones with the strongest gas‑show responses — has not yet been accessed. A larger‑diameter coiled‑tubing unit than is currently available is required to d...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Valeura Energy (TSX: VLE): Ending 2025 with a bang. Busy 2026

• 4Q25 production averaged 24,721 bbl/d, comparing favourably with the 24,537 bbl/d reported during the first two weeks of November and coming in roughly 600 bbl/d above our forecasts. The strong quarter reflects the performance of the Jasmine drilling programme, where 9 new producers were drilled, including 8 horizontals. This campaign lifted Jasmine output from 7,300 bbl/d to 8,600 bbl/d. • The company reported ~US$306 mm in cash at YE25, ~US$20 mm above our expectations, supported by favourab...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 09.01.2026

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Condor Energies (CDR CN)C; Target price of C$5.60 per share: Accelerating drilling following C$13.65 mm financing – Following the closing of the C$13.65 mm convertible financing, Condor plans to accelerate its Uzbekistan drilling programme by deploying a second rig, enabling the drilling of 12 new wells in 2026. This programme has the potential to lift gross production to 18–20 mboe/d by YE26 and materially increase reserves. The C$13....

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Zephyr Energy Plc (AIM: ZPHR): Reaching key agreement with Enbridge

• Zephyr has entered into a framework agreement with Enbridge to allow for interconnect services from Zephyr’s Powerline Road Gas Plant into Enbridge’s 16” pipeline, with ultimate access to the Williams Northwest Pipeline and enabling sales into the broader Western U.S. gas market. • This represents a major de‑risking milestone, as securing a tie‑in agreement was the key uncertainty affecting the timeline for first gas from the Paradox project. • We maintain our expectation of first gas in 2026...

Daniel Slater
  • Daniel Slater

Arrow Exploration (AXL LN) - M-H7 well result - BUY

Arrow has announced the successful result of its M-H7 horizontal well, which is now onstream and adding materially to company production.

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Arrow Exploration Corp. (AIM: AXL): High flow rate at first Mateguafa ...

• M-HZ7, the first horizontal well at Mateguafa Attic, has been brought onstream in the C9 zone. It is producing on a small choke (25/128) at a restricted gross oil rate of 1,694 bbl/d (847 bbl/d net to Arrow), with oil quality of 30.6° API and a 4% water cut. This initial rate is approximately double that of the M-6 vertical well. • This is a highly encouraging result, as it demonstrates the potential to develop the Mateguafa Attic field with horizontal wells. It suggests the field is larger th...

Daniel Slater
  • Daniel Slater

Arrow Exploration (AXL LN) - Q3 2025 Results - BUY

Arrow recently released its Q3 2025 results, reporting ongoing production driving cash flow and funding continued progress on the company’s drilling programme on its Tapir block in Colombia.

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 28/11/2025

Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price of £0.40 per share: Another positive result at Mateguafa Attic – The M-6 vertical well has encountered 30 ft of net oil pay in the Carbonera C9 formation (previously named Guadalupe). This compares favourably with the results of the M-5 well that encountered ~ 26 feet of net oil pay in the same formation. This result provides a strong foundation for the first horizontal well at Mateguafa (M-HZ7), already spudded and expected to come onstream in Decemb...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Arrow Exploration Corp. (AIM: AXL): Rebuilding cash momentum; Icaco pr...

• Arrow reported 3Q25 production of 4,214 boe/d, broadly in line with our ~4.4 mboe/d expectation. • The company held US$6.5 mm in cash at end‑September (with no debt), rising to US$8.2 mm by 1 November. • With only one rig currently in operation, recent drilling success at M‑5 and M‑6, and the imminent contribution from the M‑HZ7 horizontal well, we expect Arrow’s cash position to continue to strengthen. • The next four months will be very material. M‑HZ7 is the first horizontal well targeting...

Daniel Slater
  • Daniel Slater

Arrow Exploration (AXL LN) - M-6 well results - BUY

Arrow has announced the successful result of its M-6 well, drilled on the recent Mateguafa Attic discovery. M-6 has now been brought onstream, contributing to company production, and the next well, M-7 has also now spudded.

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Arrow Exploration Corp. (AIM: AXL): Another positive result at Mategua...

• The M-6 vertical well has encountered 30 ft of net oil pay in the Carbonera C9 formation (previously named Guadalupe). This compares favourably with the results of the M-5 well that encountered ~ 26 feet of net oil pay in the same formation. This result provides a strong foundation for the first horizontal well at Mateguafa (M-HZ7), already spudded and expected to come onstream in December. Additional horizontal wells could follow, with the Mateguafa Attic potentially proving more material tha...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 21/11/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Condor Energies (CDR CN)C; Target price of C$5.90 per share: Imminent flow rate results for first horizontal well. LNG facility construction 90% complete. – 3Q25 production averaged 9,978 mboe/d, broadly in line with expectations. In Uzbekistan, drilling of a 1,000‑meter lateral section at the first horizontal well is underway, with numerous mud gas shows recorded. The lateral may be extended, and the well is expected to be brought ons...

Hybridan Team
  • Hybridan Team

Hybridan Small Cap Feast: 20 November 2025

* A corporate client of Hybridan LLP. ** Potential means Intention to Float (ITF) or similar announcement has been made. ***Arranged by type of listing and date of announcement. ****Alphabetically arranged and priced on Share Price and Market Capitalisation during the time of writing on the day of Publication. Dish of the Day Admissions: None Delistings: None What’s baking in the oven? Potential** Initial Public Offerings:*** 24th October: Sterling Digital, the bitcoin minin...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Zephyr Energy Plc (AIM: ZPHR): Potential resource boost in the Paradox

• Zephyr has nominated ~38,000 net contiguous Paradox acres for inclusion in upcoming federal lease sales by the U.S. Bureau of Land Management. If fully awarded, this would represent a material expansion of the current 46,000 net acre position, of which only ~20,000 acres are currently covered by seismic. Existing estimates of ~35 mmboe 2P reserves and 39 mmboe contingent resources are based solely on those 20,000 acres. If successful, the company intends to shoot 3D seismic across the addition...

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