reports
- Stephane Foucaud
Zephyr Energy Plc (AIM: ZPHR): ~35 mmboe net 2P reserves in the Parado...
• Zephyr is estimated to hold 35.2 mmboe net 2P reserves (net of royalty) and 74.2 mmboe 3P plus contingent resources in the Paradox. The 2P case assumes 12 drilling locations, including 3 existing wells. These volumes are materially higher than in the 2022 CPR (25x for 2P) and align with the May management estimates (25.6–89.5 mmboe vs. 35.2–74.2 mmboe in the new CPR’s 2P–3P+2C range). The 3P+2C case includes 11 additional locations (further from the existing wells) vs. the 2P case. • The CPR a...
- Stephane Foucaud
AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 03/10/2025
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price of £0.40 per share: Dry hole at Mateguafa Oeste but three more prospects to drill – The Mateguafa Oeste was water wet. Our ReNAV for the well was £0.09 per share. We did not carry any production from this prospect in our cash flow forecast. The rig will now move to Mateguafa Attic where the Mateguafa 5 vertical well will be drilled in November. This is a low risk well that is a step out to M...
TLW TULLOW OIL PLC
TXP TOUCHSTONE EXPLORATION
ENI ENI S.P.A.
PXT PAREX RESOURCES INC.
ENW ENWELL ENERGY
SQZ SERICA ENERGY
MATD PETRO MATAD
XOM EXXON MOBIL CORPORATION
BP. BP P.L.C.
ZPHR ZEPHYR ENERGY
JSE JADESTONE ENERGY
CRCL CORCEL
AXL. ARROW EXPLORATION LTD
J4V VAR ENERGI ASA
UKOG UK OIL & GAS PLC
PLSR PULSAR HELIUM INC.
- Hybridan Team
- Jon Levinson
Hybridan Small Cap Feast: 01/10/2025
1st October 2025 @HybridanLLP * A corporate client of Hybridan LLP. ** Potential means Intention to Float (ITF) or similar announcement has been made. ***Arranged by type of listing and date of announcement. ****Alphabetically arranged and priced on Share Price and Market Capitalisation during the time of writing on the day of Publication. Dish of the day Admissions: None Delistings: None What’s baking in the oven? Potential** Initial...
- Stephane Foucaud
Arrow Exploration Corp. (AIM: AXL): Dry hole at Mateguafa Oeste but th...
• The Mateguafa Oeste was water wet. Our ReNAV for the well was £0.09 per share. We did not carry any production from this prospect in our cash flow forecast. • The rig will now move to Mateguafa Attic where the Mateguafa 5 vertical well will be drilled in November. This is a low risk well that is a step out to Mateguafa 1 and Mateguafa 3, which together historically produced 0.6 mmbbl of oil out of the Carbonera zone, C7. This target is geologically independent from the Mateguafa Oeste prospect...
- Stephane Foucaud
Zephyr Energy Plc (AIM: ZPHR): All eyes on upcoming CPR for the Parado...
• 2Q25 sales (excluding NGLs) averaged 632 boe/d, reflecting continued operator-imposed constraints on the six Slawson wells due to prevailing low commodity prices. Aggregate production from these wells in 1H25 was 141 boe/d, below management’s forecast of 214 boe/d. Importantly, there are no reservoir integrity concerns. With the recent completion of a production acquisition which has added approximately 380 moe/d from June, and the potential for the Slawson wells to come back online, we believ...
- Stephane Foucaud
AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 05/09/2025
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; Target price of A$0.30 per share: Firming-up the exploration portfolio in Austria – ADX has matured its Austrian exploration portfolio following: (1) recent drilling results, (2) licence area modifications, and (3) updated technical evaluations. Excluding the Welchau-1 well drilled in 2024—where resource classification remains pending due to suspended flow testing (following an environmental objection)—ADX has del...
- Stephane Foucaud
Arrow Exploration Corp. (AIM: AXL): Potential reserves addition in the...
• Current production exceeds 4,800 boe/d, marking an increase of approximately 600 boe/d since the last reported figure on 28 August. • This uplift reflects the contribution of two new wells brought online. CN HZ13 is producing ~1,000 bbl/d gross (~500 bbl/d net) from the Ubaque reservoir, with a water cut of 32%. AB-3, a vertical well, has been recompleted in the C7 formation and is currently producing 840 bbl/d gross (420 bbl/d net) with a water cut of 73%. The well is still in clean-up phase....
- Hybridan Team
- Jon Levinson
Hybridan Small Cap Feast: 01/09/2025
Our daily digest of news from UK Small Caps 1st September 2025 @HybridanLLP * A corporate client of Hybridan LLP. ** Potential means Intention to Float (ITF) or similar announcement has been made. ***Arranged by type of listing and date of announcement. ****Alphabetically arranged and Closing Price on prior day to Publication. Dish of the day Admissions: Astrid Intelligence (AQSE:ASTR) moved to the AQSE Growth Market from the Main marke...
- Stephane Foucaud
AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 29/08/2025
Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price of £0.50 per share: High impact exploration drilling in 2H25 – 2Q25 production averaged 3,768 boe/d, impacted by water handling constraints and steeper-than-anticipated early declines at newly drilled wells. Current WI production stands at ~4,200 boe/d, down from the July peak of 4,600–4,800 boe/d, which reflected initial flush output from AB-HZ5 and AB-HZ4. While first-month decline rates are steep, Arrow has observed that post-month-one declines are...
ALVOF ALVOPETRO ENERGY LTD
KAR KAROON GAS AUSTRALIA LTD.
SAVE SAVANNAH ENERGY
GKP GULF KEYSTONE PETROLEUM LTD.
ZPHR ZEPHYR ENERGY
AXL. ARROW EXPLORATION LTD
PXEN PROSPEX ENERGY PLC
CEQ CRITERIUM ENERGY LTD.
NOG NOSTRUM OIL & GAS PLC
IVZ INVICTUS ENERGY
HEVI HELIUM EVOLUTION
INC. (HEVI)
- Stephane Foucaud
Arrow Exploration Corp. (AIM: AXL): High impact exploration drilling i...
• 2Q25 production averaged 3,768 boe/d, impacted by water handling constraints and steeper-than-anticipated early declines at newly drilled wells. • Current WI production stands at ~4,200 boe/d, down from the July peak of 4,600–4,800 boe/d, which reflected initial flush output from AB-HZ5 and AB-HZ4. While first-month decline rates are steep, Arrow has observed that post-month-one declines are minimal. For example, recent horizontal wells have delivered initial rates exceeding 1,000 bbl/d, decli...
- Daniel Slater
- Stephane Foucaud
Zephyr Energy Plc (AIM: ZPHR): Completing Rockies acquisition with low...
• Zephyr has completed the acquisition of its new Rockies portfolio. On closing, the company divested a small package of newly acquired operated wells in North Dakota and Wyoming to a neighbouring private upstream operator for US$0.7 mm in cash. The buyer also assumed approximately US$0.8 mm in predominantly near-term plugging and abandonment liabilities that Zephyr would otherwise have incurred within the next year. • Post-divestment, the net acquisition is expected to contribute 388 boe/d of ...
- Stephane Foucaud
AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 08/08/2025
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; Target price of A$0.30 per share: High production at Z&G. Low risk exploration drilling in Austria to start in 4Q25/1Q26 – 2Q25 net production of 303 boe/d was higher than our expectations of ~270 boe/d following a 5 well intervention programme at the Zisterdorf and Gaiselberg fields in the Vienna Basin. The programme included (1) repair of subsurface equipment, (2) clean out of a down hole sand control (3) perfor...
EOG EUROPA OIL & GAS (HOLDINGS) PLC
GTE GRAN TIERRA ENERGY
GPRK GEOPARK
EGY VAALCO ENERGY INC.
GENL GENEL ENERGY
ALVOF ALVOPETRO ENERGY LTD
PEN PANORO ENERGY ASA
SNM SHAMARAN PETROLEUM CORP.
VLE VALEURA ENERGY INC.
SQZ SERICA ENERGY
FEC FRONTERA ENERGY CORP
BP. BP P.L.C.
CNE CANACOL ENERGY LTD
KOS KOSMOS ENERGY LTD.
ORC/B ORCA EXPLORATION GROUP CL B
TAL PETROTAL (TAL)
HBR HARBOUR ENERGY PLC
ADX ADX ENERGY LTD
TNZ TENAZ ENERGY CORP
- Stephane Foucaud
Valeura Energy (TSX: VLE): Another impressive acquisition in Thailand
• 2Q25 production of 23.15 mbbl/d and net cash of US$242 mm at the end of June have been previously disclosed. • Valeura’s average production over the first five days of August has increased to 23,150 bbl/d. The company has re-iterated its FY25 guidance including 23-25.5 mbbl/d for production. • With no further corporate tax payable in Thailand for the remainder of 2025, we forecast YE25 net cash to rise to US$310 mm—equivalent to ~45% of the current market cap. The shares continue to offer dee...
- Stephane Foucaud
AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 01/08/2025
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; Target price of A$0.30 per share: Operating update – Net production in Austria was 303 boe/d. The company held A$4.8 mm in cash at the end of June. Criterium Energy (CEQ CN)C; Target price of C$0.35 per share: Successful flow test at North-MGH boosts expected 2H26 gas production to 7-10 mmcf/d – The MGH-20 well in the North Mengoepeh (MGH) field tested 2.8 mmcf/d with associated oil. This is a positive surprise a...
QEC QUESTERRE ENERGY CORP.
GTE GRAN TIERRA ENERGY
RKH ROCKHOPPER EXPLORATION
OMV OMV AG
PXT PAREX RESOURCES INC.
SEI. SINTANA ENERGY
VLE VALEURA ENERGY INC.
SQZ SERICA ENERGY
BWE BW ENERGY
SEPLAT SEPLAT ENERGY PLC
SOUC SOUTHERN ENERGY CORP
PXEN PROSPEX ENERGY PLC
CEQ CRITERIUM ENERGY LTD.
NOG NOSTRUM OIL & GAS PLC
PRD PREDATOR OIL & GAS HOLDINGS PLC
ADX ADX ENERGY LTD
MCFNF MCF ENERGY LTD
SHELL ROYAL DUTCH SHELL
- Hybridan Team
- Jon Levinson
Hybridan Small Cap Feast: 30/07/2025
30th July 2025 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been provided as a general market commentary and is issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as investment advice; a recommendation; an offer to sell; nor solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument. Nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract re...
- Stephane Foucaud
Valeura Energy (TSX: VLE): Another impressive acquisition in Thailand
• Valeura is acquiring from PTTEP 40% WI in Blocks G1/65 and G3/65 with a combined area of 20,134 km2 and bordering some of the largest gas fields in Thailand (Erawan and Bongkot). The blocks have multiple gas discoveries that could be developed shortly as tie backs to existing infrastructure—positioning Valeura to potentially book its first gas reserves in the near term. Both licences offer oil potential adjacent to Valeura’s current production. • Located immediately south of the Rossukon oil ...
- Stephane Foucaud
AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 18/07/2025
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price of £0.70 per share: AB wells deliver flow rates above expectations – Current production ranges between 4,600 and 4,800 bbl/d driven by strong performance from two new horizontal wells at Alberta Llanos (AB). AB-HZ5, onstream for ~2 weeks, is producing 1,790 bbl/d (895 bbl/d net to Arrow), while AB-HZ4, online for over a month, continues to produce 880 bbl/d (440 bbl/d net). Both wells are ou...
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
GPRK GEOPARK
OMV OMV AG
TXP TOUCHSTONE EXPLORATION
GENL GENEL ENERGY
SEY STERLING ENERGY PLC
ENI ENI S.P.A.
SEI. SINTANA ENERGY
PEN PANORO ENERGY ASA
ENQ ENQUEST PLC
SNM SHAMARAN PETROLEUM CORP.
PHAR PHAROS ENERGY
GKP GULF KEYSTONE PETROLEUM LTD.
ZEN ZENITH ENERGY
BP. BP P.L.C.
CNE CANACOL ENERGY LTD
ZPHR ZEPHYR ENERGY
OKEA OKEA
JSE JADESTONE ENERGY
BWE BW ENERGY
CRCL CORCEL
AXL. ARROW EXPLORATION LTD
TAL PETROTAL (TAL)
- Stephane Foucaud
Zephyr Energy Plc (AIM: ZPHR): Refining the path to first production i...
• The Paradox initial processing capacity is envisaged to be able to handle 5-10 mmcf/d. Our base case assumes a conservative 5 mmcf/d, although throughput capacity is expected to increase with the tie-in of additional wells, including 16-2LN-CC and 28-11. Notably, the plant’s initial capacity is below the production potential of the 36-2R well. • The light condensate (52–60° API) produced is expected to command a premium over benchmark crudes, given its suitability for blending with lower-qual...
- Daniel Slater
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