HEADLINES: • EMEA airlines: disruption in Middle East operations • Romanian banks: draft government plan suggests new tax on banks is being considered • MOL: to acquire Budapest University of Technology and Economics NEGATIVE • Graphisoft Park: sells residential land plot POSITIVE • CEZ: AGM approves dividend of CZK 47/share NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: to invest in solar power plant in Bulgaria NEUTRAL • OPAP: Greece invites bidders for State lotteries licence NEUTRAL • Short News (BFT, CDR)
HEADLINES: • Greek banks: take a bow (Alpha downgraded to HOLD, Eurobank stays HOLD, NBG stays BUY and Piraeus upgraded to BUY) • PGE: new strategy assumes PLN 30bn of EBITDA in 2035E and PLN 235bn in capex in 2025-35E NEUTRAL • Bank Pekao/PZU: call for analysts and investors to discuss potential merger • CCC: final 1Q25 results spot on the prelims NEUTRAL • Romania macro: inflation jumps in May • GEK Terna: clinches EUR 1bn of Romanian railway projects POSITIVE • Athens Exchange Group: AGM appr...
The Greek banking index has risen by 53% (62% with dividends), driven by higher P/E multiples and EPS upgrades since our April 2024 reinitiation. In this report, we raise our average normalised EPS forecasts for the big four Greek banks under our coverage by 10% for 2025E and 11% for 2026E, due mainly to stronger fees and lower COR. Our NII estimates for 2025-26E remain broadly unchanged, despite the lower-than-expected interest rates. The banks have also maintained their 2025-27E targets in the...
EME Equity Market – May 2025 EME indices mostly in the green in May, apart from Türkiye. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 3.6% mom in EUR and USD terms. The Greek ASE index (+7.8% mom) was the best performer, followed by the Czech PX (+6.6% mom) and Romanian BET indices (+5.0% mom), the Hungarian BUX (+4.0% mom) and the Polish WIG20 (+2.0% mom; all in EUR terms). The Turkish ISE30 Index was, again, the worst performer, with a more modest decline (-1.4% mom in EUR terms) this time.
Two Directors at Eurobank Ergasias Services And Holdings sold 48,617 shares at between 2.831EUR and 2.837EUR. The significance rating of the trade was 57/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company...
In line quarter; comps to get tougher in H2 – OPAP has reported results in line with our projections delivering 8% revenue growth (to €595m) and 9% higher EBITDA (to €207m). In general, Q1 looks in symphony with the recent experience, namely strong online growth (+20%, powered by Stoiximan) and healthy retail (+4%). Across the verticals, betting (+13%, helped by strong sports margins) and online casino (+20%) stood out. We remind that the quarter benefited from favourable sports results and the ...
In line quarter; comps to get tougher in H2 – OPAP has reported results in line with our projections delivering 8% revenue growth (to €595m) and 9% higher EBITDA (to €207m). In general, Q1 looks in symphony with the recent experience, namely strong online growth (+20%, powered by Stoiximan) and healthy retail (+4%). Across the verticals, betting (+13%, helped by strong sports margins) and online casino (+20%) stood out. We remind that the quarter benefited from favourable sports results and the ...
HEADLINES: • Bank Handlowy: sells retail operations, sets 2027E ROE target of 19% • Asseco Poland: 1Q25 review – net profit up 9% yoy, in line with the consensus; 2025 backlog up 10% yoy POSITIVE • PGE: full 1Q25 results in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: 1Q25 adjusted EBITDA in line with our expectations NEUTRAL • Diagnostyka: 1Q25 results in line with expectations NEUTRAL • Benefit Systems: 1Q25 earnings call takeaways – very optimistic on MAC Group POSITIVE • Grupa Pracuj:...
HEADLINES: InPost: international level (stays BUY) Romania macro: presidential election - final results Poland macro: election results 11 bit studios: 1Q25 earnings call – happy with wishlist for The Alters, no plans for pre-orders NEUTRAL Budimex: PLN 1.7bn offer rated the highest in the railway tender POSITIVE Mo-BRUK: management recommends PLN 13.17 DPS from the 2024 earnings NEUTRAL Greek banks: the Greek media reports that the banks could look into reacquiring working mortgages from NPL ser...
Q1 Results Beat Estimates – Greek banks kicked off 2025 with a strong set of Q1, reporting net profits of €1.26bn, down just 4% qoq but coming in 5% above our expectations and 8% ahead of consensus, with Alpha Bank and NBG leading the beat (24% and 17% vs cons, respectively). Results were supported by resilient NII (in line), tight cost control (OpEx slightly below), and a solid trading line beat. Credit quality remained stable, with average CoR broadly in line at c50bps. Sector-wide NII fell 5%...
Q1 Results Beat Estimates – Greek banks kicked off 2025 with a strong set of Q1, reporting net profits of €1.26bn, down just 4% qoq but coming in 5% above our expectations and 8% ahead of consensus, with Alpha Bank and NBG leading the beat (24% and 17% vs cons, respectively). Results were supported by resilient NII (in line), tight cost control (OpEx slightly below), and a solid trading line beat. Credit quality remained stable, with average CoR broadly in line at c50bps. Sector-wide NII fell 5%...
HEADLINES: • Bank Millennium: solid, but neutral, set of 1Q25 results; FX mortgage saga still eating material part of profits • Jahez: mixed 1Q25 results, affected by seasonality and intensified competition NEGATIVE • CCC: preliminary 1Q25 EBITDA beats expectations by 2-8%, on FX differences NEUTRAL • Auto Partner: April sales growth slows down to 5% yoy NEGATIVE • Inter Cars: April sales growth decelerates to 6% yoy NEGATIVE • Richter: Trump promises 30-80% cuts in US drug prices NEGATIVE • For...
HEADLINES: • BIM: weak results in 1Q25 NEGATIVE • MOL: 1Q25 results – strong EBITDA, big net income beat POSITIVE • OTP Bank: neutral 1Q25 results, but supported strongly by Russian operations NEUTRAL • AmRest: 1Q25 below expectations, due to EUR 5m negative one-off NEUTRAL • NLB Group: small bottom-line miss in 1Q25, but guidance maintained NEUTRAL • National Bank of Greece: 1Q25 highlights POSITIVE • Eurobank Ergasias Services: 1Q25 highlights NEUTRAL • Alpha Services and Holdings: 1Q25 highli...
HEADLINES: • ING BSK: 1Q25 results in line with expectations and our annual 2025E expectations NEUTRAL • Jeronimo Martins: beat in 1Q25; Biedronka margin stabilised, despite adverse calendar effect; FY25E guidance maintained POSITIVE • Bank Handlowy: dull 1Q25 results; dividend recommendation due later in May; uncertainty over impact of sale of retail operations persisting NEUTRAL • Budimex: 1Q25 EBITDA misses forecast slightly, backlog down marginally qoq, but rising amount of pending contracts...
FY24 as resilient as could be given multiple headwinds… – 2024 left us with mixed feelings, with Jumbo delivering just 4% adj. EBITDA and c3% adj. EPS growth on 6.3% sales growth, due to mild gross margin compression and cost deleveraging from new capacity (c0.7pps increase in opex/sales). That said, the actual performance eclipsed the overly cautious message echoed by mgt last summer (flat net income), validating the resilience of the business model. FCF was weaker than our expectation due to ...
HEADLINES: • Romania: first round of presidential election signals tough times ahead • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (28 April-4 May) • Al Arabia: signs Riyadh train and buses contract POSITIVE • Al Arabia: Faden Media signs a contract with the Jeddah Municipality POSITIVE • Huuuge Games: April bookings estimate down 10% mom, to USD 9m NEGATIVE • Ten Square Games: April bookings estimate down 3% mom, deeper declines in core titles NEGATIVE • Gentoo Media: delisting from the Oslo Børs to b...
FY24 as resilient as could be given multiple headwinds… – 2024 left us with mixed feelings, with Jumbo delivering just 4% adj. EBITDA and c3% adj. EPS growth on 6.3% sales growth, due to mild gross margin compression and cost deleveraging from new capacity (c0.7pps increase in opex/sales). That said, the actual performance eclipsed the overly cautious message echoed by mgt last summer (flat net income), validating the resilience of the business model. FCF was weaker than our expectation due to ...
EME Equity Market – April 2025 EME indices mostly in the red in April, Hungarian BUX and Greek ASE the exceptions. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 2.0% mom in EUR terms, but was up 2.9% mom in USD terms in April. The Hungarian BUX was the best performer, followed by the Greek ASE index (+3.5% and 0.8% mom in EUR terms, respectively). There was a slight decline in the Polish WIG20, and more pronounced deteriorations in the Romanian BET and Czech PX indices (-0.6%, -2.0% and -4.2% mom in EUR ...
HEADLINES: • Theon International: 1Q25 trading update – strong execution, rich options POSITIVE • Kruk: 1Q25 results, beat driven by Wonga, debt purchased segment in line, but slowing growth dynamics NEUTRAL • Siauliu Bankas: rather weak 1Q25, but maintained outlook should provide some support NEGATIVE • Medicover: 1Q25 beat on admin costs and other financial income POSITIVE • Otokar: 1Q25 results – continuing losses on the operating and bottom lines • Tofas: weak set of results in 1Q25, as anti...
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