reports
- Colin Lee
- Ejann Hiew
- Johnny Yum Chung Man
China IT Hardware: Handset Sector - Analysing Cost Impact Of Memory Pr...
Amid the memory chip supercycle, our estimates show that low-end/mid-range/high-end phones will see a 16.7%/12.0%/9.3% increase in BOM cost in 2026, which will be absorbed by consumers, smartphone OEMs and component suppliers. The impact will spread unevenly across the industry, but high-end phones will be less affected than others; smartphone OEMs absorbing the bulk of the costs will make component suppliers better positioned, and Apple’s supply chain will outperform Android thanks to Apple’s s...
- Colin Lee
- Ejann Hiew
- Johnny Yum Chung Man
Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK): 3Q25: In-line Results Amid Ongoing Headwinds.
Xiaomi’s EV business has turned around in 3Q and shipment numbers are on track to reach consensus estimates of over 400,000 units. The tight memory supply and cost hikes will inevitably impact Xiaomi’s margins through 2026, although Xiaomi is able to secure sufficient supply for 2026 and is looking to partially mitigate cost pressure through ASP hikes and shifts to premium devices. Maintain BUY; cut target price to HK$54.60 but advise staying on the sidelines amid poor market sentiment.
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Colin Lee
- Ejann Hiew
- Gigi Cheuk
- Johnny Yum Chung Man
- Joyce Chu
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kate Luang
- Ken Lee
- Ming San Soong
Greater China Daily: Wednesday, November 19, 2025
Top Stories Initiate Coverage | Pony AI Inc (PONY US/BUY/US$12.18/Target: US$26.10) Pony AI is a global leader in autonomous mobility, leveraging its virtual driver technology to enable the mass production and deployment of autonomous vehicles across diverse regions. We expect revenue to grow at a three-year CAGR of 65% from 2024-27, net loss to narrow, and bottom line to turn around in 2028, driven by large-scale commercialisation. Initiate coverage with BUY and a target price of US$26.10 for ...
- Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Benyamin Mikael
- Colin Lee
- Ejann Hiew
- Gigi Cheuk
- Johnny Yum Chung Man
- Joyce Chu
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kate Luang
- Ken Lee
- Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
- Kong Ho Meng
- Krit Tanarattananon
- Ming San Soong
- Thailand Research Team
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, November 19, 2025
Greater China Initiate Coverage | Pony AI Inc (PONY US/BUY/US$12.18/Target: US$26.10) Pony AI is a global leader in autonomous mobility, leveraging its virtual driver technology to enable the mass production and deployment of autonomous vehicles across diverse regions. We expect revenue to grow at a three-year CAGR of 65% from 2024-27, net loss to narrow, and bottom line to turn around in 2028, driven by large-scale commercialisation. Initiate coverage with BUY and a target price of US$26.10...
KBANK KASIKORNBANK PUBLIC CO. LTD.
THAI THAI AIRWAYS INTERNATIONAL PCL
CENTEL
SPRC CENTRAL PLAZA HOTEL
01810 STAR PETROLEUM REFINING
PDD XIAOMI CORP. CLASS B
DLG PINDUODUO INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
2633 DIALOG GROUP BHD
SCGP JACOBSON PHARMA CORP LTD
OR SCG PACKAGING PCL
YZJFH PTT OIL AND RETAIL BUSINESS PUBLIC CO LIMITED
DOHOME PINDUODUO PDD US
09961 YANGZIJIANG FINANCIAL HOLDING
PONY DOHOME PCL
BRMS IJ CTRIP.COM INTERNATIONAL
PONY AI INC
BUMI RESOURCES MINERALS
- Colin Lee
- Ejann Hiew
- Johnny Yum Chung Man
Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK): 3Q25 Results Preview: EV Segment Likely Reachin...
Xiaomi’s EV business is expected to finally reach profitability at the operating level, thanks to rising operating scale and operational optimisation of its existing plant. Meanwhile, the smartphone business faces some near-term headwinds from rising memory prices, which have impacted margins and is likely to persist in the coming quarters. The IoT segment’s growth is slowing, but we believe it is still operating at a good scale, with margins still expanding sequentially. Maintain BUY; trim targ...
- Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Colin Lee
- Desmond Chong Chee Wai
- Ejann Hiew
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- John Cheong Ming Chern
- Johnny Yum Chung Man
- Kasemsun Koonnara
- Shirley Wang Xueyi
- Stella Guo Yuting
- Sunny Chen
- Willinoy Sitorus
- Ziv Ang Sze Champ
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, October 28, 2025
Greater China Company Results | China Resources Building Materials Technology (1313 HK/BUY/HK$1.75 /Target: HK$2.06) CR Building Mat Tech’s 9M25 results were below expectations, with earnings up 7.3% yoy to Rmb331m on lower coal costs. Weather disruptions weighed on 3Q25 cement sales volume, while Guangdong prices stayed soft. Aggregates turned loss-making, prompting capex cuts. Management guided 2025 sales of 55m tonnes (-10.9% yoy) and highlighted a planned capacity-exit fund as a medium-term ...
3993 CHINA MOLYBDENUM CO. LTD. CLASS H
AIY IFAST
SPALI SUPALAI PCL
7160 PENTAMASTER CORP. BHD
CENTEL CENTRAL PLAZA HOTEL
X2S SINOPHARM GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
0168 TSINGTAO BREWERY CO. LTD. CLASS H
01810 XIAOMI CORP. CLASS B
02208 XINJIANG GOLDWIND SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD. CLASS H
1313 WUXI APPTEC CO. LTD. CLASS H
CAREIT CHINA RESOURCES BUILDING MATERIALS TECHNOLOGY HOLDINGS LTD
CENTURION ACCOMMODATION REIT
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Colin Lee
- Ejann Hiew
- Greater China Research Team
- Johnny Yum Chung Man
- Shirley Wang Xueyi
- Stella Guo Yuting
- Sunny Chen
- Ziv Ang Sze Champ
Greater China Daily: Tuesday, October 28, 2025
Top Stories Company Results | CMOC (3993 HK/BUY/HK$17.04/Target: HK$20.30) CMOC’s 9M25 net profit rose 72.6% yoy to Rmb14,279.7m, driven by higher copper prices and a record output of 543,000 tonnes (+14.1% yoy). Gross margin expanded to 22.0% (+4.3ppt yoy) on stronger copper and cobalt prices, while the DRC export quota continued to constrain cobalt sales. KFM Phase 2 will add around 100,000 tonnes to copper capacity by 2027. We maintain BUY on CMOC with a higher target price of HK$20.30. Com...
3993 CHINA MOLYBDENUM CO. LTD. CLASS H
X2S SINOPHARM GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
0168 TSINGTAO BREWERY CO. LTD. CLASS H
01810 XIAOMI CORP. CLASS B
603259 WUXI APPTEC CO. LTD. CLASS A
02208 XINJIANG GOLDWIND SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD. CLASS H
1313 WUXI APPTEC CO. LTD. CLASS H
CHINA RESOURCES BUILDING MATERIALS TECHNOLOGY HOLDINGS LTD
- Colin Lee
- Ejann Hiew
- Johnny Yum Chung Man
China IT Hardware: AI Development Is Further Accelerating And Benefitt...
AI infrastructure investments continue to surge, with consensus forecasts for top China/US hyperscalers growing over 10% and 20% qoq respectively. This should fuel AI server demand growth of 60% yoy by 2026. Consumer electronics remain strong, with iPhone 17 lead times far exceeding that of iPhone 16 and Android flagships set for further spec upgrades, which will support multi-year shipment growth. China’s automation and robotics markets are also recovering faster than expected, with humanoid ro...
00992 LENOVO GROUP LIMITED
002371 NAURA TECHNOLOGY GROUP CO LTD CLASS A
ASM PACIFIC TECHNOLOGY LIMITED
SXC SUNNY OPTICAL TECHNOLOGY (GROUP) CO. LTD.
00285 BYD ELECTRONIC (INTERNATIONAL) CO. LTD.
A2XN AAC TECHNOLOGIES HOLDINGS INC.
300124 SHENZHEN INOVANCE TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD CLASS A
002472 ZHEJIANG SHUANGHUAN DRIVELINE (A)
01478 Q TECHNOLOGY (GROUP) CO. LTD.
01810 XIAOMI CORP. CLASS B
0763 ZTE CORPORATION CLASS H
2747 ESTUN AUTOMATION
601138 FOXCONN INDUSTRIAL INTERNET CO. LTD. CLASS A
8637 HK METASURFACE TECHNOLOGIES HOLDINGS LTD (8637 HK)
- Greater China Research Team
Greater China Alpha Picks: September Conviction Calls
In August, the HSI and MSCI China Index hit their ytd highs, posting gains of 1.2% mom and 4.2% mom respectively, supported by dovish remarks from Fed Chair J. Powell at Jackson Hole. Looking ahead, we expect some consolidation as most of the positives have been priced in and are biased to SELL. We add Anta, BYDE and CSCEC to our BUY list, while initiating SELL calls on Li Auto and OOIL. We take profit on Innovent, JD Logistics, Lenovo, Sino Biopharm, Tencent and TME.
A117ME ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD. SPONSORED ADR
00285 BYD ELECTRONIC (INTERNATIONAL) CO. LTD.
ORI1 ORIENT OVERSEAS (INTERNATIONAL) LIMITED
601668 CHINA STATE CONSTRUCTION ENGINEERING CORP. LTD. CLASS A
002472 ZHEJIANG SHUANGHUAN DRIVELINE (A)
01810 XIAOMI CORP. CLASS B
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
02161 JBM (HEALTHCARE) LTD
02015 LI AUTO INC
- Pierre FerraguÊ
- Colin Lee
- Ejann Hiew
- Johnny Yum Chung Man
Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK): 2Q25: Record-high bottom line; EV business to b...
Xiaomi’s 2Q25 net profit was a solid beat at Rmb10.8b, thanks to strong IoT sales and robust EV margins, coupled with fair value changes on financial instruments. Looking ahead, the EV business is set for a stronger print due to the YU7 deliveries, while margins for the smartphone business remain under pressure due to elevated memory costs. Maintain BUY; maintain target price at HK$69.20.
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Colin Lee
- Ejann Hiew
- Greater China Research Team
- Johnny Yum Chung Man
- Ken Lee
- Shirley Wang Xueyi
- Stella Guo Yuting
Greater China Daily: Wednesday, August 20, 2025
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results China Resources Beer (291 HK/BUY/HK$28.28/Target: HK$33.80) 1H25 results beat expectations. Sales volume of sub-premium beer and above saw mid-to-high single-digit growth. In the 15th Five-Year Plan, CR Beer will remain focused on Heineken as its core, while strengthening the sub-premium segment as another growth driver. The baijiu business is not expected to deteriorate further amid the adjustment phase in 2H25, but any potential impairment will still depend on business...
- Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
- Audrey Celia
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Colin Lee
- Ejann Hiew
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- Jack Goh Tooan Orng
- John Cheong Ming Chern
- Johnny Yum Chung Man
- Ken Lee
- Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
- Lester Siew
- Shirley Wang Xueyi
- Stella Guo Yuting
- Thanawat Thangchadakorn
- Willinoy Sitorus
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, August 20, 2025
GREATER CHINA Results China Resources Beer (291 HK/BUY/HK$28.28/Target: HK$33.80): 1H25: Results beat; Heineken and sub-premium the core for next stage. Guangzhou Tinci Materials Technology (002709 CH/BUY/Rmb20.60/Target: Rmb30.00): 2Q25: Earnings miss on ASP and margins; Maintain BUY. Cut target price from Rmb39.60 to Rmb30.0. Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK/BUY/HK$52.40/Target: HK$69.20): 2Q25: Record-high bottom line; EV business to be boosted by YU7 deliveries. Maintain BUY. XPeng Inc (9868 HK/BUY/HK$7...
- Pierre FerraguÊ
TSLA TESLA INC
NVDA NVIDIA CORPORATION
COHR COHERENT INC.
AMAT APPLIED MATERIALS INC.
2330 TSMC
00992 LENOVO GROUP LIMITED
3661 ALCHIP TECHNOLOGIES INC.
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
CSCO ASML HOLDING N.V.
ASML CISCO SYSTEMS INC.
40978Z ASML HOLDING NV
2357 TT HUAWEI TECHNOLOGIES CO
ASUSTEK COMPUTER
- Colin Lee
- Ejann Hiew
- Johnny Yum Chung Man
Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK): 2Q25 results preview: Solid growth intact but m...
Xiaomi is set to report its 2Q25 earnings later this month. We expect robust revenue growth supported by the IoT, EV and internet services segments. However, margins are projected to fall sequentially, mainly due to rising DDR4 prices for the smartphone business and a shift in the IoT product mix. Overall, we expect adjusted net profit to grow 71.4% yoy to Rmb10.3b. Maintain BUY; trim target price slightly to HK$69.20.
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Colin Lee
- Ejann Hiew
- Greater China Research Team
- Guan An Tan
- Johnny Yum Chung Man
- Kenny Yong Hui Lim
- Roy Chen Chengzhi
- Sunny Chen
Greater China Daily: Thursday, August 7, 2025
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results BeOne Medicines (6160 HK/BUY/HK$182.70/Target: HK$240.00) BeOne Medicines’ 1H25 revenue surged by 44.7% yoy to US$2.4b and adjusted net earnings amounted to US$389m, beating consensus estimates. Management raised revenue and gross margin guidance in 2025. We believe BRUKINSA's strong sales outlook and improving operational efficiency bode well for robust earnings and free cash flow expansion. Its R&D efforts will also support sustainable long-term growth through new prod...
- Greater China Research Team
Greater China Strategy Alpha Picks: August Conviction Calls
In July, the HSI and MSCI China index extended their growths, rising 2.9% mom and 4.5% mom respectively to reach their peak on 24 July before pulling pack in the latest week, as investors tend to take profit after the Politburo announcement. With another 90-day tariff delay from the US, we maintain a positive outlook for leading domestic stocks in healthcare and IT. New additions to our BUY list are JBM Healthcare and Lenovo. We take profit on CATL, Han’s Laser, KE Holdings and Longfor.
01177 SINO BIOPHARMACEUTICAL LIMITED
002472 ZHEJIANG SHUANGHUAN DRIVELINE (A)
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
01810 XIAOMI CORP. CLASS B
TME TENCENT MUSIC ENTERTAINMENT GROUP SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
01801 INNOVENT BIOLOGICS INC.
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
02618 JD LOGISTICS INC
02161 JBM (HEALTHCARE) LTD
1698 HK TENCENT MUSIC ENTERTAINMENT GROUP
- Greater China Research Team
Greater China Strategy: Alpha Picks -- July Conviction Calls
June’s HSI and MSCI China Index rose 3.4% mom and 4.0% mom respectively, despite the pullback due to the Middle East tensions. July may see increased volatility as the US looks to bring the tariff negotiations to a close. At this juncture, we continue to favour domestic policy beneficiaries and sector leaders. New additions to our BUY list are CATL, KE Holdings, Longfor, Midea Group, Tencent and Tencent Music Entertainment. We take profit on Prudential.
A0M4P7 HAN'S LASER TECHNOLOGY INDUSTRY GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
00291 CHINA RESOURCES BEER (HOLDINGS) CO. LTD.
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
01177 SINO BIOPHARMACEUTICAL LIMITED
002472 ZHEJIANG SHUANGHUAN DRIVELINE (A)
000333 MIDEA GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
01810 XIAOMI CORP. CLASS B
TME TENCENT MUSIC ENTERTAINMENT GROUP SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
01801 INNOVENT BIOLOGICS INC.
300750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
BEKE KE HOLDINGS INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
02618 JD LOGISTICS INC
02423 KE HOLDINGS INC.
1698 HK TENCENT MUSIC ENTERTAINMENT GROUP
3750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY (3750 HK)
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, July 03, 2025
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: July Conviction Calls Add CATL, KE Holdings, Longfor, Midea Group, Tencent and TME to our BUY list. Take profit on Prudential. Sector Online Games Upcoming new game releases to capitalise on the summer holiday season. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Good Performances In June Our new alpha picks are ANTM, BBCA, ERAA, ICBP, MYOR, MIKA...
AEONTS AEON THANA SINSAP (THAILAND) PCL
CK CH. KARNCHANG PCL
KTC KRUNGTHAI CARD PCL
A0M4P7 HAN'S LASER TECHNOLOGY INDUSTRY GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
00291 CHINA RESOURCES BEER (HOLDINGS) CO. LTD.
ANTM PT ANEKA TAMBANG TBK
BN2 VALUETRONICS HOLDINGS
3K1 KINGSOFT CORP. LTD.
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
AMRT SUMBER ALFARIA TRIJAYA TBK PT
AIY IFAST
COM7 COM7
558 UMS HOLDINGS LIMITED
MYOR MAYORA INDAH
C52 COMFORTDELGRO CORPORATION LIMITED
KBANK KASIKORNBANK PUBLIC CO. LTD.
01177 SINO BIOPHARMACEUTICAL LIMITED
BBCA PT BANK CENTRAL ASIA TBK
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
002472 ZHEJIANG SHUANGHUAN DRIVELINE (A)
ERAA ERAJAYA SWASEMBADA
TLKM PT TELKOM INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
000333 MIDEA GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
TCAP THANACHART CAPITAL PCL
MIKA MITRA KELUARGA KARYASEHAT
SAWAD SRISAWAD CORPORATION PUBLIC COMPANY LTD
D01 DAIRY FARM INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
01810 XIAOMI CORP. CLASS B
VSI V.S. INDUSTRY BERHAD
MTC MUANGTHAI CAPITAL PCL
SSG SHENG SIONG GROUP LTD
ICBP INDOFOOD CBP SUKSES MAKMUR T
CPALL TB CP ALL
01801 INNOVENT BIOLOGICS INC.
PROP PROPNEX LTD
FEH FOOD EMPIRE HOLDINGS LTD
FRKN FRENCKEN GROUP LTD
CSSC CHINA SUNSINE CHEMICAL HOLDINGS LTD
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
09999 NETEASE INC
CICT CAPITALAND INTEGRATED COMMERCIAL TRUST
LREIT SP LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
02618 JD LOGISTICS INC
02423 KE HOLDINGS INC.
CLAR CAPITALAND ASCENDAS REIT
SDG SD GUTHRIE BHD
STECON STECON GROUP PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
1698 HK TENCENT MUSIC ENTERTAINMENT GROUP
TIDLOR TIDLOR HOLDINGS PCL
3750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY (3750 HK)
- Colin Lee
- Ejann Hiew
- Johnny Yum Chung Man
Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK): Takeaways from Xiaomi YU7 and AI Glasses launch...
Xiaomi officially launched the YU7 SUV model, along with the AI Glasses and a range of other smartphones and IoT products. Specifications and pricing for YU7 are in line, but its initial orders in the first hour has surpassed 289,000 units which is well above our/market expectations, and this is usually a solid indicator of positive share price performance in the coming days. Maintain BUY and keep target price at HK$69.90.
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