This note gathers feedback from the group meetings and the panels. In total 21 companies were presented in group meetings and/or panels. More than 100 guests found their way to the venue either physical or virtual (only panels). The 2 panels made for informative additions to the C-level meetings and a nice platform for discussion. Wednesday afternoon concentrated 4 experts from Logistic companies (CTP, Montea, VGP, WDP) for an interesting discussion on brownfields: " an answer to the scarcity of...
Yesterday evening Home invest reported its FY24 earnings and had an analyst call. The FY24 results and the FY25 guidance are perfectly in line with our estimates but below CSS. FY25 will be a year where historical asset rotation and renovation temporarily impact the EPS. Operationally the company continues to perform well with a record high operating margin at 76.8% (vs. 5y average at 72.2%) and 98.2% occupancy rate. We are however concerned regarding more rental regulation in the Brussels marke...
BE-REITS suffer from macro-worries (logistics) and post-Trump knee-jerk reaction. We believe that especially money flows are pushing stocks down as interest rate fears resurfaced in the US. Our top-picks are Shurgard, WDP and Xior. SHUR and WDP have ample headroom on their balance sheet to continue their growth track record. WDP is also very cheap on cash earnings metrics vs. peers. Xior can grow and fix its balance sheet at the same time through contributions in kind.
The 3Q24 results are slightly above our expectations on the back of an improved operating margin. The guidance of EUR 1.15 EPRA EPS is reiterated. Home invest is one of the best performers to date among Belgian REITs. However, in the last month there was profit taking and negative news on regulation. As of 01/11/2024, rent increases in Brussels (66% portfolio) are on hold for 9 consecutive years. This was already the case for the 3-6-9 contracts but now impacts short term contracts and tenant de...
We update our model after the EUR 50.8m fair value of investment properties increase and announced asset sales. It is both the 4.2% like-for-like rental growth in 1Q24 and the adjustment to the valuation methodology that drove the fair value increase. This increases the average fair value/m2 from EUR 3080/m2 at YE23 to approximately EUR 3286/m2. This compares to an average of EUR 3.364/m2 in the Brussels Region where HOMI holds 67% of its assets. The EUR 40.6m asset sales have a 2.0% negative im...
Home Invest Belgium reports FY23 results slightly above our expectations. NRI increases 11.3% YoY on the back of 7.2% like-for-like growth. HOMI expects further top line growth above inflation due to strong market fundamentals like the 98.5% occupancy rate and close to 100% rent collection. In FY24 the focus is on portfolio rebalancing and delivering the committed projects. We increase our FY24 and FY25 EPS estimates by 4% and 5% respectively on the back of lower interest costs and a higher oper...
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