reports
AVAX SA: 1 director
A director at AVAX SA bought 30,000 shares at 1.486EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 54/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly showin...
- Toby Thorrington
AVAX - Strong pipeline reaffirmed
AVAX’s FY23 results highlight the group’s progress domestically as the market improved, more than offsetting the weaker international performance at the top-line and EBITDA level. We have downgraded our 2024 EPS estimates to reflect guidance on continued construction project delays. However, our forecasts incorporate a substantial y-o-y increase in profits, with both PBT and net income more than doubling, bolstered by a record order book of €3.3bn. Our fair value stands at €3.0/share (€3.2/share...
- Toby Thorrington
AVAX - Exceeding expectations
AVAX’s FY23 results highlight the group’s progress domestically as the market improved, more than offsetting the weaker international performance at the top-line and EBITDA level. Group revenue and reported, continuing PBT exceeded our forecasts by 13% and 28% at €453.5m and €16.7m, respectively (FY22 revenue and PBT of €402.7m and €18.5m). This is largely attributable to a much stronger than anticipated performance from the construction segment, achieving revenue of €427.8m (Edison forecast: €3...
- Toby Thorrington
AVAX - Record work-in-hand points to strong growth
In FY24 we expect a large proportion of AVAX’s recently secured construction projects to commence and consequent substantial revenue to be recognised. We therefore forecast FY24 revenue and adjusted EBITDA increases of 112% and 76% y-o-y to €851m and €90m, respectively. As Greek infrastructure investment improves and AVAX executes on its backlog, it could secure an improved rating. It is currently trading on an FY24e P/E of 5.3x, a 60% discount to peers. With our valuation of AVAX’s concessions ...
- Toby Thorrington
AVAX - Completed divestment from energy sector
AVAX has announced the sale of its 100% subsidiary, Volterra, which fulfils the company’s strategic decision at the end of FY21 to divest from all energy sector operations. This follows the sale of Volterra’s portfolio of renewable energy source (RES) projects in FY22. The total transaction price for the retail segment may reach up to €24m, which may generate a small book profit. The deal enables the company to fully focus on its core activities of construction, concessions and real estate. Its ...
- Toby Thorrington
AVAX - Significant international project secured
AVAX has been awarded a major €674m contract by Mass Group Holding (MGH) for the engineering, construction and commissioning of a 1,750MW combined-cycle power plant in Romania. The construction phase is anticipated to be 38 months. The project further cements AVAX’s standing in the international industrial energy market and is the third consecutive project awarded by MGH, validating AVAX’s trusted partnership credentials. AVAX’s burgeoning work-in-hand portfolio now stands at a record level of €...
- Toby Thorrington
AVAX - Building on strong foundations
AVAX is a leader in Greek construction, operating critical assets with long-term and visible cashflow streams, particularly in concessions. Greek economic growth should be stimulated to 2026 by the National Recovery Plan, worth over €30bn. It should help unplug the infrastructure investment deficit, a key area of focus for AVAX. FY22 results highlight the group’s progress domestically as the market improved. This more than offset the weaker international performance and group operating profit ro...
Ford Equity International Rating and Forecast Report
Ford Equity International Research Reports cover 60 countries with over 30,000 stocks traded on international exchanges. A proprietary quantitative system compares each company to its peers on proven measures of business value, growth characteristics, and investor behavior. Ford's three recommendation ratings buy, hold and sell, represent each stock’s return potential relative to its own country market.. The rating reports which are generated each week, include the fundamental details behind...
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