reports
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: RO Oil & Gas; AKCNS TI; EME Macro/Strategy – Dividends; HU...
HEADLINES: • Romanian oil & gas: just have a little patience (OMV Petrom stays BUY, Romgaz downgraded to HOLD – transfer of coverage) • Akcansa: recovery on the horizon (stays BUY) • EME Macro/Strategy: dividends in EMEA – if growth is in doubt, opt for payout • Huuuge Games: 3Q24 broadly in line with our expectations, slightly above the consensus NEUTRAL • Colt CZ Group SE: 3Q24 results – slow quarter; FY24E guidance confirmed NEUTRAL • Türkiye macro: CBT signals a dovish turn • Cyfrowy Polsat:...
- Research Team
WOOD Morning (21 November 2024)
HEADLINES: • PZU: 3Q24 not as weak as feared – once the special claims end, should deliver a very strong profitability profile POSITIVE • Cyfrowy Polsat: 3Q24 results review – adjusted EBITDA up 13% yoy, 2% above our estimate POSITIVE • Grupa Pracuj: 3Q24 results – adjusted EBITDA up 8% yoy, 3% above our forecast and 6% above the consensus POSITIVE • OPAP: 3Q24 earnings beat expectations, as EBITDA jumps 24% yoy POSITIVE • Motor Oil Hellas: 3Q24 results – CCS EBITDA in line NEUTRAL • Elbit Syste...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: OTP HB; CCC PW; DNP PW; INPST NA; MOL HB; WIZZ LN; EUROB G...
HEADLINES: • OTP Bank: solid 3Q24 results, in line with our forecasts; future share price performance depends on growth guidance and/or capital distribution NEUTRAL • CCC: historically-best quarterly EBITDA 9% above our expectations, due to opex control POSITIVE • Dino Polska: 4-8% EBITDA beats in 3Q24, EBITDA back on the rise POSITIVE • InPost: 3Q24 in line with expectations; FY24E guidance upgrade POSITIVE • MOL: 3Q24 results – EBITDA in line with our and the consensus estimates NEUTRAL • Wizz...
MOL MOL NYRT
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
CCC CCC SA
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
NLBR NLB GROUP
INPST INPOST S.A.
GEV GEVORKYAN A.S.
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: ILRA CZ; MGROS TI; KLKIM TI; FROTO TI; TUPRS TI; THYAO TI;...
HEADLINES: • Ilirija d.d.: ADRs growth pace cools, cost inflation persists (NOT RATED) • Migros: good set of operating results in 3Q24 POSITIVE • Kalekim: strong bottom-line performance in 3Q24 POSITIVE • Ford Otosan: 3Q24 results – quarterly margin improvement tempered by lower export guidance NEUTRAL • Tupras: 3Q24 results – net income beats the consensus; comment on the fire at the Izmit refinery NEUTRAL • Turkish Airlines: 3Q24 – strong cargo and investments offset steep growth in staff cost...
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
ILRA-R-A ILIRIJA D.D.
CTPNV CTP NV
KLKIM KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
2381 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
SHO SHOPER SA
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: MTELEKOM HB; SHO PW; THYAO TI; CCOLA TI; TOASO TI; AIRA LI...
HEADLINES: • Magyar Telekom: another record strong year ahead (stays BUY) • Shoper: 3Q24 adjusted EBITDA up 28% yoy, broadly as expected NEUTRAL • Turkish Airlines: 3Q24 – EBIT and EBITDA in line with our estimates, 4-5% above the consensus POSITIVE • Coca-Cola Icecek: weak results in 3Q24, revenue growth guidance lowered NEGATIVE • Tofas: highly weak set of results in 3Q24 NEGATIVE • Air Astana Group: 3Q24 in line with our estimates NEUTRAL • Isbank: 3Q24 highlights – core bank still loss makin...
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
GPP GRUPA PRACUJ DA
ADNOCDRILL ADNOC DRILLING CO
9526 JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
SHO SHOPER SA
AIRA AIR ASTANA JSC
- Clement Genelot
Jeronimo Martins: no end to the price war and css downward revisions i...
Post-Q3, we understand that Biedronka will continue to evolve on deflation and negative operating leverage in Q4 and at least part of 2025, depending on when the price war ends in Poland. Despite real cost-cutting and capex efforts to preserve FCF, we believe Jeronimo Martins will need to revive Lf
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: only the Czech Republic in the bla...
EME Equity Market – October 2024 A red October for the EME indices, only Czechia in positive territory. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 6.0% in EUR terms and 8.4% in USD terms in October. The Czech PX index was the only one spared, adding 1.3% mom in EUR terms. Türkiye was battered the most, with the Turkish ISE30 declining by 7.3% mom in EUR terms, followed closely by the Polish WIG20 (-6.7% mom in EUR terms). Greece fell 4.8% mom in EUR terms, while the Hungarian BUX index lost 2.7% mom i...
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
ALK ALKALOID AD SKOPJE
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
SAR GR. SARANTIS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
AKCNS AKCANSA CIMENTO
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
2310 SAHARA INTERNATIONAL PETROCHEMICAL COMPANY
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
OTKAR OTOKAR OTOMOTIV VE SAVUNMA SANAYI A.S.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
GSPARK GRAPHISOFT PARK SE
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
SAB1L SIAULIU BANKAS
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
SNP PETROM S.A.
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
RICHT RICHTER
R22 R22
MCOV B MEDICOVER AB
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
KSPI KASPI KZ
INPST INPOST S.A.
WPS W.A.G PAYMENT SOLUTIONS PLC
ADNOCDRILL ADNOC DRILLING CO
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
ELPE HELLENIQ ENERGY
4071 ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
AIRA AIR ASTANA JSC
GEV GEVORKYAN A.S.
- Bruno Cavalier
- Emira Sagaama
- Louis Boujard
- CFA
- Philippe Ourpatian
DHL DHL GROUP
AXA AXA
AKRBP AKER BP ASA
LUFTHANSA DEUTSCHE LUFTHANSA AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
FP TOTAL SE
UBI UBISOFT ENTERTAINMENT SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
SU SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC SE
AMUN AMUNDI SA
ELE ENDESA S.A.
GEBN GEBERIT AG
ORSTED ORSTED
NXT NEXT PLC
AIR AIRBUS SE
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
CAP CAPGEMINI SE
AMP AMPLIFON S.P.A.
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
REP REPSOL SA
GAS NATURGY ENERGY GROUP S.A.
ARCAD ARCADIS NV
KGX KION GROUP AG
MAP MAPFRE SA
SKF B SKF AB CLASS B
PRY PRYSMIAN S.P.A.
WLN WORLDLINE SA
INGA ING GROEP NV
ABI ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV SA/NV
SIE SIEMENS AG
ARGX ARGEN-X SE
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
KBX KNORR-BREMSE AG
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
SHEL SHELL PLC
DSFIR KONINKLIJKE DSM N.V.
- Bruno Cavalier
- Emira Sagaama
- Louis Boujard
- CFA
- Philippe Ourpatian
DHL DHL GROUP
AXA AXA
AKRBP AKER BP ASA
LUFTHANSA DEUTSCHE LUFTHANSA AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
FP TOTAL SE
UBI UBISOFT ENTERTAINMENT SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
SU SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC SE
AMUN AMUNDI SA
ELE ENDESA S.A.
GEBN GEBERIT AG
ORSTED ORSTED
NXT NEXT PLC
AIR AIRBUS SE
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
CAP CAPGEMINI SE
AMP AMPLIFON S.P.A.
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
REP REPSOL SA
GAS NATURGY ENERGY GROUP S.A.
ARCAD ARCADIS NV
FDR FLUIDRA S.A.
KGX KION GROUP AG
MAP MAPFRE SA
SKF B SKF AB CLASS B
PRY PRYSMIAN S.P.A.
WLN WORLDLINE SA
INGA ING GROEP NV
ABI ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV SA/NV
SIE SIEMENS AG
ARGX ARGEN-X SE
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
KBX KNORR-BREMSE AG
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
SHEL SHELL PLC
DSFIR KONINKLIJKE DSM N.V.
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: EBS AV; MBK PW; ING PW; JMT PL; KOMB CP; MCOVB SS; TKNSA T...
HEADLINES: • Erste Bank: 3Q24 results – strong NII delivery • mBank: underlying 3Q34 business delivery in line; beat on headline net profit due to tax charges NEUTRAL • ING BSK: 3Q24 results – minor miss on high credit risk charges, as corporate NPL ratio surges NEUTRAL • Jeronimo Martins: beat in 3Q24, Biedronka at -2% lfl and stable margin erosion; price war continues POSITIVE • Komercni Banka: 3Q24 results – net profit largely in line with expectations • Medicover: 3Q24 operating numbers in l...
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
AKCNS AKCANSA CIMENTO
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
TKNSA TEKNOSA IC VE DIS TICARET AS
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
SAB1L SIAULIU BANKAS
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
MCOV B MEDICOVER AB
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
- Juan Ros-Padilla
Jeronimo Martins : Q3 EBITDA somewhat above. Margin pressure continues
>Q3 l-f-ls, albeit still negative, slightly beat street expectation - Sales grew at a pace of +7% y-o-y to € 8.5bn (vs +7% in Q2) with the group’s l-f-l contracting at -1% (vs -3% in Q2). By business, Biedronka sales grew +8% to € 5.9bn, posting a modest acceleration vs Q2 (+6%) negatively impacted by 1 extra Sunday closure and very tough comps (13% l-f-l in Q3 2023), which is partially offset by FX (+5pp) and space growth (4pp). L-f-l improved q-o-q to -1.9% (bette...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: MIL PW; SPL PW; OMV AV; SNP RO; BDX PW; EUR PW
HEADLINES: • Bank Millennium: ambitious, but achievable, 2025-28E strategy implies a return to growth and more of a focus on the corporate segment POSITIVE • Bank Millennium: 3Q24 results in line; key focus on 2025-28E strategic update • Santander Bank Polska: posts solid 3Q24 profits, as NII peaks and FX mortgage saga costs are very low for the quarter • OMV: 3Q24 results – CCS EBIT in line with the consensus NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: 3Q24 results in line with consensus NEUTRAL • Budimex: key takea...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: ACP PW; EME Macro/Strategy Weekly; GE Macro; ARCLK TI; SOL...
HEADLINES: • Asseco Poland: profitability rebound slower than expected (downgraded to HOLD) • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (21-27 October) • Georgia macro: early takes following the parliamentary election • Arcelik: weak set of results in 3Q24 NEGATIVE • Solutions by STC: 3Q24 results NEGATIVE • Budimex: 3Q24 EBIT marginally above our and the market's expectations NEUTRAL • Cimsa: 3Q24 conference call takeaways • PKO BP: three of four largest minority shareholders act jointly to call EGM...
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
BRISA BRISA-BRIDGESTONE SABANCI LASTIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
SNP PETROM S.A.
MCOV B MEDICOVER AB
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
- Cedric Rossi
- Clement Genelot
- Loic Morvan
- Philippine Adam
On the shelves now: Consumer Weekly #45
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week we look at spending patterns in Europe, which show a clear reallocation towards the f
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: EMEA Airlines; LPP PW; GEV CP; EME Macro/Strategy Weekly; ...
HEADLINES: • EMEA airlines: 3Q24 traffic, margin descent underway • LPP: regulator initiates proceedings against the company, on the miscommunication of the departure from Russia NEGATIVE • GEVORKYAN: successfully issues EUR 7.5m from the second tranche of its green bond NEUTRAL • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (14-20 October) • Sarantis: 3Q24 trading update preview (due on 23 October) • Budimex: 3Q24E EBITDA flat yoy (due on 28 October) • PKO BP: 3Q24E preview (due on 7 November) • OTP Ba...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: KSPI US; ALARABIA AB; SOLUTION AB; HTO GA; GR macro/banks;...
HEADLINES: • Kaspi.kz: agrees to acquire Türkiye's Hepsiburada NEUTRAL • Kaspi.kz: 3Q24 highlights - on track to meet guidance NEUTRAL • Al Arabia: MBC Group sells 4.9% of shares of Al Arabia NEGATIVE • Solutions by STC: establishment of JV with Jedco completed NEUTRAL • OTE: ANAF imposes EUR 33.5m in additional tax charges related to alleged VAT and CIT miscalculations NEGATIVE • Greece macro/banks: BOG increases the countercyclical capital buffer rate to 0.25%, with effect from October 2025E N...
- Clement Genelot
Jeronimo Martins: Reviving Polish growth estimates will be key to rera...
With a new Polish peer floating, we have reviewed the growth/profitability profile and valuation metrics of Jeronimo Martins, Dino and Zabka. The conclusion is that Jeronimo Martins can still rerate from its depressed 0.4x EV/Sales multiple, provided growth prospects improve when visibility clears
- Julian Dobrovolschi
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 10/10/2024
Thanks to unit revenue that has proven more resilient than anticipated, real discipline on capacity and a decline in the fuel bill, we expect margins to recover, especially for the legacies. IAG remains our top pick. We are upgrading Air France-KLM and Lufthansa to Neutral and downgrading Ryanair to Underperform as well as WizzAir on Neutral. - ...
- Julian Dobrovolschi
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 10/10/2024
Grâce à une recette unitaire qui se tient mieux que prévu, une discipline capacitaire notable et une baisse de la facture carburant, nous anticipons un rebond des marges tout particulièrement pour les majors. IAG reste notre valeur préférée. Nous relevons Air France-KLM et Lufthansa à Neutre et abaissons Ryanair à Sous-performance ainsi que Wizz Air à Neutre. - ...
- Research Team
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