reports
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Wim Lewi
Real Asset Conference Soundbites 19-20 March 2024
This note gathers feedback from the group meetings and the break-out sessions. In total 23 companies presented in group meetings and/or break-out sessions. More than 100 guests found their way to the venue and some more followed virtual meetings. Physical attendance is clearly on the rise after the COVID disruption. Investing remains a people's business. The 4 break-out sessions made for informative additions to the C-level meetings and a nice platform for discussion. Tuesday morning concentrate...
LEAS LEASINVEST REAL ESTATE SCA
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
COFB COFINIMMO SA
RET RETAIL ESTATES NV
ELI ELIA GROUP SA/NV
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
QRF QRF COMM
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
ATEB ATENOR S.A.
VGP VGP NV
TINC TINC COMM. VA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
CTPNV CTP NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- Wim Lewi
KBCS Real Assets Conference Book 2024
This conference book is your guide to the KBCS Real Assets Conference 2024. It offers a program, an intro to the break-out sessions and company profiles with financial data and some useful info. The break-out sessions aim to educate and contemplate on certain trends. Last year we hosted “Energy as a business”. This year, we offer 4 break-outs on hot topics.
LEAS LEASINVEST REAL ESTATE SCA
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
COFB COFINIMMO SA
RET RETAIL ESTATES NV
ELI ELIA GROUP SA/NV
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
QRF QRF COMM
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
ATEB ATENOR S.A.
ASC ASCENCIO SCA
VGP VGP NV
TINC TINC COMM. VA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
FAST FASTNED
CTPNV CTP NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- Baptiste Salaville
- Jerôme Bodin
- Steven Boumans
ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 18/03/2024
We are downgrading our recommendation on Vidrala to Underperform from Neutral and set our target price at € 96 (+4% vs previous € 92, DCF: 8.4x implied EV/EBITDA 2024e vs historical average of 9.2x and 6.1x of peer group). While the group will be able to outgrow the industry thanks to the consolidation of Vidroporto in Brazil (16% of the group’s EBITDA) and despite the divestment in Italy (8% of 2023 EBITDA), we believe its organic earnings profile will slightly deteriorate considerin...
COV COVIVIO SA
BFIT BASIC-FIT NV
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
DEC JCDECAUX SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
INTO INTERVEST OFFICES & WAREHOUSES SA
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
DEQ DEUTSCHE EUROSHOP AG
ICAD ICADE SA
COFB COFINIMMO SA
VASTN VASTNED RETAIL NV
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
WBD WEBUILD S.P.A.
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
LRE LAR ESPANA REAL ESTATE SOCIMI SA
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
MDM MAISONS DU MONDE SA
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
ALHGR HOFFMANN GREEN CEMENT TECHNOLOGIES SA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- Baptiste Salaville
- Jerôme Bodin
- Steven Boumans
ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 03/18/2024 Date Performance sin...
We are downgrading our recommendation on Vidrala to Underperform from Neutral and set our target price at € 96 (+4% vs previous € 92, DCF: 8.4x implied EV/EBITDA 2024e vs historical average of 9.2x and 6.1x of peer group). While the group will be able to outgrow the industry thanks to the consolidation of Vidroporto in Brazil (16% of the group’s EBITDA) and despite the divestment in Italy (8% of 2023 EBITDA), we believe its organic earnings profile will slightly deteriorate considerin...
COV COVIVIO SA
BFIT BASIC-FIT NV
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
DEC JCDECAUX SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
INTO INTERVEST OFFICES & WAREHOUSES SA
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
DEQ DEUTSCHE EUROSHOP AG
ICAD ICADE SA
COFB COFINIMMO SA
VASTN VASTNED RETAIL NV
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
WBD WEBUILD S.P.A.
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
LRE LAR ESPANA REAL ESTATE SOCIMI SA
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
MDM MAISONS DU MONDE SA
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
ALHGR HOFFMANN GREEN CEMENT TECHNOLOGIES SA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- Baptiste Salaville
- Bruno Cavalier
- Gerardo Ibanez
- Steven Boumans
BMW BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AG
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
LI KLEPIERRE SA
COV COVIVIO SA
GFC GECINA SA
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
INTO INTERVEST OFFICES & WAREHOUSES SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
KER KERING SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
DEQ DEUTSCHE EUROSHOP AG
ICAD ICADE SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
COFB COFINIMMO SA
VASTN VASTNED RETAIL NV
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
MONC MONCLER SPA
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
LRE LAR ESPANA REAL ESTATE SOCIMI SA
NN NN GROUP N.V.
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
HLAG HAPAG-LLOYD AG
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- Florent Laroche-Joubert
- Manuel Martin
- CEFA
- CREA
- Steven Boumans
ODDO : Shifting sands at La Croisette: A recap from MIPIM 2024
>The direct investment market is still muted today, but we think real estate markets could reignite after seeing the first interest rate cuts - We visited the annual real estate conference MIPIM in Cannes last week. Although the weather was great, the mood in the investment market was still a bit muted. The changes in the real estate market leaves many investor uncertain today. It is still too early to see transactions to go up materially and pricing recovery in the ...
COV COVIVIO SA
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
INTO INTERVEST OFFICES & WAREHOUSES SA
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
DEQ DEUTSCHE EUROSHOP AG
ICAD ICADE SA
COFB COFINIMMO SA
VASTN VASTNED RETAIL NV
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
LRE LAR ESPANA REAL ESTATE SOCIMI SA
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Jacob Mekhael
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Sharad Kumar S.P
- Thomas Couvreur
- Thomas Vranken
- Wim Lewi
- Lynn Hautekeete
In sickness and in health
Stock prices of HC REITS are currently driven by the negative sentiment in the market regarding operators and their restructuring processes. We believe the sentiment could persist in 1H24. However, interest rate cuts of the ECB combined with a positive outcome on the planned rights issue of Korian in either June or September could lead to a rerating of the sector. Additionally, margins of operators are bottoming out which will stop the negative news flow and improve sentiment. Fundamentally we b...
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Juan Ros-Padilla
NK IMERYS SA
SOP SOPRA STERIA GROUP SA
F3C SFC ENERGY AG
POM PLASTIC OMNIUM SE
ISS ISS A/S
FII LISI SA
FNAC FNAC DARTY SA
HOT HOCHTIEF AG
ATE ALTEN SA
COFB COFINIMMO SA
COR CORTICEIRA AMORIM SGPS SA
BRNL BRUNEL INTERNATIONAL N.V.
A3TV ATRESMEDIA CORPORACION DE MEDIOS DE COMUNICACION SA
GLPG GALAPAGOS NV
PSG PROSEGUR COMPANIA DE SEGURIDAD SA
TEC TECHNIPFMC PLC
CASH PROSEGUR CASH SA
2CRSI 2CRSI SA
TMV TEAMVIEWER AG
HAG HENSOLDT AG
- Juan Ros-Padilla
NK IMERYS SA
SOP SOPRA STERIA GROUP SA
F3C SFC ENERGY AG
POM PLASTIC OMNIUM SE
ISS ISS A/S
FII LISI SA
FNAC FNAC DARTY SA
HOT HOCHTIEF AG
ATE ALTEN SA
COFB COFINIMMO SA
COR CORTICEIRA AMORIM SGPS SA
BRNL BRUNEL INTERNATIONAL N.V.
A3TV ATRESMEDIA CORPORACION DE MEDIOS DE COMUNICACION SA
GLPG GALAPAGOS NV
PSG PROSEGUR COMPANIA DE SEGURIDAD SA
TEC TECHNIPFMC PLC
CASH PROSEGUR CASH SA
2CRSI 2CRSI SA
TMV TEAMVIEWER AG
HAG HENSOLDT AG
- Gerardo Ibanez
- Steven Boumans
Cofinimmo : FY2023 results: Strong FY2023 results, but slightly higher...
>Strong 2023 results, 2024 outlook slightly weaker than consensus - Outlook FY2024 EPRA EPS €6.40 (Bloomberg consensus € 6.50), including €320m investments and €270m divestments, allowing for a €6.20 DPS (payable in 2025)Gross dividend for the FY2023 (payable in 2024) confirmed at € 6.20/shLike-for-like devaluations of €182m or -2.7% (Q3 2023: -1.7%).Healthcare operator performance is improving, with underlying occupancy being strong at >90% for all cou...
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Brunel International: 4Q23 results in line, touch weaker FY24 start, mainly in Germany. Coca-Cola Europacific Partners: Done and dusted. Cofinimmo: Resilient FY23 results, investment neutrality reiterated for FY24. EVS: Very strong 2H23 and orders beat, net cash/WCR dampen the mood. Proximus: Q4 in line results, better net adds, guidance in line
- Guy Sips
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Jacob Mekhael
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Michiel Declercq
- Thomas Couvreur
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
- Lynn Hautekeete
Cofinimmo Beats consensus and guides stable dividend over FY24
Confinimmo reports FY23 results and beats our estimates. EPRA EPS came in at EUR 7.07 ps vs. EUR 6.95 KBCSe (CSS: EUR 6.79 ps). The difference is driven by a higher than expected GRI at 346.2m and lower CoD at 1.4%. Similarly, we will have to increase our EPRA EPS FY24 by 3% to meet guidance expectations. The difference is again linked to the lower than expected CoD vs 3Q23 reporting which has a big impact on our estimates given the large chunk of EUR 787m commercial paper. The fair value corre...
- Amal Aboulkhouatem
Cofinimmo - In-line FY23 hindered by gloomy guidance
• Cofinimmo published solid results enhanced by a strong indexation while the financing cost remains under control.• Thanks to a sound pace of disposals and to the recent equity raised, Cofinimmo managed to keep a healthy balance sheet.• The portfolio value adjustment accelerated in Q4.• The gloomy guidance for 2024 was expected and due to the dilutive impact of the ABB.• The company will host a conference call today at 10:00 am CET.• We sustain our ‘Hold' rating in the me...
- Francesca Ferragina
- Javier Campos Unda
Benelux Real Estate update/Different environment, new opportunities
We enter 2024 cautiously optimistic on the real estate sector on the back of the rates outlook and appealing valuations. We are positive on companies that have easy access to capital as this could be a good time to be ambitious and speed up growth with acquisitive deals. For companies with high LTV (and trading at an NTA discount) we expect an accentuated effort on disposals with the aim of being ‘investment neutral' where possible, ahead of taking any potentially painful equity decisions. The c...
- Florent Laroche-Joubert
- Manuel Martin
- CEFA
- CREA
- Steven Boumans
ODDO : The horizon is clearing with a stabilisation, and even decline,...
The stabilisation and even slight decline of interest rates in 2024 represents a catalyst for the sector, and leads us to now favour the players that are the best positioned to execute their growth and/or debt reduction strategy. In this context, we prefer Gecina, URW, CTP, Xior and Aedas Homes. We are making 10 rating changes: we upgrade Covivio, NSI, VGP, Patrizia and Xior to Outperform and Altarea, Deutsche Euroshop and SFL to Neutral. We are downgrading Icade and Mercialys to...
COV COVIVIO SA
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
INTO INTERVEST OFFICES & WAREHOUSES SA
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
DEQ DEUTSCHE EUROSHOP AG
ICAD ICADE SA
COFB COFINIMMO SA
VASTN VASTNED RETAIL NV
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
LRE LAR ESPANA REAL ESTATE SOCIMI SA
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- Florent Laroche-Joubert
- Manuel Martin
- CEFA
- CREA
- Steven Boumans
ODDO : L’horizon s’éclaircit avec la stabilisation des taux d’intérêt,...
La stabilisation des taux d’intérêt, voire éventuellement leur légère baisse courant 2024, constituent un catalyseur pour le secteur et nous amènent à privilégier désormais les acteurs les mieux positionnés pour exécuter leur stratégie de croissance et/ou de désendettement. Dans ce cadre, nous privilégions Gecina, URW, CTP, Xior et Aedas Homes. Nous effectuons 10 changements de recommandation : nous relevons Covivio, NSI, VGP, Patrizia et Xior à Surperformance ainsi que Altarea, ...
COV COVIVIO SA
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
INTO INTERVEST OFFICES & WAREHOUSES SA
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
DEQ DEUTSCHE EUROSHOP AG
ICAD ICADE SA
COFB COFINIMMO SA
VASTN VASTNED RETAIL NV
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
LRE LAR ESPANA REAL ESTATE SOCIMI SA
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Sharad Kumar S.P
- Thomas Vranken
- Wim Lewi
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