Geopolitical risk has resurfaced, but the nearterm impact on European listed real estate remains contained. Rising energydriven inflation and rates are driving greater dispersion and sharpening the focus on balancesheet quality, while MIPIM 2026 highlighted a pragmatic investor approach. In this report, we adjust target prices and refresh our top picks, removing CTP and adding Irish Residential REIT. Geopolitics and energy: duration matters more than headlines
Aedifica and Cofinimmo: Exchange offer complete and new board members appointed. D'Ieteren: Change in CEO at Moleskine, preview FY25. Euronext: Positive volume momentum continues. Retail Estates: €27m retail park development. Staffing: French January trend softer on tough comps, February outlook better
Aedifica and Cofinimmo: Aedifica acquires c.80% of the shares in Cofinimmo. ASM International: 4Q25 results; strong FY26 guidance. D'Ieteren: Bloomberg reports on Belron IPO, valuation above $30bn, close to $40bn. dsm-firmenich: Symrise 2025 results and guidance. Kinepolis: Feb reassures - US box office revenue up +1% YoY, France visitors up +25% YoY. KPN: Odido data breach
Ahold Delhaize: Peer Walmart 4Q25/26 results. Arcadis: Main topics 4Q25/FY25 conference call. ASM: 4Q25 preview, FY26 should be strong. Brunel: 4Q25 result beats and trends stabilise; DACH back to growth in 1Q26; additional cost savings announced and special dividend. Cofinimmo: Beat on bottom line, strong investment outlook for 2026. IMCD: Another step in EMEA. Magnum Ice Cream Company: Peer Danone 4Q25 results. Recticel: Peer Kingspan FY25 results. Software sector: Cheaper code...
Cofinimmo reports recurring EPRA EPS +1,1% above our estimates and 4,0% above its guidance. The earnings beat is driven by higher like-for-like rental income at +2,9%. The EPRA EPS outlook of FY26 is below our estimates at € 6,35 vs € 6,39 KBCSe. The guided debt ratio at YE26 is 340 bps higher than our expectations at 44,0% due to only € 110,0m guided asset disposals and higher than expected investments at € 310,0m which will mainly impact FY27/28 rental income. In the medium term, the focus sho...
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