After today's changes (ASMi out, UCB in), we maintain a balanced approach in our Dynamic Top Pick List, with a particular emphasis on value stocks that have been overlooked. Our defensive holdings are overweight, including real estate, which stands to benefit from lower interest rates. We remove ASMi from our Dynamic Top Pick List as the recent share price performance has driven the valuation meaningfully ahead of fundamentals. Since early December, FY27 diluted EPS expectations have risen by a...
Yesterday, the German government (via KfW) secured a 25.1% "blocking minority" in TenneT's German operations. The €3.3bn deal ends years of negotiations between Germany and the Netherlands. The deal is struck at the same equity value following the capital contribution (46%) from ABP, GIC and Norges Bank in 09/25 at a total equity value of 13.3bn. TenneT NL will hold the remaining 28.9%. We understand from the Handelsblatt that KfW will invest an additional €1.7bn before 2035. TenneT GE will no...
Eurocommercial Properties: 19% stock dividend take up, refinancing completion and leasing update; Ontex: 2H25 consensus release; Signify: 4Q25 results; prepare for a reset; Staffing Sector: Manpower; 4Q25 beat on better revenue trends, 1Q26 outlook positive; WDP: 2030 ambitions revealed, Italy and Spain to come
WDP initiated “BLEND30” strategy with €2.00 EPRA EPS by FY30 at +6% growth yoy. Capex is mainly internally sourced and “gradual” entry in Spain and Italy. FY25 EPRA EPS came in line with their €1.53 guidance and our expectation of €1.54. EPRA EPS yoy growth of 2.3% is still impressive due to the abolition of the Dutch FBI regime. WDP estimates its underlying EPS growth at 7%. Current development pipeline stands at 480k sqm of which 81% is pre-let with an expected NOI yield of 7.3%. The high pre...
We upgrade our recommendation to Accumulate and raise our price target to €135.0 from €110.0 on multiple expansion over the next 6 to 12 months. We leave our EPS estimates for FY26-27 unchanged, but increase our price target to 22x FY27 EPS. Our previous target was based on 20x FY26 EPS, but we roll forward on a 10% higher multiple as the sentiment towards grid operators benefits from the “wall of money” into datacenters, while grid connection is the bottleneck. It can take years before the ROE ...
Aedifica and Cofinimmo: Belgian Competition Authority approves the deal / AEGON: Sale of UK picking up early momentum / Allfunds Group PLC: Of Bourse they agreed / Ontex: Peer Essity 4Q25 results / Telecoms: Digital Networks Act take-aways / WDP: Catena to raise c.€255m via an ABB with WDP participating pro-rata for c.€26m
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