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ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aedifica: Results slightly better, guidance for the combined entity to come in Sept. CM.com: 4Q25 results – no turning point yet. D'Ieteren: Allstate reports bumper 4Q25, touts premium cuts, consensus prudent. Heijmans: Construction cool cat. Proximus: CPaaS peer Twilio 4Q25 results better than expected. Talabat: 4Q25 results, doubling down on investments. Theon International: Preview – a busy year it was.

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ArcelorMittal: Modest 4Q25 EBITDA beat and upbeat 2026F outlook / KBC Group: BNP Paribas good results in Belgium, increasing outlook, notably reducing C/I ratio / Recticel: Peer Rockwool's 4Q25 results SBM Offshore: Early purchase of ONE Guyana FPSO by Exxon Mobil / Shell: Keeping SBB at $3.5bn / Sligro: FY25 net profit in line with expectations, SBB announced / Universal Music Group: YouTube ads revenue +9% YoY in 4Q25 and Sony Music up by 13% YoY / Wereldhave: Wereldhave Belgium FY25 results a...

Guy Sips ... (+10)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Dynamic Top Pick List Update February 2026: Removing ASMi; Adding UCB

After today's changes (ASMi out, UCB in), we maintain a balanced approach in our Dynamic Top Pick List, with a particular emphasis on value stocks that have been overlooked. Our defensive holdings are overweight, including real estate, which stands to benefit from lower interest rates. We remove ASMi from our Dynamic Top Pick List as the recent share price performance has driven the valuation meaningfully ahead of fundamentals. Since early December, FY27 diluted EPS expectations have risen by a...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aalberts: Preview: Another quarter in no man's land? / Ahold Delhaize: Confirms the acquisition of Delfood / AGEAS: China – state to inject capital into insurers / AkzoNobel: Tepid 4Q25 results and FY26 outlook / D'Ieteren: Belgian car registrations down 19%, 65% of 2019 level, VW down only 5% / Xior Student Housing: Sound organic trends continue, two-year guidance revealed

David Vagman ... (+16)
  • David Vagman
  • CFA
  • Dirk Verbiesen
  • Francesca Ferragina
  • Jason Kalamboussis
  • Marc Hesselink
  • CFA
  • Marc Zwartsenburg
  • CEFA
  • Maxime Stranart
  • Michiel Vereycken
  • Quirijn Mulder
  • Reg Watson
  • CFA
  • Thymen Rundberg
  • Tijs Hollestelle

ING Benelux Favourites/Aedifica, Ageas, ASM International, Basic-Fit, ...

We refresh our ING Benelux Favourites list. We apply a fundamental bottom up approach in which we select stocks which provide the best upside within our Benelux coverage universe and these stocks need clear catalysts. Additions/deletions: We add the following names to the ING Benelux Favourites list: Ageas: Ageas has done multiple deals; its most recent purchase of the 25% stake BNP Paribas had in its Belgian ops, is an accretive deal and we believe makes the Belgian operations ready for a pot...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Basic-Fit: Consensus FY25 and FY26 released / Belgian Telecoms: DIGI Belgium introduces 5G FWA at €7 per month and increased data on mobile-only offers / NSI: €50m seven-year unsecured notes issuance with a 4.59% coupon / Sofina: Newsletter #17: NAV per share underperforms

Guy Sips ... (+4)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Livio Luyten
  • Wim Lewi
Maxime Stranart ... (+2)
  • Maxime Stranart
  • Stijn Demeester

Recticel/Acquisition of Miclar Group/BUY

We reiterate our BUY rating on Recticel and increase our target price from €12.0 to €13.5, following the acquisition of a 76% stake in Miclar Group. We view this as a very appealing acquisition for Recticel with Miclar having a materially higher Adj. EBITDA margin than the group at 19.8%. Furthermore, we view the multiple paid at 4.4x EV/EBITDA 2024 as undemanding, which should lead to material value creation in the upcoming years. At €13.5, Recticel would trade at 10.9/9.2x EV/EBITDA 2026/27F, ...

Guy Sips ... (+5)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Lewi
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

AGEAS: strong upgrade to FY25 earnings guidance (€1.3 to €1.6bn) due to one-off from China; ASM: The beat comes early; D'Ieteren: Possible Belron IPO by end 2026, Belron debt repricing; IBA: IBA to install three P1 systems at University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

D'Ieteren: PHE does nice mid-size M&A in Spain / Fastned: Beat on gross profit, organic growth lags, high cash burn / JDE Peet's: Caffè Americano / Semi equipment: TSMC puts capex where its mouth is / Theon International: Increasing Harder Digital's capacity.

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+5)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Livio Luyten
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Wim Lewi
Michiel Declercq
  • Michiel Declercq

D'Ieteren PHE enters into exclusive negotiations for two acquisitions ...

PHE has entered into exclusive negotiations to acquire a 51% stake in two AD Parts distributors in Spain, Polaris and Regueira. Polaris and Regueira are major players in light vehicle spare parts distribution in Madrid, Galicia, Castile-La Mancha, Castile and León, Cantabria, and Asturias. The two entities generated € 340m in sales in 2025. This compares to PHE's current 12 month trailing revenue of € 2.84bn. Although no financials have been disclosed, the transaction will allow PHE to leverage ...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

D'Ieteren: Belgium December car registrations up 23.2%, VW up 8.7%. Universal Music Group: UMG acquires 30% Stake in India's Excel Entertainment for $267m. Vastned: CFO departure. Events Calendar.

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

D'Ieteren: A welcome move to restart the €100m buyback.

Guy Sips ... (+11)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Mathijs Geerts Danau
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Dynamic Top Pick List How to start 2026?

How to start 2026? We have selected for the KBC Securities Dynamic Top Pick List 12 large-cap companies — AB InBev, Aedifica, Argenx, ASMi, Azelis, DEME, D'Ieteren, Shurgard, Sofina, Vopak, WDP, and Wolters Kluwer — along with 3 small and mid-cap names (under €1.5bn in market capitalization): Corbion, EVS, and IBA. So, going into 2026, we maintain a balanced approach in our Dynamic Top Pick List, featuring 8 cyclical and 6 defensive stocks, with a particular emphasis on value stocks that have b...

Guy Sips ... (+3)
  • Guy Sips
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Wim Hoste

Local Champions Mid Cap Conference Book 11.12.2025

This conference book is your guide to our annual Local Champions Mid Cap Conference set to take place on Thursday, 11 December 2025 at our historic building at Grand Place in Brussels. This event offers the possibility to have one-on-one meetings and/or attend small group sessions with the top management and/or IR of the following companies: BARCO | BEKAERT | DECEUNINCK | DEME | EVS | IBA | JENSEN GROUP | MATERIALISE | ONTEX | PROXIMUS | RECTICEL | XFAB

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

CM.com: Bird goes directly after CM.com customers (again). D'Ieteren: Belgium November car registrations down 11.8%, VW down 24%

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aalberts: Big step forward in disposal programme. Belfius: No sale of stake to private investors, no sell down of BNP Paribas stake either. CM.com: Bird withdraws takeover proposal. Recticel: Acquisition of a 76% stake in Miclar Group. Theon International: c.€150m rights issue

Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Recticel FIRST LOOK: Acquisition of Miclar Group, upgrade to Accumulat...

With the acquisition of a 76% stake in Miclar Group, Recticel further strengthens its insulated panels business, which today consists of the businesses acquired via Rex and Trimo. The deal value looks very reasonable at 5.7x EV/EBITDA24. We have updated our forecasts resulting in a 7% increase in our 2026 EBITDA estimate. Recticel still has significant firepower for additional acquisitions and we would expect the company to continue to hunt for mid-sized acquisitions that further enlarge positio...

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