Still cheap and the Red Sea is still closed

A. P. Møller Mærsk (Sell, TP: DKK9400.00) - Resistance to gravity seem...

The Q1 report was largely as expected, albeit with support in the results related to mostly passing effects. Hence, we retain our view that the chronic oversupply of vessels will deteriorate the current value of the company. On rates converging towards 2016 levels, it should burn through more than USD13bn by the end of our forecast period, with no respite in sight due to the towering orderbook and owners still willing to order. We reiterate our SELL, but have raised our target price to DKK9,400 ...

Norwegian Air Shuttle (Buy, TP: NOK16.00) - Positive 2025 outlook

While underlying Q1 results were weaker than we expected, we still see a positive outlook for 2025, with solid bookings, a narrowed CASK guidance supported by a NOK1bn profit improvement programme by 2026, FX, and fuel tailwinds. We reiterate our BUY, but have cut our target price to NOK16 (17) on estimate reductions.

Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA (Buy, TP: NOK87.00) - Still-attractive value

We have cut our near-term forecast to reflect heightened uncertainty and more cautious full-year guidance, but remain confident that the majority (79%) of the current market cap should be derisked by end-2027e, leaving an attractive stub value for the long-term business potential in the world-leading car carrier. We reiterate our BUY, but have cut our target price to NOK87 (91).

Summer late rush, profits set to flush

Sticking to the lower end of '25 guidance

Q1'25 beat driven by Ocean and Terminals

Q1 below on higher cost

Clean EBIT below on higher cost (mainly fuel).

2025 guidance down, but Q2 better than Q1

Growth unfolds, brand upholds

Norwegian Air Shuttle (Buy, TP: NOK17.00) - April traffic statistics

We consider this a slightly positive report for Norwegian Air Shuttle, including figures more or less in line with expectations, with a marginally lower yield offset by a higher load, and positive outlook comments with regard to summer bookings. We expect only minor changes to consensus 2025e adj. EBITDA, and believe a neutral to slightly positive share price reaction is warranted.

Ex-growth in Q1, intriguing set-up into summer

Shine on, for now

A. P. Møller Mærsk (Sell, TP: DKK8800.00) - Overcapacity at the gates

We find the recent share price strength surprising and likely short-lived due to a challenging supply/demand balance, only augmented by the escalating trade tensions. While we expect a Q1 beat versus consensus, we believe the company’s outlook is unlikely to satisfy buy-side expectations, and we see sizeable downside risk to the current valuation. We reiterate our SELL and have cut our target price to DKK8,800 (10,800).

Tariffs will hurt, but cons. is too low for Q1

Norwegian Air Shuttle (Buy, TP: NOK17.00) - April traffic statistics p...

April’s traffic statistics are due at 08:00 CET on 7 May. We are positive ahead of the report, expecting a strong yield recovery supported by Easter timing effects and easing capacity growth. We reiterate our BUY and have raised our target price to NOK17 (15) on positive estimate changes on our revised fuel and USDNOK assumptions.

Sustainable high dividends and investments

Approaching the next product cycle

Q1 a nice dunk, outlook a wild shot

Pandora (Buy, TP: DKK1400.00) - Still shining, but potential pressure

We expect Pandora to report a solid start to the year, with 6.4% LFL growth (consensus 5.6%) in Q1e, but believe focus is more likely to be on the implications (direct and indirect) of tariffs and higher silver prices. However, we believe these concerns are more than priced in after recent share-price weakness. We reiterate our BUY, but have lowered our target price to DKK1,400 (1,550).