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Tijs Hollestelle
  • Tijs Hollestelle

CFE/An early-stage margin-over-volume winner?/BUY (previously Hold)

CFE released a solid set of FY25 results, partly helped by the earlier announced settlement on the problematic ZIN project. With this beefed up 2H25 operating performance, we consider CFE's 2026 outlook a major positive. CFE expects 2026 net profit to approach the 2025 level. We raise our FY26F EPS by 32% following company guidance and change our rating from Hold to BUY as the underlying operating performance is clearly improving. CFE adapted a margin-over-volume strategy a couple of years ago a...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ageas: Upgrading net op. result FY26 target to >€1.5bn from €1.35bn in FY25 as M&A starts contributing / CFE: Strong 2H, flips to net cash and outlook better / Deceuninck: FY25 results in line with expectations, Türkiye a tad better / GBL: Exits Umicore fully / Vopak: Five-year SBB programme announced / Wolters Kluwer: 2025 roughly in line, good 2026 outlook

Kristof Samoy
  • Kristof Samoy

CFE FY25: In line results, solid debt reduction, margin strength in Co...

Over FY25, revenues equalled €1042m (-12% YoY) but EBIT up sharply at €44.9m (+40.3% YoY). The net result stood at €33.5m (LY: €24m). As such, the posted net result exceeds guidance calling for 2025 net profit close to the 2024 level. The company proposed a gross dividend of €0.50ps (€0.4PS LY). The consolidated order book stood at €1633m (vs. €1646m LY and €1650m per 9m25). Thanks to strong OCF of €64m, net debt turned into a net cash position of €43.8M (€41.7m net debt LY) . For 2026, CFE expe...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

CFE: Preview: underlying 2026 margin to improve / DEME: Preview: strong 2025, eyes on 2026 outlook / JDE Peet's: Acquisition by KDP expected to close in 2Q26 / Solvay: 2025 ends with strong FCF; 2026F und. EBITDA guidance slightly below, supported by one-off / UCB: Peer Moonlake investor day / Vastned: Beat on bottom line with operational metrics accelerating, but outlook remains weak

Guy Sips ... (+4)
  • Guy Sips
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Lewi
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Arcadis: US peer Aecom sets a new standard for EBITDA margin potential. Belgian telecoms: Orange Belgium price increases from January. CFE: Keeps outlook, materially lower QoQ net debt. Flow Traders: Market volumes improve in October. IMCD: Awaiting a recovery. Kinepolis: Launches retail bond issuance for €100-150m. NEPI Rockcastle: Sound operational performance continues. Universal Music Group: EU to warn on Downtown deal

Guy Sips ... (+4)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Wim Hoste
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Belgian telcos: Digi negative view on fibre deals, ups stake in Belgium to 76.9%. CFE: Preview - navigating challenging end markets. Retail Estates: Conference call highlights

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