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Steven Boumans ... (+2)
  • Steven Boumans
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 02/27/2024

The start of the earnings season has halted EPS erosion, which was marked in Europe and more limited in the US. In 2024, EPS should grow twice as fast on the S&P 500 (+10%) vs the Stoxx 600 (+5%). In Europe, the fastest-growing sectors are travel & leisure, banks and industrials. - ...

Steven Boumans ... (+2)
  • Steven Boumans
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 27/02/2024

L’ouverture de la saison des résultats a mis fin à l’érosion des BPA, qui était forte en Europe et plus limitée aux Etats-Unis. Les BPA devraient ainsi croître en 2024 deux fois plus vite sur le S&P 500 (+10%) que le sur le Stoxx 600 (+5%). En Europe, les secteurs ayant la meilleure dynamique sont le Travel & Leisure, les Banques et l’Industrie. - ...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Arcadis: Good momentum. CFE: Headline numbers in line, quality of earnings low. Fugro: Mapping Italian waters. Kendrion: Preview - another difficult quarter. NN Group: 2H23 preview, focus on new targets. UCB: 2H23 preview – strong results expected

Kristof Samoy ... (+2)
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
Thijs Berkelder
  • Thijs Berkelder

CFE : Offshore wind saved 2023 performance, but will be much less in 2...

>H2 results helped by temporary strength in offshore wind - Revenues in 2023 were up 7% y-o-y to € 1,249m (BB consensus € 1,214m, AAOB € 1,223m)EBITDA declined by 22% y-o-y to € 49.5m (BB consensus € 52.2m, AAOB € 34.5m)Group EBIT was down 35% y-o-y to € 33.0m (BB consensus of € 24.1m probably mix of in-and excluding associates, AAOB € 27.6m)Looking at the segment breakdown of Group EBIT it was "Investments & Holding" contributing € 20.1m (AAOB € 15.0m)...

Luuk Van Beek
  • Luuk Van Beek

CFE - H2-23 and outlook confirm challenging period

H2-23 results were roughly in line thanks to a strong contribution from investments, which more than offset shortfalls elsewhere2024 guidance for a revenue decline and better margins in line with DPNo major changes to estimates expected, Hold reiterated with EUR 8.5 TP

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ASM International: 4Q23 preview, good year ahead. CFE: Preview - focus on quality of order book. CM.com: Preview 2H23/FY23. Just Eat Takeaway.com: Preview FY23, more profits ahead. PostNL: FY23 results, FY24 outlook well below, looks to improve LT performance. Proximus: BICS CEO let go after Telesign tensions, Niel/Iliad invest €1.2bn in Tele2. Retail Estates: Sound operational trends and portfolio valuation

Fehmi Ben Naamane
  • Fehmi Ben Naamane

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 21/11/2023

Les faibles valorisation et endettement de Wendel et de BVI, permettent pour la première fois depuis 20 ans, d’envisager un scenario original mais créateur de valeur pour Wendel-Participations (WP). Il s’agirait d’une OPA sur les 60% non détenus de Wendel, financée par un dividend recap de BVI, Stahl et Wendel ainsi qu’une cession d’un bloc de BVI. Elle permettrait à Wendel 1/ d’éliminer la forte décote sur l’ANR (52%), 2/ d’offrir une porte de sortie aux minoritaires (prime de 35%e),...

Fehmi Ben Naamane
  • Fehmi Ben Naamane

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 11/21/2023

Les faibles valorisation et endettement de Wendel et de BVI, permettent pour la première fois depuis 20 ans, d’envisager un scenario original mais créateur de valeur pour Wendel-Participations (WP). Il s’agirait d’une OPA sur les 60% non détenus de Wendel, financée par un dividend recap de BVI, Stahl et Wendel ainsi qu’une cession d’un bloc de BVI. Elle permettrait à Wendel 1/ d’éliminer la forte décote sur l’ANR (52%), 2/ d’offrir une porte de sortie aux minoritaires (prime de 35%e),...

Thijs Berkelder
  • Thijs Berkelder

CFE : Economic downturn continues to bite harder than expected

>Q3 revenues and order backlog confirm further slowdown - Revenues 9M23 up 7.4% to € 904.3m, which after H1 up 9.5% to € 641.7m implies Q3 was up 2.6% to € 262.6m (AAOBe € 255.2m, 22Q3 € 255.9m). Looking at the segment breakdown in Q3 revenues, it confirms growth is slowing down in all segments:- Real Estate Development was flat y-o-y at € 24.1m (22Q3 € 24.0m, H1 still +135% to € 73.1m, AAOBe € 25.0m)- Multi-technics down 4.3% to € 75.0m (22Q3 € 78.3m, H1 -0...

Michiel Declercq ... (+2)
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
Luuk Van Beek
  • Luuk Van Beek

CFE - Q3 highlights ongoing challenges

Q3 revenues under pressure due to challenging markets, and pressure on profits due to bleedersBacklog under pressure, now guides for a ‘considerably lower' profit in 2023.We will further reduce our estimates and cut our target price from EUR 10.50 to EUR 8.50. Hold reiterated

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Arcadis: Upbeat story. Bekaert: 3Q23 miss - on the back of inflation and energy surcharges normalizing. CFE: Preview - same market conditions in 3Q as in 1H. DEME Group: New contracts in Africa. EVS: Guiding to the high end of the sales and EBIT ranges, CMD next week. Orange Belgium: Nethys to swap its 25% VOO stake for 11% stake in Orange Belgium. Universal Music Group: Peer Warner Music Group 4Q23 shows strong streaming growth

Tijs Hollestelle
  • Tijs Hollestelle

CFE/Earnings visibility decreased/HOLD

CFE's interim results were negatively impacted by problematic projects in the construction and technical services business units, temporarily low demand in the Belgium rail market and higher interest rates weighing negatively on the property development results. Luckily relative favourable weather conditions in 1H23 increased participations income from CFE's stakes in offshore wind parks. We expect most of the above-mentioned factors, except for the weather, to have an impact on the second half ...

Bruno Cavalier ... (+5)
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Damien Choplain
  • Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
  • Martial Descoutures
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 08/30/2023 Date Performance sin...

The economic outlook for the eurozone deteriorated over the summer. The gloom is no longer exclusively confined to Germany and the manufacturing sector but now also extends to other countries and sectors. The bank lending tap has been closed for more than six months, portending a sharp correction in investment spending. To date, the labour market has held up well but some cracks are now emerging. Disinflation is not yet advanced enough to restore purchasing power (we will have to wait...

Bruno Cavalier ... (+5)
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Damien Choplain
  • Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
  • Martial Descoutures
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 30/08/2023 Date Performance dep...

Les perspectives économiques de la zone euro se sont dégradées cet été. La morosité n’est plus seulement confinée à l’Allemagne et au secteur manufacturier, elle s’étend aux autres pays et secteurs. Le robinet du crédit bancaire est fermé depuis plus de six mois, présageant une correction marquée des dépenses d’investissement. A ce jour, le marché du travail résiste mais quelques craquements se font jour. La désinflation n'est pas encore assez avancée pour redonner du pouvoir d’achat ...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ageas: 1H23 Results - China +45% NB growth, Solvency 2 220%, strong outlook. ASR: 1H23 results - preparing for the integration. CFE: Contracting units face operational execution issues. IBA: 1H23 preview. Montea: New e-commerce delivery centre with Delhaize. Randstad: Launches a new business - ‘Randstad Digital'. Sligro: Merging Dutch and Belgian foodservice activities. Staffing: Belgium staffing - July volume trend improved to -7.3% YoY (June: -12.6%)

Guy Sips ... (+5)
  • Guy Sips
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Thijs Berkelder
  • Thijs Berkelder

CFE : As expected, construction sector affected by macro conditions

>H1 results lower y-o-y and cautioning outlook - Revenues are up 9.5% to € 641.7m implyign Q2 up 8.0% to € 338.5m after Q1 up 11.1% to € 303.2m. with Real Estate Development revenues up 135% to € 73m, Multi-technics down 0.6% to € 171m and Construction & Renovation up 14.5% to € 455m.EBITDA is down by 28% y-o-y to € 20.0m from € 27.8m a year ago, equivalent to an EBITDA margin of 3.1% (4.7% in 22H1). Note Bloomberg FY23 consensus is € 64.8m, up from € 63.1m in 2...

Luuk Van Beek
  • Luuk Van Beek

CFE - H1-23 impacted by challenging market

H1-23 result well expectations due to challenges for Construction and Multitechnics, partly offset by strong Real Estate and InvestmentsWithdraws quantitative outlook for 2023We will reduce our estimates and cut our target price from EUR 12 to EUR 10.50

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