Benelux Morning Notes

Aalberts: Big step forward in disposal programme. Belfius: No sale of stake to private investors, no sell down of BNP Paribas stake either. CM.com: Bird withdraws takeover proposal. Recticel: Acquisition of a 76% stake in Miclar Group. Theon International: c.€150m rights issue

Recticel FIRST LOOK: Acquisition of Miclar Group, upgrade to Accumulat...

With the acquisition of a 76% stake in Miclar Group, Recticel further strengthens its insulated panels business, which today consists of the businesses acquired via Rex and Trimo. The deal value looks very reasonable at 5.7x EV/EBITDA24. We have updated our forecasts resulting in a 7% increase in our 2026 EBITDA estimate. Recticel still has significant firepower for additional acquisitions and we would expect the company to continue to hunt for mid-sized acquisitions that further enlarge positio...

Morning Notes : AALB NA, FLOB BB, RECT BB, DEME BB

: AALB NA, FLOB BB, RECT BB, DEME BB

Benelux Morning Notes

ABN Amro: 3Q mixed, NIBC M&A good value for money. Adyen: CMD highlights – confident on long-term growth Belgian Telecoms: Digi Belgium raises €104.5m in capital, after €80m capital increase in July. CM.com: Raises €5m through private placement. Recticel: Peer Rockwool's 3Q25 trading update. Zabka: Potential bidder for Carrefour Romania. Events Calendar

Recticel/3Q25 postview: Early signs of recovery/BUY

We reiterate our BUY on Recticel and our €12 target price following Recticel's 3Q25 trading update. Recticel reported below-expectation sales in 3Q25 but reiterated its €55m Adj. EBITDA guidance for FY25F. Next to this comment, Recticel flagged that permits and mortgage demand have started to rebound in the UK and Europe, which may have an impact on 2026F already. A weak trading environment for Recticel Insulation Boards has put a drag on the group's profitability over the past three years, and ...

Benelux Morning Notes

AB InBev: The interim is back. Arcadis: Slow return to organic growth, FCF disappoints. Ayvens: Keeping its promise. dsm-firmenich: Waiting for Godot. D'Ieteren: Boyd prelim 3Q25, $1.3bn M&A deal, NYSE listing, $780m capital increase. Flow Traders: Down but not out. Ontex: FY25F guidance confirmed despite a modestly softer 3Q25. Recticel: Weak 3Q25 but comforting outlook. Shell plc: Solid story with cash continuing to come in strongly. TKH Group: Preview - subsea remains in foc...

Recticel FIRST LOOK: 3Q top line below expectations, FY guidance maint...

Recticel saw 3Q revenue decline by 1% which was below our and consensus forecasts. Recticel reiterated FY25 adjusted EBITDA guidance calling for c. 10% growth. The strategic growth projects in the US (Insulated Panels Plant) and Belgium (Recycling plant) are progressing according to plan. While we still believe in the strategic attractiveness of the insulation market and Recticel's offering, we deem short term valuation multiples are about fair so we maintain our Hold rating and € 11 target pric...

Morning Notes : ABI BB, ARCAD NA, ARGX BB, DSFIR NA, FLOW NA, INGA NA,...

: ABI BB, ARCAD NA, ARGX BB, DSFIR NA, FLOW NA, INGA NA, ONTEX BB, RECT BB

Recticel/1H25 results: Insulation Boards still a drag/BUY

Recticel Conference call feedback & model update

Recticel has posted solid double digit top line growth in 1H25 with a flattish adj EBITDA margin. The € 27.7m adj EBITDA figure was c. 8% below our forecast and 7% below consensus. The fresh FY25 adjusted EBITDA guidance calls for c. 10% growth which was below our and consensus forecasts (of c. +24%). Positive is that building permit levels are starting to pick up in some geographies. The strategic growth projects in the US (Insulated Panels Plant) and Belgium (Recycling plant) are progressing a...

Benelux Morning Notes

Ackermans & van Haaren: A strong 1H25. Avantium: Nearly there. Eurocommercial Properties: Good results, positive effects of remerchandising. Recticel: Weak 1H25 calls for a 12% downgrade to consensus at Adj. EBITDA level. Sif Group: 2025 and 2026 guidance cuts. Staffing: Belgium - July Temp volume weaker at -3.5% YoY despite easier comps

Morning Notes : ACKB BB, HAL NA, NEXTA BB, RECT BB, RET BB, UCB BB, BT...

: ACKB BB, HAL NA, NEXTA BB, RECT BB, RET BB, UCB BB, BTLS BB, ECMPA NA

Recticel FIRST LOOK: 1H adj.EBITDA +10%, FY EBITDA growth guidance of ...

Recticel has posted solid double digit top line growth in 1H25 with a flattish adj EBITDA margin. The € 27.7m adj EBITDA figure was c. 8% below our forecast and 7% below consensus. The fresh FY25 adjusted EBITDA guidance calls for c. 10% growth which is below our and consensus forecasts (of c. +24%). Positive is that building permit levels are starting to pick up in some geographies. The strategic growth projects in the US (Insulated Panels Plant) and Belgium (Recycling plant) are progressing ac...

Benelux Morning Notes

Ahold Delhaize: Peer Walmart 2Q26 results. Montea: No surprises, 2025 and 2027 targets confirmed. Recticel: 1H25 preview. Zabka: Peer Dino Polska 2Q25 results

Benelux Morning Notes

AEGON: Addition of €200m to existing SBB, considering US domicile, results mixed. Alfen: 19% EBITDA cut, mid-point new 2026 guidance. Flow Traders: Positive volumes, negative volatility. Kinepolis: Strong profit beat on better operating leverage, higher ticket and ITS per visitor. Recticel: Peer Rockwool 2Q25 results. Tessenderlo: Solid 1H25 beat, guidance maintained. VGP: Strong results, more news on JVs to come

Benelux Morning Notes

CFE: Keeps FY25 outlook. Greenyard: Preview of FY24/25 results. Recticel: Peer Rockwool 1Q25 results

Recticel/A strong 1Q25 thanks to Insulation Boards/BUY

We reiterate our BUY rating and €16 target price on Recticel following the group's 1Q25 results. We remain convinced by the medium-to-long term potential of the Insulation market, which should provide Recticel with ample room to grow both organically and through M&A thanks to its net cash position. On top of this, we expect a gradual recovery in the Residential segment to allow for material margin improvement, allowing Adj. EBITDA to grow by CAGR >21% over 2024-27F. We flag that the new factory ...

Benelux Morning Notes

Aedifica: Strong Q1, improving fundamentals, further growth to come. Air France-KLM: Surprising Atlantic. Aperam: In-line 1Q25, seasonal better 2Q25 expected. ArcelorMittal: In-line 1Q25, risks to steel demand due to tariff uncertainty. ASM International: 1Q25 Results - FY25 headwinds from weak USD. Ayvens: Getting into Gear. dsm-firmenich: Transformation on Track. Lotus Bakeries: Peer Mondelez 1Q25 results. Melexis: Mixed 1Q25 results in unstable markets. Ontex: Two steps fo...

Benelux Morning Notes

Allfunds Group plc: Calm before the storm. Coca-Cola Europacific Partners: No Leap(ing) Easter Bunnies. Recticel: Strong start to the year thanks to Insulation Boards. Universal Music Group: Spotify to increase Europe and Latin America prices this Summer

Morning Notes : IMMO BB, RECT BB, EKOP BB, MAAT FP

: IMMO BB, RECT BB, EKOP BB, MAAT FP