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ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Anders Idborg
  • Karl Bokvist
Tomi Railo
  • Tomi Railo

Wärtsilä (Buy, TP: EUR20.00) - Less energy in store

Energy storage orders and earnings missed our forecasts for Q1. We have trimmed our 2025–2027e clean EBIT for the core business by 1%, but raised it by 1% for the group, helped by non-core. We reiterate our BUY and EUR20 target price.

ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Anders Idborg
  • Karl Bokvist

Avanza Bank Holding AB: 1 director

A director at Avanza Bank Holding AB bought 1,500 shares at 313.130SEK and the significance rating of the trade was 69/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two year...

ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Anders Idborg
  • Karl Bokvist
ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Anders Idborg
  • Karl Bokvist
Tomi Railo
  • Tomi Railo

Wärtsilä (Buy, TP: EUR20.00) - Setbacks in Energy

Based on recent news flow relating to Energy and FX, we have cut our 2025–2027e clean EPS by 5% on average and our target price to EUR20 (22). We reiterate our BUY and continue to highlight Wärtsilä’s solid earnings quality and attractive valuation. The Q1 results are due on 25 April (no details available). Our forecast orders and clean EBIT are below post-Q4 consensus.

ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Anders Idborg
  • Karl Bokvist
Mattias Holmberg
  • Mattias Holmberg

Who stands to benefit?

A potential peace deal between Russia and Ukraine could unlock one of the largest reconstruction efforts in modern history. The World Bank estimates Ukraine will need USD486bn in rebuilding efforts over the next decade, but we estimate this would add only c2% to annual European construction spending. While the direct earnings effect may be modest, we expect the “rebuild Ukraine theme” to drive investor sentiment. We see Volvo, Epiroc, Hexagon, Metso, Hiab and ABB as some of the primary beneficia...

ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Anders Idborg
  • Karl Bokvist
Tomi Railo
  • Tomi Railo

Wärtsilä (Buy, TP: EUR22.00) - Strong and attractive core business

We have raised our 2025–2026e clean EPS by 2% after solid Q4 order and profit outperformances for Energy plants and Service, even adjusting for the large Storage order beat but profit miss. We continue to highlight the quality and attractive valuation of the core business. We reiterate our BUY and EUR22 target price.

ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Anders Idborg
  • Karl Bokvist
ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Anders Idborg
  • Karl Bokvist
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