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ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research
  • Henrik Bartnes
  • Martin Melbye
ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research
  • Henrik Bartnes
  • Martin Melbye
ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research
  • Ali Shemmari
  • Henrik Bartnes
  • Martin Melbye
ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research
  • Ali Shemmari
  • Martin Melbye
ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research
  • Ali Shemmari
  • Martin Melbye
ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research
  • Ali Shemmari
  • Martin Melbye

Q4 below, Q1 likely better

EBIT SEK -28m vs. ABG SEK -25m — lower volumes. Q1 likely better — no maintenance.

ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research
  • Ali Shemmari
  • Martin Melbye
ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research
  • Ali Shemmari
  • Martin Melbye
ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research
  • Ali Shemmari
  • Martin Melbye

Q3 slightly below, maintenance in Q4

EBIT SEK 40m vs. ABG SEK 47m — higher costs, lower volumes. Q4 likely weaker driven by maintenance

ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research
  • Ali Shemmari
  • Martin Melbye

More headwinds than tailwinds

Q3e: Cclean EBIT of ~SEK 47m – maintenance in Q4. Pulp moving into a more challenging territory – prices down. Fair value range: SEK 9-16/sh.

ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research
  • Ali Shemmari
  • Martin Melbye

Not great, not terrible

EBIT SEK 30m vs. ABGSCe SEK 63m; Q3e likely better. Pulp prices at ATHs, but may have peaked short-term. Fair value range: SEK 9-16/sh.

ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research
  • Ali Shemmari
  • Martin Melbye

Q2 below, Q3 likely better

EBIT SEK 30m vs. ABG SEK 63m. Q3 likely stronger — Rottneros Mill maintenance moved to Q4. Conference call at 12 CET.

ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research
  • Ali Shemmari
  • Martin Melbye

Q2 set to improve vs. Q1

Q2e: Clean EBIT of ~SEK 63m. Pulp prices at ATHs, but may have peaked short-term. Fair value range: SEK 9-16/sh.

ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research
  • Martin Melbye

Leading indicators

OECD: The indicator points up from a low level. US: The indicator points up (housing starts, monetary policy, interest rates, real FX). EU: The indicator points up from a low level (bond yields, stock market). Japan: The indicator is neutral (monetary policy, housing starts).

ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research
  • Ali Shemmari
  • Martin Melbye

A shaky start to the year

Q1: Clean EBIT of SEK 5m, production issues. Pulp prices move higher, demand stronger. Fair value range: SEK 9-16/sh.

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