In general, a weaker USD has a negative impact on Benelux stocks, particularly for companies with significant exports to the US. In this note we selected a list of companies with high US export exposure and we examine the potential impact on FY25 earninings. On top of the weak dollar, rising trade tensions or the introduction of tariffs further harm Benelux exporters. As the dollar depreciates against the euro, European goods become costlier for American consumers. At the same time, revenues ear...
1M Performance - Absolute: During May'25 (1M period), the KBCS Holdings Universe posted a return of +2.2% which was mainly driven by multi-asset holdings (+2.6%) while single-asset holdings posted a smaller return of +1.2%. The 3 top performers during the period were Gimv (+12.1%), KBC Ancora (+11.1%) and Ackermans & van Haaren (+4.1%) while the 3 worst performers were Solvac (-2.8%), Groupe Bruxelles Lambert (-0.8%) and Heineken Holding (-0.3%). YTD Performance - Relative: On a YTD basis (as o...
In this June update, we've made four adjustments to the KBC Securities Dynamic Top Pick List: 1.Merus (Removed – 27 May) was removed following the release of strong interim Phase 2 data at the ASCO 2025 conference. Its lead asset, petosemtamab, in combination with Keytruda, showed a 63% overall response rate in first-line treatment of head and neck cancer—significantly outperforming Keytruda monotherapy. The resulting share price surge validated our investment thesis. 2. Adyen (Removed) has de...
Below our feedback notes written at the occasion of our annual Benelux Local Champions Conference that took place on 27 May 2025 at our historic building at Grand Place Brussels. This event offered the possibility to have one-on-one meetings and/or small group meetings with the following Benelux companies and their top management & IR: ACKERMANS & VAN HAAREN | AHOLD DELHAIZE | AKZONOBEL | ARCADIS | AZELIS | CORBION | GBL | LOTUS BAKERIES | MELEXIS | PROXIMUS | SOFINA | UMICORE
This conference book is your guide to our annual Benelux Local Champions Conference set to take place on Tuesday, 27 May 2025 at our historic building at Grand Place in Brussels. This event offers the possibility to have one-on-one meetings and/or small group meetings with the following Benelux companies and their top management & IR. ACKERMANS & VAN HAAREN | AGEAS | AHOLD DELHAIZE | AKZONOBEL | ARCADIS | AZELIS | CORBION | GBL | KBC GROUP | LOTUS BAKERIES | MELEXIS | PROXIMUS | SOFINA | UMIC...
The ongoing tariff war continues to create uncertainty for investors, with a trade embargo between the US and China. Although Europe has received a temporary reprieve, the prolonged situation could result in significant economic damage. We are maintaining a defensive stance in our Benelux Dynamic Top Pick List, as the Federal Reserve holds steady and the European Central Bank may continue lowering rates. Pessimism regarding the European industry has increased, though some US-based European compa...
1M Performance - Absolute: During April'25 (1M period), the KBCS Holdings Universe posted a return of +2.7% which was mainly driven by multi-asset holdings (+3.0%) while single-asset holdings posted a smaller return of +2.0%. The 3 top performers during the period were D'Ieteren (+10.6%), Ackermans & van Haaren (+7.7%) and Groupe Bruxelles Lambert (+5.4%) while the 3 worst performers were Exor (-0.8%), HAL Trust (-1.5%) and Quest for Growth (-5.5%). YTD Performance - Relative: On a YTD basis (a...
‘The Times' has reported that Cognita School's majority shareholder Jacobs Holding has appointed financial advisors to explore a sale or an IPO of Cognita Schools with Permira, CVC and Blackstone having shown initial interest. The article also mentions that Cognita's EBITDA is more than £260.0m (€304.4m) and that Cognita could comfortable attract a valuation of 18-20x EV/EBITDA, implying an enterprise value of €5.5b-€6.1b. We think that such a valuation is indeed possible since Nord Anglia Educa...
In this April 2025 update of the KBC Securities' Dynamic Top Pick List, we are removing Gimv and adding Adyen. Since adding Gimv to the Dynamic Top Pick List in mid-December 2024, Gimv's performance has remained flat. However, month-to-date, it has increased by nearly 7%, while the indices have all declined. Given the backdrop of a tariff war brewing, we think it's time to remove Gimv from the Dynamic Top Pick List as medium-sized businesses are more likely to feel the pinch of lower demand and...
Arcadis: Large contract in Resilience. ASM International: Highlights from CFO roadshow. Exor: Exor buying back Exor shares. Fastned: 2H24 results, cost pressure. Flow Traders: February volumes elevated in EMEA. Montea: JV with Weerts in Belgium. Sligro: FY24 results in line, weak 1Q25 outlook. Sofina: Final NAV a tad higher. Umicore: CMD targets – no big bang
During FY24, Sofina's NAVps rose by almost 14% to €311.77 (vs €273.62 at FY23-end) mainly driven by the broader recovery across both PE and VC. Sofina Growth saw its valuation grow by 19.6% to ~€2.3b while Sofina Private Funds grew by 12.7% to ~4.7b. Net result came in at €1.36b (€40.9ps). Sofina will open an office in London and we think this will lead to new connections and eventually, unlock new co-investment opportunities alongside industry leading firms. Post closing, Sofina invested in Ber...
We made 5 changes in this March update of our KBC Securities Dynamic Top Pick List (DTPL): On 26 February we already removed ABN Amro from our DTPL, after a strong 24.4% return since the announcement of our 2025 Dynamic Top Pick List on 13 December 2024, far outpacing our financial sector coverage. Although we remain positive on the longer term, we believe most of the short-term revaluation is behind us. Today, we remove Ackermans & van Haaren as the stock just hit an all-time high and crossed...
1M Performance - Absolute: During Feb'25 (1M period), the KBCS Holdings Universe posted a return of +3.7% which was mainly driven by single-asset holdings (+11.1%) while multi-asset holdings posted a modest return of +0.5%. The 3 top performers during the period were Heineken Holding (+21.3%), KBC Ancora (+6.9%) and Ackermans & van Haaren (+4.4%) while the 3 worst performers were Financière de Tubize (-6.3%), Compagnie du Bois Sauvage (TINC; -6.6%) and Whitestone Group (-6.8%). YTD Performance...
We update our valuation model, ahead of the publication of FY24 results on 26 March 2025. The January newsletter only provided preliminary unaudited NAV and information regarding changes in the portfolio, allowing us to make some adjustments and with fine-tuning to follow at the end of March. The most important transactions and recent information regarding some of the main shareholdings include: (1) NAV at YE24 is estimated at €307 per share, up 12.2% YoY, (2) Ongoing momentum in sourcing and in...
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