reports
- Pierre FerraguÊ
The Citrini report: a revival of Marxism.
The Citrini report is an interesting thought experiment. It qualifies fully as neo-marxist, calling for the tendency of profit rates to fall. Like Marx 165 years ago, the authors are nevertheless getting a couple of things wrong. Click the link below for our thoughts and our perspective on the matter.
TSLA TESLA INC
NVDA NVIDIA CORPORATION
LRCX LAM RESEARCH CORPORATION
AMAT APPLIED MATERIALS INC.
2330 TSMC
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
8035 TOKYO ELECTRON LTD.
ASML ASML HOLDING N.V.
AAPL ASML HOLDING NV
ARM APPLE INC.
AAPL US ARM HOLDINGS PLC
APPLE INC
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Ahold Delhaize: Peer Walmart 4Q25/26 results. Arcadis: Main topics 4Q25/FY25 conference call. ASM: 4Q25 preview, FY26 should be strong. Brunel: 4Q25 result beats and trends stabilise; DACH back to growth in 1Q26; additional cost savings announced and special dividend. Cofinimmo: Beat on bottom line, strong investment outlook for 2026. IMCD: Another step in EMEA. Magnum Ice Cream Company: Peer Danone 4Q25 results. Recticel: Peer Kingspan FY25 results. Software sector: Cheaper code...
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Aedifica: Conference call highlights. Basic-Fit: Belgian VAT increase for culture, sports and takeaway meals postponed. BE Semiconductor Industries: 4Q25 Preview, incremental strength. Kendrion: Preview - Clean into 2026. Magnum Ice Cream Company: Acquisition of Kwality Wall's launched. Retail Estates: Re-letting progress highlights portfolio quality. Semi Equipment: AMAT readthrough strength. Universal Music Group: EU Commission approves UMG's Downtown acquisition, requires full Curve Ro...
- Marc Zwartsenburg
- CEFA
ING Benelux Favourites/Weekly performance and valuation update
We update the performance of our ING Benelux Favourites list as well as all valuation and ranking tables for our coverage universe. Performance on the front page is dated from the 28 January 2026, while historical performance is included on the second page. The methodology for our favourites selection is based on a bottom-up approach with a focus on absolute performance with clear near-term triggers. It is a rolling list, ie, stocks can enter/exit whenever we think opportune. The ING Benelux Fav...
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Kristof Samoy
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Michiel Declercq
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Thomas Couvreur
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Jacob Mekhael
- Kristof Samoy
- Mathijs Geerts Danau
- Wim Lewi
- Kristof Samoy
Ekopak Delivery Waterkracht permit and Dutch wastewater plant acquisit...
Yesterday evening an article was published in the local Antwerp newspaper GVA. It stated Flemish Minister of the Environment Jo Brouns (CD&V) has granted a permit for the Waterkracht project. As a result, all chemical companies in the Port of Antwerp will use purified wastewater to cool their production processes starting at the end of 2027. Earlier on the target was to start commercial operations early 2027 and this is still reflected in our earnings model. We will overhaul our model once it is...
- Pierre FerraguÊ
- Pierre FerraguÊ
What returns to expect on Cloud AI?
After a string of multi-GW contracts and capex announcements, the attractiveness of cloud AI returns remains a hot question amongst investors. In this report, we build a simple framework to answer that question. We estimate Cloud AI returns from CSP disclosures and what we know about large real-world contracts, and benchmark them against what we know about the economics of traditional cloud.
NOW SERVICENOW INC.
DAI DAIMLER AG
WDC WESTERN DIGITAL CORPORATION
TER TERADYNE INC.
STX SEAGATE TECHNOLOGY PLC
MPWR MONOLITHIC POWER SYSTEMS INC.
GOOGL ALPHABET INC. CLASS A
GLW CORNING INC
FB FACEBOOK INC. CLASS A
EQIX EQUINIX INC.
CTSH COGNIZANT TECHNOLOGY SOLUTIONS CORPORATION CLASS A
AVT AVNET INC.
ARW ARROW ELECTRONICS INC.
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
AIXA AIXTRON SE
ASM PACIFIC TECHNOLOGY LIMITED
6723 RENESAS ELECTRONICS CORPORATION
8035 TOKYO ELECTRON LTD.
MELE MELEXIS NV
KLAC KLA CORPORATION
UMCB UNITED MICROELECTRONICS CORP (ADR)
AMZN AMAZON.COM INC.
AAPL APPLE INC.
MSFT MICROSOFT CORPORATION
VOW VOLKSWAGEN (VOW GR)
CKP CHECKPOINT SYSTEMS INC
NET CLOUDFLARE INC CLASS A
CADE CADENCE BANK
TEAM ATLASSIAN CORPORATION
CLS CELESTICA INC.
5930 SAMSUNG GROUP
- David Vagman
- CFA
- Dirk Verbiesen
- Francesca Ferragina
- Jason Kalamboussis
- Marc Hesselink
- CFA
- Marc Zwartsenburg
- CEFA
- Maxime Stranart
- Michiel Vereycken
- Quirijn Mulder
- Reg Watson
- CFA
- Thymen Rundberg
- Tijs Hollestelle
ING Benelux Favourites/Aedifica, Ageas, ASM International, Basic-Fit, ...
We refresh our ING Benelux Favourites list. We apply a fundamental bottom up approach in which we select stocks which provide the best upside within our Benelux coverage universe and these stocks need clear catalysts. Additions/deletions: We add the following names to the ING Benelux Favourites list: Ageas: Ageas has done multiple deals; its most recent purchase of the 25% stake BNP Paribas had in its Belgian ops, is an accretive deal and we believe makes the Belgian operations ready for a pot...
- Kristof Samoy
Ekopak Partnership with unnamed infrastructure partner for WaaS develo...
Ekopak just announced a long term strategic partnership with an unnamed European infrastructure partner for the development of (large) WaaS projects. Many details are still unknown and management was not (yet) available for comments. The partnership introduces a minimum of €150m in off balance sheet funding over the next three years that will be deployed through dedicated asset companies financed with senior non recourse debt and majority equity from the infrastructure partner. As part of the pa...
- Jerôme Bodin
IPS IPSOS
LOGI LOGITECH INTERNATIONAL S.A.
FP TOTAL SE
UBI UBISOFT ENTERTAINMENT SA
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
ORA ORANGE SA
EN BOUYGUES SA
DEC JCDECAUX SA
ITP INTERPARFUMS
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
ENI ENI S.P.A.
COTN COMET HOLDING AG
CICN CICOREL HOLDING S.A.
REP REPSOL SA
SOI SOITEC SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
AIXA AIXTRON SE
PFV PFEIFFER VACUUM TECHNOLOGY AG
ATS AT & S AUSTRIA TECHNOLOGIE & SYSTEMTECHNIK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
WAF SILTRONIC AG
MELE MELEXIS NV
NOD NORDIC SEMICONDUCTOR ASA
SMHN SUESS MICROTEC AG
LFDE LA FRANCAISE DE L'ENERGIE SA
VACN VAT GROUP AG
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
BP. BP P.L.C.
GALE GALENICA AG
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
JEN JENOPTIK AG
VUL VULCAN ENERGY RESOURCES
SHEL SHELL PLC
ADTN ADTRAN HOLDINGS INC
IOS IONOS GROUP SE
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
AMS AMS-OSRAM AG
ARYN ARYZTA AG
IFCN INFICON HOLDING AG
- Jerôme Bodin
IPS IPSOS
LOGI LOGITECH INTERNATIONAL S.A.
FP TOTAL SE
UBI UBISOFT ENTERTAINMENT SA
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
ORA ORANGE SA
EN BOUYGUES SA
DEC JCDECAUX SA
ITP INTERPARFUMS
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
ENI ENI S.P.A.
COTN COMET HOLDING AG
CICN CICOREL HOLDING S.A.
REP REPSOL SA
SOI SOITEC SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
AIXA AIXTRON SE
PFV PFEIFFER VACUUM TECHNOLOGY AG
ATS AT & S AUSTRIA TECHNOLOGIE & SYSTEMTECHNIK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
WAF SILTRONIC AG
MELE MELEXIS NV
NOD NORDIC SEMICONDUCTOR ASA
SMHN SUESS MICROTEC AG
LFDE LA FRANCAISE DE L'ENERGIE SA
VACN VAT GROUP AG
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
BP. BP P.L.C.
GALE GALENICA AG
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
JEN JENOPTIK AG
VUL VULCAN ENERGY RESOURCES
SHEL SHELL PLC
ADTN ADTRAN HOLDINGS INC
IOS IONOS GROUP SE
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
AMS AMS-OSRAM AG
ARYN ARYZTA AG
IFCN INFICON HOLDING AG
INFINEON INFINEON TECHNOLOGIES AG
LOGI LOGITECH INTERNATIONAL S.A.
FP TOTAL SE
GET GETLINK SE
IPN IPSEN SA
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
DB1 DEUTSCHE BOERSE AG
BN DANONE SA
ORA ORANGE SA
EN BOUYGUES SA
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
ENI ENI S.P.A.
COTN COMET HOLDING AG
CICN CICOREL HOLDING S.A.
ORSTED ORSTED
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
REP REPSOL SA
SOI SOITEC SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
AIXA AIXTRON SE
PFV PFEIFFER VACUUM TECHNOLOGY AG
ATS AT & S AUSTRIA TECHNOLOGIE & SYSTEMTECHNIK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
WAF SILTRONIC AG
MELE MELEXIS NV
NOD NORDIC SEMICONDUCTOR ASA
SMHN SUESS MICROTEC AG
VACN VAT GROUP AG
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
BP. BP P.L.C.
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
CCEP COCA-COLA EUROPEAN PARTNERS PLC
SIK SIKA AG
JEN JENOPTIK AG
EQT EQT AB
SHEL SHELL PLC
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
AMS AMS-OSRAM AG
IFCN INFICON HOLDING AG
INFINEON INFINEON TECHNOLOGIES AG
LOGI LOGITECH INTERNATIONAL S.A.
FP TOTAL SE
GET GETLINK SE
IPN IPSEN SA
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
DB1 DEUTSCHE BOERSE AG
BN DANONE SA
ORA ORANGE SA
EN BOUYGUES SA
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
ENI ENI S.P.A.
COTN COMET HOLDING AG
CICN CICOREL HOLDING S.A.
ORSTED ORSTED
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
REP REPSOL SA
SOI SOITEC SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
AIXA AIXTRON SE
PFV PFEIFFER VACUUM TECHNOLOGY AG
ATS AT & S AUSTRIA TECHNOLOGIE & SYSTEMTECHNIK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
WAF SILTRONIC AG
MELE MELEXIS NV
NOD NORDIC SEMICONDUCTOR ASA
SMHN SUESS MICROTEC AG
VACN VAT GROUP AG
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
BP. BP P.L.C.
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
CCEP COCA-COLA EUROPEAN PARTNERS PLC
SIK SIKA AG
JEN JENOPTIK AG
EQT EQT AB
SHEL SHELL PLC
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
AMS AMS-OSRAM AG
IFCN INFICON HOLDING AG
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
LOGI LOGITECH INTERNATIONAL S.A.
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
COTN COMET HOLDING AG
CICN CICOREL HOLDING S.A.
SOI SOITEC SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
AIXA AIXTRON SE
PFV PFEIFFER VACUUM TECHNOLOGY AG
ATS AT & S AUSTRIA TECHNOLOGIE & SYSTEMTECHNIK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
WAF SILTRONIC AG
MELE MELEXIS NV
NOD NORDIC SEMICONDUCTOR ASA
SMHN SUESS MICROTEC AG
VACN VAT GROUP AG
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
JEN JENOPTIK AG
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
AMS AMS-OSRAM AG
IFCN INFICON HOLDING AG
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
LOGI LOGITECH INTERNATIONAL S.A.
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
COTN COMET HOLDING AG
CICN CICOREL HOLDING S.A.
SOI SOITEC SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
AIXA AIXTRON SE
PFV PFEIFFER VACUUM TECHNOLOGY AG
ATS AT & S AUSTRIA TECHNOLOGIE & SYSTEMTECHNIK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
WAF SILTRONIC AG
MELE MELEXIS NV
NOD NORDIC SEMICONDUCTOR ASA
SMHN SUESS MICROTEC AG
VACN VAT GROUP AG
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
JEN JENOPTIK AG
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
AMS AMS-OSRAM AG
IFCN INFICON HOLDING AG
- Julian Dobrovolschi
- Julian Dobrovolschi
- Marc Hesselink
- CFA
- Thymen Rundberg
ASM International/Back on its growth path/BUY
ASM's 4Q25 order intake beat has transformed the 3Q25 disappointment into just a one-off timing hiccup within a very strong long-term growth path. TSMC's FY26 capex beat underlines that AI strength and ongoing technology transitions are key tailwinds for ASM. We expect the company to significantly outgrow its peers. We meaningfully increase our estimates, up our DCF-based target price to €900 per share (from €700) and reiterate our BUY. ASM remains on the ING Benelux Favourites list.
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