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ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Adyen: 3Q25 results – solid net revenue, FY25 guidance reiterated. Aedifica: Guidance raised, positive tenant trends and good portfolio valuation. Ageas: China Taiping Life 3Q25 Solvency much lower, remains solid. Allfunds Group PLC: Strong flows. ASM International: 3Q25 results - disappointing orders, much better margins. Corbion: Iron wills and nerves of steel. Lotus Bakeries: peer Mondelez 3Q25 results. Melexis: 3Q25 results, ongoing gross margin pressure. Staffing: Dutch figs...

Guy Sips ... (+5)
  • Guy Sips
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste

Morning Notes : ADYEN NA, AED BB, ASM NA, CRBN NA, HEIA NA, INGA NA, M...

: ADYEN NA, AED BB, ASM NA, CRBN NA, HEIA NA, INGA NA, MTLS US, MELE BB

Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thibault Leneeuw

ASM International Strong 3Q25 results, weak order intake and 4Q25 outl...

ASMi revenues were above expectations driven by advanced logic/foundry demand. Gross profit margin benefited from a favorable product mix, supported by China. This combined with lower SG&A cost resulted in a better than expected adj. EBIT. However, order intake and 4Q25 outlook disappoint. FY25 guidance of approximately 10% y/y growth at CER is unchanged although we expect FY25 estimates to decrease with 1-2%. We expected large headwinds for ASMi from China in the short term. However, in the lon...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri
Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri
 PRESS RELEASE

ASM reports third quarter 2025 results

ASM reports third quarter 2025 results Almere, The Netherlands Oct 28, 2025, 6 p.m. CET Strong Q3 earnings amid mixed market conditions ASM International N.V. (Euronext Amsterdam: ASM) today reports its Q3 2025 results (unaudited). Financial highlights € million Q3 2024 Q2 2025 Q3 2025 New orders 815.3 702.5 636.8 yoy change % at constant currencies 30% (4%) (17%)         Revenue 778.6 835.6 800.0 yoy change % as reported 25% 18% 3% yoy change % at co...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Allfunds Group PLC: 3Q25 Preview. Ahold Delhaize: Amazon to invest €1.4bn in the Netherlands. ASM International: 3Q25 preview – derisked estimates. Basic-Fit: Acquires low-cost franchise operator Clever Fit; now Germany market leader. JDE Peet's: Ad hoc progress update. Lotus Bakeries: Product recall for waffles in Belgium. Melexis: 3Q25 preview, slow cyclical recovery

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Semicon West: 2026 outlook? Does AI drive growth? DRAM architectures? ...

Last week we attended the 2025 edition of the Semicon West conference, the key event for investors focused on the semiconductor equipment market. Over two days we hosted more than a dozen meetings with companies across the semiconductor value chain. Here are our key takeaways.

Jacob Mekhael ... (+3)
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Wim Lewi
Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thibault Leneeuw

ASM International Even the donkey says A.I., why we prefer ASMi

In this note, we revisit the key dynamics discussed during ASMi's CMD. We also outline why ASMi remains our preferred pick within the semiconductor sector and provide additional context on the risks related to China. In our view, current WFE market estimates remain elevated, largely driven by optimism surrounding hyperscalers CapEx. However, our analysis of the recent announcements confirms that AI related investments have a meaningful impact on WFE demand, yet this impact should not be overesti...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri

ODDO : Mémoire : Et si nous étions à l’aube d’un ‘supercycle’ ?

Les prix de la mémoire ont progressé de 15% sur un mois et de ~30% YTD. Cela reflète une forte tension sur l’offre alors que la demande IA est plus élevée qu’attendu. Les stocks de mémoires sont, par ailleurs, au plus bas, ouvrant la voie en 2026 à un supercycle, tiré par l’IA mais aussi par l’intégration de l’Edge AI dans les smartphones/PC. Un marché des semis à ~+15/20% en 2026 est crédible dans ce contexte. Dans notre couverture, cela devrait d’abord bénéficier à ASML, VAT, Siltronic, ASMi e...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri

ODDO : Memory: What if we were on the eve of a super cycle?

Memory prices have risen by 15% m-o-m and by ~30% since the start of 2025. This reflects a tight supply situation, with demand for AI stronger than expected. Memory inventories are also at an all-time low, paving the way for a super cycle in 2026, driven by AI but also by the integration of Edge AI in smartphones/PCs. A semis market at ~+15-20% in 2026 is a credible scenario in this context. In our coverage, this should first benefit ASML, VAT, Siltronic, ASMi and SUSS (Outperform vs Neutral), f...

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