reports
- Gabor Bukta
Model update - RASK improves, but the FX distorts
Wizz Air will report its fiscal Q3/25 earnings on the 30th of January BMO. We expect the PAT to come in at EUR -206mn, driven by a significant FX revaluation loss of EUR 200mn on the back of USD appreciation. EBIT may come in at EUR 4mn in fiscal Q3, up by EUR 184mn compared to a year ago, resulting from a mix of RASK improvement and fuel cost savings. We roll-over our TP to Mar-26 and set it at GBP 22.1 a share, implying an upside potential of 59%
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: positive performances from all ind...
EME Equity Market – December 2024 A green December. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced 2.9% in EUR terms and 0.8% in USD terms in December. The Greek ASE Index (+5.5% mom in EUR terms) was the best performer, followed closely by the Czech PX Index (+5.0% mom in EUR terms). Solid performances were also reported by the BET (+2.4% mom), BUX (+2.2% mom) and ISE 30 (+1.5% mom) indices (all in EUR terms). The Polish WIG 20 Index (+0.4% mom in EUR terms) reported a muted performance.
CEZ CEZ AS
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
ENA ENEA S.A.
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
RICHT RICHTER
19XX NEPI ROCKCASTLE PLC
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
NLBR NLB GROUP
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
PCF PCF GROUP SA
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
CTPNV CTP NV
GPP GRUPA PRACUJ DA
BCG BALTIC CLASSIFIEDS GROUP PLC
ELPE HELLENIQ ENERGY
4071 ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
AQ AQUILA PART PROD COM
GEV GEVORKYAN A.S.
- Research Team
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: CEZ CP; WIZZ LN; MBK PW; MBR PW; WPL PW; HUG PW; TEN PW; 1...
HEADLINES: • CEZ: government may try to include support for coal plants in draft gas bill NEUTRAL • Wizz Air: extends compensation agreement with PW until YE26 NEUTRAL • mBank: sees PLN 907m of FX mortgage saga costs in 4Q24E NEUTRAL • Mo-BRUK: update on increased fees in Wałbrzych for 2018 NEUTRAL • Wirtualna Polska: agrees to acquire Invia Group for c.EUR 240m POSITIVE • Huuuge Games: December bookings estimate jumps by 18% mom, to USD 13m POSITIVE • Ten Square Games: December bookings estimat...
CEZ CEZ AS
GWI GLOBALWORTH REAL ESTATE INVESTMENTS LIMITED
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PPA PIRAEUS PORT AUTHORITY S.A.
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
FP. FONDUL PROPRIETATEA S.A. GDR (REG S)
TABAK PHILIP MORRIS CR AS
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
HUGE HUUUGE
IGN1L IGNITIS GRUPE
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: BCG LN; KTY PW; CDR PW; 11B PW; BFT PW; BDX PW; OPL PW; PG...
HEADLINES: • Baltic Classifieds Group: strong FY 1H25 financial results; conference call takeaways POSITIVE • Kety: Roman Przybylski (current deputy CEO) to become new CEO NEUTRAL • CD Projekt: update on the US class action lawsuit regarding the technical solutions used by GOG NEUTRAL • 11 bit studios: starts marketing campaign for Moonlighter 2 publishing project NEUTRAL • WOOD's Winter Wonderland EME Conference 2024 • 11 bit studios: postcard from Prague • Benefit Systems: postcard from Prague...
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
AKCNS AKCANSA CIMENTO
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
TKNSA TEKNOSA IC VE DIS TICARET AS
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
RICHT RICHTER
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
BCG BALTIC CLASSIFIEDS GROUP PLC
GIG GAMING INNOVATION GROUP
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Turkiye rebounds, Romania declines
EME Equity Market – November 2024 Rebound in Türkiye, Romania hammered. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced 3.8% in EUR terms and 1.0% in USD terms in November. The Turkish ISE30 recouped the losses of the previous month, adding 10.4% mom in EUR terms. The Hungarian BUX added 4.3% mom in EUR terms, followed by the PX (+2.9% mom), the ASE (+0.8% mom) and the WIG (+0.8% mom) (all in EUR terms). Following the first round of presidential elections, and the polemic and uncertainty that ensued, the BET ...
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
MOL MOL NYRT
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
AKCNS AKCANSA CIMENTO
BRISA BRISA-BRIDGESTONE SABANCI LASTIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
LOGO LOGO YAZILIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
GTC GLOBE TRADE CENTRE S.A.
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
OTKAR OTOKAR OTOMOTIV VE SAVUNMA SANAYI A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
ECH ECHO INVESTMENT
GSPARK GRAPHISOFT PARK SE
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
ETEL TELECOM EGYPT
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
SNP PETROM S.A.
PBK PATRIA BANK SA
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
RICHT RICHTER
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
R22 R22
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
NLBR NLB GROUP
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ILRA-R-A ILIRIJA D.D.
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
DUNAHOUSE DUNA HOUSE
INPST INPOST S.A.
PCF PCF GROUP SA
HUGE HUUUGE
4IG 4IG NYRT
CTPNV KAZMUNAYGAS NC JSC
ONE CTP NV
GPP ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA
KLKIM GRUPA PRACUJ DA
GIG KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
2381 GAMING INNOVATION GROUP
9526 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
ELPE JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
4071 HELLENIQ ENERGY
7203 ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
AQ ELM CO
TRESTATES AQUILA PART PROD COM
AIRA TRADE ESTATES REIC SA
GEV AIR ASTANA JSC
BOCHGR GEVORKYAN A.S.
BANK OF CYPRUS
Wizz Air Holdings: 1 director
A director at Wizz Air Holdings bought 1,490 shares at 1,342p and the significance rating of the trade was 52/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly...
- Carole Braudeau
- Carole Braudeau
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: OTP HB; CCC PW; DNP PW; INPST NA; MOL HB; WIZZ LN; EUROB G...
HEADLINES: • OTP Bank: solid 3Q24 results, in line with our forecasts; future share price performance depends on growth guidance and/or capital distribution NEUTRAL • CCC: historically-best quarterly EBITDA 9% above our expectations, due to opex control POSITIVE • Dino Polska: 4-8% EBITDA beats in 3Q24, EBITDA back on the rise POSITIVE • InPost: 3Q24 in line with expectations; FY24E guidance upgrade POSITIVE • MOL: 3Q24 results – EBITDA in line with our and the consensus estimates NEUTRAL • Wizz...
MOL MOL NYRT
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
CCC CCC SA
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
NLBR NLB GROUP
INPST INPOST S.A.
GEV GEVORKYAN A.S.
- Jakub Caithaml
WOOD Flash – Wizz Air: 2Q FY25 – 'tis the season?
There goes the summer. For Wizz, 2Q FY25 was yet another weak quarter, as the market has gradually come to expect since the beginning of August. The stock performance and the series of consensus downgrades over the past 3M suggest that the latest set of poor results have been factored in, in our view. Is Wizz now about to turn a corner, and are the next few quarters looking better? Possibly. The RASK should pick up pace and the ex-fuel CASK should moderate in 2H FY25E. In FY26E, Wizz should re-s...
- Emira Sagaama
- Juan Ros-Padilla
AMS AMS AG
CRI CHARGEURS SA
EVT EVOTEC SE
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
LXS LANXESS AG
BEN BENETEAU SA
KCO KLOECKNER & CO SE
VLS VALNEVA SE
JCQ JACQUET METALS SA
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
BAMNB KONINKLIJKE BAM GROEP NV
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
GN GN STORE NORD A/S
GLB GLANBIA PLC
DEZ DEUTZ AG
AALB AALBERTS N.V.
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
FDR FLUIDRA S.A.
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
LOG COMPANIA DE DISTRIBUCION INTEGRAL LOGISTA HOLDINGS S.A.
TWEKA TKH GROUP N.V. CERT
SMHN SUESS MICROTEC AG
DIC DIC ASSET AG
ALFEN ALFEN NV
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
HAG HENSOLDT AG
COP COMPUGROUP MEDICAL SE & CO. KGAA
KTA KNAUS TABBERT
RWI RENEWI PLC
HGEA HGEARS AG
AF AIR FRANCE - KLM
- Emira Sagaama
- Juan Ros-Padilla
AMS AMS AG
CRI CHARGEURS SA
EVT EVOTEC SE
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
LXS LANXESS AG
BEN BENETEAU SA
KCO KLOECKNER & CO SE
VLS VALNEVA SE
JCQ JACQUET METALS SA
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
BAMNB KONINKLIJKE BAM GROEP NV
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
GN GN STORE NORD A/S
GLB GLANBIA PLC
DEZ DEUTZ AG
AALB AALBERTS N.V.
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
FDR FLUIDRA S.A.
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
LOG COMPANIA DE DISTRIBUCION INTEGRAL LOGISTA HOLDINGS S.A.
TWEKA TKH GROUP N.V. CERT
SMHN SUESS MICROTEC AG
DIC DIC ASSET AG
ALFEN ALFEN NV
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
HAG HENSOLDT AG
COP COMPUGROUP MEDICAL SE & CO. KGAA
KTA KNAUS TABBERT
RWI RENEWI PLC
HGEA HGEARS AG
AF AIR FRANCE - KLM
- Olfa Taamallah
- Yan Derocles
Wizz Air : H1 2024-2025 results slightly lower than expected due to co...
>Disappointing EBITDA performance - Wizz Air has just released its figures for the H1 2024-2025 (ending September 2024). Net profit was 5% below the average company-compiled consensus (estimated at € 332m) at € 315m (-21% vs. N-1) on revenues of € 3,066m, leading to a net margin of 26.9%. The decrease in profitability reflected the cost inefficiencies carried as a result of grounded aircraft due to GTF engine inspections and the cost of one-off wet leased aircraft dur...
- Olfa Taamallah
- Yan Derocles
Wizz Air : H1 2024-2025 results slightly lower than expected due to co...
>Disappointing EBITDA performance - Wizz Air has just released its figures for the H1 2024-2025 (ending September 2024). Net profit was 5% below the average company-compiled consensus (estimated at € 332m) at € 315m (-21% vs. N-1) on revenues of € 3,066m, leading to a net margin of 26.9%. The decrease in profitability reflected the cost inefficiencies carried as a result of grounded aircraft due to GTF engine inspections and the cost of one-off wet leased aircraft dur...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: PEO PW; PKO PW; WIZZ LN; BVB RO; TBCG LN; CTPNV NA; AIRA L...
HEADLINES: • Bank Pekao: posts strong 3Q24; one of the cheapest among the Polish banks, but remains hostage to merger risk • PKO BP: 3Q24 results – no major surprises • Wizz Air: 2Q FY25 – small miss, with better fuel, but higher ex-fuel cask than we expected NEUTRAL • Bucharest Stock Exchange: weak 3Q24 results NEGATIVE • TBC Bank: 3Q24 results and conference call POSITIVE • CTP: 3Q24 in line; development-led growth continues NEUTRAL • Air Astana Group: 3Q24 EBITDA up by 10% yoy, exceeding the ...
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: only the Czech Republic in the bla...
EME Equity Market – October 2024 A red October for the EME indices, only Czechia in positive territory. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 6.0% in EUR terms and 8.4% in USD terms in October. The Czech PX index was the only one spared, adding 1.3% mom in EUR terms. Türkiye was battered the most, with the Turkish ISE30 declining by 7.3% mom in EUR terms, followed closely by the Polish WIG20 (-6.7% mom in EUR terms). Greece fell 4.8% mom in EUR terms, while the Hungarian BUX index lost 2.7% mom i...
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
ALK ALKALOID AD SKOPJE
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
SAR GR. SARANTIS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
AKCNS AKCANSA CIMENTO
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
2310 SAHARA INTERNATIONAL PETROCHEMICAL COMPANY
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
OTKAR OTOKAR OTOMOTIV VE SAVUNMA SANAYI A.S.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
GSPARK GRAPHISOFT PARK SE
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
SAB1L SIAULIU BANKAS
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
SNP PETROM S.A.
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
RICHT RICHTER
R22 R22
MCOV B MEDICOVER AB
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
KSPI KASPI KZ
INPST INPOST S.A.
WPS W.A.G PAYMENT SOLUTIONS PLC
ADNOCDRILL ADNOC DRILLING CO
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
ELPE HELLENIQ ENERGY
4071 ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
AIRA AIR ASTANA JSC
GEV GEVORKYAN A.S.
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: MONET CP; ALR PW; OPL PW; KTY PW; CEZ CP; WPS LN; GE Macro...
HEADLINES: • MONETA Money Bank: solid, good, 3Q24 results in line with expectations NEUTRAL • Alior Bank: 3Q24 in line, but we may be at the peak NEUTRAL • Orange Polska: 3Q24 results – EBITDAaL up 3% yoy, 2% above consensus on one-offs; EBITDAaL excluding one-offs in line; 2024E guidance reiterated NEUTRAL • Kety: full 3Q24 results below preliminaries NEGATIVE • CEZ: Babis promoting a buyout of the CEZ minorities POSITIVE • Eurowag: solid 3Q24 trading update POSITIVE • Georgia macro: NBG keeps ...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: EMEA Airlines; LPP PW; GEV CP; EME Macro/Strategy Weekly; ...
HEADLINES: • EMEA airlines: 3Q24 traffic, margin descent underway • LPP: regulator initiates proceedings against the company, on the miscommunication of the departure from Russia NEGATIVE • GEVORKYAN: successfully issues EUR 7.5m from the second tranche of its green bond NEUTRAL • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (14-20 October) • Sarantis: 3Q24 trading update preview (due on 23 October) • Budimex: 3Q24E EBITDA flat yoy (due on 28 October) • PKO BP: 3Q24E preview (due on 7 November) • OTP Ba...
- Jakub Caithaml
WOOD Flash – EMEA airlines: 3Q24 traffic, margin descent underway
The combination of continued capacity recovery and a weak macro backdrop is putting pressure on passenger yields. The more favourable fuel prices (and, for Turkish Airlines (THYAO), higher cargo yields) only partially compensate for cost pressures caused by the GTF engine issue, higher personnel costs, and general cost inflation. This means that margins are beginning to compress from the often very high levels we have seen in the past two-to-three years. Among the four airlines that we cover, we...
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