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Nadège Tillier
  • Nadège Tillier

Naturgy/Steady 2024 financial results and outlook

Despite lower energy prices that negatively impacted its Liberalised Business segment, Naturgy's 2024 results came in at very decent levels. The slightly lower EBITDA and funds from operations reflected the lower gas and electricity prices but the company benefitted from a strong performance from its networks' distribution business. Naturgy's 2024 credit metrics remain robust, and we maintain our neutral opinion on the credit. The Spanish utility's 2025-2027 strategic plan sees a total aggregate...

Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian
Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian
Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

Naturgy : Un 9 M24 un peu au-dessus de nos attentes et une guidance 20...

>Opinion Neutre et OC à 24.9 € inchangés - Naturgy a communiqué au marché des éléments parcellaires de sa performances à fin septembre à savoir son EBITDA et son résultat net. Le groupe confirme sa trajectoire de résultats 2024 sur laquelle nous sommes d’ores et déjà alignés, mais révise légèrement en baisse son enveloppe d’investissements (-7.6%) et son atterrissage de dette nette (-1.5%). Après mise à jour des données de marché, notre objectif de cours est confirmé ...

Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

Naturgy : 9M 2024 results slightly above our forecasts and 2024 guidan...

>Neutral opinion and target price of € 24.9 unchanged - Naturgy has communicated to the market partial information on its performance to the end of September, namely EBITDA and net profit. The group confirmed its 2024 results trajectory with which we are already aligned, but edged down its capex budget (-7.6%) and its final net debt figure (-1.5%). After updating market data, our target price is unchanged at € 24.7, still based on the average of a DCF (€ 22.0 with a W...

Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

ODDO : A gradual weaning

‘Soft landing’... the term is in vogue and we think it aptly describes the current situation in the energy market. After a period of “excess profits”, the fundamentals are back in favour and prompt us to revise down our estimates for energy prices. - Alongside renewable energies, pockets of sustainable value creation are emerging for players capable of capitalising on the structural growth in volatility on the electricity markets but which are nonetheless trading at a discount In ...

Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

ODDO : Un sevrage dans la douceur

“Soft landing”… le terme est à la mode et nous pensons qu’il caractérise bien la situation du marché de l’énergie aujourd’hui. Après une parenthèse de « surprofits », les fondamentaux reprennent leur droit et nous conduisent à réviser en baisse nos hypothèses de prix de l’énergie. A côté du renouvelable, des poches pérennes de création de valeur apparaissent pour les acteurs capables de profiter de la croissance structurelle de la volatilité des marchés électriques et qui souffre...

Bruno Cavalier ... (+4)
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 09/09/2024

At the 15th edition of our Corporate Conference, hosted jointly by ODDO BHF and Commerzbank, the presenting corporates were still focused on the macroeconomic environment and the related impact on their sectors. Regionally, the US remains resilient at good levels, while China and Europe are lagging behind. Germany in particular is seen as sluggish. Hence, we observed a mixed picture across the 89 companies presenting at our conference. We were positively surprised by statements from a...

Bruno Cavalier ... (+4)
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 09/09/2024

At the 15th edition of our Corporate Conference, hosted jointly by ODDO BHF and Commerzbank, the presenting corporates were still focused on the macroeconomic environment and the related impact on their sectors. Regionally, the US remains resilient at good levels, while China and Europe are lagging behind. Germany in particular is seen as sluggish. Hence, we observed a mixed picture across the 89 companies presenting at our conference. We were positively surprised by statements from a...

Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

ODDO : Curtailments in Brazil, limited impact on Iberdrola, Enel and E...

>Recap of the announcement made by Votalia on 20 August - On 20 August, Voltalia announced that the Brazilian transmission network operator was imposing a sizeable curtailment on some parts of the network which will impact group 2024 EBITDA to the tune of € 40m, if these measures to reduce inflow continue over the next few months and if the group is not compensated financially. The curtailment on production volumes for Voltalia in the northeast portion of the network ...

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