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ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

D'Ieteren: Belron renegotiating US$4.65bn TLB debt at lower rates Exor: Call for caution, also after tax probe settlement Solvay: Cuts 2025F EBITDA outlook, maintains FCF guidance TomTom: 2Q25 results; guidance increased

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Kinepolis: Cineplex June 2025 box office rev at 91% of 2019, outperforming N America. TomTom: Preview 2Q25 - restructuring impact. Vopak: JV with IHI to start up ammonia by 2030

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ahold Delhaize: 2Q25 pre-close call feedback. Azelis: Attractive acquisition in personal care Italy. Econocom: Two UK/Ireland AV acquisitions disclosed. Staffing: Better French volumes in May even with easier comps, June outlook sluggish. Staffing: Dutch figs Period 6 volume and revenues weaker on tougher comps. UCB: Trump threatens a 200% tariff on pharmaceutical products

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Kinepolis: June 2025 Box office revenue/ attendance in US/Canada and France down. Utilities – Offshore Wind: Big Not So Beautiful Bill

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Alfen: CEO intends to retire early. D'Ieteren: Belgian June car registrations down 16%, VW down only 5%, good mix. Euronext: Bearing gifts to Greeks. JDE Peet's: Instant Decaf

Guy Sips ... (+9)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Dynamic Top Pick List Update July: Removing Fagron and Melexis, Adding...

Since the last publication of our Dynamic Top Pick List on 5 June 2025, our selection has seen again a nice outperformance versus the reverence indices (AEX, Bel20 and Eurostoxx50) of on average 3.3%. Our July update brings 3 adjustments to the list : Since being added to the list in December 2024, Fagron's share price has surged +/-22%, driven by strong Q1 2025 results and robust growth across all regions. Fagron reaffirmed its FY25 guidance and unveiled its “Compounding for Growth” strategy, ...

Jacob Mekhael ... (+6)
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Livio Luyten
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste

Morning Notes : ARGX BB, BFIT NA, PNL NA, QFG BB, UMI BB, BTLS BB, ONW...

: ARGX BB, BFIT NA, PNL NA, QFG BB, UMI BB, BTLS BB, ONWD BB, JDEP NA

Thomas Vranken
  • Thomas Vranken

Biotalys The planned Evoca-tion of a first US approval

Biotalys is a Belgian AgTech company developing protein-based biocontrols through its proprietary Agrobody Foundry platform. The company aims to replace traditional chemical pesticides with safer, sustainable alternatives. The company recently guided for market approval in the US for its lead product Evoca by the end of September 2025, which would reflect an important value inflection point for the company. We have updated our model, and taking into account the expected near-term trigger, raise ...

Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Thomas Couvreur
 PRESS RELEASE

Arbitral Tribunal acting under ICC Rules of Arbitration issues final a...

Arbitral Tribunal acting under ICC Rules of Arbitration issues final award in an arbitration between Agfa-Gevaert and the insolvency receiver of AgfaPhoto GmbH                                         June 27, 2025 - 1.45 PM CETRegulated information – Contains inside information Arbitral Tribunal acting under ICC Rules of Arbitration issues final award in an arbitration between Agfa-Gevaert and the insolvency receiver of AgfaPhoto GmbH Mortsel, Belgium – June 27, 2025 – 1.45 PM CETAn Arbitral Tribunal acting under the International Chamber of Commerce (ICC) Rules of Arbitration has render...

 PRESS RELEASE

Tribunaal handelend volgens het ICC-arbitragereglement velt finale sen...

Tribunaal handelend volgens het ICC-arbitragereglement velt finale sententie in arbitragegeschil tussen Agfa-Gevaert en de curator van AgfaPhoto GmbH 27 juni 2025 – 13u45Gereglementeerde informatie – Bevat voorwetenschap Tribunaal handelend volgens het ICC-arbitragereglement velt finale sententie in arbitragegeschil tussen Agfa-Gevaert en de curator van AgfaPhoto GmbH Mortsel, België – 27 juni 2025 – 13u45 Een Tribunaal dat handelt volgens het Arbitragereglement van de Internationale Kamer van Koophandel (ICC) heeft een finale sententie geveld in een laatste arbitragegeschil met een moge...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ASR: Buyout deal, second in as many months, similar size (€660m). Flow Traders: Sticky digits. IMCD: Small but solid acquisition in India. Randstad: Preliminary preview of 2Q25F results due 23 July. UCB: Fintepla meets primary endpoint in CDKL5 Deficiency Disorder

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+5)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
Thomas Vranken
  • Thomas Vranken

UCB FIRST LOOK: Fintepla scores Phase 3 win in third epileptic indicat...

UCB announced positive Phase 3 results for Fintepla in treating CDKL5 deficiency disorder (CDD), a rare and severe early-onset epileptic condition with limited treatment options. The randomized, placebo-controlled study in patients aged 1–35 met its primary and secondary endpoints, showing a significant reduction in countable motor seizures and a favourable safety profile. UCB plans to announce the full dataset at an upcoming conference and seek regulatory approval promptly. This marks Fintepla'...

Dominic Rose ... (+2)
  • Dominic Rose
  • Naresh Chouhan

UCB - Bimzelx Consensus for 2025 Too Low

We are 28% above cons. US Bimzelx sales for H125 with Bimzelx sales momentum being the most important factor for the UCB investment thesis. Unlike the early days for US obesity, this is one of the most complex dynamics we have contended with when forecasting sales. There are multiple unknowns that we have sought to model (net price per scrip, net avg. price by indication, 2024 volume, volume growth by payer & incremental discounts to unlock that volume growth). As a result of our analysis, we in...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ASR: Share repurchase for employee share plan. Kinepolis: New €160m RCF, step 1 of refinancing, leaving room for M&A

Guy Sips ... (+3)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Wim Lewi
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Belgian telecoms: Orange Belgium's new B2B offensive. BE Semiconductor Industries: Investor Day highlights. Proximus: Sale of Be-Mobile, asset disposals upped from ‘>€500m' to ‘up to €600m'. UCB: To invest in a new US manufacturing site

Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Lewi
Wim Lewi
  • Wim Lewi

Dollar Weakness The impact on our Benelux Coverage

In general, a weaker USD has a negative impact on Benelux stocks, particularly for companies with significant exports to the US. In this note we selected a list of companies with high US export exposure and we examine the potential impact on FY25 earninings. On top of the weak dollar, rising trade tensions or the introduction of tariffs further harm Benelux exporters. As the dollar depreciates against the euro, European goods become costlier for American consumers. At the same time, revenues ear...

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