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ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aalberts: highlights ING Benelux Conference Brussels 2024, Ackermans & Van Haaren: Highlights ING Benelux Conference Brussels,Ackermans & Van Haaren: Strong operational performance of underlying companies and guidance fine-tuned upwards, AMG: Highlights ING Benelux Conference Brussels, Aperam: Highlights ING Benelux Conference Brussels, Arcadis: Highlights ING Benelux conference, Azelis: Highlights ING Benelux Conference Brussels, Bekaert: Guidance cut and €200m buyback as sweetener, CFE: No new...

Robert Jan Vos
  • Robert Jan Vos

Greenyard N.V. : No applause expected for Greenyard’s H1 2024/25 updat...

>Sub-par EBIT almost offset by interest expenses and taxation in H1 2024/25 - Like-for-like sales increased 6.1% in H1 2024/25 (Fresh: 6.5%, Long Fresh: 4.5%), which was ahead of our estimate (3.5% group). Adjusted EBITDA was € 94.4m, in line with our estimate. EBIT was € 31m, which is materially below our forecast. Greenyard mentions reorganisation costs (€ 4.5m), and higher depreciation. Although a notch below our estimate, finance costs are high at € 26m in H1 2024...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Azelis: Acquisition of Haarla Oy in Finland. Greenyard: 1H24/25 operational results in line with expectations, miss on bottom line

Guy Sips ... (+4)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Vranken
Guy Sips
  • Guy Sips

Greenyard Confirming its ambitions of € 200m–210m Adj. EBITDA by March...

After successfully navigating its business during two challenging years in 2022 and 2023, which were marked by unseen inflation, Greenyard reached in 1H24/25 operational results in line with our model with increased net sales and a further improvement of its Adj. EBITDA driven by sustained volume growth particularly in the Fresh segment and by managing optimal price levels across as well its Fresh as in its Long Fresh division. We welcome the reduction of both debt and leverage ratio (from 2.39x...

Hans D’Haese ... (+2)
  • Hans D’Haese
  • Maxime Stranart

Greenyard/Preview for 1H24/25 results/HOLD

Greenyard will publish its 1H24/25 results (1 April to 30 September) on Tuesday, 19 November, at 7am CET. During the last AGM in September, Greenyard did not provide any guidance for the current year or half year. We expect 1H24/25F sales to be up by 4.8% YoY to €2.64bn, driven by 1.7% inflation and FX effects, with 3.3% volume growth in Greenyard's Fresh segment and 2.3% volume growth in the Long Fresh segment. Greenyard is currently trading at a discount to our peer group median EV/EBITDA valu...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+3)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri
  • Steven Boumans

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 11/13/2024

We maintain our Outperform rating on CaixaBank, one of our Top Picks in the sector, with a higher target of € 7.2 vs € 6.7 and ahead of the CMD on 19 November. We are lifting our net income estimates by 7% for 2025-2026, to 7% above the consensus. The strategic update is set to highlight the wisdom of the business model diversification (long-term savings) to address the current transition phase on rates. Despite a solid market performance, the profile does not look to be fully reflec...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+3)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri
  • Steven Boumans

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 13/11/2024

Nous réitérons notre opinion Surperformance sur CaixaBank, l’un de nos top picks du secteur, avec un OC porté à 7.2 € vs 6.7 € et en amont du CMD du 19/11. Nous relevons nos anticipations de RN de 7% sur 2025/2026 qui ressortent 7% supérieures au consensus. L’update stratégique devrait mettre en avant la pertinence de la diversification du business model (épargne LT) face à la transition actuelle sur les taux. Malgré un solide parcours boursier, cela n’est pas pleinement reflété dans ...

Florent Laroche-Joubert ... (+3)
  • Florent Laroche-Joubert
  • Roy Külter
  • Steven Boumans

ODDO : Spain: the PSOE and SUMAR looking to abolish the SOCIMI regime

>PSOE and Sumar spring a surprise in seeking to suddenly abolish the SOCIMI regime - On Monday 11 November, the PSOE reached a tax agreement with its Spanish government ally, “Sumar”, whereby the two parties want to abolish the SOCIMI REIT regime or at least part of its tax advantages. This sudden stance, which surprised Spanish property professionals, is thus different from the position that was presented just last week, namely to “encourage the construction of affor...

Florent Laroche-Joubert ... (+3)
  • Florent Laroche-Joubert
  • Roy Külter
  • Steven Boumans

ODDO : Espagne : le PSOE et SUMAR souhaiteraient abolir le régime SOCI...

>PSOE et Sumar créent la surprise en voulant supprimer soudainement le régime SOCIMI - Ce lundi 11 novembre, le PSOE sont parvenus à un accord fiscal avec son allié au gouvernement espagnol, « Sumar », par lequel les deux partis veulent supprimer le régime SOCIMI ou au moins une partie de ses avantages fiscaux. Cette prise de position soudaine qui a crée la surprise auprès des professionnels de l’immobilier espagnol, diffère ainsi de la position qui était encore mise ...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri

Melexis : Potentially no growth in 2025, but the low point is probably...

>Target price of € 85 (vs € 100) and Outperform opinion – The low point is probably not that far off and the valuation already prices in much bad news - Melexis shares closed down 13% yesterday after disappointing Q4 guidance. While the weakness of the automotive segment was already clearly identified, the scale of the quarter-on-quarter decline in Q4 came as a surprise (-17%). In these conditions, and seeing that inventory adjustments may continue for another few qua...

Guy Sips
  • Guy Sips

Melexis Model update after inventory correction at its automotive cust...

We updated our model after Melexis indicated it sees more challenging end-market circumstances. It was not a surprise to us that Melexis revealed that recent discussions with customers indicate that they wish to reduce significantly their inventories by year-end, which Melexis has decided to assume. The market was -in our opinion- more worried that Melexis highlighted that -while the inventory correction at its automotive customers is temporary and global car production is projected to grow in 2...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri

Melexis : Vers une année 2025 potentiellement sans croissance mais le ...

>OC de 85 € (vs 100 €), opinion Surperformance – Le point bas n’est probablement pas si loin et la valorisation intègre déjà beaucoup de mauvaises nouvelles - Le titre Melexis était en baisse de 13% hier après une guidance T4 décevante. Or si la faiblesse du segment automobile était déjà bien identifiée, c’est l’ampleur de la baisse séquentielle au T4 qui a surpris (-17%). Dans ces conditions et avec une correction de stock qui pourrait durer encore quelques trimestre...

Jean-François Granjon ... (+2)
  • Jean-François Granjon
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 10/30/2024

The outcome of the US presidential election hangs in the balance, but the momentum seems to be with Donald Trump since the beginning of October: the candidate is now in the lead in six of the seven swing states, has just overtaken Kamala Harris in the national vote while 63% of punters are tipping him to win. We recap in the present note on the European stocks to play or avoid in the event of Donald Trump's victory and have also listed European stocks with a production base in the US,...

Jean-François Granjon ... (+2)
  • Jean-François Granjon
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 30/10/2024

Le scrutin présidentiel US reste incertain, mais le momentum semble être du côté de Donald Trump depuis début octobre : le candidat est désormais en tête dans 6 des 7 swing states, vient de dépasser Kamala Harris dans le vote national et est donné gagnant à 63% chez les parieurs. Nous rappelons les valeurs européennes à privilégier ou à éviter en cas de victoire de Donald Trump, et avons également listé les valeurs européennes ayant une base de production aux US, par nature moins expo...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aedifica: Good top line, portfolio stabilising, guidance marginally revised upward. Ageas: China Taiping Life 3Q Solvency remains strong. ASM: 3Q24 results – That's a relief - FY25 guide narrowed upwards. Belgian Telecoms: Peer Telenet 3Q24 results, still losing shares. Fugro: Focus on EBITDA and orderbook. GBL: Kicking off its trainers and cashing in €0.6bn. Colruyt: To operate 100 OKay City stores by 2032F. Heijmans: Preview - Progressing well. KPN: VodafoneZiggo 3Q24 show still weak pe...

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